Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 27 August–1 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 25.6% 24.3–27.0% 23.9–27.4% 23.6–27.8% 23.0–28.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 22.3% 21.0–23.6% 20.7–24.0% 20.3–24.3% 19.7–25.0%
Høyre 20.4% 15.6% 14.5–16.8% 14.2–17.2% 14.0–17.5% 13.5–18.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 6.5% 5.8–7.4% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.8% 5.1–8.2%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 5.6% 5.0–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.3–7.2%
Rødt 4.7% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.2–7.1%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–6.0%
Venstre 4.6% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.1%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.1% 0.1–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 50 48–54 47–54 47–54 45–56
Fremskrittspartiet 21 43 40–46 40–46 39–46 38–47
Høyre 36 29 25–30 25–31 23–31 22–33
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 10 9–11 9–12 8–13 8–14
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 8 8–10 8–11 7–11 7–12
Rødt 8 9 7–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
Senterpartiet 28 8 7–9 7–11 7–12 1–13
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 6 3–8 3–8 3–8 2–9
Venstre 8 6 3–7 2–7 2–8 2–8
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.3%  
47 3% 98%  
48 11% 94% Last Result
49 20% 83%  
50 25% 63% Median
51 7% 38%  
52 19% 31%  
53 2% 12%  
54 8% 10%  
55 1.3% 2%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 2% 100%  
39 2% 98%  
40 29% 97%  
41 4% 68%  
42 10% 64%  
43 12% 54% Median
44 11% 42%  
45 8% 31%  
46 22% 23%  
47 0.5% 0.6%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.7% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.2%  
24 2% 97%  
25 6% 95%  
26 17% 89%  
27 3% 72%  
28 7% 69%  
29 19% 62% Median
30 38% 43%  
31 3% 5%  
32 0.6% 2%  
33 0.7% 0.9%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.2%  
36 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
37 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 3% 99.7%  
9 14% 97%  
10 43% 83% Median
11 34% 40%  
12 3% 6%  
13 2% 3% Last Result
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 2% 99.6%  
8 55% 97% Median
9 24% 42%  
10 13% 19%  
11 5% 6%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0.9% 99.7%  
7 10% 98.9%  
8 31% 89% Last Result
9 19% 58% Median
10 23% 39%  
11 14% 16%  
12 0.9% 1.1%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.6% 100%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0.9% 99.4%  
7 10% 98.6%  
8 70% 89% Median
9 10% 19%  
10 2% 9%  
11 3% 6%  
12 3% 4%  
13 1.1% 1.2%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.5% 100%  
3 26% 99.5% Last Result
4 0% 73%  
5 0% 73%  
6 29% 73% Median
7 32% 44%  
8 10% 12%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 5% 100%  
3 17% 95%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 52% 78% Median
7 21% 26%  
8 4% 5% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 91 99.6% 88–94 87–95 86–96 85–99
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 91 99.3% 87–94 87–94 86–95 84–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet 100 86 61% 83–90 83–91 83–93 79–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 83 41% 79–87 79–88 79–90 78–94
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 83 38% 79–86 78–86 76–86 75–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 72 78 0.7% 75–82 75–82 74–83 71–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet 92 76 1.2% 74–80 74–82 74–83 72–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet 97 78 0.4% 75–81 74–82 73–83 70–84
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 76 0.2% 72–82 71–82 69–82 67–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 72 0% 69–76 69–78 69–80 68–81
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 71 0% 66–76 66–76 66–76 64–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 68 0% 66–71 66–72 65–73 63–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 64 0% 61–68 61–69 60–70 58–71
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 60 0% 58–63 57–63 57–64 55–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 58 0% 56–62 56–62 56–63 51–64
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 39 0% 37–42 35–43 34–44 33–46
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 20 0% 17–21 17–23 16–24 14–26

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.5% 99.6% Majority
86 2% 99.1%  
87 3% 97%  
88 16% 94%  
89 5% 78%  
90 17% 73%  
91 8% 56%  
92 5% 48% Median
93 28% 43%  
94 9% 15%  
95 2% 6%  
96 3% 4%  
97 0.2% 1.2%  
98 0.4% 0.9%  
99 0.5% 0.5%  
100 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.7%  
85 0.3% 99.3% Majority
86 2% 99.0%  
87 17% 97%  
88 3% 80%  
89 7% 77%  
90 18% 70%  
91 9% 52%  
92 5% 43% Median
93 26% 38%  
94 10% 12%  
95 1.1% 3%  
96 0.5% 2% Last Result
97 0.6% 1.1%  
98 0.5% 0.5%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.7% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.0%  
81 0.2% 98.9%  
82 0.9% 98.7%  
83 10% 98%  
84 26% 87%  
85 2% 61% Median, Majority
86 10% 59%  
87 15% 49%  
88 7% 34%  
89 4% 27%  
90 17% 23%  
91 2% 6%  
92 1.4% 4%  
93 0.9% 3%  
94 1.1% 2%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.5% 99.7%  
79 20% 99.2%  
80 9% 80%  
81 4% 71%  
82 16% 66% Median
83 5% 51%  
84 5% 46%  
85 11% 41% Majority
86 7% 30%  
87 16% 23%  
88 2% 7%  
89 0.7% 5%  
90 2% 4%  
91 1.1% 2%  
92 0.2% 1.2%  
93 0.1% 1.0%  
94 0.9% 0.9%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 1.1% 99.6%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 1.4% 97%  
78 2% 96%  
79 17% 94%  
80 4% 77%  
81 7% 73%  
82 15% 66%  
83 10% 51%  
84 3% 41% Median
85 26% 38% Majority
86 10% 12%  
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.2% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 1.0%  
90 0.7% 0.9%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
73 0.5% 98.9%  
74 1.5% 98%  
75 10% 97%  
76 26% 87%  
77 5% 62% Median
78 9% 57%  
79 18% 48%  
80 7% 30%  
81 3% 23%  
82 17% 20%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.3% 1.0%  
85 0.4% 0.7% Majority
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.7%  
73 0.9% 99.1%  
74 10% 98%  
75 1.2% 88%  
76 38% 87% Median
77 3% 49%  
78 10% 46%  
79 10% 36%  
80 17% 25%  
81 3% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.2% 1.2% Majority
86 1.0% 1.0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.5% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.5%  
72 0.2% 99.0%  
73 3% 98.8%  
74 2% 95%  
75 9% 94%  
76 28% 85%  
77 5% 57% Median
78 8% 52%  
79 17% 44%  
80 5% 27%  
81 16% 22%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.5% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.4% Majority
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.9% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 98.9%  
69 0.8% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 1.1% 96%  
72 18% 94%  
73 1.0% 77%  
74 5% 76%  
75 5% 71%  
76 17% 66%  
77 7% 49%  
78 8% 42% Median
79 4% 34%  
80 9% 30%  
81 0.4% 21%  
82 20% 20%  
83 0% 0.8%  
84 0.5% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.2% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.6% 99.7%  
69 21% 99.1%  
70 9% 78%  
71 14% 69%  
72 5% 55% Median
73 2% 50%  
74 7% 47%  
75 6% 41%  
76 25% 35%  
77 5% 10%  
78 1.0% 5%  
79 1.3% 4%  
80 1.4% 3%  
81 1.5% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
83 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.2% 100%  
64 1.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 98.7%  
66 16% 98.5%  
67 2% 82%  
68 3% 80%  
69 2% 77%  
70 21% 75%  
71 11% 54%  
72 7% 43% Median
73 14% 37%  
74 2% 23%  
75 0.7% 21%  
76 20% 21%  
77 0.1% 0.8%  
78 0.7% 0.7%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 1.1% 99.9%  
64 0.8% 98.9%  
65 3% 98%  
66 11% 95%  
67 2% 84%  
68 42% 82% Median
69 3% 40%  
70 6% 37%  
71 24% 31%  
72 2% 7%  
73 2% 5%  
74 0.5% 2%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.5% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.4%  
60 3% 99.3%  
61 21% 97%  
62 10% 76%  
63 13% 66%  
64 11% 53% Median
65 3% 42%  
66 5% 39%  
67 18% 33%  
68 9% 15%  
69 3% 6%  
70 1.3% 4%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.2% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.6% 99.9%  
56 0.7% 99.3%  
57 4% 98.6%  
58 13% 95%  
59 5% 82%  
60 35% 77% Median
61 11% 42% Last Result
62 3% 31%  
63 23% 28%  
64 3% 5%  
65 2% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.5% 0.5%  
68 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.5% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.4%  
54 1.3% 99.4%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 10% 98%  
57 20% 87%  
58 28% 67% Median
59 4% 39%  
60 17% 35%  
61 6% 17%  
62 9% 12%  
63 3% 3%  
64 0.5% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.9% 99.6%  
34 3% 98.8%  
35 1.4% 96%  
36 2% 95%  
37 4% 92%  
38 7% 89%  
39 41% 81%  
40 4% 40%  
41 4% 36% Median
42 26% 32%  
43 2% 6%  
44 2% 4%  
45 0.9% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.7%  
47 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
48 0% 0.2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 1.4% 99.9%  
15 0.6% 98%  
16 1.2% 98%  
17 25% 97%  
18 3% 72%  
19 8% 68%  
20 15% 61% Median
21 36% 46%  
22 4% 9%  
23 2% 6%  
24 1.5% 3%  
25 1.2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

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Calculations