Opinion Poll by Norstat for NRK, 7 July–19 August 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
27.6% |
27.1–28.1% |
27.0–28.2% |
26.9–28.3% |
26.7–28.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
21.2% |
20.8–21.6% |
20.7–21.7% |
20.5–21.9% |
20.3–22.1% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
14.6% |
14.2–15.0% |
14.1–15.1% |
14.0–15.2% |
13.9–15.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
6.8% |
6.5–7.1% |
6.5–7.1% |
6.4–7.2% |
6.3–7.3% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.4% |
6.1–6.7% |
6.1–6.7% |
6.0–6.8% |
5.9–6.9% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.6% |
5.4–5.9% |
5.3–5.9% |
5.2–6.0% |
5.1–6.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.7% |
4.5–4.9% |
4.4–5.0% |
4.4–5.0% |
4.3–5.2% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.6% |
4.4–4.8% |
4.3–4.9% |
4.3–5.0% |
4.2–5.1% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.4% |
4.2–4.6% |
4.1–4.7% |
4.1–4.7% |
4.0–4.8% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
1.0% |
0.9–1.1% |
0.9–1.1% |
0.9–1.2% |
0.8–1.2% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.6–0.8% |
0.6–0.8% |
0.6–0.9% |
0.5–0.9% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.6% |
0.5–0.7% |
0.5–0.7% |
0.5–0.7% |
0.4–0.8% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.4% |
0.3–0.5% |
0.3–0.5% |
0.3–0.5% |
0.3–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
52 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
27% |
93% |
|
54 |
58% |
66% |
Median |
55 |
8% |
9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
8% |
98.9% |
|
41 |
11% |
91% |
|
42 |
42% |
80% |
Median |
43 |
38% |
38% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
23 |
38% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
14% |
62% |
Median |
25 |
7% |
48% |
|
26 |
10% |
41% |
|
27 |
25% |
31% |
|
28 |
6% |
6% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
9% |
100% |
|
10 |
78% |
91% |
Median |
11 |
9% |
13% |
|
12 |
5% |
5% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
74% |
99.4% |
Median |
10 |
24% |
25% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
42% |
98% |
|
9 |
55% |
56% |
Median |
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
100% |
|
7 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
8 |
7% |
7% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
18% |
100% |
|
7 |
77% |
82% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
5% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
95% |
|
5 |
0% |
95% |
|
6 |
21% |
95% |
|
7 |
74% |
74% |
Median |
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
89 |
100% |
86–90 |
86–91 |
86–92 |
85–92 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
89 |
100% |
88–91 |
86–91 |
86–91 |
86–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
87 |
80% |
84–87 |
84–88 |
84–90 |
83–90 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
71 |
87 |
99.6% |
86–89 |
85–89 |
85–89 |
85–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
82 |
0.4% |
80–83 |
80–84 |
80–84 |
78–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
80 |
0% |
78–81 |
78–83 |
78–83 |
77–83 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
80 |
0% |
79–83 |
78–83 |
77–83 |
77–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
80 |
0% |
77–80 |
77–81 |
77–82 |
76–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
77 |
0% |
74–77 |
74–78 |
74–78 |
74–78 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
73 |
0% |
72–76 |
71–76 |
69–76 |
69–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
73 |
0% |
71–73 |
71–74 |
70–74 |
69–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
70 |
0% |
68–70 |
68–70 |
67–70 |
67–71 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
66 |
0% |
66–69 |
65–69 |
65–69 |
64–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
64 |
0% |
63–65 |
62–65 |
62–65 |
61–66 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
62 |
0% |
61–63 |
61–63 |
60–63 |
60–64 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
38 |
0% |
37–41 |
37–41 |
35–41 |
35–42 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
22 |
0% |
21–23 |
20–23 |
20–23 |
19–24 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0.8% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
14% |
99.2% |
|
87 |
10% |
85% |
|
88 |
17% |
76% |
|
89 |
47% |
59% |
Median |
90 |
4% |
12% |
|
91 |
3% |
8% |
|
92 |
5% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0.3% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
4% |
94% |
|
88 |
11% |
90% |
|
89 |
52% |
79% |
Median |
90 |
9% |
27% |
|
91 |
17% |
18% |
|
92 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
84 |
19% |
98.9% |
|
85 |
8% |
80% |
Majority |
86 |
20% |
72% |
|
87 |
44% |
53% |
Median |
88 |
4% |
9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
90 |
4% |
4% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
85 |
8% |
99.6% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
91% |
|
87 |
49% |
88% |
Median |
88 |
18% |
40% |
|
89 |
20% |
22% |
|
90 |
2% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
80 |
20% |
98% |
|
81 |
18% |
78% |
|
82 |
49% |
60% |
Median |
83 |
3% |
12% |
|
84 |
8% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
78 |
17% |
98.6% |
|
79 |
9% |
82% |
|
80 |
52% |
73% |
Median |
81 |
11% |
21% |
|
82 |
4% |
10% |
|
83 |
6% |
6% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
77 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
3% |
95% |
|
79 |
4% |
92% |
|
80 |
47% |
88% |
Median |
81 |
17% |
41% |
|
82 |
10% |
24% |
|
83 |
14% |
15% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
77 |
17% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
10% |
82% |
|
79 |
22% |
73% |
|
80 |
42% |
51% |
Median |
81 |
4% |
9% |
|
82 |
5% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
74 |
17% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
10% |
82% |
|
76 |
20% |
73% |
|
77 |
47% |
53% |
Median |
78 |
5% |
5% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
4% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
71 |
3% |
95% |
|
72 |
3% |
92% |
|
73 |
49% |
88% |
Median |
74 |
15% |
40% |
|
75 |
8% |
25% |
|
76 |
16% |
17% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
22% |
96% |
|
72 |
23% |
74% |
|
73 |
42% |
51% |
Median |
74 |
9% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
24% |
97% |
|
69 |
18% |
73% |
|
70 |
54% |
55% |
Median |
71 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
66 |
54% |
95% |
Median |
67 |
5% |
41% |
|
68 |
14% |
36% |
|
69 |
20% |
22% |
|
70 |
2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
1.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
63 |
23% |
93% |
|
64 |
56% |
70% |
Median |
65 |
11% |
13% |
|
66 |
2% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
3% |
100% |
|
61 |
22% |
97% |
|
62 |
27% |
75% |
|
63 |
48% |
49% |
Median |
64 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
5% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
37 |
40% |
95% |
|
38 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
39 |
11% |
46% |
|
40 |
14% |
34% |
|
41 |
18% |
21% |
|
42 |
2% |
2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
20 |
8% |
99.3% |
|
21 |
14% |
92% |
|
22 |
33% |
78% |
|
23 |
43% |
45% |
Median |
24 |
2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): NRK
- Fieldwork period: 7 July–19 August 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 15200
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.64%