Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 27 August–3 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 27.5% 25.6–29.5% 25.0–30.1% 24.6–30.6% 23.7–31.6%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 19.6% 17.9–21.4% 17.4–21.9% 17.0–22.4% 16.3–23.3%
Høyre 20.4% 13.1% 11.7–14.7% 11.3–15.1% 11.0–15.5% 10.3–16.3%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7% 6.4–10.0% 5.9–10.7%
Rødt 4.7% 6.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2% 5.1–8.5% 4.7–9.1%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 6.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.8% 4.8–8.1% 4.4–8.7%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 6.1% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.7% 4.7–8.0% 4.3–8.6%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.4% 4.5–6.6% 4.3–6.9% 4.1–7.2% 3.7–7.7%
Venstre 4.6% 4.2% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.6% 3.1–5.8% 2.7–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 53 49–58 48–59 47–60 46–62
Fremskrittspartiet 21 37 34–41 34–42 33–43 31–44
Høyre 36 21 18–24 17–26 17–27 16–29
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 13 10–15 10–16 9–16 9–17
Rødt 8 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 10 8–12 8–12 7–13 7–14
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 10 8–11 7–12 7–13 6–14
Senterpartiet 28 8 7–11 6–12 6–12 1–14
Venstre 8 6 2–8 2–8 2–9 2–10

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.5% 99.7%  
47 2% 99.2%  
48 3% 97% Last Result
49 10% 94%  
50 10% 84%  
51 13% 74%  
52 9% 61%  
53 10% 52% Median
54 9% 41%  
55 10% 33%  
56 5% 23%  
57 6% 18%  
58 4% 12%  
59 5% 9%  
60 1.3% 4%  
61 1.3% 2%  
62 0.7% 1.1%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.7%  
32 2% 99.2%  
33 2% 98%  
34 11% 96%  
35 10% 85%  
36 14% 74%  
37 15% 60% Median
38 15% 45%  
39 10% 30%  
40 7% 20%  
41 5% 13%  
42 4% 8%  
43 3% 4%  
44 0.9% 1.1%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 1.1% 99.7%  
17 5% 98.6%  
18 9% 94%  
19 12% 85%  
20 16% 73%  
21 15% 57% Median
22 16% 42%  
23 11% 26%  
24 6% 15%  
25 3% 9%  
26 3% 6%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.7% 2%  
29 0.3% 0.8%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 3% 99.7%  
10 10% 97%  
11 16% 87%  
12 20% 71%  
13 19% 52% Last Result, Median
14 19% 33%  
15 8% 14%  
16 4% 5%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.4% 99.9%  
8 8% 98% Last Result
9 19% 91%  
10 27% 72% Median
11 23% 44%  
12 14% 22%  
13 5% 7%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100% Last Result
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0.2% 99.9%  
7 4% 99.7%  
8 12% 96%  
9 28% 83%  
10 27% 56% Median
11 17% 29%  
12 8% 12%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.2% 100% Last Result
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0.5% 99.8%  
7 5% 99.3%  
8 21% 94%  
9 23% 73%  
10 20% 50% Median
11 22% 30%  
12 5% 9%  
13 2% 4%  
14 1.2% 1.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 2% 99.8%  
2 0.1% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0.1% 98%  
6 5% 98%  
7 17% 93%  
8 30% 76% Median
9 23% 47%  
10 10% 24%  
11 6% 14%  
12 5% 8%  
13 1.3% 2%  
14 0.8% 1.2%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 12% 100%  
3 20% 88%  
4 0% 68%  
5 0.1% 68%  
6 18% 68% Median
7 31% 50%  
8 13% 18% Last Result
9 4% 5%  
10 0.7% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet 100 94 99.6% 89–99 88–100 87–102 85–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet 95 94 99.2% 88–98 87–100 86–101 84–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 86 63% 81–90 80–92 79–93 77–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet 97 85 51% 80–89 79–90 78–92 75–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet 92 84 46% 79–89 78–90 77–91 75–93
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 83 39% 79–88 77–90 76–91 74–92
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre 96 82 29% 78–87 76–88 75–89 73–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet 82 81 17% 76–86 75–87 74–88 72–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 74 0.1% 70–79 69–80 68–81 66–83
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 74 0.1% 69–78 67–80 66–81 65–83
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet 79 71 0% 67–76 66–77 64–78 63–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 66 0% 61–70 61–71 60–73 58–75
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 64 0% 59–70 58–71 57–72 55–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 61 0% 57–67 56–67 56–68 53–70
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 58 0% 54–63 53–65 52–66 51–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 36 0% 32–41 31–42 30–43 28–45
Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre 39 24 0% 20–28 19–29 18–30 16–32

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 0.4% 99.6% Majority
86 0.7% 99.2%  
87 1.1% 98%  
88 4% 97%  
89 4% 93%  
90 4% 90%  
91 9% 85%  
92 7% 76%  
93 8% 69%  
94 13% 61% Median
95 9% 49%  
96 9% 40%  
97 12% 31%  
98 6% 19%  
99 4% 13%  
100 4% 9% Last Result
101 2% 5%  
102 2% 3%  
103 1.0% 1.4%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.2% Majority
86 2% 98.5%  
87 2% 97%  
88 7% 95%  
89 4% 88%  
90 5% 83%  
91 7% 78%  
92 8% 72%  
93 10% 63%  
94 11% 54% Median
95 8% 43% Last Result
96 12% 34%  
97 7% 22%  
98 5% 15%  
99 3% 10%  
100 3% 6%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.8% 1.4%  
103 0.4% 0.6%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.5%  
78 0.8% 99.1%  
79 1.4% 98%  
80 3% 97%  
81 6% 94%  
82 7% 88%  
83 7% 80%  
84 11% 73%  
85 9% 63% Majority
86 12% 53% Median
87 8% 41%  
88 9% 33%  
89 8% 24%  
90 8% 17%  
91 4% 9%  
92 2% 5%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.1%  
96 0.3% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.5%  
77 1.2% 98.9%  
78 2% 98%  
79 4% 95%  
80 5% 91%  
81 7% 86%  
82 9% 80%  
83 8% 71%  
84 12% 63% Median
85 9% 51% Majority
86 11% 42%  
87 9% 31%  
88 8% 21%  
89 5% 13%  
90 3% 8%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.4% 3%  
93 0.9% 1.3%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 99.3%  
77 2% 98.7%  
78 3% 97%  
79 4% 93%  
80 7% 89%  
81 7% 82%  
82 7% 75%  
83 10% 68%  
84 12% 58% Median
85 12% 46% Majority
86 9% 33%  
87 8% 24%  
88 6% 16%  
89 3% 10%  
90 3% 7%  
91 3% 4%  
92 0.8% 2% Last Result
93 0.6% 0.8%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.7%  
75 0.8% 99.1%  
76 2% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 5% 91%  
80 6% 87%  
81 11% 81%  
82 10% 70%  
83 11% 60%  
84 10% 49% Median
85 11% 39% Majority
86 7% 28%  
87 6% 21%  
88 6% 15%  
89 4% 9%  
90 2% 5%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.9% 1.4%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.7% 99.5%  
74 1.0% 98.8%  
75 1.4% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 4% 95%  
78 6% 91%  
79 9% 85%  
80 8% 76%  
81 10% 68%  
82 10% 58% Median
83 12% 48%  
84 7% 37%  
85 10% 29% Majority
86 6% 19%  
87 6% 13%  
88 4% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.7%  
73 0.6% 99.1%  
74 2% 98%  
75 3% 97%  
76 5% 94%  
77 7% 88%  
78 7% 81%  
79 9% 74%  
80 7% 65%  
81 11% 58% Median
82 14% 47% Last Result
83 7% 32%  
84 8% 26%  
85 7% 17% Majority
86 4% 11%  
87 3% 7%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.5% 99.6%  
67 1.4% 99.1%  
68 2% 98%  
69 6% 96%  
70 7% 90%  
71 6% 83%  
72 8% 78%  
73 9% 70%  
74 13% 61% Median
75 14% 48%  
76 9% 34%  
77 7% 25%  
78 6% 17%  
79 6% 12%  
80 3% 6%  
81 1.5% 4%  
82 1.4% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.7%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 2% 99.1%  
67 3% 97%  
68 2% 95% Last Result
69 5% 92%  
70 6% 87%  
71 8% 82%  
72 14% 74%  
73 9% 60%  
74 9% 51% Median
75 14% 42%  
76 7% 28%  
77 5% 22%  
78 8% 17%  
79 4% 10%  
80 3% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.9% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.7% 99.5%  
64 1.3% 98.8%  
65 2% 97%  
66 4% 95%  
67 8% 91%  
68 7% 83%  
69 6% 76%  
70 13% 70%  
71 10% 57% Median
72 9% 47%  
73 12% 38%  
74 8% 26%  
75 7% 18%  
76 4% 11%  
77 3% 7%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 2% Last Result
80 0.4% 0.9%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 1.5% 99.3%  
60 2% 98%  
61 6% 96% Last Result
62 11% 90%  
63 7% 79%  
64 9% 71%  
65 12% 62%  
66 13% 51% Median
67 10% 38%  
68 8% 28%  
69 4% 20%  
70 9% 17%  
71 4% 8%  
72 2% 5%  
73 1.1% 3%  
74 0.8% 2%  
75 0.6% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 1.1% 99.5%  
57 2% 98%  
58 4% 97%  
59 5% 93%  
60 5% 88%  
61 9% 83%  
62 8% 74%  
63 12% 66%  
64 11% 54% Median
65 9% 43% Last Result
66 7% 34%  
67 9% 27%  
68 3% 18%  
69 4% 14%  
70 4% 10%  
71 3% 6%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.7% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.6%  
54 0.6% 99.5%  
55 0.9% 98.9%  
56 3% 98%  
57 6% 95%  
58 8% 89%  
59 12% 81%  
60 9% 69%  
61 12% 60% Median
62 10% 48%  
63 9% 38%  
64 9% 29%  
65 5% 21%  
66 5% 15%  
67 6% 10%  
68 2% 5%  
69 1.2% 2%  
70 0.8% 1.3%  
71 0.3% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.6%  
52 2% 98.9%  
53 3% 97%  
54 6% 94%  
55 6% 88%  
56 13% 81%  
57 11% 69% Last Result
58 9% 58% Median
59 13% 48%  
60 11% 35%  
61 6% 25%  
62 5% 18%  
63 3% 13%  
64 5% 10%  
65 2% 5%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.4% 1.0%  
68 0.3% 0.6%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 1.0% 99.4%  
30 2% 98%  
31 3% 97%  
32 5% 93%  
33 6% 88%  
34 10% 83%  
35 13% 73%  
36 14% 60%  
37 9% 46% Median
38 15% 37%  
39 6% 22%  
40 6% 17%  
41 5% 11%  
42 3% 6%  
43 1.2% 3%  
44 0.9% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
48 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.8%  
15 0.2% 99.7%  
16 0.3% 99.5%  
17 0.9% 99.2%  
18 2% 98%  
19 5% 96%  
20 6% 91%  
21 6% 85%  
22 13% 79%  
23 16% 66%  
24 8% 50% Median
25 12% 42%  
26 10% 30%  
27 8% 20%  
28 5% 12%  
29 3% 7%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.7% 1.4%  
32 0.3% 0.7%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations