Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 2 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 26.5% 24.9–28.3% 24.4–28.8% 24.0–29.2% 23.2–30.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.8% 20.3–23.5% 19.9–23.9% 19.5–24.4% 18.8–25.2%
Høyre 20.4% 13.6% 12.4–15.0% 12.0–15.4% 11.7–15.8% 11.1–16.5%
Rødt 4.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.9–9.0% 5.5–9.6%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–6.9% 3.9–7.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Venstre 4.6% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.0% 3.2–6.5%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 51 48–56 47–58 46–58 46–59
Fremskrittspartiet 21 40 38–44 38–45 37–46 35–47
Høyre 36 21 18–27 18–28 18–30 17–31
Rødt 8 12 10–13 9–14 9–15 8–15
Senterpartiet 28 13 9–14 9–14 8–14 7–15
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 8 8–11 7–11 7–12 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 8 7–10 7–11 3–11 3–12
Venstre 8 8 7–11 7–11 3–11 3–11
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 7 3–8 3–9 2–9 2–10
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 2% 99.6%  
47 4% 97%  
48 15% 94% Last Result
49 13% 79%  
50 9% 66%  
51 20% 57% Median
52 7% 38%  
53 2% 31%  
54 16% 29%  
55 1.5% 12%  
56 4% 11%  
57 0.5% 6%  
58 5% 6%  
59 0.8% 1.1%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.5% 99.9%  
36 0.7% 99.5%  
37 2% 98.7%  
38 22% 96%  
39 7% 74%  
40 29% 67% Median
41 4% 38%  
42 4% 34%  
43 15% 31%  
44 8% 16%  
45 4% 8%  
46 3% 4%  
47 0.3% 0.8%  
48 0.3% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.8%  
18 20% 99.2%  
19 12% 80%  
20 9% 68%  
21 10% 59% Median
22 15% 48%  
23 11% 33%  
24 5% 22%  
25 5% 17%  
26 1.4% 12%  
27 3% 10%  
28 3% 7%  
29 0.6% 5%  
30 3% 4%  
31 0.6% 0.6%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100% Last Result
9 7% 98%  
10 20% 92%  
11 18% 71%  
12 39% 53% Median
13 9% 15%  
14 3% 6%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.5% 99.9%  
8 4% 99.4%  
9 20% 95%  
10 7% 75%  
11 4% 68%  
12 9% 63%  
13 29% 55% Median
14 24% 26%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 0.3% 99.7%  
3 0.3% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.0%  
5 0% 99.0%  
6 0.1% 99.0%  
7 6% 98.9%  
8 44% 93% Median
9 28% 50%  
10 11% 22%  
11 8% 11%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.3% 100%  
3 3% 99.7% Last Result
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0.3% 97%  
7 32% 97%  
8 16% 65% Median
9 35% 48%  
10 8% 13%  
11 3% 6%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 4% 99.8%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0.3% 96%  
7 22% 95%  
8 30% 73% Last Result, Median
9 16% 43%  
10 15% 27%  
11 12% 13%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 5% 99.9%  
3 10% 95% Last Result
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 3% 86%  
7 39% 83% Median
8 38% 44%  
9 4% 6%  
10 1.2% 1.4%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 89 96% 85–96 85–96 84–96 82–98
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 92 94% 86–95 84–96 82–96 82–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 87 71% 83–91 81–92 81–94 77–94
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 86 69% 81–90 81–92 81–92 78–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 97 83 31% 79–88 77–88 77–88 76–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 77 6% 74–83 73–85 73–87 71–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 80 4% 73–84 73–84 73–85 71–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 78 1.4% 74–84 73–84 73–84 71–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 78 0.5% 73–82 72–83 72–83 67–85
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 71 0% 66–76 66–76 63–77 63–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 71 0% 67–74 66–75 65–76 64–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 71 0% 68–76 67–76 65–76 64–79
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 62 0% 58–67 58–68 56–69 56–70
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 62 0% 59–67 59–67 57–67 56–71
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 59 0% 56–65 55–66 55–67 54–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 39 0% 33–43 33–45 33–46 31–47
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 28 0% 25–34 24–34 23–34 20–34

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.8% 99.8%  
83 1.3% 99.0%  
84 2% 98%  
85 8% 96% Majority
86 8% 87%  
87 10% 80%  
88 3% 70%  
89 17% 67%  
90 14% 50%  
91 7% 35% Median
92 0.8% 28%  
93 3% 27%  
94 2% 24%  
95 2% 22%  
96 19% 20%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.8% 1.1%  
99 0.3% 0.3%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 4% 99.7%  
83 0.8% 96%  
84 1.5% 95%  
85 0.8% 94% Majority
86 15% 93%  
87 8% 78%  
88 3% 69%  
89 2% 66%  
90 2% 65% Median
91 8% 63%  
92 5% 55%  
93 20% 50%  
94 16% 30%  
95 6% 14%  
96 7% 8% Last Result
97 0.3% 1.0%  
98 0.4% 0.7%  
99 0.3% 0.3%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.0%  
79 0.4% 98.9%  
80 0.5% 98.5%  
81 4% 98%  
82 3% 94%  
83 8% 91%  
84 11% 83%  
85 7% 71% Majority
86 15% 65%  
87 8% 50% Median
88 3% 43%  
89 15% 40%  
90 3% 25%  
91 16% 22%  
92 2% 6%  
93 0.2% 4%  
94 4% 4%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.7% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.3%  
80 1.1% 98.9%  
81 19% 98%  
82 2% 79%  
83 4% 77%  
84 4% 73% Median
85 9% 69% Majority
86 17% 60%  
87 12% 43%  
88 9% 31%  
89 9% 21%  
90 3% 12%  
91 3% 9%  
92 6% 6%  
93 0.5% 0.8%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.6%  
77 6% 99.1%  
78 3% 94%  
79 3% 91%  
80 9% 88%  
81 9% 79%  
82 12% 69%  
83 17% 57%  
84 9% 40% Median
85 4% 31% Majority
86 4% 27%  
87 2% 23%  
88 19% 21%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.3% 1.1%  
91 0.7% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.7%  
72 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
73 7% 99.0%  
74 6% 92%  
75 16% 86%  
76 20% 70%  
77 5% 50%  
78 8% 45% Median
79 2% 37%  
80 2% 35%  
81 3% 34%  
82 8% 31%  
83 15% 22%  
84 0.8% 7%  
85 1.5% 6% Majority
86 0.8% 5%  
87 4% 4%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0.3% 100%  
71 0.8% 99.7%  
72 0.7% 98.9%  
73 19% 98%  
74 2% 80%  
75 2% 78%  
76 3% 76%  
77 0.8% 73% Median
78 7% 72%  
79 14% 65%  
80 17% 50%  
81 3% 33%  
82 10% 30%  
83 8% 20%  
84 8% 13%  
85 2% 4% Majority
86 1.3% 2%  
87 0.8% 1.0%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.6% 99.6%  
72 1.2% 99.0%  
73 5% 98%  
74 7% 93%  
75 10% 86%  
76 4% 77%  
77 16% 73%  
78 14% 57%  
79 2% 42% Median
80 10% 40%  
81 2% 31%  
82 6% 28%  
83 2% 22%  
84 19% 20%  
85 0.4% 1.4% Majority
86 0.1% 1.0%  
87 0.1% 0.8%  
88 0.7% 0.8%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.7% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.2%  
69 0.1% 99.1%  
70 0.3% 99.0%  
71 0.4% 98.7%  
72 3% 98%  
73 6% 95%  
74 9% 89%  
75 7% 80%  
76 8% 73%  
77 3% 65%  
78 14% 62%  
79 8% 48% Median
80 2% 39%  
81 14% 38%  
82 17% 24% Last Result
83 5% 7%  
84 1.4% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.5% Majority
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 4% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 96%  
65 0.7% 96% Last Result
66 17% 95%  
67 3% 78%  
68 3% 76%  
69 2% 73% Median
70 14% 71%  
71 22% 58%  
72 6% 36%  
73 4% 30%  
74 6% 26%  
75 9% 20%  
76 6% 10%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.4% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.8% 99.5%  
65 2% 98.7%  
66 2% 97%  
67 12% 94%  
68 2% 82%  
69 7% 80%  
70 7% 74%  
71 19% 66%  
72 4% 47% Median
73 6% 43%  
74 28% 37%  
75 6% 9%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.7% 1.2%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0.2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.6%  
65 3% 99.5%  
66 0.2% 97%  
67 4% 96%  
68 5% 92%  
69 3% 88%  
70 25% 84%  
71 10% 60%  
72 9% 49% Median
73 12% 40%  
74 2% 28%  
75 6% 26%  
76 19% 21%  
77 0.5% 1.4%  
78 0.1% 0.9%  
79 0.8% 0.8%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 4% 99.7%  
57 0.3% 96% Last Result
58 18% 96%  
59 2% 78%  
60 13% 77%  
61 7% 64% Median
62 10% 57%  
63 11% 47%  
64 6% 35%  
65 6% 30%  
66 9% 24%  
67 5% 14%  
68 6% 9%  
69 1.2% 3%  
70 1.3% 2%  
71 0.3% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.3% 99.7%  
57 2% 99.4%  
58 2% 97%  
59 8% 95%  
60 9% 87%  
61 7% 78%  
62 23% 71%  
63 6% 48%  
64 5% 43% Median
65 12% 37%  
66 3% 25%  
67 21% 22%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.3%  
70 0.1% 0.9%  
71 0.8% 0.8%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 1.3% 99.6%  
55 5% 98%  
56 11% 94%  
57 14% 82%  
58 4% 68%  
59 15% 65% Median
60 7% 50%  
61 8% 43% Last Result
62 7% 35%  
63 16% 28%  
64 1.3% 12%  
65 0.4% 10%  
66 5% 10%  
67 4% 5%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.8%  
31 0.5% 99.5%  
32 0.5% 99.0%  
33 16% 98%  
34 1.0% 82%  
35 16% 81%  
36 5% 65%  
37 5% 60% Median
38 2% 55%  
39 14% 53%  
40 8% 39%  
41 4% 32%  
42 16% 28%  
43 4% 12%  
44 2% 8%  
45 2% 6%  
46 3% 4%  
47 0.5% 0.9% Last Result
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 0.4% 99.4%  
22 1.2% 99.0%  
23 1.1% 98%  
24 4% 97%  
25 15% 93%  
26 8% 78%  
27 5% 70%  
28 22% 65%  
29 6% 44% Median
30 12% 37%  
31 6% 25%  
32 8% 19%  
33 0.9% 11%  
34 10% 10%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations