Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land, 12–14 August 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
28.2% |
26.4–30.1% |
25.9–30.6% |
25.5–31.1% |
24.7–32.0% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
20.5% |
18.9–22.2% |
18.5–22.7% |
18.1–23.1% |
17.4–24.0% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
14.6% |
13.3–16.2% |
12.9–16.6% |
12.6–17.0% |
12.0–17.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
7.1% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.1–7.7% |
4.9–8.0% |
4.5–8.5% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
4.1–6.8% |
3.7–7.4% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.3–6.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.3–1.8% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
51 |
12% |
97% |
|
52 |
9% |
84% |
|
53 |
6% |
76% |
|
54 |
3% |
69% |
|
55 |
5% |
66% |
|
56 |
21% |
61% |
Median |
57 |
11% |
40% |
|
58 |
3% |
29% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
26% |
|
60 |
4% |
25% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
21% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
20% |
|
63 |
20% |
20% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
2% |
97% |
|
36 |
3% |
95% |
|
37 |
4% |
92% |
|
38 |
16% |
88% |
|
39 |
20% |
72% |
|
40 |
24% |
52% |
Median |
41 |
4% |
28% |
|
42 |
9% |
24% |
|
43 |
3% |
15% |
|
44 |
2% |
13% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
46 |
10% |
10% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
19 |
20% |
99.7% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
21 |
17% |
79% |
|
22 |
2% |
61% |
|
23 |
4% |
59% |
|
24 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
25 |
7% |
46% |
|
26 |
17% |
39% |
|
27 |
3% |
22% |
|
28 |
10% |
19% |
|
29 |
3% |
8% |
|
30 |
2% |
5% |
|
31 |
2% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
10 |
18% |
94% |
|
11 |
8% |
76% |
|
12 |
33% |
68% |
Median |
13 |
28% |
35% |
Last Result |
14 |
3% |
7% |
|
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
16% |
96% |
|
10 |
58% |
80% |
Median |
11 |
11% |
22% |
|
12 |
6% |
11% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
7 |
34% |
97% |
|
8 |
19% |
63% |
Median |
9 |
22% |
44% |
|
10 |
7% |
22% |
|
11 |
12% |
15% |
|
12 |
3% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
8% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
2% |
92% |
|
7 |
49% |
90% |
Median |
8 |
17% |
41% |
|
9 |
15% |
24% |
|
10 |
5% |
9% |
|
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
4% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
5 |
0% |
95% |
|
6 |
15% |
95% |
|
7 |
11% |
79% |
|
8 |
41% |
69% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
28% |
|
10 |
3% |
5% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
19% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
63% |
81% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
18% |
|
5 |
0% |
18% |
|
6 |
5% |
18% |
|
7 |
7% |
13% |
|
8 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
94 |
99.4% |
90–100 |
88–100 |
85–100 |
84–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
91 |
95% |
86–97 |
85–97 |
83–97 |
80–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
85 |
64% |
82–93 |
80–93 |
78–93 |
75–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
86 |
63% |
82–92 |
81–92 |
79–92 |
77–96 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
84 |
36% |
76–87 |
76–89 |
76–91 |
75–94 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
71 |
83 |
37% |
77–87 |
77–88 |
77–90 |
73–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
84 |
33% |
80–90 |
77–90 |
76–90 |
74–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
79 |
23% |
75–85 |
73–85 |
72–85 |
69–86 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
75 |
0.6% |
69–79 |
69–81 |
69–84 |
68–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
76 |
0.5% |
73–82 |
70–82 |
69–82 |
68–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
72 |
0% |
68–77 |
66–77 |
64–77 |
61–80 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
68 |
0% |
62–73 |
62–74 |
61–76 |
60–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
67 |
0% |
63–75 |
63–75 |
61–75 |
58–75 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
65 |
0% |
59–67 |
59–70 |
59–71 |
57–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
64 |
0% |
60–70 |
59–70 |
58–70 |
55–71 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
36 |
0% |
29–40 |
29–41 |
29–43 |
29–46 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
19 |
0% |
17–23 |
16–24 |
14–24 |
11–27 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
2% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
3% |
93% |
|
90 |
2% |
90% |
|
91 |
9% |
89% |
|
92 |
12% |
79% |
|
93 |
13% |
68% |
|
94 |
20% |
55% |
Median |
95 |
2% |
35% |
|
96 |
4% |
33% |
|
97 |
4% |
29% |
|
98 |
0.4% |
25% |
|
99 |
3% |
24% |
|
100 |
20% |
21% |
Last Result |
101 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
84 |
2% |
97% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
94% |
|
87 |
2% |
89% |
|
88 |
3% |
87% |
|
89 |
10% |
84% |
|
90 |
5% |
74% |
|
91 |
33% |
70% |
Median |
92 |
5% |
36% |
|
93 |
1.4% |
31% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
30% |
|
95 |
4% |
28% |
Last Result |
96 |
2% |
24% |
|
97 |
22% |
22% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
80 |
4% |
95% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
82 |
12% |
91% |
|
83 |
13% |
79% |
|
84 |
2% |
66% |
|
85 |
27% |
64% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
37% |
Median |
87 |
1.4% |
32% |
|
88 |
6% |
31% |
|
89 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
90 |
0.9% |
24% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
23% |
|
92 |
2% |
23% |
|
93 |
20% |
21% |
|
94 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
81 |
2% |
96% |
|
82 |
9% |
94% |
|
83 |
3% |
85% |
|
84 |
20% |
82% |
|
85 |
9% |
63% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
87 |
2% |
50% |
|
88 |
17% |
47% |
|
89 |
6% |
30% |
|
90 |
2% |
25% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
22% |
|
92 |
20% |
22% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
20% |
98.9% |
|
77 |
2% |
79% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
77% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
77% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
76% |
|
81 |
6% |
75% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
69% |
Median |
83 |
5% |
68% |
|
84 |
27% |
63% |
|
85 |
2% |
36% |
Majority |
86 |
13% |
34% |
|
87 |
12% |
21% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
89 |
4% |
9% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
91 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
77 |
20% |
98% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
78% |
|
79 |
2% |
78% |
|
80 |
6% |
75% |
|
81 |
17% |
70% |
|
82 |
2% |
53% |
Median |
83 |
4% |
50% |
|
84 |
9% |
47% |
|
85 |
20% |
37% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
18% |
|
87 |
9% |
15% |
|
88 |
2% |
6% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
92 |
2% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
79 |
2% |
94% |
|
80 |
4% |
92% |
|
81 |
4% |
87% |
|
82 |
20% |
83% |
|
83 |
12% |
63% |
|
84 |
18% |
51% |
Median |
85 |
6% |
33% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
28% |
|
87 |
2% |
27% |
|
88 |
3% |
25% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
22% |
|
90 |
20% |
21% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
3% |
95% |
|
75 |
3% |
91% |
|
76 |
3% |
89% |
|
77 |
5% |
86% |
|
78 |
24% |
81% |
|
79 |
17% |
57% |
Median |
80 |
2% |
39% |
|
81 |
3% |
37% |
|
82 |
8% |
34% |
Last Result |
83 |
2% |
26% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
24% |
|
85 |
22% |
23% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
69 |
20% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
3% |
79% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
76% |
|
72 |
4% |
75% |
|
73 |
4% |
71% |
|
74 |
2% |
67% |
Median |
75 |
20% |
65% |
|
76 |
13% |
45% |
|
77 |
12% |
32% |
|
78 |
9% |
21% |
|
79 |
2% |
11% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
2% |
7% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
98.5% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
72 |
2% |
94% |
|
73 |
12% |
92% |
|
74 |
24% |
80% |
|
75 |
3% |
56% |
|
76 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
47% |
|
78 |
18% |
44% |
|
79 |
2% |
26% |
|
80 |
2% |
24% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
22% |
|
82 |
20% |
21% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
96% |
|
67 |
4% |
94% |
|
68 |
3% |
90% |
|
69 |
9% |
87% |
|
70 |
11% |
78% |
|
71 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
72 |
18% |
55% |
|
73 |
3% |
37% |
|
74 |
7% |
34% |
|
75 |
4% |
27% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
23% |
|
77 |
20% |
22% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
20% |
97% |
|
63 |
2% |
77% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
75% |
|
65 |
6% |
74% |
Last Result |
66 |
7% |
68% |
|
67 |
5% |
62% |
Median |
68 |
22% |
57% |
|
69 |
9% |
35% |
|
70 |
11% |
25% |
|
71 |
2% |
14% |
|
72 |
2% |
13% |
|
73 |
3% |
11% |
|
74 |
5% |
8% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
76 |
2% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
98% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
97% |
|
63 |
9% |
95% |
|
64 |
7% |
86% |
|
65 |
10% |
79% |
|
66 |
10% |
70% |
|
67 |
11% |
60% |
|
68 |
2% |
49% |
Median |
69 |
17% |
46% |
|
70 |
6% |
30% |
|
71 |
2% |
24% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
22% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
22% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
75 |
20% |
20% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
58 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
22% |
98% |
|
60 |
6% |
76% |
|
61 |
3% |
70% |
|
62 |
6% |
67% |
|
63 |
3% |
61% |
|
64 |
3% |
58% |
Median |
65 |
16% |
55% |
|
66 |
18% |
39% |
|
67 |
13% |
21% |
|
68 |
2% |
9% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
96% |
|
60 |
10% |
94% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
83% |
|
62 |
11% |
82% |
|
63 |
6% |
71% |
|
64 |
17% |
65% |
Median |
65 |
19% |
48% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
29% |
|
67 |
2% |
28% |
|
68 |
4% |
26% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
22% |
|
70 |
20% |
21% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
21% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
79% |
|
31 |
9% |
78% |
|
32 |
4% |
69% |
|
33 |
1.3% |
65% |
|
34 |
6% |
64% |
Median |
35 |
3% |
58% |
|
36 |
24% |
55% |
|
37 |
5% |
31% |
|
38 |
11% |
26% |
|
39 |
4% |
15% |
|
40 |
3% |
11% |
|
41 |
4% |
9% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
43 |
2% |
4% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
17 |
31% |
95% |
|
18 |
4% |
64% |
Median |
19 |
16% |
60% |
|
20 |
10% |
44% |
|
21 |
13% |
34% |
|
22 |
7% |
21% |
|
23 |
5% |
13% |
|
24 |
6% |
8% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 12–14 August 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.38%