Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 28 July–3 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 23.6% 21.9–25.4% 21.5–25.9% 21.1–26.3% 20.3–27.2%
Høyre 20.4% 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Rødt 4.7% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–8.0%
Venstre 4.6% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 52 48–55 47–56 45–57 45–57
Fremskrittspartiet 21 44 42–47 41–48 40–49 39–51
Høyre 36 30 26–31 26–32 23–34 23–34
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 13 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–17
Senterpartiet 28 12 10–14 9–14 8–15 8–17
Rødt 8 11 10–12 9–12 9–13 8–15
Venstre 8 3 2–3 2–8 2–8 1–9
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 1–3 1–8 1–8 1–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 2 1–3 1–7 1–8 0–9
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 3% 99.8%  
46 0.9% 97%  
47 5% 96%  
48 3% 91% Last Result
49 3% 88%  
50 16% 85%  
51 4% 69%  
52 36% 65% Median
53 17% 29%  
54 1.2% 11%  
55 2% 10%  
56 4% 8%  
57 4% 4%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 1.1% 99.9%  
40 2% 98.8%  
41 3% 97%  
42 12% 94%  
43 11% 82%  
44 34% 72% Median
45 10% 37%  
46 11% 27%  
47 10% 16%  
48 3% 6%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.3% 1.3%  
51 0.9% 1.0%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 3% 99.9%  
24 0.8% 97%  
25 0.6% 96%  
26 6% 95%  
27 6% 90%  
28 12% 84%  
29 5% 72%  
30 37% 67% Median
31 22% 30%  
32 5% 8%  
33 0.7% 3%  
34 2% 3%  
35 0.2% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.6% 99.9%  
10 8% 99.3%  
11 13% 91%  
12 12% 79%  
13 42% 66% Last Result, Median
14 8% 24%  
15 13% 16%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.2% 0.5%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 3% 99.6%  
9 5% 97%  
10 5% 92%  
11 17% 87%  
12 40% 70% Median
13 16% 30%  
14 10% 14%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.2% 0.8%  
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 2% 99.8% Last Result
9 8% 98%  
10 25% 90%  
11 23% 65% Median
12 37% 42%  
13 3% 5%  
14 0.5% 1.2%  
15 0.3% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.4%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 32% 99.2%  
3 60% 67% Median
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 2% 8%  
8 5% 5% Last Result
9 0.5% 0.7%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 16% 100%  
2 57% 84% Median
3 17% 26% Last Result
4 0.1% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0.3% 9%  
7 4% 9%  
8 4% 5%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 41% 98%  
2 17% 57% Median
3 31% 40% Last Result
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 5% 8%  
8 2% 3%  
9 0.7% 0.8%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 90 98.9% 89–94 88–98 85–98 83–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 91 94% 86–94 84–94 83–95 80–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 88 79% 83–91 81–93 80–93 79–94
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 71 81 21% 78–86 76–88 76–89 75–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 80 17% 78–86 76–86 75–87 74–90
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 78 6% 75–83 75–85 74–86 72–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 79 3% 75–83 74–83 73–85 72–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 77 0.2% 72–80 72–82 72–84 69–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 79 1.0% 75–80 71–81 71–84 67–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 77 0% 72–80 71–82 70–82 69–82
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 74 0% 70–77 69–79 69–81 67–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 67 0% 66–72 64–74 63–75 61–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 65 0% 63–70 61–71 60–73 59–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 65 0% 60–68 59–68 58–69 57–70
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 64 0% 60–67 59–67 57–67 56–69
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 34 0% 32–38 31–39 31–41 29–43
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 17 0% 16–20 15–22 14–23 12–25

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 99.9%  
84 0.5% 99.4%  
85 2% 98.9% Majority
86 1.2% 97%  
87 0.7% 96%  
88 4% 95%  
89 16% 91%  
90 35% 75%  
91 2% 41% Median
92 10% 38%  
93 11% 29%  
94 8% 18%  
95 2% 9%  
96 0.4% 8% Last Result
97 1.1% 7%  
98 4% 6%  
99 2% 2%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0% 0.6%  
102 0.6% 0.6%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.6% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.4%  
82 1.2% 99.2%  
83 3% 98%  
84 0.9% 95%  
85 3% 94% Majority
86 8% 92%  
87 4% 83%  
88 2% 79%  
89 14% 77%  
90 12% 64% Median
91 36% 51%  
92 2% 15%  
93 2% 14%  
94 9% 12%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.0%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.3% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 1.0% 99.7%  
80 2% 98.7%  
81 4% 97%  
82 2% 93%  
83 4% 91%  
84 8% 86%  
85 3% 79% Majority
86 9% 76%  
87 12% 66%  
88 7% 54% Median
89 34% 47%  
90 1.5% 12%  
91 2% 11%  
92 1.2% 9%  
93 7% 8%  
94 0.1% 0.5%  
95 0.4% 0.4%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.6%  
76 7% 99.4%  
77 1.2% 92%  
78 2% 91%  
79 1.5% 89%  
80 34% 88%  
81 7% 53% Median
82 13% 46%  
83 9% 34%  
84 3% 24%  
85 8% 21% Majority
86 4% 13%  
87 2% 9%  
88 4% 7%  
89 2% 3%  
90 1.0% 1.3%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 4% 99.5%  
76 1.4% 96%  
77 2% 94%  
78 7% 92%  
79 4% 85%  
80 40% 82%  
81 7% 42% Median
82 7% 35%  
83 8% 27%  
84 2% 19%  
85 0.9% 17% Majority
86 13% 16%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.5% 1.4%  
89 0.3% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.3% 0.3%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0.6% 99.6%  
73 0.5% 98.9%  
74 2% 98%  
75 9% 97%  
76 2% 88%  
77 2% 86%  
78 36% 85%  
79 13% 48% Median
80 13% 36%  
81 2% 22%  
82 4% 20%  
83 8% 16%  
84 2% 8%  
85 0.9% 6% Majority
86 3% 5%  
87 1.2% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.8%  
89 0.6% 0.6%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 2% 99.5%  
73 3% 98%  
74 2% 95%  
75 9% 94%  
76 5% 85%  
77 2% 80%  
78 4% 78%  
79 50% 75% Median
80 9% 24%  
81 2% 15%  
82 1.1% 13%  
83 8% 12%  
84 1.2% 4%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 0.9% 1.5%  
87 0.1% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.4% 99.5%  
71 1.3% 99.0%  
72 10% 98%  
73 4% 88%  
74 3% 84%  
75 7% 81%  
76 7% 74%  
77 35% 67% Median
78 6% 32%  
79 9% 25%  
80 8% 16%  
81 2% 8%  
82 1.2% 6%  
83 1.3% 5%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.1% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.6% 100%  
68 0% 99.4%  
69 0.2% 99.4%  
70 2% 99.2%  
71 4% 98%  
72 1.2% 94% Last Result
73 0.6% 93%  
74 2% 92%  
75 8% 90%  
76 11% 82%  
77 10% 71%  
78 2% 61% Median
79 35% 59%  
80 16% 24%  
81 4% 9%  
82 0.7% 5%  
83 1.2% 4%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.5% 1.0% Majority
86 0.5% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.7%  
70 2% 99.1%  
71 6% 97%  
72 1.4% 91%  
73 9% 90%  
74 6% 81%  
75 4% 76%  
76 9% 72%  
77 46% 62% Median
78 5% 17%  
79 1.4% 12%  
80 1.2% 11%  
81 0.8% 9%  
82 8% 9%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.3% 0.3%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.7% 99.7%  
68 0.8% 99.0%  
69 3% 98%  
70 13% 95%  
71 4% 81%  
72 3% 77%  
73 6% 74%  
74 39% 68% Median
75 6% 29%  
76 8% 23%  
77 8% 16%  
78 2% 7%  
79 2% 6%  
80 0.4% 4%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 1.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 98.7%  
63 3% 98%  
64 2% 96%  
65 3% 94%  
66 9% 91%  
67 42% 82%  
68 5% 40% Median
69 2% 35%  
70 4% 33%  
71 14% 29%  
72 7% 15%  
73 3% 8%  
74 0.5% 5%  
75 4% 5%  
76 0.1% 0.7%  
77 0.4% 0.6%  
78 0% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 1.4% 98%  
61 3% 97%  
62 2% 93%  
63 7% 91%  
64 15% 85%  
65 34% 70%  
66 8% 36% Median
67 1.3% 29%  
68 2% 27%  
69 12% 26%  
70 9% 14%  
71 1.3% 5%  
72 0.5% 4%  
73 3% 3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.6%  
58 2% 99.5%  
59 4% 97%  
60 4% 93%  
61 4% 90% Last Result
62 8% 86%  
63 8% 77%  
64 9% 70%  
65 36% 60% Median
66 7% 24%  
67 4% 17%  
68 10% 13%  
69 1.3% 3%  
70 1.1% 1.5%  
71 0.3% 0.4%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.7%  
57 1.3% 98%  
58 0.6% 97%  
59 4% 96%  
60 3% 93%  
61 13% 89%  
62 5% 76%  
63 12% 72%  
64 35% 60% Median
65 2% 25%  
66 10% 23%  
67 11% 13%  
68 0.9% 2%  
69 1.2% 1.4%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.8% 99.8%  
30 0.8% 99.0%  
31 4% 98%  
32 6% 94%  
33 13% 88%  
34 31% 75%  
35 13% 44% Median
36 7% 31%  
37 10% 24%  
38 6% 13%  
39 3% 7%  
40 1.2% 4%  
41 1.2% 3%  
42 0.3% 1.4%  
43 0.8% 1.1%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.1%  
14 1.4% 98%  
15 4% 96%  
16 39% 92%  
17 17% 52% Median
18 10% 36%  
19 15% 26%  
20 2% 11%  
21 4% 9%  
22 2% 5%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.9% 2%  
25 0.5% 0.9%  
26 0.2% 0.4%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations