Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 25–29 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 28.1% 26.7–29.6% 26.3–30.0% 25.9–30.4% 25.3–31.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 20.5% 19.2–21.8% 18.9–22.2% 18.6–22.6% 18.0–23.2%
Høyre 20.4% 14.5% 13.4–15.7% 13.1–16.1% 12.9–16.4% 12.4–16.9%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 6.3% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.8–8.0%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
Rødt 4.7% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.0%
Venstre 4.6% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–1.0%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 50 50–58 50–58 50–59 50–61
Fremskrittspartiet 21 42 37–43 37–43 36–43 35–44
Høyre 36 26 23–27 23–28 22–28 20–29
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 11 9–11 8–11 8–13 8–13
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
Senterpartiet 28 11 8–11 8–11 7–11 6–13
Rødt 8 10 7–11 7–11 7–11 7–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 3 3–8 3–8 3–8 3–9
Venstre 8 3 3–7 3–7 3–8 2–8
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100% Last Result
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 63% 99.7% Median
51 8% 37%  
52 3% 29%  
53 1.1% 25%  
54 6% 24%  
55 4% 18%  
56 2% 14%  
57 1.0% 13%  
58 9% 12%  
59 0.4% 3%  
60 1.2% 2%  
61 0.9% 1.0%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 100%  
35 2% 99.8%  
36 0.7% 98%  
37 17% 97%  
38 3% 80%  
39 5% 77%  
40 6% 71%  
41 1.3% 65%  
42 53% 64% Median
43 10% 11%  
44 0.7% 0.9%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.9%  
21 0.7% 99.4%  
22 2% 98.8%  
23 7% 96%  
24 2% 89%  
25 6% 87%  
26 49% 82% Median
27 27% 33%  
28 5% 7%  
29 0.9% 1.4%  
30 0.1% 0.5%  
31 0.4% 0.4%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 9% 99.7%  
9 14% 91%  
10 25% 77%  
11 47% 52% Median
12 2% 5%  
13 3% 3% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 1.5% 99.6%  
9 15% 98%  
10 33% 83%  
11 4% 50% Median
12 45% 47%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.0% 100%  
7 3% 99.0%  
8 21% 96%  
9 7% 75%  
10 3% 67%  
11 63% 65% Median
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.8% 0.8%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 10% 99.9%  
8 13% 90% Last Result
9 7% 77%  
10 25% 70% Median
11 45% 45%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 50% 99.8% Last Result, Median
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 3% 50%  
7 37% 47%  
8 8% 10%  
9 1.3% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 56% 98% Median
4 0% 42%  
5 0% 42%  
6 11% 42%  
7 28% 32%  
8 3% 3% Last Result
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Rødt 100 95 98.6% 89–95 85–95 85–97 84–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 87 96% 85–91 85–92 84–94 83–96
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 86 94% 86–90 84–94 83–94 78–94
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 85 90% 84–90 82–92 82–92 77–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet 92 84 9% 80–84 78–87 78–88 76–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 72 84 10% 79–84 77–87 77–87 76–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 83 6% 79–83 75–85 75–86 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 76 2% 76–82 76–83 75–84 74–86
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 74 1.4% 74–80 74–84 72–84 68–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 72 0% 70–74 68–76 68–77 67–82
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 71 0% 69–75 67–77 67–77 62–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 66 0% 64–73 64–73 64–74 64–75
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 68 0% 64–69 63–70 62–70 59–71
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 61 0% 60–66 60–68 60–69 59–70
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 61 0% 60–66 59–66 59–67 58–72
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 34 0% 32–41 32–41 32–41 30–42
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 19 0% 17–25 17–25 17–25 13–28

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 1.3% 99.9%  
85 7% 98.6% Majority
86 0.5% 91%  
87 0.1% 91%  
88 0.4% 91%  
89 1.1% 90%  
90 1.3% 89%  
91 26% 88%  
92 4% 62%  
93 5% 57% Median
94 2% 52%  
95 47% 50%  
96 0.3% 3%  
97 0.7% 3%  
98 2% 2%  
99 0.1% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
101 0.1% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0.4% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 1.4% 99.9%  
84 2% 98.5%  
85 8% 96% Majority
86 0.1% 88% Median
87 45% 88%  
88 19% 43%  
89 1.0% 24%  
90 9% 23%  
91 6% 15%  
92 5% 9%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.5% 3%  
95 1.4% 2% Last Result
96 0.7% 1.1%  
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.4% 100%  
77 0% 99.6%  
78 0.1% 99.6%  
79 0.1% 99.5%  
80 0.3% 99.4%  
81 0.4% 99.2%  
82 0.7% 98.7%  
83 0.6% 98%  
84 3% 97%  
85 2% 94% Median, Majority
86 52% 92%  
87 11% 41%  
88 18% 30%  
89 1.0% 11%  
90 0.9% 10%  
91 0.1% 10%  
92 0.5% 9%  
93 0.4% 9%  
94 8% 9%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.5% 100%  
78 0% 99.5%  
79 0.2% 99.4%  
80 0.1% 99.2%  
81 0.8% 99.1%  
82 4% 98%  
83 1.2% 95%  
84 4% 93%  
85 48% 90% Median, Majority
86 12% 42%  
87 2% 30%  
88 1.2% 28%  
89 17% 27%  
90 0.9% 10%  
91 0.4% 9%  
92 7% 9%  
93 1.3% 1.4%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 1.3% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 98.6%  
78 8% 98.6%  
79 0.1% 91%  
80 2% 91%  
81 20% 89%  
82 2% 69%  
83 13% 68% Median
84 46% 55%  
85 2% 9% Majority
86 2% 8%  
87 3% 6%  
88 0.3% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.8%  
91 0.1% 0.6%  
92 0% 0.5% Last Result
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 1.3% 99.9%  
77 7% 98.6%  
78 0.4% 91%  
79 0.9% 91%  
80 17% 90%  
81 1.2% 73%  
82 2% 72% Median
83 12% 70%  
84 48% 58%  
85 4% 10% Majority
86 1.2% 6%  
87 4% 5%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.8%  
91 0% 0.5%  
92 0.5% 0.5%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 8% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 91%  
77 0.5% 91%  
78 0.2% 91%  
79 0.9% 90%  
80 1.0% 90%  
81 18% 89%  
82 11% 70% Median
83 52% 59%  
84 2% 8%  
85 3% 6% Majority
86 0.6% 3%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.1% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.4%  
93 0.4% 0.4%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.4% 99.9%  
75 2% 98% Median
76 51% 96%  
77 2% 45%  
78 21% 43%  
79 2% 22%  
80 2% 20%  
81 5% 19%  
82 7% 14% Last Result
83 4% 7%  
84 1.1% 3%  
85 1.1% 2% Majority
86 0.7% 0.9%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.4% 100%  
66 0% 99.6%  
67 0% 99.5%  
68 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.1% 99.3%  
71 2% 99.2%  
72 0.7% 98%  
73 0.4% 97%  
74 47% 96% Median
75 2% 50%  
76 5% 48%  
77 4% 43%  
78 26% 38%  
79 1.3% 12%  
80 1.1% 11%  
81 0.4% 10%  
82 0.1% 9%  
83 0.5% 9%  
84 7% 9%  
85 1.3% 1.4% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.3% 99.9%  
68 8% 98.6%  
69 0.5% 91%  
70 0.8% 91%  
71 18% 90%  
72 49% 72% Median
73 5% 23%  
74 9% 19%  
75 1.2% 10%  
76 5% 8%  
77 1.3% 3%  
78 0.7% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.3%  
80 0.2% 0.8%  
81 0.1% 0.6%  
82 0.4% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.5% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.4%  
64 0.6% 99.3%  
65 0.4% 98.8% Last Result
66 0.2% 98%  
67 3% 98%  
68 5% 95%  
69 4% 90%  
70 2% 86%  
71 70% 84% Median
72 0.9% 14%  
73 2% 13%  
74 0.2% 12%  
75 2% 11%  
76 0.4% 9%  
77 7% 9%  
78 1.3% 1.4%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 44% 99.8% Median
65 1.4% 56%  
66 10% 54%  
67 2% 45%  
68 21% 43%  
69 3% 22%  
70 0.9% 19%  
71 4% 18%  
72 0.8% 14%  
73 8% 13%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 1.0% 99.5%  
61 0.5% 98%  
62 1.3% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 21% 95%  
65 12% 74%  
66 3% 62%  
67 4% 59%  
68 45% 56% Median
69 0.7% 10%  
70 8% 10%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.3%  
74 0.3% 0.3%  
75 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 1.5% 99.9%  
60 25% 98%  
61 45% 74% Last Result, Median
62 1.0% 29%  
63 2% 28%  
64 6% 26%  
65 6% 20%  
66 7% 14%  
67 1.4% 7%  
68 3% 6%  
69 0.9% 3%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 1.3% 99.9%  
59 7% 98.6%  
60 2% 91%  
61 64% 90% Median
62 2% 26%  
63 6% 24%  
64 2% 18%  
65 3% 15%  
66 9% 12%  
67 2% 4%  
68 1.2% 2%  
69 0.2% 1.0%  
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.1% 0.6%  
72 0.5% 0.5%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.6% 99.8%  
31 0.5% 99.2%  
32 45% 98.7% Median
33 3% 54%  
34 1.3% 51%  
35 0.8% 50%  
36 10% 49%  
37 5% 39%  
38 3% 34%  
39 3% 31%  
40 1.3% 28%  
41 24% 26%  
42 2% 2%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.4%  
15 0.1% 99.2%  
16 0.1% 99.1%  
17 47% 99.0% Median
18 1.3% 52%  
19 7% 51%  
20 7% 44%  
21 8% 37%  
22 9% 29%  
23 0.8% 20%  
24 1.2% 19%  
25 17% 18%  
26 0.2% 1.2%  
27 0.2% 1.0%  
28 0.8% 0.8%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations