Opinion Poll by Verian for TV2, 1–6 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 27.3% 26.3–28.2% 26.0–28.5% 25.8–28.8% 25.3–29.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.3% 20.4–22.2% 20.1–22.4% 19.9–22.6% 19.5–23.1%
Høyre 20.4% 14.9% 14.1–15.7% 13.9–15.9% 13.7–16.1% 13.4–16.5%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 6.4% 5.9–7.0% 5.7–7.1% 5.6–7.3% 5.4–7.5%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.4–6.7% 5.3–6.8% 5.0–7.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 5.7% 5.2–6.2% 5.1–6.4% 5.0–6.5% 4.7–6.8%
Rødt 4.7% 5.3% 4.8–5.8% 4.7–6.0% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.7% 4.3–5.2% 4.1–5.3% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.7%
Venstre 4.6% 3.9% 3.5–4.3% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.1–4.8%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.9% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.9% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.5% 0.4–0.7% 0.3–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.4% 0.3–0.6% 0.3–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 50 49–53 48–53 48–54 48–58
Fremskrittspartiet 21 43 40–43 40–43 39–43 37–44
Høyre 36 27 24–27 23–27 23–28 22–29
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
Senterpartiet 28 10 8–12 8–13 8–13 8–13
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 8 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Rødt 8 8 7–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 7 7–8 7–8 7–9 3–9
Venstre 8 6 3–7 3–7 3–7 2–7
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.4% 100%  
48 9% 99.6% Last Result
49 2% 91%  
50 50% 89% Median
51 9% 39%  
52 10% 29%  
53 15% 19%  
54 3% 4%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.1% 1.0%  
57 0.3% 0.9%  
58 0.5% 0.6%  
59 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.6% 99.9%  
38 2% 99.4%  
39 1.4% 98%  
40 14% 96%  
41 5% 82%  
42 10% 77%  
43 64% 67% Median
44 2% 2%  
45 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 5% 99.4%  
24 4% 94%  
25 2% 90%  
26 9% 88%  
27 74% 78% Median
28 3% 4%  
29 1.2% 1.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.7% 100%  
9 18% 99.3%  
10 66% 82% Median
11 15% 16%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 21% 99.9%  
9 7% 79%  
10 50% 72% Median
11 3% 22%  
12 12% 18%  
13 6% 6%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 65% 99.6% Median
9 21% 35%  
10 12% 14%  
11 1.3% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 16% 99.9%  
8 66% 84% Last Result, Median
9 5% 18%  
10 12% 13%  
11 1.0% 1.0%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.2% 100% Last Result
4 0% 98.8%  
5 0% 98.8%  
6 1.1% 98.8%  
7 71% 98% Median
8 23% 26%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 17% 98%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 59% 81% Median
7 22% 22%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 100 86 99.5% 85–91 85–92 85–94 85–96
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 71 93 99.1% 88–93 87–93 86–93 83–94
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 96 92 98.9% 90–93 88–93 86–93 84–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 85 98.8% 85–90 85–90 85–92 84–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 92 78 3% 78–82 78–83 78–85 77–86
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 68 83 0.5% 78–84 77–84 75–84 73–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 72 77 1.1% 76–79 76–81 76–83 75–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 76 0.9% 76–81 76–82 76–83 75–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 77 0.9% 77–81 77–82 77–82 75–85
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre 65 76 0% 70–77 70–77 68–77 65–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 68 0% 68–73 68–73 68–74 67–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 67 0% 67–71 67–71 66–72 64–75
Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre 57 70 0% 66–70 64–70 64–70 61–72
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 60 0% 60–63 60–64 60–64 58–66
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 58 0% 58–61 58–62 58–64 57–66
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 47 40 0% 37–41 36–41 35–41 33–42
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 39 23 0% 22–23 21–27 19–28 16–28

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.4% 99.9%  
85 12% 99.5% Majority
86 50% 87% Median
87 9% 37%  
88 3% 28%  
89 1.0% 25%  
90 4% 24%  
91 14% 20%  
92 2% 6%  
93 1.0% 4%  
94 1.2% 3%  
95 1.3% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.5%  
85 1.3% 99.1% Majority
86 1.5% 98%  
87 1.4% 96%  
88 7% 95%  
89 10% 88%  
90 3% 78%  
91 2% 75%  
92 10% 72%  
93 61% 62% Median
94 0.5% 0.9%  
95 0.4% 0.4%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.9% 99.8%  
85 0.9% 98.9% Majority
86 2% 98%  
87 1.2% 96%  
88 2% 95%  
89 4% 94%  
90 19% 90%  
91 4% 71%  
92 19% 68%  
93 48% 49% Median
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.3% 0.4%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 1.0% 99.8%  
85 60% 98.8% Median, Majority
86 4% 39%  
87 9% 35%  
88 3% 25%  
89 10% 22%  
90 7% 12%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.2% 3%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.7% 1.0%  
95 0% 0.3% Last Result
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.9% 99.9%  
78 61% 99.0% Median
79 11% 38%  
80 2% 27%  
81 12% 25%  
82 4% 13%  
83 5% 9%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.4% 3% Majority
86 0.9% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 1.3% 99.3%  
75 1.2% 98%  
76 1.0% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 14% 94%  
79 4% 80%  
80 1.0% 76%  
81 3% 75%  
82 9% 72%  
83 50% 63% Median
84 12% 13%  
85 0.4% 0.5% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 48% 99.5% Median
77 19% 51%  
78 4% 32%  
79 19% 29%  
80 4% 10%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.2% 5%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.9% 1.1% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.6%  
76 61% 99.1% Median
77 10% 38%  
78 2% 28%  
79 3% 25%  
80 10% 22%  
81 7% 12%  
82 1.4% 5%  
83 1.5% 4%  
84 1.3% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.9% Majority
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.9% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 98.7%  
77 61% 98% Median
78 11% 36%  
79 10% 25%  
80 3% 15%  
81 7% 12%  
82 3% 5% Last Result
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0% 0.9%  
85 0.6% 0.9% Majority
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.7% 98.9%  
68 2% 98%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 10% 95%  
71 8% 85%  
72 1.3% 77%  
73 2% 76%  
74 11% 74%  
75 1.0% 63%  
76 49% 62% Median
77 13% 13%  
78 0.4% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 49% 98.9% Median
69 23% 50%  
70 11% 27%  
71 4% 16%  
72 2% 12%  
73 7% 11%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.6% 0.8%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.7% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.2%  
66 2% 99.0%  
67 48% 97% Median
68 31% 49%  
69 3% 18%  
70 4% 15%  
71 5% 10%  
72 3% 5%  
73 1.0% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.0%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0% 0.3%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet – Høyre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0% 99.7%  
61 0.2% 99.7%  
62 0.3% 99.4%  
63 0.5% 99.2%  
64 6% 98.7%  
65 2% 92%  
66 2% 90%  
67 11% 88%  
68 11% 77%  
69 1.2% 66%  
70 63% 65% Median
71 0.4% 1.4%  
72 1.0% 1.0%  
73 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.3% 100%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 1.1% 99.0%  
60 66% 98% Median
61 16% 32%  
62 4% 16%  
63 4% 12%  
64 7% 9%  
65 0.1% 2%  
66 1.5% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.5% 99.9%  
58 58% 99.4% Median
59 2% 41%  
60 11% 39%  
61 21% 28% Last Result
62 3% 7%  
63 2% 5%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.1% 1.0%  
66 0.8% 0.9%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.8% 99.8%  
34 0.4% 99.0%  
35 1.5% 98.6%  
36 3% 97%  
37 7% 95%  
38 10% 88%  
39 4% 77%  
40 59% 73% Median
41 13% 14%  
42 1.1% 1.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.7% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.3%  
18 0.2% 99.0%  
19 1.5% 98.8%  
20 2% 97%  
21 3% 95%  
22 24% 93%  
23 59% 69% Median
24 2% 9%  
25 1.0% 8%  
26 0.5% 7%  
27 4% 6%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations