Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 29 August–5 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 27.7% 26.7–28.8% 26.4–29.1% 26.1–29.4% 25.6–29.9%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.0% 20.0–22.0% 19.8–22.3% 19.5–22.5% 19.1–23.0%
Høyre 20.4% 15.0% 14.1–15.9% 13.9–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.3–16.8%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 6.4% 5.8–7.0% 5.7–7.2% 5.5–7.4% 5.3–7.7%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.8% 5.3–6.4% 5.1–6.6% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.8% 5.3–6.4% 5.1–6.6% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0%
Rødt 4.7% 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.5%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.2% 3.7–4.7% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.3%
Venstre 4.6% 3.9% 3.5–4.4% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.5%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.5%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.5% 0.4–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.5% 0.4–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 55 51–58 50–58 49–58 49–59
Fremskrittspartiet 21 42 37–43 37–43 37–43 37–44
Høyre 36 27 24–28 24–28 22–29 22–30
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
Senterpartiet 28 9 8–11 8–11 8–12 8–13
Rødt 8 9 7–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 3–7 3–8 3–8 2–8
Venstre 8 3 3–6 3–7 3–7 2–8
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
49 4% 99.7%  
50 4% 96%  
51 8% 92%  
52 8% 83%  
53 2% 75%  
54 4% 73%  
55 41% 69% Median
56 4% 29%  
57 2% 25%  
58 22% 23%  
59 0.5% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 37% 99.5%  
38 3% 62%  
39 3% 59%  
40 2% 56%  
41 3% 54%  
42 36% 51% Median
43 13% 14%  
44 0.8% 0.9%  
45 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 3% 99.9%  
23 0.8% 97%  
24 22% 96%  
25 2% 74%  
26 6% 72%  
27 19% 66% Median
28 43% 47%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.7% 0.8%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 1.5% 100%  
9 28% 98.5%  
10 14% 70%  
11 11% 57% Median
12 44% 45%  
13 0.9% 1.0%  
14 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.8% 100%  
8 34% 99.2%  
9 13% 66%  
10 11% 53% Median
11 41% 42%  
12 0.7% 0.8%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 33% 99.6%  
9 18% 66% Median
10 5% 48%  
11 39% 43%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.8% 0.8%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 25% 99.9%  
8 17% 75% Last Result
9 46% 58% Median
10 12% 13%  
11 0.5% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.3% 100%  
3 41% 98.7% Last Result
4 0% 58%  
5 0% 58%  
6 3% 58%  
7 46% 55% Median
8 9% 9%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.3% 100%  
3 66% 98.7% Median
4 0% 33%  
5 0% 33%  
6 25% 33%  
7 7% 8%  
8 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 100 91 98.8% 88–98 87–98 86–98 82–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 90 95% 86–92 85–92 84–94 83–97
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 88 61% 83–92 83–92 83–93 81–96
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 87 57% 82–90 82–91 82–92 82–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 92 83 44% 80–89 78–89 77–89 75–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 82 43% 79–87 78–87 77–87 74–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 81 39% 77–86 77–86 76–86 73–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 81 2% 77–82 76–82 75–84 74–87
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 78 1.2% 71–81 71–82 71–83 71–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 74 0% 69–77 68–77 67–77 66–79
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 72 0% 68–74 68–76 67–77 64–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 69 0% 67–73 66–73 65–73 63–76
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 66 0% 65–70 65–71 64–71 61–73
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 66 0% 60–66 58–66 58–67 57–68
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 66 0% 60–66 60–66 59–66 58–68
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 37 0% 34–39 33–40 32–41 31–44
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 19 0% 17–21 17–23 16–23 15–26

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.7% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.3%  
84 0.1% 99.0%  
85 0.2% 98.8% Majority
86 3% 98.6%  
87 3% 96%  
88 3% 93%  
89 9% 90%  
90 30% 80%  
91 2% 50%  
92 2% 48%  
93 3% 47%  
94 1.2% 44% Median
95 2% 43%  
96 1.5% 41%  
97 1.0% 39%  
98 38% 38%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.3% 100%  
83 2% 99.6%  
84 3% 98%  
85 1.2% 95% Majority
86 6% 94%  
87 8% 88%  
88 8% 80%  
89 4% 72%  
90 23% 68%  
91 4% 45%  
92 37% 42% Median
93 1.1% 4%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.7% 2% Last Result
96 0% 0.8%  
97 0.5% 0.8%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.6% 99.9%  
82 0.9% 99.3%  
83 38% 98%  
84 0.2% 61%  
85 3% 61% Majority
86 1.5% 57%  
87 4% 56%  
88 23% 52%  
89 10% 29%  
90 2% 18% Median
91 5% 17%  
92 8% 12%  
93 3% 4%  
94 0.4% 1.5%  
95 0.3% 1.1%  
96 0.8% 0.8%  
97 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 38% 99.5%  
83 3% 61%  
84 1.0% 58%  
85 1.1% 57% Majority
86 2% 56%  
87 29% 54%  
88 5% 25% Median
89 9% 20%  
90 5% 12%  
91 2% 7%  
92 3% 5%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.3% 1.3%  
95 1.0% 1.0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.8% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.2%  
77 2% 98.8%  
78 3% 97%  
79 2% 94%  
80 10% 92%  
81 9% 81%  
82 3% 72%  
83 25% 70%  
84 1.0% 45%  
85 2% 44% Median, Majority
86 0.6% 43%  
87 2% 42%  
88 3% 40%  
89 37% 38%  
90 0.8% 0.8%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 1.0% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.0%  
76 0.3% 98.7%  
77 3% 98%  
78 2% 95%  
79 5% 93%  
80 9% 88%  
81 5% 80%  
82 29% 75%  
83 2% 46%  
84 1.1% 44%  
85 1.0% 43% Median, Majority
86 3% 42%  
87 38% 39%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.8% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.2%  
75 0.4% 98.9%  
76 3% 98.5%  
77 8% 96%  
78 5% 88%  
79 2% 83%  
80 10% 82%  
81 23% 71%  
82 4% 48%  
83 1.5% 44% Median
84 3% 43%  
85 0.2% 39% Majority
86 38% 39%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.6%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 7% 94%  
78 8% 87%  
79 7% 79%  
80 4% 72%  
81 40% 68%  
82 23% 28% Last Result, Median
83 2% 5%  
84 0.7% 3%  
85 1.3% 2% Majority
86 0.1% 0.6%  
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 38% 99.6%  
72 1.0% 62%  
73 1.5% 61%  
74 2% 59%  
75 1.2% 57%  
76 3% 56%  
77 2% 53%  
78 2% 52%  
79 30% 50% Median
80 9% 20%  
81 3% 10%  
82 3% 7%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.2% 1.4%  
85 0.1% 1.2% Majority
86 0.3% 1.0%  
87 0.7% 0.7%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.8% 99.9%  
67 3% 99.2%  
68 3% 97%  
69 8% 93%  
70 9% 85%  
71 3% 76%  
72 5% 73%  
73 2% 69%  
74 23% 66% Median
75 1.2% 43%  
76 3% 42%  
77 38% 39%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.6% 0.6%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.2% 100%  
62 0% 99.8%  
63 0% 99.8%  
64 0.9% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 98.9% Last Result
66 0.1% 98%  
67 2% 98%  
68 39% 96%  
69 0.7% 57%  
70 4% 56%  
71 2% 53%  
72 31% 51% Median
73 8% 20%  
74 3% 12%  
75 3% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 1.2% 3%  
78 0.6% 2%  
79 0.9% 1.0%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.4% 100%  
63 0.9% 99.5%  
64 0.3% 98.6%  
65 1.1% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 17% 95%  
68 5% 78%  
69 40% 73%  
70 4% 33%  
71 1.3% 30% Median
72 4% 29%  
73 22% 25%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.7% 1.3%  
76 0.3% 0.6%  
77 0.3% 0.3%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0% 99.7%  
61 1.2% 99.7%  
62 0.5% 98.5%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 2% 98%  
65 40% 95%  
66 23% 56%  
67 4% 33%  
68 4% 29%  
69 10% 25% Median
70 10% 15%  
71 4% 5%  
72 1.0% 2%  
73 0.6% 0.7%  
74 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 2% 99.9%  
58 3% 98%  
59 1.3% 95%  
60 11% 93%  
61 3% 83% Last Result
62 8% 80%  
63 4% 72%  
64 2% 68%  
65 2% 66% Median
66 60% 64%  
67 3% 4%  
68 1.0% 1.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 1.4% 99.9%  
59 3% 98%  
60 17% 96%  
61 3% 79%  
62 3% 76%  
63 3% 73%  
64 3% 69% Median
65 3% 66%  
66 61% 63%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.8% 1.3%  
69 0% 0.4%  
70 0.4% 0.4%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.9%  
32 4% 99.5%  
33 2% 96%  
34 37% 94%  
35 1.1% 57%  
36 3% 56%  
37 37% 53% Median
38 5% 16%  
39 2% 11%  
40 5% 9%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.2% 1.4%  
43 0.4% 1.2%  
44 0.8% 0.8%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100%  
15 1.1% 99.6%  
16 1.4% 98.5%  
17 37% 97%  
18 7% 60%  
19 13% 53% Median
20 6% 41%  
21 27% 35%  
22 3% 8%  
23 4% 6%  
24 0.6% 1.4%  
25 0.3% 0.9%  
26 0.3% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations