Socialni demokrati

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 6.0% (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.7% 8.0–15.9% 7.4–16.8% 6.9–17.6% 6.2–18.8%
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 13.2% 12.3–14.2% 12.0–14.5% 11.8–14.8% 11.3–15.3%
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 12.8% 11.4–14.3% 11.1–14.7% 10.7–15.1% 10.1–15.9%
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.7% 7.3–11.0% 6.8–11.6%
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 8.2% 7.0–9.7% 6.6–10.1% 6.3–10.5% 5.8–11.2%
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 7.9% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.9% 6.1–10.3% 5.6–11.0%
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 12.6% 11.2–14.1% 10.9–14.5% 10.5–14.9% 9.9–15.6%
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 9.3% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.2% 7.4–11.6% 6.8–12.4%
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 11.9% 10.3–13.7% 9.9–14.2% 9.5–14.7% 8.9–15.6%
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 9.7% 8.3–11.4% 7.9–11.9% 7.6–12.3% 6.9–13.2%
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 7.4% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.3% 5.7–9.6% 5.3–10.3%
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 14.3% 12.5–16.4% 12.0–17.0% 11.6–17.6% 10.8–18.6%
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 15.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.5–18.1% 12.0–18.6% 11.1–19.8%
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 9.1% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.2–11.5% 6.6–12.3%
22 May 2018 Episcenter 16.1% 14.4–17.9% 14.0–18.4% 13.6–18.9% 12.9–19.8%
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 9.9% 8.4–11.8% 7.9–12.3% 7.6–12.8% 6.9–13.8%
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 10.2% 8.6–12.2% 8.2–12.8% 7.8–13.2% 7.1–14.3%
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 10.1% 8.6–12.0% 8.2–12.5% 7.8–13.0% 7.1–13.9%
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 12.2% 10.5–14.3% 10.0–14.9% 9.6–15.4% 8.8–16.5%
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 15.3% 13.7–17.1% 13.2–17.6% 12.9–18.0% 12.1–18.9%
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 15.2% 13.7–17.0% 13.3–17.5% 12.9–17.9% 12.2–18.7%
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 18.0% 17.3–18.7% 17.1–18.9% 17.0–19.0% 16.7–19.3%
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 13.3% 11.9–15.0% 11.5–15.4% 11.2–15.8% 10.5–16.6%
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 13.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.7% 10.8–17.3% 9.9–18.4%
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 19.9% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.3% 16.4–24.0% 15.3–25.3%
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 16.5% 15.0–18.3% 14.5–18.8% 14.2–19.2% 13.4–20.1%
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 15.5% 13.5–17.9% 12.9–18.6% 12.4–19.2% 11.5–20.4%
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 20.8% 18.4–23.5% 17.8–24.2% 17.2–24.9% 16.1–26.2%
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 16.5% 14.9–18.3% 14.4–18.8% 14.0–19.2% 13.3–20.1%
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 17.4% 15.7–19.2% 15.3–19.7% 14.9–20.1% 14.2–21.0%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialni demokrati.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.1% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 1.1% 99.9% Last Result
6.5–7.5% 5% 98.8%  
7.5–8.5% 10% 94%  
8.5–9.5% 11% 83%  
9.5–10.5% 5% 73%  
10.5–11.5% 4% 68%  
11.5–12.5% 11% 64%  
12.5–13.5% 19% 53% Median
13.5–14.5% 14% 34%  
14.5–15.5% 7% 19%  
15.5–16.5% 6% 12%  
16.5–17.5% 4% 6%  
17.5–18.5% 2% 3%  
18.5–19.5% 0.6% 0.7%  
19.5–20.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 6 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12 7–15 7–16 6–17 6–18
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 11–15
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 8 7–9 7–10 6–10 6–11
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 7 6–9 6–9 5–9 5–10
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 8 7–10 7–10 6–11 6–11
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 12 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–15
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 14 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 13 11–15 11–16 10–16 10–17
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–11
22 May 2018 Episcenter 16 13–18 13–18 13–18 12–19
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 10 9–13 8–13 7–13 7–14
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 10 8–12 7–12 7–12 7–14
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 12 10–14 9–14 9–15 8–15
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 14 13–15 13–16 12–17 12–17
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 15 13–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 18 17–19 17–19 17–19 16–19
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 13 11–14 11–14 10–15 10–16
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 13 12–15 11–16 10–17 10–18
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 18 16–20 15–21 15–21 13–23
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 15 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 15 13–17 13–19 12–19 11–20
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 19 16–21 16–22 15–22 14–24
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 15 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–19
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 17 15–19 15–19 14–19 13–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialni demokrati.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 4% 99.5% Last Result
7 11% 96%  
8 10% 85%  
9 7% 75%  
10 3% 68%  
11 10% 65%  
12 14% 55% Median
13 20% 41%  
14 8% 21%  
15 4% 14%  
16 5% 10%  
17 2% 4%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%