Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 28 August–3 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 27.4% 26.2–28.6% 25.9–28.9% 25.6–29.2% 25.0–29.8%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.6% 20.5–22.7% 20.2–23.1% 20.0–23.3% 19.4–23.9%
Høyre 20.4% 14.6% 13.7–15.6% 13.4–15.9% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.6%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 6.4% 5.8–7.1% 5.6–7.3% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.9–6.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–7.0%
Rødt 4.7% 5.5% 5.0–6.2% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.9%
Venstre 4.6% 4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.1% 3.2–5.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.1% 3.2–5.4%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.8% 0.6–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.4% 0.3–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.9%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 53 51–53 49–55 48–56 47–58
Fremskrittspartiet 21 43 40–44 38–44 38–44 38–45
Høyre 36 26 22–29 22–29 21–29 20–30
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 10 10–12 9–12 9–12 7–13
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–11 8–11 7–12 7–13
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 9 8–9 8–10 8–11 7–12
Rødt 8 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
Venstre 8 7 3–7 3–8 3–8 2–8
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 3–7 3–8 3–8 2–9
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 2% 100%  
48 1.4% 98% Last Result
49 1.3% 96%  
50 4% 95%  
51 3% 91%  
52 10% 88%  
53 69% 78% Median
54 1.5% 9%  
55 3% 8%  
56 2% 5%  
57 1.4% 2%  
58 0.7% 1.0%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 7% 99.6%  
39 0.9% 93%  
40 12% 92%  
41 2% 80%  
42 24% 77%  
43 42% 53% Median
44 10% 10%  
45 0.6% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.4% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.6%  
21 1.5% 98.9%  
22 34% 97%  
23 1.2% 63%  
24 3% 62%  
25 3% 58%  
26 26% 55% Median
27 14% 29%  
28 3% 15%  
29 11% 13%  
30 1.2% 1.3%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.9% 100%  
8 1.5% 99.1%  
9 4% 98%  
10 48% 93% Median
11 33% 45%  
12 11% 12%  
13 1.2% 1.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 3% 99.9%  
8 12% 97%  
9 60% 86% Median
10 14% 26%  
11 9% 12%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.9% 0.9%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 10% 98%  
9 80% 88% Median
10 6% 9%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.7% 0.7%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 4% 99.9%  
8 15% 96% Last Result
9 67% 81% Median
10 12% 14%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.6% 100%  
3 38% 99.4%  
4 0% 61%  
5 0% 61%  
6 2% 61%  
7 54% 59% Median
8 5% 5% Last Result
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.2% 100%  
3 20% 98.7% Last Result
4 0% 79%  
5 0% 79%  
6 2% 79%  
7 70% 77% Median
8 6% 7%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 100 90 99.1% 88–94 87–94 86–94 84–97
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 89 98% 87–91 87–92 85–93 82–95
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 88 98% 85–90 85–91 85–92 82–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 88 88% 83–89 83–90 83–91 80–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 92 81 3% 80–84 78–84 78–85 75–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 81 2% 79–84 78–84 77–84 75–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 80 2% 78–82 77–82 76–84 74–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 79 0.8% 75–81 75–82 75–83 72–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 79 0.7% 74–80 74–81 73–82 71–85
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 72 0% 71–77 70–77 68–78 66–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 71 0% 69–72 68–73 68–75 65–78
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 68 0% 65–70 65–70 64–71 59–72
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 69 0% 64–71 63–71 63–71 60–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 62 0% 60–64 59–64 58–66 56–68
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 62 0% 61–62 59–64 58–65 56–67
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 36 0% 35–41 34–41 34–42 31–44
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 22 0% 17–23 16–25 16–25 16–27

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.8% 99.9%  
85 1.2% 99.1% Majority
86 2% 98%  
87 2% 96%  
88 5% 93%  
89 9% 88%  
90 42% 79% Median
91 22% 38%  
92 3% 16%  
93 1.1% 12%  
94 9% 11%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 1.0% 2%  
97 0.3% 0.7%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
101 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.6% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.3%  
84 0.9% 99.1%  
85 0.9% 98% Majority
86 1.4% 97%  
87 11% 96%  
88 1.0% 85%  
89 62% 84%  
90 4% 22%  
91 8% 18%  
92 6% 10%  
93 3% 4% Median
94 0.2% 1.0%  
95 0.8% 0.8%  
96 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.8%  
82 0.3% 99.5%  
83 0.3% 99.2%  
84 0.9% 98.9%  
85 9% 98% Majority
86 4% 89%  
87 21% 85%  
88 43% 64%  
89 4% 21%  
90 8% 17%  
91 5% 9%  
92 2% 4% Median
93 0.3% 1.5%  
94 1.1% 1.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.9% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.1%  
82 0.8% 98.9%  
83 8% 98%  
84 2% 90%  
85 4% 88% Majority
86 1.3% 84%  
87 9% 83%  
88 41% 74% Median
89 28% 34%  
90 2% 5%  
91 1.4% 3%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 0.8% 1.2%  
95 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.7% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.2%  
77 2% 99.1%  
78 3% 98%  
79 2% 94%  
80 12% 93%  
81 37% 81% Median
82 30% 44%  
83 2% 14%  
84 9% 12%  
85 1.1% 3% Majority
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.7% 0.9%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 1.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 98.8%  
77 2% 98.5%  
78 5% 96%  
79 8% 91%  
80 4% 83%  
81 43% 79% Median
82 21% 36%  
83 4% 15%  
84 9% 11%  
85 0.9% 2% Majority
86 0.3% 1.1%  
87 0.3% 0.8%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.8% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.2%  
76 3% 99.0%  
77 6% 96%  
78 8% 90%  
79 4% 82%  
80 62% 78% Median
81 0.9% 16%  
82 11% 15%  
83 1.4% 4%  
84 0.9% 3%  
85 0.9% 2% Majority
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.6% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 1.0% 99.3%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 9% 98%  
76 1.1% 89%  
77 3% 88%  
78 22% 84%  
79 42% 62%  
80 9% 21%  
81 5% 12%  
82 2% 7%  
83 2% 4% Median
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.8% 0.8% Majority
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 1.0% 99.9%  
72 0% 98.9%  
73 2% 98.9%  
74 7% 97%  
75 0.9% 90%  
76 2% 89%  
77 4% 86%  
78 10% 83%  
79 41% 73% Median
80 22% 32%  
81 7% 10%  
82 0.6% 3% Last Result
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.4%  
85 0.4% 0.7% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
66 0.5% 99.8%  
67 1.1% 99.3%  
68 0.9% 98%  
69 1.0% 97%  
70 2% 96%  
71 22% 94%  
72 48% 73%  
73 6% 25%  
74 2% 18%  
75 3% 16%  
76 2% 13% Median
77 7% 10%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.9% 1.0%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.7% 100%  
66 0.9% 99.2%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 3% 98%  
69 12% 95%  
70 3% 83%  
71 56% 79% Median
72 16% 23%  
73 3% 7%  
74 1.4% 4%  
75 1.2% 3%  
76 0.2% 2%  
77 0.7% 1.3%  
78 0.5% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.8% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.1%  
61 0.5% 98.7%  
62 0.4% 98%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 2% 98%  
65 40% 96%  
66 2% 56%  
67 4% 54%  
68 23% 51%  
69 11% 27% Median
70 13% 16%  
71 2% 4%  
72 1.2% 1.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.9% 100%  
61 1.3% 99.1%  
62 0.2% 98%  
63 8% 98%  
64 0.4% 90%  
65 1.2% 90%  
66 10% 88%  
67 3% 78%  
68 7% 75%  
69 56% 69% Median
70 3% 13%  
71 8% 10%  
72 0.2% 2%  
73 0.9% 2%  
74 0.8% 1.4%  
75 0.3% 0.6%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.7% 100%  
57 1.0% 99.3%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 13% 94%  
61 3% 81%  
62 54% 79% Median
63 12% 24%  
64 9% 13%  
65 1.0% 4%  
66 1.4% 3%  
67 0.1% 1.4%  
68 0.9% 1.3%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 2% 100%  
57 0.4% 98%  
58 3% 98%  
59 4% 95%  
60 0.9% 91%  
61 15% 90% Last Result
62 65% 75% Median
63 3% 9%  
64 3% 6%  
65 1.3% 4%  
66 0.9% 2%  
67 1.0% 1.3%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.8%  
31 0.4% 99.6%  
32 0.5% 99.2%  
33 0.8% 98.7%  
34 3% 98%  
35 11% 94%  
36 61% 83%  
37 2% 22%  
38 5% 19%  
39 0.9% 14%  
40 2% 14% Median
41 7% 12%  
42 3% 4%  
43 0.4% 1.2%  
44 0.7% 0.7%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 9% 99.7%  
17 2% 91%  
18 8% 89%  
19 22% 80%  
20 2% 58%  
21 6% 56%  
22 4% 50%  
23 36% 46% Median
24 1.0% 10%  
25 7% 9%  
26 0.6% 2%  
27 1.0% 1.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations