Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 12 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 26.9% 25.2–28.6% 24.8–29.1% 24.4–29.5% 23.6–30.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 23.8% 22.3–25.5% 21.8–26.0% 21.4–26.4% 20.7–27.2%
Høyre 20.4% 13.1% 11.9–14.5% 11.6–14.9% 11.3–15.2% 10.7–15.9%
Rødt 4.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.2% 4.1–7.7%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.5%
Venstre 4.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.4%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 53 51–56 50–58 49–59 46–59
Fremskrittspartiet 21 45 45–48 44–49 43–50 41–52
Høyre 36 20 18–22 18–24 18–24 18–27
Rødt 8 10 7–11 7–11 7–11 7–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 3–13
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–11 6–12 6–12 1–13
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 10 8–10 8–10 7–11 2–12
Venstre 8 8 7–9 7–9 7–10 6–11
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 3 2–6 2–7 2–7 1–8
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.6% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.3%  
48 0.5% 99.2% Last Result
49 2% 98.7%  
50 3% 97%  
51 31% 94%  
52 7% 63%  
53 7% 56% Median
54 30% 49%  
55 1.0% 19%  
56 11% 18%  
57 0.5% 7%  
58 3% 7%  
59 4% 4%  
60 0% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.6%  
42 1.1% 99.2%  
43 2% 98%  
44 6% 96%  
45 43% 90% Median
46 4% 48%  
47 34% 44%  
48 5% 10%  
49 0.6% 5%  
50 3% 5%  
51 0.1% 2%  
52 1.5% 2%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.9%  
18 12% 99.6%  
19 11% 87%  
20 37% 76% Median
21 28% 39%  
22 3% 11%  
23 3% 9%  
24 5% 6%  
25 0.1% 1.2%  
26 0.3% 1.1%  
27 0.5% 0.9%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0.3% 99.9%  
7 11% 99.6%  
8 6% 89% Last Result
9 15% 83%  
10 36% 69% Median
11 32% 33%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100% Last Result
4 0% 99.5%  
5 0% 99.5%  
6 0% 99.5%  
7 0.6% 99.4%  
8 7% 98.8%  
9 35% 92%  
10 46% 57% Median
11 9% 11%  
12 0.8% 2%  
13 1.0% 1.2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 0.1% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 4% 99.1%  
7 2% 95%  
8 15% 93%  
9 44% 78% Median
10 2% 34%  
11 24% 32%  
12 6% 7%  
13 0.5% 0.8%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.5% 100%  
3 0.1% 99.5%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0.5% 99.3%  
7 2% 98.8%  
8 35% 97%  
9 6% 62%  
10 52% 55% Median
11 3% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.6%  
13 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 0% 99.5%  
5 0% 99.5%  
6 0.8% 99.5%  
7 16% 98.7%  
8 48% 83% Last Result, Median
9 30% 34%  
10 3% 5%  
11 1.3% 1.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 38% 99.2%  
3 32% 61% Last Result, Median
4 0% 29%  
5 0% 29%  
6 21% 29%  
7 7% 8%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre 96 92 100% 90–97 90–97 90–99 88–99
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 88 97% 85–90 85–91 84–93 83–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 85 59% 82–90 82–90 80–90 78–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 86 59% 82–87 81–88 80–89 79–91
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 83 41% 82–87 81–88 80–89 78–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 97 81 3% 79–84 78–84 76–85 72–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 75 0.2% 74–80 72–80 71–80 69–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 75 0.2% 73–80 72–80 71–80 68–82
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 73 0% 72–77 72–78 71–80 69–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 77 0% 72–79 72–79 70–79 70–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet 79 73 0% 71–74 69–74 67–75 63–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 73 0% 70–74 69–74 66–75 61–77
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 65 0% 64–69 63–70 63–72 61–72
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 63 0% 60–65 60–65 58–67 54–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 63 0% 59–66 58–66 58–67 53–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 38 0% 36–40 35–43 35–44 33–46
Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre 39 27 0% 25–29 22–29 22–30 17–34

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Majority
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.4% 99.6%  
89 1.0% 99.2%  
90 10% 98%  
91 8% 88%  
92 41% 81% Median
93 2% 39%  
94 1.2% 37%  
95 4% 36%  
96 5% 32% Last Result
97 23% 27%  
98 0.9% 4%  
99 2% 3%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 2% 99.4%  
85 30% 97% Majority
86 4% 67% Median
87 5% 63%  
88 11% 58%  
89 32% 47%  
90 7% 15%  
91 4% 8%  
92 1.3% 4%  
93 0.8% 3%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 1.0% 2%  
96 0.1% 0.7%  
97 0.6% 0.6%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.9% 99.8%  
79 1.0% 98.9%  
80 1.2% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 26% 95%  
83 1.2% 69%  
84 9% 68%  
85 32% 59% Median, Majority
86 3% 27%  
87 9% 24%  
88 0.3% 14%  
89 4% 14%  
90 10% 10%  
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.5%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 2% 99.7%  
80 0.7% 98%  
81 3% 97%  
82 5% 94%  
83 24% 89%  
84 6% 66%  
85 2% 59% Median, Majority
86 39% 57%  
87 12% 18%  
88 0.8% 5%  
89 3% 5%  
90 0.7% 1.4%  
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 0.7% 99.4%  
80 3% 98.6%  
81 0.8% 95%  
82 12% 95%  
83 39% 82% Median
84 2% 43%  
85 6% 41% Majority
86 24% 34%  
87 5% 11%  
88 3% 6%  
89 0.7% 3%  
90 2% 2%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.6% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.4%  
74 1.0% 99.3%  
75 0.5% 98%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 1.3% 97%  
78 4% 96%  
79 7% 92%  
80 32% 85%  
81 11% 53%  
82 5% 42% Median
83 4% 37%  
84 30% 33%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 0.3% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 0.9% 99.3%  
71 3% 98%  
72 1.1% 96%  
73 2% 95%  
74 28% 92%  
75 30% 65% Median
76 6% 35%  
77 11% 30%  
78 3% 18%  
79 1.2% 15%  
80 13% 14%  
81 0.2% 1.4%  
82 0.7% 1.2% Last Result
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 1.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 98.6%  
70 0.9% 98%  
71 0.7% 98%  
72 3% 97%  
73 25% 93%  
74 4% 69%  
75 33% 64% Median
76 10% 31%  
77 6% 21%  
78 0.9% 15%  
79 0.6% 15%  
80 13% 14%  
81 0.3% 0.9%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 99.4%  
71 3% 98.6%  
72 18% 95%  
73 29% 77% Median
74 5% 48%  
75 0.9% 42%  
76 8% 42%  
77 28% 34%  
78 2% 6%  
79 0.7% 4%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.8% 1.2%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 2% 99.6%  
71 0.9% 97%  
72 23% 96% Last Result
73 5% 73%  
74 4% 68%  
75 1.2% 64%  
76 2% 63% Median
77 41% 61%  
78 8% 19%  
79 10% 12%  
80 1.0% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.4%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.7% 100%  
64 0.5% 99.2%  
65 0.4% 98.7%  
66 0.5% 98%  
67 0.6% 98%  
68 1.4% 97%  
69 3% 96%  
70 2% 93%  
71 37% 91%  
72 2% 53% Median
73 30% 51%  
74 17% 22%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.1% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.5% 100%  
62 0% 99.5%  
63 0.1% 99.5%  
64 0.2% 99.4%  
65 1.3% 99.2%  
66 0.5% 98%  
67 1.2% 97%  
68 0.6% 96%  
69 3% 96%  
70 35% 92%  
71 5% 57%  
72 1.1% 52% Median
73 34% 51%  
74 13% 17%  
75 3% 4%  
76 0.1% 0.8%  
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.8%  
62 0.7% 99.2%  
63 4% 98.5%  
64 10% 95%  
65 38% 85% Median
66 4% 47%  
67 4% 43%  
68 28% 39%  
69 5% 11%  
70 3% 6%  
71 0.5% 3%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.5% 100%  
55 0.8% 99.4%  
56 0.5% 98.7%  
57 0.5% 98%  
58 0.3% 98%  
59 1.2% 97%  
60 11% 96%  
61 6% 85%  
62 26% 79% Median
63 30% 52%  
64 11% 22%  
65 8% 12%  
66 0.8% 4%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.6% 100%  
54 0% 99.4%  
55 0.6% 99.3%  
56 0.2% 98.7%  
57 0.3% 98%  
58 4% 98%  
59 23% 94%  
60 2% 71%  
61 11% 69% Last Result
62 7% 58%  
63 3% 50% Median
64 30% 47%  
65 1.0% 18%  
66 12% 17%  
67 4% 5%  
68 0.2% 0.6%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.4% 99.6%  
34 1.1% 99.3%  
35 4% 98%  
36 14% 94%  
37 14% 80%  
38 31% 66% Median
39 24% 34%  
40 1.1% 11%  
41 2% 9%  
42 1.1% 8%  
43 4% 7%  
44 1.3% 3%  
45 0.7% 1.4%  
46 0.3% 0.7%  
47 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.7% 100%  
18 0% 99.3%  
19 0.2% 99.3%  
20 0.4% 99.1%  
21 0.1% 98.7%  
22 4% 98.6%  
23 1.4% 94%  
24 1.2% 93%  
25 5% 92%  
26 11% 87%  
27 38% 76% Median
28 6% 38%  
29 28% 32%  
30 2% 4%  
31 0.5% 2%  
32 0.7% 2%  
33 0.4% 1.0%  
34 0.6% 0.6%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations