Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik, 13–15 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 20.8% 18.4–23.5% 17.8–24.2% 17.2–24.9% 16.1–26.2%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 20.3% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.7% 16.8–24.4% 15.7–25.7%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 19.2% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.5% 15.7–23.2% 14.7–24.5%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 12.4% 10.5–14.6% 10.0–15.3% 9.6–15.9% 8.8–17.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.9% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.4% 5.7–10.9% 5.1–11.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 7.9% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.4% 5.7–10.9% 5.1–11.9%
Levica 6.0% 5.8% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.0% 4.0–8.5% 3.5–9.4%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 0.2% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1% 0.0–1.3% 0.0–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati 6 19 16–21 16–22 15–22 14–24
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 18 16–21 15–21 15–22 14–23
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 17 15–19 14–20 14–21 13–22
Stranka modernega centra 36 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 7–15
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 5–8 5–9 5–10 4–10
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 7 5–9 5–9 5–10 4–10
Levica 6 5 4–6 3–7 0–7 0–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.9%  
15 3% 99.1%  
16 9% 96%  
17 16% 88%  
18 18% 72%  
19 19% 53% Median
20 18% 34%  
21 10% 17%  
22 4% 6%  
23 1.5% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 1.2% 99.7%  
15 5% 98.5%  
16 11% 93%  
17 15% 82%  
18 20% 67% Median
19 22% 47%  
20 13% 25%  
21 7% 12%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.1% 1.4%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.3% 99.8%  
14 8% 98.5%  
15 12% 91%  
16 17% 79%  
17 28% 62% Median
18 16% 34%  
19 9% 18%  
20 5% 8%  
21 2% 3% Last Result
22 0.9% 1.2%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 3% 99.4%  
9 12% 97%  
10 20% 85%  
11 28% 65% Median
12 20% 37%  
13 12% 17%  
14 4% 5%  
15 1.0% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.5% 100%  
5 12% 98% Last Result
6 31% 87%  
7 30% 56% Median
8 16% 26%  
9 7% 10%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.2% 100%  
5 10% 98.7%  
6 28% 89%  
7 31% 61% Median
8 19% 30%  
9 8% 11%  
10 2% 3% Last Result
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 3% 97%  
4 28% 94%  
5 34% 66% Median
6 23% 31% Last Result
7 7% 8%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 57 62 100% 59–65 58–66 57–67 56–68
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 55 100% 51–58 50–59 50–60 49–61
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 55 100% 51–58 50–59 50–60 49–61
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 55 100% 52–58 51–59 50–60 49–61
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 21 51 99.1% 48–54 47–55 46–56 45–57
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 42 48 84% 45–51 44–52 43–52 42–54
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 44 26% 41–47 40–48 39–49 38–50
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 44 25% 41–47 40–48 39–49 38–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 42 9% 39–45 38–46 38–47 36–49
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 6 37 0% 34–40 33–41 32–42 31–43
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 37 0% 34–40 33–40 32–41 31–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 35 0% 32–38 32–39 31–40 29–41

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.9% 99.7%  
57 2% 98.8% Last Result
58 4% 97%  
59 9% 93%  
60 12% 84%  
61 19% 73%  
62 19% 53% Median
63 12% 34%  
64 9% 22%  
65 7% 13%  
66 4% 6%  
67 1.3% 3%  
68 0.8% 1.2%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 1.1% 99.6%  
50 4% 98.5%  
51 5% 95%  
52 6% 90%  
53 8% 84%  
54 13% 76%  
55 21% 63% Median
56 15% 42% Last Result
57 14% 27%  
58 6% 13%  
59 4% 7%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.6% 0.8%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 1.1% 99.6%  
50 4% 98.5%  
51 5% 95%  
52 6% 90% Last Result
53 8% 84%  
54 13% 76%  
55 21% 63% Median
56 15% 42%  
57 14% 27%  
58 6% 13%  
59 4% 7%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.6% 0.8%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100% Last Result
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 1.0% 99.6%  
50 2% 98.6%  
51 3% 97%  
52 9% 93%  
53 12% 84%  
54 17% 72%  
55 18% 55% Median
56 12% 37%  
57 10% 25%  
58 9% 15%  
59 4% 6%  
60 1.4% 3%  
61 0.9% 1.4%  
62 0.4% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.7%  
46 2% 99.1% Majority
47 5% 97%  
48 9% 92%  
49 17% 83%  
50 13% 66%  
51 18% 53% Median
52 12% 35%  
53 9% 23%  
54 7% 14%  
55 4% 7%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.6% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 1.3% 99.6% Last Result
43 3% 98%  
44 5% 95%  
45 7% 90%  
46 8% 84% Majority
47 12% 76%  
48 20% 64% Median
49 15% 45%  
50 16% 30%  
51 7% 14%  
52 4% 7%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.5% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.6% 99.7%  
39 4% 99.0%  
40 4% 95%  
41 7% 92%  
42 13% 84%  
43 14% 72%  
44 18% 58% Median
45 13% 40%  
46 12% 26% Majority
47 8% 15%  
48 4% 6%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.7% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.7% 99.7%  
39 2% 99.0%  
40 4% 97%  
41 10% 93%  
42 12% 83%  
43 19% 71%  
44 15% 52% Median
45 12% 37%  
46 11% 25% Majority
47 6% 13%  
48 5% 8%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.5% 0.9%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.5% 99.8%  
37 2% 99.3%  
38 3% 98%  
39 7% 95%  
40 11% 88%  
41 16% 77%  
42 21% 61% Median
43 14% 40%  
44 10% 27%  
45 7% 16%  
46 5% 9% Majority
47 2% 3%  
48 1.1% 2%  
49 0.4% 0.5%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 100%  
31 0.9% 99.8%  
32 2% 98.9%  
33 6% 97%  
34 7% 91%  
35 11% 85%  
36 15% 74%  
37 17% 59% Median
38 13% 42%  
39 16% 28%  
40 5% 13%  
41 5% 7%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.7% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.7%  
32 2% 98.7%  
33 6% 97%  
34 8% 91%  
35 13% 83%  
36 15% 69%  
37 17% 54% Median
38 15% 36%  
39 10% 22%  
40 6% 11%  
41 3% 5%  
42 1.0% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.6%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 1.1% 99.5%  
31 3% 98%  
32 6% 96%  
33 11% 89%  
34 15% 78%  
35 19% 63% Median
36 16% 44%  
37 12% 28%  
38 8% 16%  
39 5% 8%  
40 2% 3%  
41 1.0% 1.4%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations