Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.6% (General Election of 13 July 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.3% | 6.2–8.7% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.6–9.6% | 5.1–10.4% |
| 28–31 May 2018 | Valicon | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.2% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.7–8.8% |
| 31 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
7.3% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–8.9% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.3–9.9% |
| 31 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
6.5% | 5.6–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 5.1–8.3% | 4.7–8.9% |
| 25–30 May 2018 | Mediana Delo |
7.0% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.3–9.2% | 4.8–9.9% |
| 25–29 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
7.3% | 6.2–8.8% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.6–9.6% | 5.0–10.3% |
| 29 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
8.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–10.0% | 6.7–10.3% | 6.2–11.0% |
| 23–29 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
7.5% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.8–9.6% | 5.3–10.3% |
| 25–27 May 2018 | Valicon | 5.7% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.5% | 4.1–7.8% | 3.7–8.5% |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
9.3% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.6–11.5% | 7.3–11.9% | 6.7–12.8% |
| 25 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
5.5% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 4.1–7.4% | 3.7–8.1% |
| 21–23 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
6.6% | 5.4–8.2% | 5.1–8.6% | 4.8–9.0% | 4.3–9.9% |
| 21–22 May 2018 | Ninamedia Mladina |
6.5% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.9–8.7% | 4.6–9.2% | 4.0–10.1% |
| 12–22 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
7.0% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.9% | 5.3–9.2% | 4.9–10.0% |
| 22 May 2018 | Episcenter | 8.2% | 7.0–9.6% | 6.7–10.0% | 6.4–10.4% | 5.9–11.1% |
| 20 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
5.1% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.1% | 3.5–7.4% | 3.1–8.2% |
| 14–17 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
4.6% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.3–6.5% | 3.0–6.8% | 2.6–7.6% |
| 11–17 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
5.1% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.0% | 3.6–7.4% | 3.1–8.1% |
| 9–15 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
4.3% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.0–6.1% | 2.8–6.5% | 2.4–7.2% |
| 7–10 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
7.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.9–9.7% | 5.4–10.4% |
| 8–9 May 2018 | Valicon | 7.7% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.1–9.8% | 5.6–10.5% |
| 4–7 May 2018 | Valicon | 6.6% | 6.1–7.0% | 6.0–7.1% | 5.9–7.3% | 5.7–7.5% |
| 2–5 May 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
7.2% | 6.2–8.5% | 5.9–8.9% | 5.6–9.2% | 5.2–9.8% |
| 11–19 April 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
5.7% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.9–8.3% | 3.4–9.2% |
| 9–11 April 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
6.8% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.1% | 4.8–9.6% | 4.2–10.5% |
| 29 March–5 April 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
8.3% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.6–10.4% | 6.1–11.1% |
| 25 March 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
6.6% | 5.3–8.4% | 5.0–8.9% | 4.6–9.4% | 4.1–10.3% |
| 13–15 March 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
7.9% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.4% | 5.7–10.9% | 5.1–11.9% |
| 10–14 March 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
6.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.8–9.4% |
| 1–8 March 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
7.1% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.8–8.8% | 5.6–9.1% | 5.1–9.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 18% | 98% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 40% | 80% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 28% | 40% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 5 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 28–31 May 2018 | Valicon | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 31 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 31 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 25–30 May 2018 | Mediana Delo |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 25–29 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| 29 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
7 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 23–29 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 25–27 May 2018 | Valicon | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| 25 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 21–23 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 21–22 May 2018 | Ninamedia Mladina |
6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 12–22 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 22 May 2018 | Episcenter | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| 20 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 14–17 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 11–17 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 9–15 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 7–10 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 8–9 May 2018 | Valicon | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| 4–7 May 2018 | Valicon | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| 2–5 May 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 11–19 April 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| 9–11 April 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 29 March–5 April 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| 25 March 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 0–11 |
| 13–15 March 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
| 10–14 March 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 1–8 March 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 11% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 6 | 33% | 88% | |
| 7 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 28% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |