Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Mladina, 21–22 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 25.3% 22.8–28.1% 22.1–28.9% 21.5–29.6% 20.4–30.9%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 15.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.5–18.1% 12.0–18.6% 11.1–19.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 13.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.6% 10.8–17.2% 10.0–18.3%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 9.9% 8.3–11.9% 7.8–12.5% 7.4–13.0% 6.7–14.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 9.0% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5% 6.7–12.0% 6.0–13.0%
Levica 6.0% 7.2% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.5% 5.1–10.0% 4.5–10.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 6.5% 5.2–8.2% 4.9–8.7% 4.6–9.2% 4.0–10.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 23 21–26 20–26 20–27 18–28
Socialni demokrati 6 13 11–15 11–16 10–16 10–17
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 12 10–14 10–15 9–15 9–16
Stranka modernega centra 36 8 7–10 6–10 6–11 5–12
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 8 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Levica 6 6 5–7 4–8 4–8 4–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 4–7 4–8 4–8 3–9

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.8%  
19 2% 99.3%  
20 4% 98%  
21 10% 93% Last Result
22 17% 83%  
23 23% 66% Median
24 19% 43%  
25 14% 24%  
26 7% 10%  
27 3% 4%  
28 0.7% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 100%  
10 3% 99.6%  
11 10% 97%  
12 21% 87%  
13 25% 65% Median
14 20% 41%  
15 13% 20%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.5% 100%  
9 3% 99.5%  
10 11% 96%  
11 22% 85%  
12 27% 63% Median
13 20% 36%  
14 11% 16%  
15 4% 5%  
16 1.1% 1.4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 6% 99.4%  
7 22% 94%  
8 32% 72% Median
9 26% 40%  
10 10% 14%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.9% 1.1%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 12% 98%  
7 28% 85%  
8 30% 57% Median
9 19% 27%  
10 7% 9% Last Result
11 2% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0.3% 99.8%  
4 8% 99.5%  
5 30% 91%  
6 36% 62% Last Result, Median
7 19% 26%  
8 5% 7%  
9 1.2% 1.4%  
10 0.2% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0.5% 99.7%  
4 9% 99.2%  
5 30% 90% Last Result
6 33% 60% Median
7 20% 27%  
8 5% 7%  
9 1.0% 1.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 57 47 77% 44–50 44–51 43–51 42–53
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 43 12% 40–46 39–47 39–47 37–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 41 2% 39–44 38–45 37–45 36–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 39 0.3% 36–42 36–43 35–44 34–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 21 39 0.1% 36–42 35–42 35–43 33–45
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 35 0% 33–38 32–39 31–39 30–41
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 42 33 0% 31–36 30–37 29–38 28–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 33 0% 30–36 30–37 29–37 28–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 31 0% 28–34 28–35 27–35 26–37
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 29 0% 27–32 26–33 25–33 24–35
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 6 25 0% 23–28 22–29 21–29 20–30

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.4% 99.9%  
42 1.1% 99.5%  
43 3% 98%  
44 7% 95%  
45 11% 88%  
46 16% 77% Majority
47 18% 61% Median
48 18% 43%  
49 11% 25%  
50 8% 14%  
51 3% 5%  
52 1.5% 2%  
53 0.5% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.5% 99.8%  
38 1.3% 99.4%  
39 3% 98%  
40 6% 95%  
41 12% 88%  
42 17% 76%  
43 18% 59% Median
44 16% 41%  
45 14% 26%  
46 7% 12% Majority
47 4% 5%  
48 1.1% 2%  
49 0.4% 0.5%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.8% 99.7%  
37 2% 98.9%  
38 7% 97%  
39 10% 90%  
40 18% 81%  
41 18% 63% Median
42 17% 45%  
43 14% 28%  
44 7% 14%  
45 4% 7%  
46 2% 2% Majority
47 0.6% 0.9%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.7%  
35 3% 98.6%  
36 6% 96%  
37 11% 90%  
38 15% 79%  
39 19% 64% Median
40 15% 45%  
41 14% 30%  
42 9% 16%  
43 5% 7%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.7% 1.0%  
46 0.2% 0.3% Majority
47 0% 0.1% Last Result
48 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.4%  
35 4% 98%  
36 9% 94%  
37 12% 85%  
38 18% 73%  
39 17% 56% Median
40 16% 39%  
41 11% 22%  
42 6% 11%  
43 3% 5%  
44 1.3% 2%  
45 0.4% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 1.0% 99.5%  
31 2% 98.5%  
32 5% 96%  
33 10% 91%  
34 18% 81%  
35 19% 63% Median
36 16% 44%  
37 14% 28%  
38 8% 14%  
39 4% 6%  
40 1.4% 2%  
41 0.4% 0.6%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.3%  
30 4% 97%  
31 10% 93%  
32 15% 83%  
33 19% 68% Median
34 19% 49%  
35 13% 29%  
36 9% 17%  
37 4% 8%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.7% 1.0%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 1.0% 99.7%  
29 3% 98.6%  
30 8% 96%  
31 12% 88%  
32 17% 76%  
33 18% 59% Median
34 16% 41%  
35 12% 24%  
36 7% 12%  
37 3% 5%  
38 1.4% 2%  
39 0.4% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.9%  
26 1.0% 99.7%  
27 3% 98.7%  
28 7% 95%  
29 12% 89%  
30 18% 76%  
31 17% 58% Median
32 15% 41%  
33 13% 26%  
34 7% 13%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.6%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.3%  
26 5% 97%  
27 11% 92%  
28 16% 81%  
29 21% 64% Median
30 18% 43%  
31 12% 26%  
32 8% 13%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.3% 2%  
35 0.5% 0.7%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.4%  
22 6% 97%  
23 11% 92%  
24 18% 81%  
25 19% 63% Median
26 18% 44%  
27 13% 26%  
28 8% 13%  
29 4% 5%  
30 1.4% 2%  
31 0.4% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations