Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 29 August–4 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 28.5% 27.3–29.7% 27.0–30.1% 26.7–30.4% 26.2–31.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.0% 20.0–22.1% 19.7–22.5% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.3%
Høyre 20.4% 14.7% 13.8–15.7% 13.5–15.9% 13.3–16.2% 12.9–16.7%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.7% 5.1–6.4% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.1%
Rødt 4.7% 5.1% 4.6–5.7% 4.4–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.0–6.4%
Venstre 4.6% 4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.1% 3.2–5.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.4% 0.3–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 55 52–58 52–58 51–59 50–62
Fremskrittspartiet 21 42 38–43 38–43 37–44 36–45
Høyre 36 27 24–28 23–29 22–29 20–30
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 8–12
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 9 7–10 7–10 7–11 7–12
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Rødt 8 8 7–9 7–9 6–11 1–11
Venstre 8 7 3–8 3–8 3–8 2–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 3 3–7 3–7 2–7 1–8
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 0.9% 99.6%  
51 2% 98.8%  
52 14% 96%  
53 2% 83%  
54 4% 81%  
55 41% 77% Median
56 4% 36%  
57 9% 32%  
58 19% 23%  
59 0.9% 3%  
60 2% 2%  
61 0.1% 0.9%  
62 0.7% 0.8%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.3% 100%  
36 0.7% 99.6%  
37 3% 99.0%  
38 17% 96%  
39 5% 79%  
40 7% 74%  
41 4% 67%  
42 18% 63% Median
43 42% 45%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.6% 0.6%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 0.9% 99.4%  
22 1.4% 98%  
23 2% 97%  
24 8% 95%  
25 5% 87%  
26 18% 82%  
27 39% 64% Median
28 19% 25%  
29 3% 6%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.3% 0.4%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 15% 99.9%  
9 53% 85% Median
10 28% 32%  
11 4% 4%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 25% 100%  
8 6% 75%  
9 45% 69% Median
10 21% 24%  
11 2% 3%  
12 1.3% 1.5%  
13 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 36% 98%  
9 38% 62% Median
10 13% 24%  
11 4% 10%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 0% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 0% 99.5%  
5 0% 99.5%  
6 2% 99.5%  
7 25% 97%  
8 49% 72% Last Result, Median
9 18% 23%  
10 2% 5%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.8% 100%  
3 24% 99.2%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 13% 75%  
7 32% 62% Median
8 28% 30% Last Result
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.6% 100%  
2 3% 99.4%  
3 52% 97% Last Result, Median
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 6% 45%  
7 37% 39%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 100 91 99.3% 85–94 85–95 85–98 84–100
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 87 62% 83–91 83–92 83–94 82–95
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 87 89% 84–92 83–92 82–92 80–93
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 71 87 90% 85–92 83–92 81–92 80–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 92 83 25% 77–85 77–87 77–89 76–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt 97 82 10% 77–84 77–86 77–88 75–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 82 11% 77–85 77–86 77–87 76–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 78 2% 75–82 75–83 75–84 73–86
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 78 0.7% 75–84 74–84 71–84 69–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet 89 74 0% 69–75 69–78 69–79 66–81
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 74 0% 69–78 69–78 68–78 65–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 68 0% 67–73 67–73 65–74 63–77
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 69 0% 64–71 62–71 61–71 60–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 64 0% 60–66 60–68 60–70 58–71
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 64 0% 61–67 61–67 60–69 59–72
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 38 0% 33–41 33–41 32–41 30–43
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 20 0% 16–22 16–23 16–25 14–27

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.7% 100%  
85 11% 99.3% Majority
86 0.8% 88%  
87 3% 87%  
88 28% 84%  
89 2% 57%  
90 1.3% 55% Median
91 21% 54%  
92 5% 33%  
93 6% 28%  
94 13% 22%  
95 4% 9%  
96 0.6% 5%  
97 2% 4%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.2% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.9% 99.6%  
83 25% 98.7%  
84 12% 74%  
85 2% 62% Median, Majority
86 3% 60%  
87 11% 57%  
88 13% 46%  
89 2% 32%  
90 6% 30%  
91 16% 25%  
92 6% 9%  
93 0.5% 3%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.4% 99.8%  
81 0.7% 99.4%  
82 2% 98.7%  
83 2% 97%  
84 5% 94%  
85 16% 89% Majority
86 18% 73%  
87 7% 56%  
88 4% 49% Median
89 2% 45%  
90 27% 43%  
91 1.5% 16%  
92 13% 14%  
93 0.8% 1.1%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 2% 99.6%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 0.9% 96%  
84 4% 95%  
85 14% 90% Majority
86 6% 76%  
87 23% 71%  
88 2% 48% Median
89 2% 46%  
90 27% 43%  
91 2% 17%  
92 14% 15%  
93 0.5% 1.4%  
94 0.4% 0.9%  
95 0.5% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.5% 100%  
77 11% 99.5%  
78 1.3% 89%  
79 3% 87%  
80 25% 85%  
81 3% 59%  
82 3% 57% Median
83 3% 53%  
84 25% 50%  
85 17% 25% Majority
86 0.7% 8%  
87 3% 8%  
88 1.1% 5%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.2% 1.2%  
91 0.8% 0.9%  
92 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.5% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.5%  
76 0.5% 99.1%  
77 14% 98.6%  
78 2% 85%  
79 27% 83%  
80 2% 57%  
81 2% 54% Median
82 23% 52%  
83 6% 29%  
84 14% 24%  
85 4% 10% Majority
86 0.9% 5%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.3% 100%  
76 0.8% 99.7%  
77 13% 98.9%  
78 1.5% 86%  
79 27% 84%  
80 2% 57%  
81 4% 55% Median
82 7% 51%  
83 18% 44%  
84 16% 27%  
85 5% 11% Majority
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.7% 1.3%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.9% 99.6%  
74 0.9% 98.7%  
75 12% 98%  
76 26% 86% Median
77 5% 60%  
78 19% 54%  
79 3% 35%  
80 4% 32%  
81 4% 27%  
82 16% 24% Last Result
83 5% 8%  
84 1.0% 3%  
85 2% 2% Majority
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100% Last Result
69 0.5% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 2% 99.2%  
72 2% 97%  
73 0.6% 96%  
74 4% 95%  
75 13% 91%  
76 6% 78%  
77 5% 72%  
78 21% 67%  
79 1.3% 46% Median
80 2% 45%  
81 28% 43%  
82 3% 16%  
83 0.8% 13%  
84 11% 12%  
85 0.7% 0.7% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.5% 100%  
67 0% 99.5%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 12% 99.1%  
70 3% 87%  
71 28% 85%  
72 2% 57%  
73 3% 55% Median
74 7% 52%  
75 36% 45%  
76 1.4% 9%  
77 0.8% 7%  
78 3% 6%  
79 1.2% 4%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.9% 1.2%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.2% 100%  
63 0% 99.8%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
66 0.5% 99.4%  
67 0.3% 98.9%  
68 2% 98.6%  
69 7% 96%  
70 2% 89%  
71 20% 87%  
72 13% 67%  
73 2% 54%  
74 3% 52%  
75 8% 49%  
76 2% 41% Median
77 11% 39%  
78 26% 27%  
79 0.9% 1.2%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.7% 99.8%  
64 0.9% 99.2%  
65 1.3% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 39% 95% Median
68 15% 56%  
69 10% 41%  
70 2% 32%  
71 3% 29%  
72 3% 26%  
73 20% 23%  
74 1.0% 3%  
75 0.2% 2%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.5% 99.5%  
61 3% 99.1%  
62 2% 96%  
63 1.4% 94%  
64 15% 93%  
65 0.9% 78%  
66 7% 77%  
67 4% 70%  
68 12% 66%  
69 14% 54% Median
70 26% 40%  
71 12% 14%  
72 1.0% 2%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.5% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.5%  
59 0.3% 99.5%  
60 11% 99.2%  
61 2% 88%  
62 3% 86%  
63 4% 82%  
64 29% 78% Median
65 17% 49%  
66 25% 32%  
67 1.5% 7%  
68 0.8% 5%  
69 2% 5%  
70 0.2% 3%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 1.3% 99.8%  
60 1.5% 98.5%  
61 12% 97% Last Result
62 29% 85%  
63 4% 56%  
64 2% 52% Median
65 17% 50%  
66 9% 33%  
67 19% 24%  
68 1.2% 5%  
69 2% 4%  
70 0.9% 2%  
71 0.1% 0.7%  
72 0.5% 0.5%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 0.7% 99.4%  
32 2% 98.6%  
33 13% 97%  
34 10% 84%  
35 3% 74%  
36 1.5% 71%  
37 2% 69% Median
38 31% 67%  
39 5% 35%  
40 16% 31%  
41 13% 15%  
42 2% 2%  
43 0.6% 0.7%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.6%  
15 1.2% 99.5%  
16 12% 98%  
17 3% 86%  
18 9% 84%  
19 8% 75% Median
20 26% 66%  
21 16% 40%  
22 16% 24%  
23 3% 7%  
24 0.6% 4%  
25 1.1% 3%  
26 0.4% 2%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations