Stranka modernega centra

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 34.5% (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.8% 5.4–9.9% 5.0–10.5% 4.7–11.0% 4.2–11.8%
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 8.1% 7.4–9.0% 7.2–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.7–9.9%
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 9.8% 8.6–11.2% 8.3–11.6% 8.0–11.9% 7.5–12.6%
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.4% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.4%
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 7.1% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–9.0% 5.4–9.3% 4.9–10.1%
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 7.5% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.4% 5.7–9.8% 5.2–10.5%
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.5% 7.1–10.8% 6.6–11.5%
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 6.9% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.7% 5.3–9.0% 4.8–9.7%
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 5.5% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3% 4.0–7.6% 3.5–8.3%
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 9.0% 7.7–10.7% 7.3–11.2% 7.0–11.6% 6.4–12.4%
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 6.6% 5.6–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 5.0–8.7% 4.6–9.4%
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 9.4% 8.0–11.2% 7.6–11.8% 7.2–12.2% 6.6–13.1%
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 9.9% 8.3–11.9% 7.8–12.5% 7.4–13.0% 6.7–14.0%
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 8.7% 7.4–10.2% 7.1–10.6% 6.8–11.0% 6.2–11.8%
22 May 2018 Episcenter 5.6% 4.7–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.2–7.5% 3.8–8.2%
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 6.9% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1% 5.0–9.5% 4.5–10.3%
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 6.5% 5.2–8.1% 4.9–8.6% 4.6–9.0% 4.1–9.9%
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 7.2% 6.0–8.9% 5.6–9.4% 5.3–9.8% 4.8–10.6%
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 8.8% 7.3–10.6% 6.9–11.1% 6.6–11.6% 5.9–12.5%
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 8.9% 7.7–10.3% 7.3–10.8% 7.1–11.1% 6.5–11.9%
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 7.8% 7.3–8.3% 7.2–8.4% 7.1–8.5% 6.9–8.8%
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 6.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.6–7.8% 4.2–8.4%
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 7.1% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4% 5.0–9.9% 4.5–10.8%
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 11.5% 9.7–13.7% 9.2–14.3% 8.8–14.9% 8.0–16.0%
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 11.6% 10.3–13.1% 9.9–13.6% 9.6–14.0% 9.0–14.7%
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 10.3% 8.6–12.4% 8.2–13.0% 7.8–13.5% 7.0–14.5%
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 12.4% 10.5–14.6% 10.0–15.3% 9.6–15.9% 8.8–17.0%
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 5.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.9–7.0% 3.5–7.6%
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 7.6% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.3% 6.0–9.7% 5.5–10.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Stranka modernega centra.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 2% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 10% 98%  
5.5–6.5% 17% 88%  
6.5–7.5% 16% 72%  
7.5–8.5% 23% 56% Median
8.5–9.5% 18% 33%  
9.5–10.5% 10% 15%  
10.5–11.5% 4% 5%  
11.5–12.5% 0.8% 0.9%  
12.5–13.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 0%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 0%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 0%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 0%  
31.5–32.5% 0% 0%  
32.5–33.5% 0% 0%  
33.5–34.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 36 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7 5–9 5–10 4–11 4–11
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 8 7–8 7–8 6–9 6–9
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 8 7–9 7–9 6–10 6–10
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 6 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–11
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–9
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 5 4–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–11
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–8
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 6–12
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 8 7–10 6–10 6–11 5–12
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
22 May 2018 Episcenter 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 0–8
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 6 5–8 4–8 4–8 4–10
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 6 5–9 4–9 4–9 0–10
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 7 5–8 5–9 5–9 4–10
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 8 6–10 6–10 6–11 5–12
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 9 7–9 7–9 7–10 6–11
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–8
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 6 5–7 5–7 4–7 4–8
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 7 5–8 5–9 4–10 4–10
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 11 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–14
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 9 8–12 7–13 7–13 6–14
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 7–15
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 5 4–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Stranka modernega centra.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0.1% 99.8%  
4 4% 99.7%  
5 15% 95%  
6 18% 80%  
7 21% 62% Median
8 21% 41%  
9 12% 21%  
10 5% 9%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result