Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 18–21 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 26.7% 25.1–28.4% 24.6–28.8% 24.2–29.2% 23.5–30.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 22.8% 21.3–24.4% 20.9–24.9% 20.5–25.3% 19.8–26.1%
Høyre 20.4% 14.9% 13.6–16.3% 13.3–16.7% 13.0–17.0% 12.4–17.7%
Rødt 4.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–8.9% 5.6–9.5%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.3–7.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.7–7.1%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.6%
Venstre 4.6% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.1–4.8%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.6%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.4% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 51 48–53 46–54 46–55 46–56
Fremskrittspartiet 21 43 39–45 38–45 38–46 37–50
Høyre 36 25 22–30 22–31 21–31 19–31
Rødt 8 13 10–13 10–14 10–15 10–15
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–11 8–13 8–13 7–14
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 8 8–10 7–11 6–11 3–12
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 8 7–9 7–9 3–10 3–11
Venstre 8 3 2–3 2–6 1–6 1–8
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 7% 99.6%  
47 1.4% 92%  
48 8% 91% Last Result
49 11% 83%  
50 11% 72%  
51 12% 60% Median
52 28% 48%  
53 14% 21%  
54 3% 6%  
55 2% 4%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.8% 99.8%  
38 4% 99.0%  
39 6% 95%  
40 20% 89%  
41 5% 68%  
42 9% 63%  
43 32% 54% Median
44 5% 22%  
45 13% 16%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.2% 0.9%  
48 0.1% 0.7%  
49 0% 0.5%  
50 0% 0.5%  
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 1.0% 99.9%  
20 0.5% 98.9%  
21 1.3% 98%  
22 8% 97%  
23 2% 90%  
24 8% 88%  
25 37% 80% Median
26 8% 43%  
27 5% 35%  
28 3% 31%  
29 12% 28%  
30 9% 16%  
31 6% 7%  
32 0.3% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100% Last Result
9 0.3% 99.8%  
10 14% 99.5%  
11 11% 86%  
12 22% 74%  
13 43% 53% Median
14 7% 9%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0.1% 99.6%  
7 0.5% 99.6%  
8 9% 99.1%  
9 60% 90% Median
10 17% 30%  
11 4% 12%  
12 2% 8%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.7% 0.7%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 18% 96%  
9 46% 78% Median
10 15% 32%  
11 16% 18%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.3% 100% Last Result
4 0% 98.7%  
5 0% 98.7%  
6 3% 98.7%  
7 6% 96%  
8 47% 90% Median
9 13% 43%  
10 23% 30%  
11 6% 7%  
12 0.9% 1.2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 4% 99.7% Last Result
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0.1% 96%  
7 44% 95%  
8 24% 52% Median
9 24% 28%  
10 2% 3%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 4% 100%  
2 45% 96%  
3 44% 51% Median
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 5% 7%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 90 97% 86–93 86–94 84–95 83–97
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 89 96% 86–93 85–93 83–95 82–96
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre 71 87 91% 85–90 83–91 82–93 80–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 85 78% 83–90 82–92 81–92 79–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 97 82 9% 79–84 78–86 76–87 76–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 80 4% 76–83 76–84 74–86 73–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 79 3% 76–83 75–83 74–85 72–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 76 0.1% 74–80 73–82 72–83 69–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 77 0.8% 73–81 72–81 72–83 70–86
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 71 0% 67–73 65–74 65–75 63–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 69 0% 66–72 65–74 64–74 62–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 70 0% 66–73 65–74 64–74 63–77
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 68 0% 64–71 63–72 62–72 60–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 61 0% 57–63 56–64 56–65 55–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 61 0% 56–62 55–63 55–65 54–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 36 0% 34–41 33–42 32–42 31–44
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 20 0% 19–24 18–25 17–25 15–28

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.6%  
84 2% 99.3%  
85 1.3% 97% Majority
86 8% 96%  
87 3% 88%  
88 21% 85%  
89 12% 64%  
90 29% 51% Median
91 8% 23%  
92 4% 14%  
93 4% 11%  
94 2% 7%  
95 3% 4%  
96 0.1% 1.1%  
97 0.6% 0.9%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1% Last Result
101 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.5% 99.9%  
83 2% 99.4%  
84 0.7% 97%  
85 2% 96% Majority
86 7% 95%  
87 6% 87%  
88 27% 82% Median
89 13% 54%  
90 24% 42%  
91 3% 17%  
92 4% 15%  
93 6% 11%  
94 2% 4%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.7%  
81 1.2% 99.5%  
82 2% 98%  
83 4% 96%  
84 2% 93%  
85 9% 91% Majority
86 30% 82%  
87 12% 52% Median
88 5% 41%  
89 11% 36%  
90 15% 24%  
91 6% 9%  
92 0.8% 3%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.6% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 99.1%  
81 3% 98.8%  
82 3% 96%  
83 8% 92%  
84 7% 84%  
85 43% 78% Median, Majority
86 3% 35%  
87 3% 31%  
88 16% 29%  
89 1.5% 12%  
90 3% 11%  
91 3% 8%  
92 4% 5%  
93 0.1% 0.8%  
94 0.2% 0.7%  
95 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 2% 99.8%  
77 0.8% 97%  
78 6% 97%  
79 15% 91%  
80 11% 76%  
81 5% 64%  
82 12% 59% Median
83 30% 48%  
84 9% 18%  
85 2% 9% Majority
86 4% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
73 0.1% 99.5%  
74 2% 99.4%  
75 2% 97%  
76 6% 96%  
77 4% 89%  
78 3% 85%  
79 24% 83%  
80 13% 58%  
81 27% 46% Median
82 6% 18%  
83 7% 13%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.7% 4% Majority
86 2% 3%  
87 0.5% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.7%  
73 0.1% 99.1%  
74 3% 98.9%  
75 2% 96%  
76 4% 93%  
77 4% 89%  
78 8% 86%  
79 29% 77% Median
80 12% 49%  
81 21% 36%  
82 3% 15%  
83 8% 12%  
84 1.3% 4%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.3%  
71 0.6% 99.1%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 6% 97%  
74 9% 91%  
75 5% 82%  
76 37% 78% Median
77 21% 41%  
78 4% 20%  
79 3% 16%  
80 4% 13%  
81 3% 9%  
82 1.1% 6% Last Result
83 4% 5%  
84 0.7% 0.8%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.2%  
72 4% 98%  
73 5% 94%  
74 1.5% 89%  
75 8% 88%  
76 4% 80%  
77 42% 76% Median
78 15% 34%  
79 3% 19%  
80 5% 16%  
81 6% 11%  
82 2% 5%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.3% 1.1%  
85 0.1% 0.8% Majority
86 0.5% 0.6%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.6% 99.9%  
64 1.3% 99.3%  
65 3% 98% Last Result
66 3% 95%  
67 2% 91%  
68 3% 90%  
69 4% 87%  
70 8% 83%  
71 39% 75% Median
72 13% 36%  
73 14% 23%  
74 4% 9%  
75 3% 5%  
76 0.5% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.3%  
78 0.6% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.6%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 3% 99.1%  
65 1.3% 96%  
66 10% 94%  
67 3% 84%  
68 24% 81% Median
69 29% 58%  
70 12% 29%  
71 2% 17%  
72 7% 15%  
73 2% 8%  
74 4% 6%  
75 1.2% 1.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.4% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.6%  
64 2% 99.5%  
65 7% 97%  
66 2% 91%  
67 7% 89%  
68 7% 81%  
69 18% 74% Median
70 36% 57%  
71 3% 20%  
72 5% 17%  
73 6% 12%  
74 4% 6%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.5% 1.1%  
77 0.5% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.7% 100%  
61 1.2% 99.2%  
62 0.8% 98%  
63 3% 97%  
64 5% 94%  
65 3% 89%  
66 2% 86%  
67 6% 84%  
68 32% 78% Median
69 15% 46%  
70 18% 31%  
71 6% 13%  
72 6% 7%  
73 0.4% 1.0%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.3% 100%  
53 0% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.2% 99.5%  
56 7% 99.3%  
57 4% 92%  
58 16% 88%  
59 7% 72%  
60 10% 65% Median
61 29% 56%  
62 13% 26%  
63 6% 13%  
64 4% 7%  
65 1.2% 3%  
66 1.3% 2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 2% 99.8%  
55 6% 98%  
56 3% 92%  
57 3% 89%  
58 8% 85%  
59 4% 78%  
60 21% 74% Median
61 35% 53% Last Result
62 10% 18%  
63 3% 8%  
64 1.5% 5%  
65 1.4% 3%  
66 1.3% 2%  
67 0.5% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.7%  
32 2% 98%  
33 2% 96%  
34 7% 94%  
35 3% 87%  
36 38% 84% Median
37 4% 47%  
38 8% 43%  
39 4% 35%  
40 9% 31%  
41 12% 21%  
42 7% 9%  
43 0.8% 2%  
44 0.6% 1.0%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.2% Last Result
48 0% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.6%  
15 0.9% 99.6%  
16 0.1% 98.6%  
17 2% 98.6%  
18 2% 97%  
19 10% 95%  
20 42% 85% Median
21 15% 43%  
22 13% 28%  
23 4% 14%  
24 4% 10%  
25 4% 6%  
26 0.5% 2%  
27 0.9% 2%  
28 0.7% 1.0%  
29 0.1% 0.3%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations