Opinion Poll by Celeste-Tel for eldiario.es, 5–9 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular 33.0% 28.9% 27.2–30.7% 26.7–31.2% 26.3–31.7% 25.5–32.5%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 25.5% 23.9–27.3% 23.4–27.8% 23.0–28.2% 22.3–29.1%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 19.3% 17.8–20.9% 17.4–21.3% 17.0–21.7% 16.4–22.5%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 16.5% 15.2–18.1% 14.8–18.5% 14.5–18.9% 13.8–19.6%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.9%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega 0.2% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular 137 115 111–123 105–126 101–130 99–130
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 96 85–106 85–111 85–111 85–111
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 64 55–69 55–72 52–72 50–74
Unidos Podemos 71 44 41–57 39–57 39–57 35–58
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 11 8–15 7–15 7–15 7–15
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 8 5–9 4–9 4–9 2–10
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 3–9
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 2–4 1–5 1–6 0–7
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega 0 0 0 0 0–2 0–2

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.6% 99.9%  
100 0.4% 99.3%  
101 3% 99.0%  
102 0% 96%  
103 0.1% 96%  
104 0.8% 96%  
105 0.7% 96%  
106 0.1% 95%  
107 0.1% 95%  
108 0.1% 95%  
109 0.3% 95%  
110 0.2% 94%  
111 5% 94%  
112 0% 89%  
113 21% 89%  
114 0.5% 68%  
115 31% 68% Median
116 0.1% 36%  
117 12% 36%  
118 5% 25%  
119 0.5% 20%  
120 0.2% 20%  
121 6% 19%  
122 2% 14%  
123 2% 12%  
124 3% 10%  
125 0% 7%  
126 3% 7%  
127 0.2% 4%  
128 0.1% 4%  
129 0.6% 4%  
130 3% 3%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 11% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.2% 89%  
87 0.1% 89%  
88 3% 89%  
89 0.1% 85%  
90 0.1% 85%  
91 19% 85%  
92 3% 67%  
93 3% 63%  
94 0.9% 61%  
95 0.2% 60%  
96 31% 59% Median
97 0.2% 28%  
98 6% 28%  
99 0% 22%  
100 0.2% 22%  
101 0.2% 22%  
102 5% 22%  
103 0.5% 17%  
104 2% 16%  
105 0.5% 14%  
106 5% 13%  
107 2% 8%  
108 0.6% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0.6% 6%  
111 5% 5%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.5% 99.7%  
51 2% 99.2%  
52 0% 98%  
53 0.2% 97%  
54 0.1% 97%  
55 8% 97%  
56 0.7% 89%  
57 0.1% 89%  
58 0.1% 88%  
59 22% 88%  
60 3% 66%  
61 1.3% 63%  
62 6% 62%  
63 0.3% 56%  
64 9% 56% Median
65 0.7% 47%  
66 0.6% 46%  
67 33% 46%  
68 2% 13%  
69 0.1% 10%  
70 0.1% 10%  
71 0.5% 10%  
72 8% 9%  
73 0% 1.1%  
74 0.6% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.4%  
76 0.4% 0.4%  
77 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.5% 99.8%  
36 0.2% 99.3%  
37 0.1% 99.1%  
38 0.9% 99.0%  
39 5% 98%  
40 0.3% 93%  
41 5% 93%  
42 5% 88%  
43 33% 83%  
44 6% 50% Median
45 7% 44%  
46 0.7% 37%  
47 0.1% 36%  
48 8% 36%  
49 0.2% 28%  
50 0.9% 27%  
51 0.8% 26%  
52 0.6% 26%  
53 2% 25%  
54 0% 23%  
55 3% 23%  
56 0.5% 19%  
57 18% 19%  
58 0.5% 0.7%  
59 0% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 8% 99.9%  
8 13% 92%  
9 7% 79% Last Result
10 0.7% 71%  
11 31% 71% Median
12 6% 39%  
13 9% 34%  
14 0.3% 24%  
15 24% 24%  
16 0% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 0.4% 99.7%  
3 1.4% 99.3%  
4 7% 98%  
5 24% 91%  
6 13% 67%  
7 0.2% 55%  
8 40% 54% Last Result, Median
9 13% 14%  
10 0.8% 0.8%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.9%  
3 2% 99.6%  
4 3% 98%  
5 6% 95% Last Result
6 78% 89% Median
7 6% 11%  
8 4% 5%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 3% 98%  
2 36% 95% Last Result
3 2% 59%  
4 51% 57% Median
5 3% 6%  
6 1.4% 3%  
7 1.3% 2%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 37% 61% Last Result, Median
2 22% 23%  
3 1.2% 1.3%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 3%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 278 100% 263–282 263–286 263–286 263–288
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 222 211 100% 204–222 202–222 202–226 194–231
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 206 100% 199–213 198–214 191–217 191–229
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 182 69% 174–190 173–190 169–193 162–193
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 182 62% 172–189 170–189 168–192 161–192
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 168 31% 160–176 160–177 157–181 157–188
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 160 0.9% 150–167 150–175 144–175 144–177
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 158 1.3% 150–168 150–168 146–171 146–179
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 154 0.1% 146–165 145–165 145–169 145–173
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 149 0% 143–159 142–161 140–163 140–170
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 139 0% 133–150 133–151 129–154 129–162
Partido Popular 137 115 0% 111–123 105–126 101–130 99–130
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 96 0% 85–106 85–111 85–111 85–111

Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 18% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 82%  
265 0.1% 82%  
266 0.1% 82%  
267 0.9% 81%  
268 0.6% 81%  
269 0.6% 80%  
270 3% 79%  
271 0.3% 76%  
272 0.1% 76%  
273 1.1% 76%  
274 8% 75%  
275 7% 67% Median
276 0.5% 60%  
277 9% 59%  
278 31% 50%  
279 3% 19%  
280 5% 16%  
281 0.3% 11%  
282 3% 11%  
283 0.2% 8%  
284 0.6% 8%  
285 2% 8%  
286 5% 6%  
287 0.2% 0.7%  
288 0.1% 0.6%  
289 0% 0.5%  
290 0% 0.5%  
291 0% 0.5%  
292 0.4% 0.5%  
293 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0.5% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.5%  
196 0% 99.5%  
197 0.1% 99.4%  
198 0% 99.3%  
199 0.6% 99.3%  
200 0% 98.7%  
201 0.1% 98.7%  
202 8% 98.6%  
203 0.1% 90%  
204 18% 90%  
205 0% 72%  
206 0% 72%  
207 0.2% 72%  
208 3% 72%  
209 0.9% 69%  
210 0.1% 69%  
211 34% 68% Median
212 0.7% 34%  
213 3% 34%  
214 3% 30%  
215 3% 28%  
216 0.3% 25%  
217 0.2% 24%  
218 4% 24%  
219 3% 20%  
220 5% 17%  
221 0.3% 12%  
222 7% 12% Last Result
223 0.4% 5%  
224 0.1% 4%  
225 0% 4%  
226 2% 4%  
227 0% 2%  
228 0% 2%  
229 2% 2%  
230 0% 0.6%  
231 0.5% 0.6%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0.1% 0.1%  
234 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0% 100%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9% Last Result
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 3% 99.8%  
192 0% 97%  
193 0.4% 97%  
194 0.3% 96%  
195 0.7% 96%  
196 0.2% 95%  
197 0% 95%  
198 4% 95%  
199 4% 91%  
200 0.2% 87%  
201 0.1% 87%  
202 5% 87%  
203 0.3% 82%  
204 4% 81% Median
205 9% 77%  
206 35% 68%  
207 18% 33%  
208 0.2% 15%  
209 0.4% 14%  
210 3% 14%  
211 0.1% 11%  
212 0.5% 11%  
213 0.6% 10%  
214 5% 10%  
215 0.2% 5%  
216 0.3% 5%  
217 2% 5%  
218 0.1% 2%  
219 0.1% 2%  
220 0% 2%  
221 0.1% 2%  
222 0.1% 2%  
223 0.6% 2%  
224 0.1% 1.5%  
225 0% 1.4%  
226 0.3% 1.4%  
227 0.5% 1.1%  
228 0% 0.5%  
229 0.5% 0.5%  
230 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.6% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.3%  
164 0% 99.3%  
165 0% 99.2%  
166 0.5% 99.2%  
167 0% 98.7%  
168 0.5% 98.7%  
169 3% 98%  
170 0.1% 96% Last Result
171 0.1% 96%  
172 0.1% 95%  
173 0.4% 95%  
174 26% 95%  
175 0.2% 69%  
176 6% 69% Majority
177 0.9% 62%  
178 0.3% 61%  
179 0.2% 61%  
180 5% 61% Median
181 3% 56%  
182 31% 53%  
183 0.1% 22%  
184 0.3% 22%  
185 3% 22%  
186 3% 18%  
187 0.3% 15%  
188 0.5% 15%  
189 3% 14%  
190 8% 12%  
191 0.2% 4%  
192 0% 3%  
193 3% 3%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.3%  
197 0.2% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.6% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.3%  
163 0.1% 99.3%  
164 0.5% 99.2%  
165 0% 98.7%  
166 0.5% 98.7%  
167 0% 98%  
168 2% 98%  
169 0.7% 96% Last Result
170 0.5% 96%  
171 0.1% 95%  
172 18% 95%  
173 8% 77%  
174 2% 69%  
175 5% 67%  
176 0.4% 62% Majority
177 0.3% 61%  
178 0.8% 61%  
179 5% 60% Median
180 0.5% 55%  
181 2% 54%  
182 31% 53%  
183 0% 22%  
184 0.8% 22%  
185 6% 21%  
186 0.4% 15%  
187 0.2% 15%  
188 0.2% 14%  
189 11% 14%  
190 0% 4%  
191 0.2% 3%  
192 3% 3%  
193 0% 0.4%  
194 0% 0.3%  
195 0.2% 0.3%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 3% 99.6%  
158 0% 97%  
159 0.3% 97%  
160 11% 96%  
161 0.3% 86%  
162 0.5% 85%  
163 3% 85%  
164 0.1% 82%  
165 3% 82%  
166 0.2% 78%  
167 0% 78%  
168 34% 78%  
169 3% 44% Median
170 3% 42%  
171 0.3% 39%  
172 0.3% 39%  
173 0.8% 39%  
174 6% 38%  
175 0.4% 31%  
176 26% 31% Majority
177 0.4% 5%  
178 0.1% 5%  
179 0% 5%  
180 0.1% 4% Last Result
181 3% 4%  
182 0.5% 2%  
183 0% 1.3%  
184 0.5% 1.3%  
185 0% 0.8%  
186 0% 0.8%  
187 0% 0.7%  
188 0.6% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.9%  
144 3% 99.7%  
145 0% 97%  
146 0.1% 97%  
147 0.2% 97%  
148 0% 97%  
149 0.2% 97%  
150 21% 97%  
151 0.2% 76%  
152 0.7% 75%  
153 2% 75%  
154 0.6% 72%  
155 0.2% 72%  
156 3% 71%  
157 15% 68%  
158 0.3% 53%  
159 0.2% 52%  
160 3% 52% Median
161 2% 49%  
162 0.6% 47%  
163 32% 46%  
164 0.2% 13%  
165 0.4% 13%  
166 3% 13%  
167 0.2% 10%  
168 0.1% 10%  
169 0.3% 10%  
170 0.4% 9%  
171 0% 9%  
172 0.8% 9%  
173 0.6% 8%  
174 2% 8%  
175 5% 6%  
176 0.1% 0.9% Majority
177 0.5% 0.8%  
178 0% 0.3%  
179 0% 0.3%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 3% 99.8%  
147 0.2% 97%  
148 0.2% 97%  
149 0.2% 96%  
150 8% 96%  
151 2% 88%  
152 0.2% 85%  
153 0.1% 85%  
154 0.4% 85%  
155 4% 85%  
156 0.1% 81%  
157 3% 81%  
158 32% 78%  
159 5% 46% Median
160 0.3% 42%  
161 0.3% 41%  
162 0.1% 41%  
163 2% 41%  
164 0% 39%  
165 6% 39%  
166 6% 33%  
167 0.4% 28%  
168 23% 27%  
169 0.7% 5%  
170 0.1% 4%  
171 2% 4%  
172 0% 2%  
173 0% 2% Last Result
174 0% 2%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.1% 1.3% Majority
177 0% 1.2%  
178 0.6% 1.2%  
179 0.5% 0.6%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 8% 99.8%  
146 3% 91%  
147 0.1% 89%  
148 0.2% 88%  
149 3% 88%  
150 0.6% 85%  
151 0.8% 85%  
152 3% 84%  
153 0% 81%  
154 35% 81%  
155 0.1% 46% Median
156 0.2% 46%  
157 0.9% 46%  
158 3% 45%  
159 7% 42%  
160 2% 34%  
161 3% 32%  
162 0.2% 29%  
163 0.5% 29%  
164 6% 29%  
165 18% 23%  
166 0.2% 5%  
167 2% 5% Last Result
168 0% 3%  
169 0.2% 3%  
170 0% 2%  
171 0% 2%  
172 2% 2%  
173 0.6% 0.7%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 3% 99.6%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 3% 96%  
143 8% 93%  
144 0.4% 85%  
145 0% 84%  
146 0.3% 84%  
147 3% 84%  
148 3% 81%  
149 31% 78%  
150 0.6% 47% Median
151 3% 46%  
152 0.1% 44%  
153 0.1% 43%  
154 0.1% 43%  
155 7% 43%  
156 20% 37%  
157 0.3% 16%  
158 6% 16%  
159 2% 10%  
160 3% 9%  
161 3% 6%  
162 0.2% 3%  
163 0% 3% Last Result
164 0% 2%  
165 0% 2%  
166 0% 2%  
167 1.1% 2%  
168 0% 1.3%  
169 0.5% 1.3%  
170 0.7% 0.8%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.8%  
129 3% 99.6%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0.1% 97%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 8% 96%  
134 4% 88%  
135 0.1% 84%  
136 0.3% 84%  
137 1.1% 84%  
138 3% 83%  
139 31% 80%  
140 3% 50% Median
141 0.2% 46%  
142 3% 46%  
143 0.1% 43%  
144 0.3% 43%  
145 2% 43%  
146 0.2% 41%  
147 5% 41%  
148 20% 37%  
149 0.4% 16%  
150 10% 16%  
151 3% 6%  
152 0.2% 3%  
153 0.6% 3%  
154 0.1% 3%  
155 0% 2%  
156 0% 2% Last Result
157 0.6% 2%  
158 0.6% 2%  
159 0% 1.1%  
160 0% 1.1%  
161 0.1% 1.1%  
162 1.0% 1.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.6% 99.9%  
100 0.4% 99.3%  
101 3% 99.0%  
102 0% 96%  
103 0.1% 96%  
104 0.8% 96%  
105 0.7% 96%  
106 0.1% 95%  
107 0.1% 95%  
108 0.1% 95%  
109 0.3% 95%  
110 0.2% 94%  
111 5% 94%  
112 0% 89%  
113 21% 89%  
114 0.5% 68%  
115 31% 68% Median
116 0.1% 36%  
117 12% 36%  
118 5% 25%  
119 0.5% 20%  
120 0.2% 20%  
121 6% 19%  
122 2% 14%  
123 2% 12%  
124 3% 10%  
125 0% 7%  
126 3% 7%  
127 0.2% 4%  
128 0.1% 4%  
129 0.6% 4%  
130 3% 3%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 11% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.2% 89%  
87 0.1% 89%  
88 3% 89%  
89 0.1% 85%  
90 0.1% 85%  
91 19% 85%  
92 3% 67%  
93 3% 63%  
94 0.9% 61%  
95 0.2% 60%  
96 31% 59% Median
97 0.2% 28%  
98 6% 28%  
99 0% 22%  
100 0.2% 22%  
101 0.2% 22%  
102 5% 22%  
103 0.5% 17%  
104 2% 16%  
105 0.5% 14%  
106 5% 13%  
107 2% 8%  
108 0.6% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0.6% 6%  
111 5% 5%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations