Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 21–27 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 29.3% 27.8–30.8% 27.4–31.2% 27.1–31.6% 26.4–32.3%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 19.2% 18.0–20.5% 17.6–20.9% 17.3–21.2% 16.8–21.9%
Høyre 20.4% 15.7% 14.6–16.9% 14.3–17.3% 14.0–17.6% 13.5–18.2%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.4% 5.7–7.3% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.2%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Rødt 4.7% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.6% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.4–6.2%
Venstre 4.6% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 57 50–60 50–60 50–62 48–62
Fremskrittspartiet 21 36 34–40 33–40 33–41 30–43
Høyre 36 27 24–30 24–31 23–31 22–32
Senterpartiet 28 11 8–13 8–13 8–13 7–14
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 8–13
Rødt 8 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 9 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 8 3–9 3–9 3–10 2–10
Venstre 8 2 2–3 2–3 2–6 1–7
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
49 0.8% 99.4%  
50 9% 98.6%  
51 2% 90%  
52 4% 88%  
53 4% 83%  
54 17% 79%  
55 3% 61%  
56 7% 58%  
57 22% 51% Median
58 8% 29%  
59 2% 22%  
60 15% 20%  
61 2% 5%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.7%  
31 0.2% 99.2%  
32 0.3% 99.1%  
33 8% 98.8%  
34 11% 91%  
35 29% 80%  
36 10% 51% Median
37 12% 41%  
38 13% 29%  
39 3% 16%  
40 9% 13%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.4% 1.4%  
43 1.0% 1.0%  
44 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 1.1% 99.8%  
23 2% 98.6%  
24 7% 97%  
25 12% 90%  
26 18% 78%  
27 13% 59% Median
28 23% 47%  
29 5% 23%  
30 9% 18%  
31 7% 9%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 13% 99.5%  
9 6% 87%  
10 13% 81%  
11 25% 68% Median
12 27% 43%  
13 15% 16%  
14 1.0% 1.5%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 9% 99.8%  
9 22% 91%  
10 38% 69% Median
11 24% 30%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2% Last Result
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 21% 99.4% Last Result
9 29% 78% Median
10 28% 49%  
11 16% 22%  
12 4% 6%  
13 1.1% 1.4%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.2% 100% Last Result
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 2% 99.7%  
8 24% 97%  
9 32% 74% Median
10 20% 42%  
11 17% 22%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.9% 100%  
3 13% 99.1% Last Result
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 1.1% 86%  
7 20% 85%  
8 45% 65% Median
9 15% 20%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 64% 99.5% Median
3 32% 35%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 2% 3%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 97 100% 90–100 90–101 90–102 88–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 94 99.1% 89–98 88–98 87–100 84–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 87 68% 82–90 81–91 81–93 79–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 87 66% 81–90 81–91 80–92 79–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 85 53% 81–88 79–90 79–91 78–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 84 45% 78–89 78–89 77–91 74–91
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 84 47% 81–88 79–90 78–90 77–91
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 82 32% 79–87 78–88 76–88 75–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 78 2% 72–81 71–81 71–83 69–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 74 0% 70–79 69–79 67–82 66–83
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 72 0% 69–79 68–79 67–79 66–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 68 0% 62–71 61–71 61–73 60–75
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 66 0% 62–71 61–71 60–72 59–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 66 0% 61–70 59–71 59–71 58–72
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 63 0% 59–68 58–68 57–69 57–72
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 36 0% 34–40 33–41 32–41 31–43
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 21 0% 18–23 16–24 16–25 15–26

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.7% 99.8%  
89 0.7% 99.1%  
90 10% 98%  
91 10% 88%  
92 2% 78%  
93 9% 76%  
94 3% 67%  
95 5% 64%  
96 4% 59% Median
97 9% 55%  
98 27% 46%  
99 5% 19%  
100 7% 14% Last Result
101 3% 7%  
102 2% 4%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.9% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.1% Majority
86 0.4% 99.0%  
87 1.1% 98.6%  
88 3% 97%  
89 17% 95%  
90 9% 78%  
91 5% 69%  
92 9% 64%  
93 4% 55%  
94 12% 51%  
95 5% 39% Last Result, Median
96 0.6% 34%  
97 5% 34%  
98 25% 29%  
99 1.0% 4%  
100 1.2% 3%  
101 2% 2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.5% 99.8%  
80 1.2% 99.3%  
81 7% 98%  
82 12% 91%  
83 4% 79%  
84 6% 75%  
85 8% 68% Majority
86 3% 61%  
87 12% 58% Median
88 14% 46%  
89 21% 32%  
90 3% 12%  
91 5% 9%  
92 2% 4%  
93 0.4% 3%  
94 2% 2%  
95 0.3% 0.4%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 2% 99.5%  
80 2% 98%  
81 15% 96%  
82 8% 80%  
83 4% 73%  
84 4% 69%  
85 5% 66% Majority
86 4% 60%  
87 11% 57% Median
88 7% 45%  
89 15% 39%  
90 15% 24%  
91 4% 8%  
92 3% 5% Last Result
93 2% 2%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 0.8% 99.7%  
79 8% 98.9%  
80 0.8% 91%  
81 5% 90%  
82 11% 86%  
83 8% 75%  
84 13% 66%  
85 6% 53% Median, Majority
86 10% 47%  
87 21% 37%  
88 6% 16%  
89 4% 10%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.9% 1.0%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.9% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.1%  
76 0.4% 99.0%  
77 2% 98.5%  
78 11% 96%  
79 4% 86%  
80 16% 82%  
81 5% 66%  
82 6% 60% Last Result
83 2% 54%  
84 8% 52%  
85 4% 45% Median, Majority
86 11% 41%  
87 3% 30%  
88 16% 28%  
89 8% 12%  
90 1.1% 4%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.9% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 2% 97%  
80 4% 94%  
81 6% 90%  
82 21% 84%  
83 10% 63%  
84 6% 53% Median
85 13% 47% Majority
86 8% 34%  
87 11% 25%  
88 5% 14%  
89 0.8% 10%  
90 8% 9%  
91 0.8% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0.3% 100%  
75 2% 99.6%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 5% 96%  
79 3% 91%  
80 21% 88%  
81 14% 68%  
82 12% 54% Median
83 3% 42%  
84 8% 39%  
85 6% 32% Majority
86 4% 25%  
87 12% 21%  
88 7% 9%  
89 1.2% 2%  
90 0.5% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 1.4% 99.5%  
71 7% 98%  
72 4% 91%  
73 11% 87%  
74 10% 77%  
75 5% 67%  
76 3% 62%  
77 7% 59%  
78 18% 52% Median
79 11% 34%  
80 4% 24%  
81 15% 19%  
82 1.0% 4%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 2% 2% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.8% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.9%  
68 2% 97%  
69 2% 96%  
70 20% 93%  
71 6% 74%  
72 11% 68%  
73 5% 56%  
74 4% 51%  
75 5% 47%  
76 7% 43% Median
77 8% 35%  
78 9% 27%  
79 15% 18% Last Result
80 0.5% 4%  
81 0.3% 3%  
82 0.9% 3%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96% Last Result
69 7% 93%  
70 5% 86%  
71 27% 81%  
72 9% 54%  
73 4% 45% Median
74 5% 41%  
75 3% 36%  
76 9% 33%  
77 2% 24%  
78 10% 22%  
79 10% 12%  
80 0.7% 2%  
81 0.7% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.3% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 1.0% 99.5%  
61 4% 98.5%  
62 15% 95%  
63 6% 80%  
64 8% 74%  
65 5% 66%  
66 4% 62%  
67 6% 58%  
68 11% 52% Median
69 14% 42%  
70 10% 28%  
71 15% 18%  
72 0.9% 4%  
73 0.5% 3%  
74 0.6% 2%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 2% 98%  
61 4% 96%  
62 12% 91%  
63 16% 79%  
64 2% 63%  
65 9% 61% Last Result, Median
66 5% 52%  
67 12% 47%  
68 10% 35%  
69 2% 25%  
70 8% 22%  
71 11% 15%  
72 2% 4%  
73 1.3% 2%  
74 0.3% 1.0%  
75 0.6% 0.7%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.9%  
59 6% 99.5%  
60 2% 93%  
61 3% 92% Last Result
62 2% 89%  
63 7% 87%  
64 7% 80%  
65 22% 73%  
66 12% 50%  
67 7% 38% Median
68 6% 31%  
69 5% 25%  
70 15% 20%  
71 3% 5%  
72 2% 2%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 3% 99.6% Last Result
58 2% 97%  
59 7% 95%  
60 10% 88%  
61 16% 78%  
62 3% 62%  
63 10% 59% Median
64 7% 49%  
65 15% 42%  
66 5% 27%  
67 3% 22%  
68 15% 19%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.1% 2%  
71 0.3% 1.0%  
72 0.6% 0.7%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.8%  
32 2% 98%  
33 3% 95%  
34 6% 92%  
35 5% 87%  
36 35% 82%  
37 10% 47% Median
38 3% 37%  
39 16% 35%  
40 12% 18%  
41 4% 6%  
42 0.8% 2%  
43 1.1% 1.4%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 2% 99.8%  
16 4% 98%  
17 4% 94%  
18 6% 91%  
19 13% 85%  
20 8% 72%  
21 25% 65% Median
22 19% 39%  
23 14% 20%  
24 3% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.5% 0.9%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations