Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 4–8 August 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 28.8% | 27.2–30.6% | 26.7–31.0% | 26.3–31.5% | 25.6–32.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 20.7% | 19.3–22.3% | 18.8–22.7% | 18.5–23.1% | 17.8–23.9% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 16.2% | 14.9–17.6% | 14.5–18.0% | 14.2–18.4% | 13.6–19.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5–7.3% | 5.2–7.6% | 5.0–7.8% | 4.7–8.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.5% | 5.0–7.7% | 4.6–8.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.8–6.2% | 3.5–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.2–6.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.0–6.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.3–5.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 55 | 52–58 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–63 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 40 | 38–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 |
| Høyre | 36 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 22–34 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 1–10 | 1–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 14% | 95% | |
| 53 | 10% | 81% | |
| 54 | 8% | 71% | |
| 55 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 56 | 9% | 41% | |
| 57 | 11% | 32% | |
| 58 | 13% | 21% | |
| 59 | 3% | 8% | |
| 60 | 3% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 3% | 96% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 38 | 19% | 91% | |
| 39 | 17% | 72% | |
| 40 | 30% | 55% | Median |
| 41 | 11% | 24% | |
| 42 | 7% | 14% | |
| 43 | 3% | 7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98% | |
| 25 | 4% | 95% | |
| 26 | 16% | 91% | |
| 27 | 9% | 75% | |
| 28 | 13% | 66% | |
| 29 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 30 | 16% | 45% | |
| 31 | 10% | 29% | |
| 32 | 16% | 19% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 9% | 89% | |
| 10 | 30% | 81% | |
| 11 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 12 | 33% | 38% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 24% | 96% | |
| 10 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 49% | |
| 12 | 25% | 31% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 12% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 2% | 85% | |
| 7 | 10% | 83% | |
| 8 | 22% | 73% | |
| 9 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 33% | 36% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 16% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0% | 83% | |
| 6 | 4% | 83% | |
| 7 | 31% | 79% | Median |
| 8 | 17% | 48% | |
| 9 | 27% | 30% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 25% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 5% | 72% | |
| 7 | 28% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 30% | 39% | Last Result |
| 9 | 8% | 9% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 37% | 95% | |
| 3 | 36% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 9% | 22% | |
| 7 | 10% | 12% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 88 | 93% | 85–95 | 84–95 | 82–97 | 81–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 87 | 74% | 83–91 | 81–92 | 80–93 | 78–95 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 85 | 56% | 80–90 | 79–92 | 79–92 | 77–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 83 | 38% | 80–88 | 78–90 | 78–90 | 76–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 97 | 84 | 44% | 79–89 | 77–90 | 77–90 | 74–92 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 82 | 26% | 78–86 | 77–88 | 76–89 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 81 | 7% | 74–84 | 74–85 | 72–87 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 77 | 1.4% | 72–81 | 72–82 | 70–82 | 68–86 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 75 | 0% | 69–78 | 69–80 | 68–81 | 67–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 72 | 0.1% | 69–78 | 68–80 | 68–80 | 65–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 74 | 0% | 69–77 | 67–79 | 66–79 | 64–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 69 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–75 | 64–78 | 61–78 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 69 | 0% | 65–72 | 63–73 | 60–74 | 60–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 67 | 0% | 61–69 | 61–69 | 59–70 | 59–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 63 | 0% | 58–67 | 58–68 | 56–69 | 54–70 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 42 | 0% | 38–47 | 37–47 | 36–47 | 34–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 22 | 0% | 17–25 | 14–25 | 11–27 | 11–28 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 84 | 2% | 96% | |
| 85 | 9% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 87 | 10% | 83% | |
| 88 | 27% | 73% | |
| 89 | 5% | 46% | |
| 90 | 5% | 41% | |
| 91 | 12% | 36% | |
| 92 | 3% | 24% | Median |
| 93 | 3% | 21% | |
| 94 | 2% | 18% | |
| 95 | 13% | 16% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 3% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 98 | 2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 83 | 4% | 93% | |
| 84 | 15% | 90% | |
| 85 | 11% | 74% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 63% | |
| 87 | 4% | 54% | |
| 88 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 89 | 7% | 44% | |
| 90 | 10% | 36% | |
| 91 | 18% | 26% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 80 | 16% | 94% | |
| 81 | 6% | 78% | |
| 82 | 5% | 73% | |
| 83 | 8% | 68% | |
| 84 | 4% | 60% | |
| 85 | 11% | 56% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 45% | Median |
| 87 | 3% | 38% | |
| 88 | 17% | 36% | |
| 89 | 3% | 18% | |
| 90 | 7% | 15% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 92 | 5% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 80 | 7% | 93% | |
| 81 | 23% | 86% | |
| 82 | 10% | 63% | |
| 83 | 6% | 53% | |
| 84 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 85 | 4% | 38% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 34% | |
| 87 | 2% | 30% | |
| 88 | 22% | 28% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 90 | 3% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 5% | 98% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 79 | 7% | 92% | |
| 80 | 3% | 85% | |
| 81 | 17% | 82% | |
| 82 | 3% | 64% | |
| 83 | 7% | 62% | |
| 84 | 11% | 55% | |
| 85 | 4% | 44% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 40% | |
| 87 | 5% | 32% | |
| 88 | 6% | 27% | |
| 89 | 16% | 22% | |
| 90 | 4% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 4% | 95% | |
| 78 | 18% | 92% | |
| 79 | 10% | 74% | |
| 80 | 7% | 64% | |
| 81 | 6% | 56% | |
| 82 | 4% | 50% | |
| 83 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 37% | |
| 85 | 15% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 10% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 74 | 13% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 84% | |
| 76 | 3% | 82% | |
| 77 | 3% | 79% | |
| 78 | 12% | 76% | |
| 79 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 80 | 5% | 59% | |
| 81 | 27% | 54% | |
| 82 | 10% | 27% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 84 | 9% | 16% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 87 | 3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 6% | 95% | |
| 73 | 3% | 89% | |
| 74 | 18% | 86% | |
| 75 | 11% | 68% | |
| 76 | 4% | 57% | |
| 77 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 78 | 9% | 48% | |
| 79 | 24% | 39% | |
| 80 | 4% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 11% | |
| 82 | 5% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 16% | 95% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 71 | 3% | 78% | |
| 72 | 3% | 75% | |
| 73 | 6% | 72% | |
| 74 | 5% | 66% | |
| 75 | 12% | 61% | |
| 76 | 15% | 49% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 34% | |
| 78 | 14% | 24% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 5% | 98% | |
| 69 | 5% | 93% | |
| 70 | 17% | 87% | |
| 71 | 4% | 70% | |
| 72 | 17% | 66% | |
| 73 | 3% | 49% | |
| 74 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 75 | 2% | 36% | |
| 76 | 17% | 34% | |
| 77 | 4% | 17% | |
| 78 | 4% | 13% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 83 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 14% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 80% | |
| 71 | 13% | 77% | |
| 72 | 9% | 65% | |
| 73 | 4% | 55% | |
| 74 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 47% | |
| 76 | 13% | 39% | |
| 77 | 18% | 26% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 79 | 5% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 95% | |
| 66 | 9% | 91% | |
| 67 | 10% | 82% | |
| 68 | 14% | 72% | |
| 69 | 15% | 59% | |
| 70 | 5% | 43% | |
| 71 | 3% | 39% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 36% | |
| 73 | 2% | 30% | |
| 74 | 18% | 28% | |
| 75 | 5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 3% | 91% | |
| 66 | 19% | 88% | |
| 67 | 7% | 70% | |
| 68 | 11% | 63% | |
| 69 | 20% | 52% | Median |
| 70 | 17% | 33% | |
| 71 | 4% | 16% | |
| 72 | 3% | 11% | |
| 73 | 5% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 61 | 12% | 97% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 85% | |
| 63 | 4% | 80% | |
| 64 | 10% | 76% | |
| 65 | 4% | 67% | Median |
| 66 | 4% | 62% | |
| 67 | 30% | 58% | |
| 68 | 15% | 28% | |
| 69 | 8% | 12% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 58 | 7% | 96% | |
| 59 | 9% | 89% | |
| 60 | 2% | 80% | |
| 61 | 9% | 78% | |
| 62 | 16% | 69% | |
| 63 | 7% | 53% | |
| 64 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 65 | 17% | 37% | |
| 66 | 9% | 19% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 16% | 93% | |
| 39 | 6% | 77% | |
| 40 | 7% | 71% | |
| 41 | 7% | 64% | |
| 42 | 16% | 57% | |
| 43 | 3% | 41% | Median |
| 44 | 3% | 38% | |
| 45 | 8% | 35% | |
| 46 | 10% | 26% | |
| 47 | 15% | 17% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 14 | 2% | 96% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 16 | 3% | 94% | |
| 17 | 6% | 91% | |
| 18 | 3% | 84% | |
| 19 | 9% | 81% | |
| 20 | 5% | 72% | |
| 21 | 12% | 67% | |
| 22 | 26% | 55% | |
| 23 | 5% | 29% | Median |
| 24 | 4% | 24% | |
| 25 | 16% | 20% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 4–8 August 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1193
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.26%