Opinion Poll by Delo Stik for Delo, 29 March–5 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 20.8% 19.1–22.7% 18.6–23.2% 18.1–23.7% 17.3–24.6%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 17.5% 15.9–19.3% 15.5–19.8% 15.1–20.3% 14.3–21.1%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 16.5% 15.0–18.3% 14.5–18.8% 14.2–19.2% 13.4–20.1%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 11.6% 10.3–13.1% 9.9–13.6% 9.6–14.0% 9.0–14.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 8.3% 7.2–9.7% 6.9–10.1% 6.6–10.4% 6.1–11.1%
Levica 6.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4% 5.2–8.7% 4.8–9.3%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 4.5% 3.7–5.5% 3.4–5.8% 3.3–6.1% 2.9–6.7%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.1% 2.2–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 19 17–21 17–21 16–22 16–23
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 16 14–18 14–18 14–19 13–20
Socialni demokrati 6 15 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
Stranka modernega centra 36 11 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–14
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Levica 6 6 5–7 5–7 4–8 4–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.3% 100%  
16 2% 99.6%  
17 10% 97%  
18 20% 87%  
19 26% 67% Median
20 23% 41%  
21 13% 18%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.2% 1.5%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 2% 99.8%  
14 8% 98%  
15 22% 90%  
16 35% 68% Median
17 19% 33%  
18 10% 14%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
22 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.9%  
13 7% 98.6%  
14 20% 92%  
15 34% 72% Median
16 24% 38%  
17 9% 14%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 15% 98%  
10 32% 82%  
11 33% 50% Median
12 14% 18%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.2% 100% Last Result
6 15% 98.8%  
7 39% 84% Median
8 29% 44%  
9 13% 15%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 26% 97%  
6 42% 71% Last Result, Median
7 24% 29%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100%  
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 12% 75%  
4 50% 64% Median
5 12% 13%  
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 14% 32%  
4 17% 18% Last Result
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 57 100% 54–59 53–59 53–60 52–61
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 55 100% 53–58 52–59 51–59 50–60
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 52 100% 49–55 49–56 48–57 47–58
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 49 96% 46–52 46–52 45–53 44–54
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 48 89% 45–51 44–51 44–52 42–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 45 40% 42–47 42–48 41–49 39–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 45 40% 42–47 42–48 41–49 40–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 42 3% 39–45 39–45 38–46 37–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 38 0% 35–41 35–42 34–42 33–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 37 0% 35–40 34–41 33–41 32–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 35 0% 33–38 32–38 32–39 31–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 34 0% 32–37 31–37 31–38 30–39
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 29 0% 26–31 25–32 24–33 23–34

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 1.0% 99.6%  
53 6% 98.6%  
54 6% 92%  
55 14% 86%  
56 18% 73% Median
57 28% 54%  
58 12% 27%  
59 10% 14%  
60 3% 4%  
61 0.7% 1.0% Last Result
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.8% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.0%  
52 6% 97%  
53 12% 91%  
54 13% 79%  
55 17% 66%  
56 16% 49% Median
57 19% 33% Last Result
58 8% 14%  
59 5% 6%  
60 1.2% 1.4%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100% Majority
47 0.6% 99.8% Last Result
48 3% 99.1%  
49 7% 96%  
50 11% 90%  
51 12% 78%  
52 18% 66% Median
53 23% 48%  
54 9% 25%  
55 8% 16%  
56 5% 8%  
57 2% 4%  
58 1.3% 1.5%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.8% 99.7%  
45 3% 99.0%  
46 8% 96% Majority
47 10% 88%  
48 17% 79%  
49 18% 62% Median
50 19% 43%  
51 14% 24%  
52 7% 10%  
53 3% 3%  
54 0.5% 0.8%  
55 0.3% 0.3%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.9%  
43 1.3% 99.4%  
44 3% 98%  
45 6% 95%  
46 14% 89% Majority
47 17% 74%  
48 19% 57%  
49 14% 39% Median
50 14% 25%  
51 7% 11%  
52 3% 4% Last Result
53 0.8% 0.9%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.9%  
40 1.3% 99.3%  
41 3% 98%  
42 9% 95%  
43 13% 86%  
44 16% 73%  
45 17% 57% Median
46 18% 40% Majority
47 12% 22%  
48 6% 9%  
49 3% 3%  
50 0.4% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.8% 99.7%  
41 3% 98.9%  
42 9% 96% Last Result
43 14% 87%  
44 16% 73%  
45 17% 57% Median
46 20% 40% Majority
47 10% 20%  
48 5% 9%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.7% 1.4%  
51 0.5% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 100%  
37 0.9% 99.7%  
38 3% 98.8%  
39 9% 95%  
40 13% 86%  
41 17% 74% Median
42 22% 57%  
43 17% 35%  
44 7% 18%  
45 7% 11%  
46 2% 3% Majority
47 0.8% 1.3%  
48 0.5% 0.5%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.8% 99.8%  
34 3% 99.0%  
35 6% 96%  
36 8% 90%  
37 16% 82%  
38 18% 66%  
39 22% 48% Median
40 12% 26%  
41 8% 14%  
42 4% 6%  
43 1.1% 1.4%  
44 0.3% 0.3%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.3% 100%  
32 0.6% 99.6%  
33 2% 99.0%  
34 5% 97%  
35 11% 92%  
36 14% 81%  
37 20% 68%  
38 16% 47% Median
39 16% 31%  
40 10% 16%  
41 4% 6%  
42 2% 2%  
43 0.3% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.3% 100%  
31 2% 99.6%  
32 5% 98%  
33 11% 93%  
34 15% 82%  
35 27% 67% Median
36 14% 40%  
37 13% 26%  
38 10% 13%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.8% 1.2%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.2% 100%  
30 1.0% 99.7%  
31 5% 98.8%  
32 10% 94%  
33 16% 84%  
34 22% 68% Median
35 19% 46%  
36 16% 27%  
37 6% 11%  
38 3% 5%  
39 1.4% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.6% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.2%  
25 4% 97%  
26 8% 93%  
27 11% 85%  
28 15% 74%  
29 22% 59%  
30 17% 37% Median
31 12% 20%  
32 6% 8%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.6% 0.7%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations