Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik, 9–11 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 19.9% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.3% 16.4–24.0% 15.3–25.3%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 19.4% 17.1–22.1% 16.5–22.8% 16.0–23.5% 14.9–24.8%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 19.0% 16.7–21.6% 16.1–22.3% 15.5–23.0% 14.5–24.3%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 11.5% 9.7–13.7% 9.2–14.3% 8.8–14.9% 8.0–16.0%
Levica 6.0% 8.2% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.7% 6.0–11.2% 5.3–12.2%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 7.0% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4% 5.0–9.9% 4.4–10.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 6.8% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.1% 4.8–9.6% 4.2–10.5%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 0.2% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1% 0.0–1.3% 0.0–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati 6 18 16–20 15–21 15–21 13–23
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 17 15–20 15–20 14–21 13–22
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Stranka modernega centra 36 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
Levica 6 7 6–9 5–9 5–10 4–11
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 6 5–8 4–8 4–8 4–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 4–7 4–8 4–8 3–9
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 6% 98%  
16 15% 91%  
17 23% 76%  
18 23% 53% Median
19 17% 30%  
20 8% 13%  
21 4% 5%  
22 1.1% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.9%  
14 4% 98.9%  
15 10% 95%  
16 18% 85%  
17 24% 67% Median
18 19% 43%  
19 14% 24%  
20 7% 10%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.8% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 6% 98%  
15 12% 92%  
16 22% 80%  
17 22% 58% Median
18 19% 36%  
19 10% 17%  
20 5% 7%  
21 2% 2% Last Result
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 10% 98%  
9 22% 88%  
10 28% 66% Median
11 22% 38%  
12 11% 16%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 7% 99.3%  
6 23% 92% Last Result
7 31% 69% Median
8 24% 38%  
9 10% 14%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0.3% 99.9%  
4 6% 99.6%  
5 24% 94%  
6 36% 69% Median
7 23% 33%  
8 8% 10%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0.6% 99.7%  
4 9% 99.1%  
5 29% 90% Last Result
6 34% 61% Median
7 19% 27%  
8 6% 7%  
9 1.2% 1.4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 57 100% 54–60 54–60 53–61 52–62
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 57 57 100% 54–60 54–60 53–61 52–62
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 51 99.5% 48–54 48–55 47–55 46–57
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 51 99.5% 48–54 48–55 47–55 46–57
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 51 99.4% 48–54 48–54 47–55 45–57
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 21 47 75% 44–50 43–50 43–51 41–53
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 42 45 41% 42–48 42–49 41–49 39–51
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 41 2% 38–44 38–45 37–45 35–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 41 2% 39–43 38–44 37–45 35–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 40 0.9% 37–43 37–44 36–45 35–46
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 6 35 0% 33–38 32–38 31–39 30–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 34 0% 31–37 31–38 30–39 29–40
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 34 0% 31–37 30–38 30–38 28–40

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 1.2% 99.5%  
53 3% 98%  
54 7% 95%  
55 12% 89%  
56 16% 77%  
57 21% 61% Median
58 17% 40%  
59 12% 24%  
60 7% 12%  
61 3% 5% Last Result
62 1.2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 1.2% 99.5%  
53 3% 98%  
54 7% 95%  
55 12% 89%  
56 16% 77%  
57 21% 61% Last Result, Median
58 17% 40%  
59 12% 24%  
60 7% 12%  
61 3% 5%  
62 1.2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 1.2% 99.5% Majority
47 3% 98%  
48 7% 95%  
49 10% 89%  
50 17% 79%  
51 18% 61% Median
52 15% 43%  
53 13% 28%  
54 8% 14%  
55 4% 7%  
56 1.5% 2% Last Result
57 0.6% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 1.2% 99.5% Majority
47 3% 98%  
48 7% 95%  
49 10% 89%  
50 17% 79%  
51 18% 61% Median
52 15% 43% Last Result
53 13% 28%  
54 8% 14%  
55 4% 7%  
56 1.5% 2%  
57 0.6% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.8%  
46 1.1% 99.4% Majority
47 3% 98% Last Result
48 7% 95%  
49 12% 89%  
50 18% 77%  
51 21% 59% Median
52 16% 38%  
53 11% 21%  
54 6% 10%  
55 3% 5%  
56 1.1% 2%  
57 0.5% 0.7%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.4% 99.8%  
42 1.4% 99.4%  
43 3% 98%  
44 7% 95%  
45 13% 88%  
46 17% 75% Majority
47 20% 58% Median
48 16% 37%  
49 11% 22%  
50 6% 11%  
51 3% 5%  
52 1.2% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.4% 99.9%  
40 1.1% 99.5%  
41 3% 98%  
42 7% 95% Last Result
43 11% 89%  
44 17% 77%  
45 19% 60% Median
46 16% 41% Majority
47 12% 25%  
48 7% 13%  
49 4% 6%  
50 1.5% 2%  
51 0.6% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 1.2% 99.5%  
37 3% 98%  
38 6% 95%  
39 13% 89%  
40 15% 76%  
41 19% 60% Median
42 17% 41%  
43 11% 24%  
44 7% 13%  
45 4% 6%  
46 1.5% 2% Majority
47 0.6% 0.8%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.7%  
36 1.4% 99.1%  
37 2% 98%  
38 5% 95%  
39 11% 91%  
40 23% 79%  
41 23% 56% Median
42 17% 32%  
43 8% 16%  
44 3% 8%  
45 3% 5%  
46 2% 2% Majority
47 0.6% 0.8%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 99.6%  
36 3% 98.5%  
37 6% 96%  
38 11% 90%  
39 16% 79%  
40 18% 63% Median
41 16% 45%  
42 13% 29%  
43 9% 16%  
44 4% 7%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.7% 0.9% Majority
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 1.1% 99.5%  
31 3% 98%  
32 5% 96%  
33 13% 91%  
34 18% 78%  
35 23% 60% Median
36 18% 37%  
37 9% 19%  
38 6% 10%  
39 3% 5%  
40 1.2% 2%  
41 0.6% 0.8%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 1.1% 99.6%  
30 3% 98.6%  
31 6% 96%  
32 11% 90%  
33 16% 78%  
34 19% 62% Median
35 16% 43%  
36 13% 27%  
37 8% 15%  
38 4% 7%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 0.8%  
41 0.2% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 1.5% 99.4%  
30 4% 98%  
31 8% 94%  
32 12% 86%  
33 18% 74%  
34 19% 57% Median
35 14% 37%  
36 12% 24%  
37 6% 11%  
38 3% 5%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.4% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations