Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG, 20–25 August 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
28.0% |
26.0–30.0% |
25.5–30.6% |
25.0–31.1% |
24.1–32.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
18.5% |
16.8–20.3% |
16.4–20.8% |
16.0–21.3% |
15.2–22.2% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
16.8% |
15.2–18.6% |
14.8–19.1% |
14.4–19.5% |
13.7–20.4% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
6.8% |
5.8–8.1% |
5.5–8.5% |
5.3–8.8% |
4.9–9.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
6.6% |
5.6–7.8% |
5.3–8.2% |
5.1–8.5% |
4.7–9.1% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.8% |
4.8–6.9% |
4.6–7.3% |
4.4–7.6% |
4.0–8.2% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.7–6.8% |
3.4–7.3% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.5% |
3.4–5.8% |
3.2–6.1% |
2.9–6.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.5% |
3.4–5.8% |
3.2–6.1% |
2.9–6.6% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.4–1.7% |
0.3–2.0% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.1–1.5% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
0.1–1.3% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.0–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
21% |
99.0% |
|
48 |
4% |
78% |
Last Result |
49 |
40% |
75% |
Median |
50 |
2% |
34% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
33% |
|
52 |
3% |
32% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
54 |
3% |
28% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
24% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
23% |
|
57 |
21% |
23% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
33 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
35 |
3% |
93% |
|
36 |
6% |
90% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
84% |
|
38 |
40% |
83% |
Median |
39 |
41% |
43% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
25 |
6% |
98% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
28 |
21% |
91% |
|
29 |
21% |
70% |
Median |
30 |
0.5% |
49% |
|
31 |
43% |
48% |
|
32 |
3% |
6% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
21% |
98% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
77% |
|
11 |
42% |
77% |
Median |
12 |
24% |
34% |
|
13 |
4% |
10% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
15 |
5% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
9 |
21% |
98% |
|
10 |
24% |
77% |
|
11 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
12 |
45% |
49% |
|
13 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
7 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
95% |
Last Result |
9 |
87% |
95% |
Median |
10 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
11 |
3% |
6% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
21% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
78% |
|
5 |
0% |
78% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
78% |
|
7 |
3% |
78% |
|
8 |
66% |
75% |
Median |
9 |
4% |
9% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
95% |
|
5 |
0% |
95% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
7 |
27% |
94% |
|
8 |
45% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
22% |
22% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
44% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
55% |
|
5 |
0% |
55% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
7 |
48% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
7% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
10 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
89 |
99.2% |
85–93 |
85–98 |
85–99 |
83–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
83 |
38% |
83–90 |
83–92 |
83–96 |
82–100 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
91 |
97% |
88–96 |
86–96 |
83–96 |
81–96 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
71 |
88 |
70% |
84–92 |
79–92 |
79–92 |
76–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
97 |
81 |
30% |
77–85 |
77–90 |
77–90 |
74–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
80 |
9% |
76–83 |
76–89 |
76–90 |
74–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
78 |
3% |
73–81 |
73–83 |
73–86 |
73–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
74 |
3% |
71–79 |
71–80 |
71–85 |
70–88 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
80 |
0.8% |
76–84 |
71–84 |
70–84 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
89 |
72 |
0.1% |
68–76 |
68–81 |
68–81 |
68–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
66 |
0% |
63–73 |
63–73 |
63–78 |
63–79 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre |
65 |
77 |
0% |
70–77 |
67–77 |
64–77 |
62–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
60 |
0% |
59–66 |
59–69 |
59–69 |
57–71 |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre |
57 |
68 |
0% |
62–69 |
61–69 |
57–69 |
55–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
61 |
0% |
56–67 |
56–67 |
56–69 |
56–71 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
42 |
0% |
41–45 |
38–45 |
35–46 |
34–49 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
23 |
0% |
22–28 |
22–28 |
21–29 |
19–31 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
21% |
99.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
78% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
77% |
|
88 |
21% |
77% |
Median |
89 |
41% |
57% |
|
90 |
2% |
16% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
92 |
3% |
13% |
|
93 |
2% |
10% |
|
94 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
97 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
98 |
3% |
6% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
101 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
60% |
99.3% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
39% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
38% |
Majority |
86 |
21% |
37% |
Median |
87 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
88 |
4% |
15% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
92 |
5% |
9% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
97 |
0% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
100 |
2% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
83 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
96% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
88 |
4% |
92% |
|
89 |
2% |
88% |
|
90 |
21% |
86% |
|
91 |
40% |
66% |
|
92 |
2% |
25% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
23% |
Median |
94 |
0.1% |
22% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
22% |
|
96 |
21% |
21% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
78 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
4% |
98% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
83 |
2% |
92% |
|
84 |
21% |
91% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
70% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
69% |
|
87 |
3% |
68% |
|
88 |
42% |
65% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
23% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
22% |
Median |
91 |
0.5% |
22% |
|
92 |
20% |
21% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
77 |
20% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
78% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
78% |
Median |
81 |
42% |
77% |
|
82 |
3% |
35% |
|
83 |
2% |
32% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
31% |
|
85 |
21% |
30% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
9% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
90 |
4% |
6% |
|
91 |
2% |
2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
76 |
21% |
98.7% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
78% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
78% |
|
79 |
21% |
76% |
Median |
80 |
40% |
56% |
|
81 |
3% |
16% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
83 |
2% |
11% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
85 |
2% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
89 |
3% |
6% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
92 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
73 |
21% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
79% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
78% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
78% |
|
77 |
2% |
77% |
Median |
78 |
40% |
75% |
|
79 |
21% |
34% |
|
80 |
2% |
13% |
|
81 |
3% |
11% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
83 |
3% |
7% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
40% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
60% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
59% |
|
74 |
21% |
58% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
37% |
Median |
76 |
21% |
37% |
|
77 |
3% |
16% |
|
78 |
3% |
13% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
80 |
5% |
10% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
4% |
Last Result |
83 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
87 |
2% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
3% |
97% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
92% |
|
76 |
2% |
92% |
|
77 |
3% |
90% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
87% |
|
79 |
2% |
86% |
|
80 |
40% |
84% |
|
81 |
21% |
43% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
23% |
Median |
83 |
0.4% |
23% |
|
84 |
21% |
22% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
20% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
2% |
79% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
78% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
77% |
Median |
72 |
43% |
77% |
|
73 |
2% |
34% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
32% |
|
75 |
2% |
30% |
|
76 |
21% |
28% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
81 |
3% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
84 |
2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
40% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
60% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
59% |
|
66 |
21% |
59% |
|
67 |
2% |
38% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
36% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
34% |
|
70 |
2% |
32% |
|
71 |
2% |
31% |
|
72 |
3% |
28% |
|
73 |
21% |
25% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
97% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
68 |
3% |
95% |
|
69 |
2% |
92% |
|
70 |
3% |
90% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
72 |
2% |
86% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
84% |
|
74 |
21% |
84% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
62% |
Median |
76 |
0.5% |
62% |
|
77 |
60% |
61% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
21% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
42% |
78% |
Median |
61 |
3% |
37% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
63 |
2% |
32% |
|
64 |
2% |
30% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
28% |
|
66 |
20% |
28% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
69 |
3% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
71 |
2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
98% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
61 |
4% |
95% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
90% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
66 |
2% |
88% |
|
67 |
22% |
86% |
Median |
68 |
21% |
64% |
|
69 |
42% |
43% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
21% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
79% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
79% |
|
59 |
2% |
78% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
76% |
Median |
61 |
43% |
75% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
32% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
30% |
|
64 |
2% |
30% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
27% |
|
66 |
4% |
27% |
|
67 |
20% |
23% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
40 |
4% |
94% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
91% |
|
42 |
62% |
89% |
|
43 |
2% |
27% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
25% |
Median |
45 |
21% |
25% |
|
46 |
2% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
2% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
2% |
98% |
|
22 |
40% |
96% |
|
23 |
23% |
56% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
33% |
|
25 |
3% |
32% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
29% |
Median |
27 |
3% |
28% |
|
28 |
22% |
26% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 20–25 August 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 833
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.87%