Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for ABC Nyheter and Altinget, 25–31 August 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 26.6% | 24.7–28.6% | 24.2–29.2% | 23.7–29.7% | 22.8–30.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 22.4% | 20.6–24.3% | 20.1–24.8% | 19.7–25.3% | 18.9–26.2% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 13.4% | 12.0–15.0% | 11.6–15.5% | 11.3–15.9% | 10.6–16.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 5.0–9.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.4–8.3% | 5.2–8.6% | 4.8–9.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.2–8.0% | 5.0–8.3% | 4.6–8.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.9–6.9% | 3.5–7.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.4–6.2% | 3.0–6.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.6–5.1% | 2.3–5.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 49 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 45–60 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 40 | 39–45 | 37–46 | 35–47 | 35–51 |
| Høyre | 36 | 25 | 20–28 | 19–28 | 18–28 | 17–29 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 | 7–15 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 2–12 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 37% | 94% | Last Result |
| 49 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 50 | 16% | 50% | |
| 51 | 3% | 34% | |
| 52 | 3% | 32% | |
| 53 | 10% | 28% | |
| 54 | 4% | 18% | |
| 55 | 2% | 14% | |
| 56 | 2% | 12% | |
| 57 | 7% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 38 | 3% | 95% | |
| 39 | 11% | 92% | |
| 40 | 37% | 81% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 44% | |
| 42 | 4% | 41% | |
| 43 | 22% | 37% | |
| 44 | 4% | 15% | |
| 45 | 4% | 11% | |
| 46 | 4% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98% | |
| 19 | 2% | 95% | |
| 20 | 5% | 93% | |
| 21 | 12% | 88% | |
| 22 | 13% | 76% | |
| 23 | 8% | 62% | |
| 24 | 2% | 55% | |
| 25 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 26 | 4% | 41% | |
| 27 | 2% | 38% | |
| 28 | 34% | 36% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 19% | 95% | |
| 11 | 12% | 76% | |
| 12 | 43% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 10% | 20% | |
| 14 | 8% | 10% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 96% | |
| 10 | 19% | 90% | |
| 11 | 22% | 70% | Median |
| 12 | 42% | 49% | |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 4% | 97% | |
| 9 | 14% | 93% | |
| 10 | 9% | 79% | |
| 11 | 8% | 70% | |
| 12 | 6% | 61% | |
| 13 | 46% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 7% | 10% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 7 | 6% | 95% | |
| 8 | 18% | 89% | |
| 9 | 19% | 71% | |
| 10 | 43% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 40% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0% | 57% | |
| 6 | 2% | 57% | |
| 7 | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 8 | 15% | 32% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 17% | |
| 10 | 2% | 4% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 22% | 96% | |
| 3 | 50% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0% | 25% | |
| 6 | 13% | 25% | |
| 7 | 6% | 11% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 100 | 95 | 98.9% | 89–98 | 88–101 | 87–102 | 83–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 86 | 84% | 83–91 | 80–94 | 79–94 | 78–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 86 | 85% | 82–91 | 81–92 | 80–93 | 78–96 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 87 | 83% | 82–91 | 79–92 | 79–93 | 77–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 92 | 83 | 18% | 80–87 | 78–91 | 75–91 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 72 | 82 | 17% | 78–87 | 77–90 | 76–90 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 97 | 83 | 15% | 78–87 | 77–88 | 76–89 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 76 | 2% | 74–83 | 72–84 | 71–84 | 69–87 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 74 | 1.1% | 71–80 | 68–81 | 67–82 | 65–86 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre | 65 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 71 | 0% | 68–75 | 66–78 | 65–78 | 62–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 65 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–71 | 60–72 | 59–75 |
| Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre | 57 | 67 | 0% | 61–68 | 58–71 | 57–71 | 57–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 61 | 0% | 60–67 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 56–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–67 | 54–67 | 51–68 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 34 | 0% | 31–36 | 28–38 | 26–39 | 25–43 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 18–25 | 17–27 | 16–29 | 15–30 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 5% | 95% | |
| 90 | 7% | 89% | |
| 91 | 4% | 83% | |
| 92 | 10% | 78% | |
| 93 | 4% | 68% | |
| 94 | 8% | 64% | |
| 95 | 36% | 56% | Median |
| 96 | 4% | 20% | |
| 97 | 3% | 15% | |
| 98 | 3% | 12% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 101 | 4% | 7% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 82 | 3% | 94% | |
| 83 | 4% | 90% | |
| 84 | 2% | 86% | |
| 85 | 5% | 84% | Majority |
| 86 | 45% | 79% | |
| 87 | 11% | 34% | Median |
| 88 | 3% | 23% | |
| 89 | 5% | 19% | |
| 90 | 4% | 14% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 92 | 2% | 9% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 94 | 6% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 81 | 6% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 83 | 3% | 90% | |
| 84 | 2% | 87% | |
| 85 | 8% | 85% | Majority |
| 86 | 37% | 77% | |
| 87 | 12% | 40% | Median |
| 88 | 5% | 27% | |
| 89 | 3% | 23% | |
| 90 | 2% | 19% | |
| 91 | 9% | 18% | |
| 92 | 5% | 9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 82 | 2% | 91% | |
| 83 | 2% | 89% | |
| 84 | 4% | 87% | |
| 85 | 6% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 77% | |
| 87 | 38% | 67% | |
| 88 | 8% | 30% | Median |
| 89 | 7% | 22% | |
| 90 | 3% | 14% | |
| 91 | 3% | 11% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 78 | 3% | 95% | |
| 79 | 2% | 92% | |
| 80 | 11% | 91% | |
| 81 | 10% | 80% | |
| 82 | 6% | 70% | |
| 83 | 36% | 63% | |
| 84 | 9% | 27% | Median |
| 85 | 2% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 16% | |
| 87 | 3% | 12% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 91 | 4% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 4% | 96% | |
| 78 | 3% | 92% | |
| 79 | 3% | 89% | |
| 80 | 7% | 86% | |
| 81 | 8% | 78% | |
| 82 | 38% | 70% | Median |
| 83 | 10% | 33% | |
| 84 | 6% | 23% | |
| 85 | 4% | 17% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 13% | |
| 87 | 2% | 11% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 90 | 4% | 7% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 5% | 96% | |
| 78 | 9% | 91% | |
| 79 | 2% | 82% | |
| 80 | 3% | 81% | |
| 81 | 5% | 77% | |
| 82 | 12% | 73% | |
| 83 | 37% | 60% | Median |
| 84 | 8% | 23% | |
| 85 | 2% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 13% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 88 | 6% | 9% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 94% | |
| 74 | 4% | 92% | |
| 75 | 7% | 89% | |
| 76 | 37% | 82% | |
| 77 | 3% | 45% | Median |
| 78 | 17% | 43% | |
| 79 | 3% | 26% | |
| 80 | 4% | 24% | |
| 81 | 4% | 19% | |
| 82 | 4% | 15% | Last Result |
| 83 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 84 | 8% | 10% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 69 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 71 | 3% | 91% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 4% | 85% | |
| 74 | 36% | 80% | |
| 75 | 8% | 44% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 36% | |
| 77 | 10% | 32% | |
| 78 | 4% | 22% | |
| 79 | 7% | 17% | |
| 80 | 5% | 11% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 66 | 2% | 92% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 69 | 3% | 87% | |
| 70 | 6% | 85% | |
| 71 | 45% | 78% | |
| 72 | 4% | 33% | Median |
| 73 | 15% | 30% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 14% | |
| 76 | 2% | 11% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 78 | 5% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 7% | 91% | |
| 69 | 6% | 84% | |
| 70 | 5% | 78% | |
| 71 | 46% | 74% | |
| 72 | 6% | 27% | Median |
| 73 | 3% | 22% | |
| 74 | 6% | 19% | |
| 75 | 4% | 13% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 4% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 91% | |
| 64 | 38% | 88% | |
| 65 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 42% | |
| 67 | 7% | 36% | |
| 68 | 10% | 29% | |
| 69 | 5% | 19% | |
| 70 | 2% | 14% | |
| 71 | 8% | 12% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 61 | 5% | 92% | |
| 62 | 6% | 86% | |
| 63 | 3% | 81% | |
| 64 | 15% | 77% | |
| 65 | 4% | 62% | Median |
| 66 | 7% | 58% | |
| 67 | 4% | 51% | |
| 68 | 37% | 47% | |
| 69 | 3% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 71 | 4% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 9% | 93% | |
| 61 | 38% | 84% | |
| 62 | 17% | 46% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 29% | |
| 64 | 5% | 23% | |
| 65 | 3% | 17% | |
| 66 | 4% | 14% | |
| 67 | 3% | 10% | |
| 68 | 5% | 8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 6% | 95% | |
| 57 | 7% | 88% | |
| 58 | 41% | 81% | |
| 59 | 3% | 40% | Median |
| 60 | 2% | 37% | |
| 61 | 6% | 35% | Last Result |
| 62 | 14% | 29% | |
| 63 | 3% | 15% | |
| 64 | 3% | 12% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 5% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 29 | 3% | 95% | |
| 30 | 2% | 92% | |
| 31 | 2% | 90% | |
| 32 | 8% | 88% | |
| 33 | 11% | 80% | |
| 34 | 44% | 70% | |
| 35 | 6% | 26% | Median |
| 36 | 11% | 20% | |
| 37 | 3% | 9% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 17 | 4% | 97% | |
| 18 | 3% | 93% | |
| 19 | 36% | 90% | |
| 20 | 3% | 54% | |
| 21 | 6% | 51% | |
| 22 | 17% | 45% | |
| 23 | 6% | 27% | Median |
| 24 | 8% | 21% | |
| 25 | 6% | 13% | |
| 26 | 2% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): ABC Nyheter and Altinget
- Fieldwork period: 25–31 August 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 850
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.23%