Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land, 1–4 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 26.4% 25.2–27.7% 24.8–28.1% 24.5–28.4% 23.9–29.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 20.4% 19.3–21.6% 19.0–21.9% 18.7–22.2% 18.2–22.8%
Høyre 20.4% 14.3% 13.3–15.3% 13.1–15.7% 12.8–15.9% 12.4–16.4%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 7.2% 6.5–8.0% 6.3–8.2% 6.1–8.4% 5.8–8.8%
Rødt 4.7% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.7%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
Venstre 4.6% 4.3% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1% 3.5–5.3% 3.2–5.6%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 50 48–51 48–53 47–54 46–56
Fremskrittspartiet 21 39 37–42 37–42 36–43 35–43
Høyre 36 24 22–27 21–28 20–28 20–29
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 10 10–12 10–13 10–14 9–15
Rødt 8 11 10–12 10–13 9–13 8–14
Senterpartiet 28 12 9–13 8–13 8–13 8–14
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 9 8–10 8–11 8–12 8–13
Venstre 8 7 3–7 3–7 3–8 2–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 8 3–9 3–9 2–9 2–9
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 2% 100%  
47 0.7% 98%  
48 23% 97% Last Result
49 23% 74%  
50 30% 51% Median
51 13% 22%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 5%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.4% 1.0%  
56 0.2% 0.6%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 100%  
35 2% 99.8%  
36 3% 98%  
37 28% 95%  
38 8% 67%  
39 24% 59% Median
40 7% 35%  
41 7% 28%  
42 18% 21%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.5% 0.5%  
45 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.4% 100%  
20 4% 99.6%  
21 1.5% 95%  
22 17% 94%  
23 3% 77%  
24 27% 74% Median
25 25% 46%  
26 5% 21%  
27 7% 16%  
28 6% 8%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.3% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.7%  
10 51% 99.3% Median
11 26% 48%  
12 13% 22%  
13 5% 10%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.7% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.3%  
10 20% 97%  
11 41% 77% Median
12 28% 36%  
13 6% 8%  
14 1.4% 1.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 8% 99.8%  
9 11% 92%  
10 4% 80%  
11 6% 77%  
12 50% 71% Median
13 19% 21%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 11% 99.9%  
9 71% 88% Median
10 9% 17%  
11 5% 8%  
12 1.2% 3%  
13 1.2% 1.5% Last Result
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 13% 98%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 18% 86%  
7 63% 68% Median
8 4% 5% Last Result
9 1.0% 1.0%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100%  
3 12% 97% Last Result
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 14% 86%  
7 19% 72%  
8 25% 53% Median
9 28% 28%  
10 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 100 92 100% 90–96 88–98 88–100 87–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 88 89% 84–90 84–91 83–93 81–96
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 71 88 93% 86–91 83–92 80–92 80–94
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 89 89% 84–90 82–90 81–90 78–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 97 81 7% 78–83 77–86 77–89 75–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 72 80 11% 79–85 79–87 79–88 75–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 92 81 9% 79–84 77–86 77–88 76–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 79 2% 75–81 75–81 73–83 72–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 77 0% 73–79 71–81 69–81 66–82
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 71 0% 68–72 66–74 66–76 66–77
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 70 0% 68–73 66–74 64–75 60–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 68 0% 64–71 63–71 62–72 61–75
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 64 0% 61–67 61–68 59–69 57–70
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 62 0% 58–63 57–64 57–65 57–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 59 0% 57–61 57–63 56–64 55–66
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 39 0% 34–40 32–42 30–42 29–44
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 26 0% 19–28 18–28 17–28 16–30

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Majority
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 2% 99.7%  
88 6% 98%  
89 0.5% 92%  
90 6% 91%  
91 21% 85%  
92 37% 64% Median
93 8% 27%  
94 6% 19%  
95 2% 13%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 6%  
99 1.3% 4%  
100 0.4% 3% Last Result
101 1.0% 2%  
102 0.1% 1.3%  
103 1.2% 1.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.8% 100%  
82 0.7% 99.2%  
83 2% 98.6%  
84 7% 96%  
85 1.5% 89% Majority
86 4% 88%  
87 24% 84%  
88 13% 60%  
89 14% 47% Median
90 27% 33%  
91 2% 6%  
92 2% 4%  
93 1.1% 3%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.1% 1.1% Last Result
96 0.9% 1.0%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 2% 99.8%  
81 0.5% 97%  
82 0.4% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 94%  
85 2% 93% Majority
86 7% 91%  
87 30% 84%  
88 35% 54% Median
89 5% 19%  
90 3% 14%  
91 4% 11%  
92 6% 8%  
93 1.0% 2%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 1.2% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 98.7%  
80 0.5% 98.6%  
81 3% 98%  
82 2% 95%  
83 2% 93%  
84 2% 91%  
85 3% 89% Majority
86 2% 86%  
87 5% 84%  
88 12% 79%  
89 35% 68%  
90 31% 33% Median
91 0.4% 2%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.1% 0.8%  
94 0.6% 0.6%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 1.0% 99.5%  
77 6% 98%  
78 4% 92%  
79 3% 89%  
80 5% 86%  
81 34% 81%  
82 30% 46% Median
83 7% 16%  
84 2% 9%  
85 2% 7% Majority
86 2% 6%  
87 0.4% 4%  
88 0.5% 3%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.6% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.4%  
77 1.1% 99.2%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 31% 98%  
80 35% 67% Median
81 12% 32%  
82 5% 21%  
83 2% 16%  
84 3% 14%  
85 2% 11% Majority
86 2% 9%  
87 2% 7%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.1% 1.4%  
91 1.2% 1.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 2% 99.8%  
77 5% 98%  
78 2% 93%  
79 19% 91%  
80 9% 72%  
81 30% 63% Median
82 16% 33%  
83 5% 17%  
84 4% 12%  
85 2% 9% Majority
86 3% 7%  
87 0.8% 4%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 1.4% 1.5%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1% Last Result
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0.6% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 0.6% 97%  
75 8% 96%  
76 2% 88%  
77 7% 87%  
78 23% 79%  
79 14% 56%  
80 5% 42% Median
81 32% 37%  
82 2% 5% Last Result
83 0.6% 3%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.8% 2% Majority
86 0.1% 1.0%  
87 0.8% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 1.2% 100%  
67 0.1% 98.8%  
68 1.0% 98.7% Last Result
69 0.4% 98%  
70 1.3% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 2% 89%  
75 6% 87%  
76 8% 81%  
77 37% 73%  
78 21% 36% Median
79 6% 15%  
80 0.5% 9%  
81 6% 8%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.4% 100%  
66 7% 99.6%  
67 1.2% 93%  
68 6% 92%  
69 23% 86%  
70 9% 63%  
71 42% 54% Median
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 9%  
74 1.3% 5%  
75 1.1% 4%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.4% 0.7%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.8% 100%  
61 0% 99.1%  
62 0.1% 99.1%  
63 0.6% 99.0%  
64 2% 98%  
65 0.5% 97% Last Result
66 1.3% 96%  
67 3% 95%  
68 30% 92%  
69 8% 62%  
70 22% 54% Median
71 13% 32%  
72 8% 19%  
73 1.1% 11%  
74 6% 10%  
75 2% 4%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.5% 0.5%  
78 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 1.5% 99.8%  
62 2% 98%  
63 5% 97%  
64 6% 92%  
65 6% 86%  
66 3% 80%  
67 7% 77%  
68 32% 70%  
69 5% 38%  
70 1.2% 33% Median
71 29% 32%  
72 0.5% 3%  
73 0.4% 2%  
74 0.1% 2%  
75 1.4% 1.5%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.9% 99.8% Last Result
58 0.8% 98.9%  
59 0.6% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 30% 96%  
62 6% 65%  
63 5% 60% Median
64 30% 55%  
65 7% 25%  
66 3% 18%  
67 8% 15%  
68 2% 7%  
69 4% 4%  
70 0.5% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 6% 99.8%  
58 5% 94%  
59 3% 89%  
60 29% 86%  
61 6% 57%  
62 38% 51% Median
63 6% 13%  
64 2% 6%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.7% 2%  
67 1.4% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.8% 100%  
56 3% 99.2%  
57 20% 96%  
58 21% 76%  
59 35% 55% Median
60 4% 20%  
61 7% 15% Last Result
62 3% 8%  
63 2% 5%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.6% 1.4%  
66 0.5% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.9%  
30 3% 99.3%  
31 0.7% 97%  
32 2% 96%  
33 4% 94%  
34 2% 91%  
35 19% 88%  
36 5% 69%  
37 5% 65%  
38 4% 59%  
39 18% 55% Median
40 27% 37%  
41 2% 10%  
42 7% 8%  
43 0.2% 0.7%  
44 0.5% 0.5%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.2% 99.8%  
16 0.1% 99.6%  
17 3% 99.4%  
18 2% 97%  
19 7% 95%  
20 2% 88%  
21 5% 86%  
22 9% 81%  
23 4% 72%  
24 2% 69%  
25 4% 67%  
26 30% 63%  
27 8% 34% Median
28 24% 25%  
29 0.2% 1.0%  
30 0.8% 0.8%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations