Slovenska demokratska stranka

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 20.7% (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 25.6% 17.6–29.0% 16.9–29.9% 16.5–30.6% 15.8–32.1%
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 17.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.8% 15.7–19.1% 15.2–19.6%
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 26.1% 24.3–28.1% 23.8–28.6% 23.3–29.1% 22.5–30.0%
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 27.1% 25.3–29.1% 24.8–29.6% 24.4–30.1% 23.5–31.0%
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 24.3% 22.3–26.6% 21.7–27.2% 21.2–27.7% 20.3–28.8%
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 28.7% 26.5–31.0% 25.8–31.7% 25.3–32.3% 24.3–33.4%
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 25.6% 23.7–27.5% 23.2–28.0% 22.8–28.5% 22.0–29.5%
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 28.5% 26.4–30.7% 25.8–31.4% 25.3–31.9% 24.3–33.0%
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 17.2% 15.4–19.3% 14.9–19.9% 14.4–20.4% 13.6–21.5%
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 26.9% 24.6–29.3% 24.0–30.0% 23.5–30.6% 22.4–31.8%
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 23.2% 21.2–25.3% 20.7–25.9% 20.2–26.4% 19.4–27.4%
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 26.4% 24.0–28.9% 23.4–29.6% 22.8–30.3% 21.7–31.5%
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 25.3% 22.8–28.1% 22.1–28.9% 21.5–29.6% 20.4–30.9%
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 27.2% 25.1–29.4% 24.5–30.1% 24.0–30.6% 23.0–31.7%
22 May 2018 Episcenter 25.6% 23.6–27.7% 23.0–28.3% 22.6–28.8% 21.6–29.9%
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 22.7% 20.5–25.3% 19.8–26.0% 19.3–26.6% 18.2–27.8%
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 25.8% 23.4–28.5% 22.7–29.3% 22.1–29.9% 21.0–31.3%
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 24.0% 21.7–26.5% 21.1–27.2% 20.5–27.8% 19.5–29.1%
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 28.1% 25.6–30.8% 24.9–31.6% 24.3–32.3% 23.2–33.6%
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 25.9% 23.9–28.0% 23.3–28.6% 22.9–29.1% 21.9–30.1%
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 18.2% 16.5–20.0% 16.1–20.5% 15.7–21.0% 14.9–21.9%
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 18.2% 17.6–18.9% 17.4–19.1% 17.2–19.3% 16.9–19.6%
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 21.8% 20.1–23.8% 19.6–24.3% 19.2–24.8% 18.4–25.7%
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 21.9% 19.5–24.6% 18.9–25.4% 18.3–26.0% 17.2–27.4%
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 19.0% 16.7–21.6% 16.1–22.3% 15.5–23.0% 14.5–24.3%
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 17.5% 15.9–19.3% 15.5–19.8% 15.1–20.3% 14.3–21.1%
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 18.9% 16.7–21.5% 16.1–22.3% 15.5–22.9% 14.5–24.2%
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 19.2% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.5% 15.7–23.2% 14.7–24.5%
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 23.3% 21.5–25.4% 21.0–25.9% 20.5–26.4% 19.6–27.4%
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 18.2% 16.6–20.1% 16.1–20.6% 15.7–21.0% 15.0–21.9%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Slovenska demokratska stranka.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0.3% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 3% 99.7%  
16.5–17.5% 7% 97%  
17.5–18.5% 5% 90%  
18.5–19.5% 2% 85%  
19.5–20.5% 2% 83%  
20.5–21.5% 4% 81% Last Result
21.5–22.5% 5% 77%  
22.5–23.5% 5% 72%  
23.5–24.5% 6% 67%  
24.5–25.5% 10% 60%  
25.5–26.5% 13% 50% Median
26.5–27.5% 13% 37%  
27.5–28.5% 10% 24%  
28.5–29.5% 7% 13%  
29.5–30.5% 4% 6%  
30.5–31.5% 2% 3%  
31.5–32.5% 0.7% 1.0%  
32.5–33.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
33.5–34.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 21 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 25 16–28 16–28 16–29 15–30
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 16 15–18 15–18 15–19 15–20
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 25 23–28 23–28 22–28 21–30
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 25 23–27 23–28 23–28 22–30
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 23 21–26 20–26 20–26 19–28
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 27 25–29 24–30 24–31 23–32
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 24 23–26 22–28 22–28 21–29
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 26 24–29 24–29 23–30 23–31
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 15 14–19 14–19 14–19 13–20
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 26 24–28 23–29 23–29 22–31
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 22 20–24 19–24 18–25 18–26
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 24 24–26 23–26 23–28 22–30
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 23 21–26 20–26 20–27 18–28
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 25 23–28 22–28 22–29 21–30
22 May 2018 Episcenter 25 23–28 22–28 21–28 21–29
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 22 19–24 18–24 17–25 16–26
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 27 23–30 23–30 23–32 21–36
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 23 21–25 20–26 19–27 18–29
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 27 25–29 24–30 23–31 22–32
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 24 23–26 23–27 22–27 21–29
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 18 16–20 16–20 15–21 14–22
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 18 17–19 17–19 17–19 17–20
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 22 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–25
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 21 19–25 18–25 17–25 17–27
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 16 14–18 14–18 14–19 13–20
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 18 16–20 16–22 15–23 14–24
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 17 15–19 14–20 14–21 13–22
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 23 21–25 20–26 20–26 18–27
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 18 16–19 15–20 15–20 14–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Slovenska demokratska stranka.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 2% 99.9%  
16 9% 98%  
17 3% 89%  
18 3% 86%  
19 3% 83%  
20 1.1% 80%  
21 3% 79% Last Result
22 3% 76%  
23 12% 72%  
24 10% 60%  
25 17% 50% Median
26 11% 33%  
27 10% 22%  
28 9% 12%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.6% 1.1%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%