Unidos Podemos
Voting Intentions
Last result: 21.2% (General Election of 26 June 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.7% | 12.2–15.4% | 11.7–15.8% | 11.3–16.3% | 10.6–17.0% |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14.7% | 13.7–15.9% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.2–16.4% | 12.7–17.0% |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.6% | 13.2–14.0% | 13.0–14.2% | 13.0–14.3% | 12.8–14.5% |
| 13–20 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14.7% | 13.7–15.9% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.2–16.4% | 12.7–17.0% |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.9% | 13.7–16.1% | 13.4–16.5% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.5–17.5% |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
14.8% | 13.5–16.3% | 13.2–16.7% | 12.8–17.1% | 12.2–17.8% |
| 22 February–19 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.7% | 13.3–14.1% | 13.2–14.3% | 13.1–14.4% | 12.9–14.6% |
| 12–19 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14.6% | 13.5–15.7% | 13.2–16.0% | 13.0–16.3% | 12.5–16.8% |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
13.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.7–15.7% |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
12.5% | 12.1–12.9% | 12.0–13.1% | 11.9–13.2% | 11.7–13.4% |
| 22 February–18 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.7% | 13.3–14.1% | 13.2–14.3% | 13.0–14.4% | 12.8–14.6% |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 11–18 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.0–16.2% |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
13.9% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.2–15.9% | 11.8–16.2% | 11.2–17.0% |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
14.1% | 13.1–15.2% | 12.9–15.4% | 12.6–15.7% | 12.2–16.2% |
| 22 February–17 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.7% | 13.3–14.2% | 13.2–14.3% | 13.0–14.4% | 12.8–14.6% |
| 10–17 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
13.8% | 12.8–14.9% | 12.5–15.2% | 12.3–15.5% | 11.8–16.0% |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
13.2% | 12.7–13.7% | 12.6–13.8% | 12.5–14.0% | 12.2–14.2% |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
13.7% | 12.4–15.1% | 12.0–15.5% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.6% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
14.3% | 13.0–15.7% | 12.6–16.1% | 12.3–16.5% | 11.7–17.2% |
| 22 February–16 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.7% | 13.3–14.2% | 13.2–14.3% | 13.0–14.4% | 12.8–14.6% |
| 9–16 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
13.5% | 12.5–14.6% | 12.2–14.9% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.5–15.7% |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
14.3% | 13.7–15.0% | 13.5–15.2% | 13.3–15.3% | 13.0–15.7% |
| 10–16 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.3% | 13.1–15.5% | 12.8–15.9% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.0–16.8% |
| 22 February–15 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.6% | 13.2–14.1% | 13.0–14.2% | 12.9–14.3% | 12.7–14.5% |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 12.2% | 11.0–13.5% | 10.7–13.8% | 10.4–14.1% | 9.9–14.8% |
| 8–15 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14.1% | 13.1–15.2% | 12.8–15.5% | 12.6–15.8% | 12.1–16.3% |
| 9–15 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
12.3% | 11.4–13.3% | 11.1–13.6% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.3% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.1–14.8% | 10.8–15.2% | 10.2–15.9% |
| 22 February–14 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.4% | 13.0–13.9% | 12.8–14.0% | 12.7–14.1% | 12.5–14.3% |
| 30 March–14 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.3–16.9% |
| 7–13 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.3% | 13.2–15.6% | 12.9–15.9% | 12.6–16.3% | 12.1–16.9% |
| 5–12 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
13.8% | 12.8–14.9% | 12.5–15.2% | 12.3–15.5% | 11.8–16.0% |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
13.2% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.4–15.2% | 10.8–15.9% |
| 9–11 April 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
11.9% | 10.5–13.5% | 10.1–13.9% | 9.8–14.3% | 9.2–15.1% |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
14.1% | 12.7–15.7% | 12.4–16.2% | 12.0–16.5% | 11.4–17.3% |
| 4–10 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
14.6% | 13.3–16.1% | 13.0–16.5% | 12.7–16.9% | 12.1–17.6% |
| 3–9 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.0% | 12.9–15.3% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.8–16.5% |
| 8–9 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.4% | 13.0–13.9% | 12.8–14.0% | 12.7–14.1% | 12.5–14.3% |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 31 March–6 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
13.5% | 12.4–14.8% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.4–16.0% |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.8–17.4% |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
12.0% | 11.0–13.1% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.0–14.3% |
| 26 March–4 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
11.5% | 10.9–12.2% | 10.7–12.4% | 10.5–12.5% | 10.2–12.9% |
| 26 March–3 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
13.8% | 12.6–15.2% | 12.2–15.6% | 11.9–16.0% | 11.3–16.7% |
| 27 March–2 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.5% | 13.4–15.8% | 13.1–16.2% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.3–17.1% |
| 22 February–31 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.2% | 12.7–13.7% | 12.6–13.8% | 12.5–13.9% | 12.3–14.2% |
| 28–30 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
12.0% | 9.9–14.7% | 9.3–15.5% | 8.8–16.2% | 7.9–17.6% |
| 24–30 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.2% | 13.0–15.4% | 12.7–15.8% | 12.4–16.1% | 11.9–16.7% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
13.1% | 12.1–14.3% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.1–15.4% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
13.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.7–15.7% |
| 24–27 March 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
14.7% | 13.5–16.1% | 13.1–16.5% | 12.8–16.9% | 12.2–17.6% |
| 21–27 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
13.7% | 12.5–15.2% | 12.1–15.5% | 11.8–15.9% | 11.2–16.6% |
| 20–26 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
12.6% | 11.6–13.9% | 11.3–14.2% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.5–15.1% |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
14.0% | 13.2–14.9% | 12.9–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.8% |
| 22 February–24 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12.9% | 12.4–13.4% | 12.3–13.5% | 12.2–13.7% | 12.0–13.9% |
| 17–23 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
12.4% | 11.3–13.6% | 11.0–13.9% | 10.7–14.2% | 10.2–14.8% |
| 18–22 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| 1–22 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
11.8% | 11.3–12.3% | 11.2–12.5% | 11.1–12.6% | 10.9–12.8% |
| 15–20 March 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 14–19 March 2019 | 40dB El País |
12.3% | 11.3–13.5% | 11.0–13.8% | 10.8–14.1% | 10.3–14.7% |
| 1–18 March 2019 | CIS | 13.8% | 13.5–14.2% | 13.4–14.3% | 13.3–14.3% | 13.1–14.5% |
| 22 February–17 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.0% | 12.5–13.5% | 12.4–13.7% | 12.2–13.8% | 12.0–14.0% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
14.8% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
| 4–13 March 2019 | Simple Lógica | 12.4% | 11.2–13.7% | 10.8–14.1% | 10.5–14.5% | 10.0–15.1% |
| 8–11 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
14.3% | 13.0–15.7% | 12.6–16.1% | 12.3–16.5% | 11.7–17.2% |
| 22 February–10 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.2% | 12.7–13.7% | 12.5–13.9% | 12.4–14.0% | 12.2–14.3% |
| 5–8 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14.1% | 13.1–15.3% | 12.8–15.6% | 12.5–15.9% | 12.0–16.5% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
13.2% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.4–15.2% | 10.8–15.9% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.4–14.7% |
| 22 February–3 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.3% | 12.7–13.9% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.4–14.3% | 12.1–14.6% |
| 19–22 February 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
14.4% | 13.2–15.8% | 12.8–16.2% | 12.5–16.5% | 12.0–17.2% |
| 18–22 February 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
11.5% | 10.2–13.1% | 9.8–13.5% | 9.5–13.9% | 8.9–14.7% |
| 13–21 February 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
14.2% | 13.1–15.4% | 12.8–15.8% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.0–16.7% |
| 18–21 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
13.9% | 12.7–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.1–16.0% | 11.5–16.7% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.2% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 12–15 February 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
12.4% | 11.3–13.7% | 10.9–14.1% | 10.7–14.4% | 10.1–15.1% |
| 11–13 February 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
13.8% | 12.8–14.8% | 12.6–15.1% | 12.3–15.4% | 11.9–15.9% |
| 1–8 February 2019 | Simple Lógica | 13.9% | 12.6–15.3% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.1% | 11.3–16.9% |
| 4–8 February 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
15.8% | 14.5–17.3% | 14.1–17.7% | 13.8–18.1% | 13.2–18.8% |
| 28 January–1 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
13.5% | 12.3–14.8% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.7–15.6% | 11.1–16.2% |
| 26–30 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.9% | 14.1–15.8% | 13.9–16.0% | 13.7–16.3% | 13.3–16.7% |
| 21–25 January 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.8–19.8% |
| 14–24 January 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.4–12.9% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.8–13.7% |
| 14–18 January 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
14.4% | 13.2–15.8% | 12.8–16.2% | 12.5–16.5% | 12.0–17.2% |
| 9–15 January 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
17.1% | 16.1–18.2% | 15.9–18.4% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% |
| 6–13 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.3% | 15.1–17.6% | 14.7–18.0% | 14.4–18.3% | 13.9–19.0% |
| 1–13 January 2019 | CIS | 15.4% | 14.6–16.3% | 14.3–16.5% | 14.1–16.7% | 13.7–17.2% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Simple Lógica | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 2–8 January 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.1% | 14.7–17.6% | 14.4–18.0% | 14.0–18.4% | 13.4–19.1% |
| 22 December 2018–5 January 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
17.1% | 16.1–18.2% | 15.8–18.5% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.1–19.3% |
| 21–27 December 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 17–21 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
15.2% | 13.9–16.6% | 13.5–17.0% | 13.2–17.3% | 12.7–18.0% |
| 16 December 2018 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
17.8% | 16.2–19.5% | 15.8–20.0% | 15.4–20.4% | 14.7–21.3% |
| 3–14 December 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.7% | 16.3–19.2% | 16.0–19.6% | 15.6–20.0% | 15.0–20.7% |
| 5–14 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 10–13 December 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
15.5% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.5% | 13.5–17.9% | 12.8–18.6% |
| 10–12 December 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
17.9% | 16.8–19.1% | 16.5–19.4% | 16.2–19.7% | 15.7–20.3% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.2% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.4–18.1% | 14.1–18.5% | 13.5–19.2% |
| 3–7 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
14.8% | 13.6–16.2% | 13.2–16.6% | 12.9–17.0% | 12.3–17.6% |
| 5 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.0% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.7–18.5% | 13.1–19.4% |
| 3–4 December 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
17.6% | 16.4–18.9% | 16.0–19.3% | 15.7–19.6% | 15.2–20.2% |
| 2–14 November 2018 | Simple Lógica | 18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.1% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.1–21.3% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
17.3% | 15.9–18.8% | 15.5–19.3% | 15.2–19.6% | 14.5–20.4% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
16.6% | 15.0–18.4% | 14.6–18.9% | 14.2–19.4% | 13.5–20.3% |
| 22–30 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.1% | 14.7–17.8% | 14.2–18.3% | 13.9–18.7% | 13.2–19.5% |
| 20–26 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.3–21.0% | 15.6–21.8% |
| 22–26 October 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.3% | 16.0–18.8% | 15.6–19.2% | 15.3–19.6% | 14.7–20.3% |
| 16–18 October 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
17.7% | 16.5–19.0% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.9–19.7% | 15.3–20.3% |
| 1–11 October 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 1–9 October 2018 | CIS | 17.3% | 16.4–18.2% | 16.2–18.5% | 16.0–18.7% | 15.6–19.1% |
| 30 September–5 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.7% | 17.2–20.3% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.8–22.0% |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.3% | 15.9–18.9% | 15.5–19.4% | 15.2–19.8% | 14.5–20.5% |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
17.4% | 16.0–18.9% | 15.6–19.3% | 15.2–19.7% | 14.6–20.5% |
| 2 October 2018 | Simple Lógica eldebate.es |
15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.1–19.1% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.8% | 16.5–19.3% | 16.1–19.7% | 15.8–20.1% | 15.1–20.8% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
15.1% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.4–16.9% | 13.1–17.3% | 12.5–18.0% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.1–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
18.6% | 17.2–20.1% | 16.8–20.5% | 16.5–20.9% | 15.8–21.6% |
| 6–11 September 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
15.4% | 14.0–17.0% | 13.6–17.4% | 13.3–17.8% | 12.7–18.5% |
| 1–11 September 2018 | CIS | 16.1% | 15.2–17.0% | 15.0–17.2% | 14.8–17.5% | 14.4–17.9% |
| 7–9 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
17.8% | 16.4–19.4% | 16.0–19.9% | 15.6–20.3% | 14.9–21.0% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Simple Lógica | 16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.8–19.8% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.7–18.3% | 13.1–19.1% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
17.1% | 15.7–18.6% | 15.3–19.1% | 15.0–19.4% | 14.3–20.2% |
| 27–31 August 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.5% | 15.2–18.0% | 14.8–18.4% | 14.5–18.7% | 13.9–19.4% |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
17.3% | 15.9–18.8% | 15.5–19.3% | 15.2–19.6% | 14.5–20.4% |
| 27 July–3 August 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.7% | 17.3–20.3% | 16.9–20.8% | 16.5–21.2% | 15.9–21.9% |
| 1–3 August 2018 | Simple Lógica | 15.3% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.2–17.6% | 12.6–18.4% |
| 23–27 July 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 23–27 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
18.3% | 17.0–19.8% | 16.6–20.3% | 16.2–20.6% | 15.6–21.4% |
| 24–26 July 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
15.0% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.1–17.3% | 12.7–17.7% | 12.0–18.5% |
| 16–25 July 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
16.1% | 15.2–17.1% | 14.9–17.4% | 14.6–17.7% | 14.2–18.2% |
| 22–25 July 2018 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
16.8% | 15.4–18.3% | 15.0–18.7% | 14.6–19.1% | 14.0–19.9% |
| 17–22 July 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.5% | 17.6–19.5% | 17.3–19.7% | 17.1–20.0% | 16.7–20.5% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
18.1% | 16.7–19.6% | 16.3–20.0% | 16.0–20.4% | 15.4–21.1% |
| 9–12 July 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
16.1% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| 1–10 July 2018 | CIS | 15.6% | 14.7–16.6% | 14.4–16.9% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.6% |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.3% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.4–19.3% | 15.1–19.7% | 14.4–20.5% |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
17.7% | 16.3–19.3% | 15.9–19.7% | 15.6–20.1% | 14.9–20.9% |
| 25–30 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 19–22 June 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.9% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.0–19.0% | 14.7–19.4% | 14.0–20.1% |
| 18–22 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.9% | 16.6–19.4% | 16.2–19.8% | 15.9–20.2% | 15.2–20.9% |
| 11–13 June 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.6% | 15.0–18.4% | 14.6–18.9% | 14.2–19.4% | 13.5–20.3% |
| 11–12 June 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
14.6% | 13.3–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.6–16.9% | 12.0–17.7% |
| 1–9 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
16.7% | 15.3–18.1% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.7–18.9% | 14.1–19.6% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Simple Lógica | 16.5% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.4–18.9% | 13.7–19.7% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.3% | 16.0–18.8% | 15.6–19.2% | 15.3–19.6% | 14.7–20.3% |
| 7–8 June 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
13.1% | 11.7–14.8% | 11.3–15.2% | 11.0–15.7% | 10.3–16.5% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
17.4% | 16.0–18.9% | 15.6–19.3% | 15.2–19.7% | 14.6–20.5% |
| 6–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.4% | 18.7–22.3% | 18.3–22.8% | 17.9–23.3% | 17.1–24.2% |
| 26 May–2 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.9% | 19.8–22.1% | 19.5–22.4% | 19.2–22.7% | 18.7–23.3% |
| 28–29 May 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.3% | 16.0–18.8% | 15.6–19.2% | 15.3–19.6% | 14.7–20.3% |
| 26–28 May 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.1% | 18.7–21.5% | 18.4–21.9% | 18.1–22.2% | 17.5–22.9% |
| 23–28 May 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| 17–26 May 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.3% | 18.1–20.6% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.5–21.2% | 16.9–21.9% |
| 16–25 May 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 3–10 May 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.2% | 15.8–18.8% | 15.4–19.3% | 15.1–19.6% | 14.4–20.4% |
| 7–9 May 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
19.8% | 18.6–21.1% | 18.3–21.5% | 18.0–21.8% | 17.4–22.4% |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel PSOE |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| 9–13 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 9–13 April 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
17.1% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.4–19.0% | 15.1–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 1–10 April 2018 | CIS | 19.6% | 18.6–20.7% | 18.3–20.9% | 18.1–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% |
| 2–9 April 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.6% | 16.2–19.2% | 15.8–19.6% | 15.4–20.0% | 14.8–20.8% |
| 2–6 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.6% | 15.3–18.2% | 14.9–18.6% | 14.5–19.0% | 13.9–19.7% |
| 4–5 April 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
18.3% | 17.0–19.8% | 16.6–20.2% | 16.3–20.5% | 15.7–21.2% |
| 19–29 March 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 13–16 March 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.8–18.4% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 12–16 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
16.8% | 15.5–18.3% | 15.1–18.7% | 14.8–19.1% | 14.2–19.8% |
| 12–14 March 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.8–19.9% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.3% | 15.9–18.8% | 15.5–19.3% | 15.1–19.7% | 14.5–20.4% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.2% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.4–18.1% | 14.1–18.5% | 13.5–19.2% |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
16.5% | 15.2–18.0% | 14.8–18.4% | 14.5–18.7% | 13.9–19.4% |
| 22–27 February 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
17.0% | 15.7–18.3% | 15.4–18.7% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.5–19.7% |
| 12–16 February 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
16.5% | 15.2–18.0% | 14.8–18.4% | 14.5–18.7% | 13.9–19.4% |
| 7–14 February 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.8–19.8% |
| 5–9 February 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.5% | 15.2–18.1% | 14.8–18.5% | 14.5–18.9% | 13.8–19.6% |
| 5–8 February 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
16.8% | 15.5–18.2% | 15.2–18.6% | 14.9–18.9% | 14.3–19.6% |
| 1–7 February 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.0% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.9–19.4% | 14.2–20.1% |
| 31 January–7 February 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
14.8% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
| 22–26 January 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
16.2% | 14.9–17.6% | 14.5–18.0% | 14.2–18.4% | 13.6–19.1% |
| 2–14 January 2018 | CIS | 19.0% | 18.0–20.1% | 17.8–20.4% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.1–21.1% |
| 9–11 January 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
15.1% | 13.9–16.4% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.3–17.1% | 12.7–17.8% |
| 8–11 January 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
14.8% | 13.2–16.5% | 12.8–17.0% | 12.5–17.4% | 11.8–18.2% |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Simple Lógica | 17.8% | 16.4–19.4% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.6–20.2% | 15.0–21.0% |
| 2–5 January 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.9% | 15.5–18.4% | 15.1–18.9% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.2–20.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Unidos Podemos.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 13% | 96% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 83% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 30% | 56% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 18% | 26% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 71 seats (General Election of 26 June 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 37 | 31–44 | 29–46 | 26–48 | 24–54 |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
37 | 36–42 | 36–46 | 36–48 | 34–48 |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 36–39 | 36–40 | 36–41 | 35–42 |
| 13–20 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
38 | 36–44 | 35–46 | 35–51 | 31–51 |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
42 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 36–50 | 33–55 |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
42 | 35–42 | 34–47 | 34–50 | 32–54 |
| 22 February–19 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 37–39 | 36–40 | 36–41 | 35–41 |
| 12–19 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
40 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 32–48 | 32–52 |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
40 | 34–48 | 33–48 | 31–49 | 28–55 |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
35 | 29–39 | 27–41 | 26–42 | 24–44 |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
33 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–37 |
| 22 February–18 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 36–38 | 36–38 | 35–39 | 34–40 |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
38 | 33–40 | 31–42 | 30–46 | 28–53 |
| 11–18 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
36 | 36–38 | 35–39 | 32–41 | 31–45 |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
40 | 31–45 | 27–48 | 26–48 | 25–53 |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
37 | 35–44 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 34–48 |
| 22 February–17 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 36–38 | 36–39 | 35–40 | 35–40 |
| 10–17 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
36 | 36–41 | 33–42 | 31–43 | 31–47 |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
36 | 33–37 | 33–37 | 32–37 | 32–39 |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
36 | 32–43 | 30–44 | 29–47 | 26–50 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
39 | 34–43 | 32–44 | 31–47 | 30–52 |
| 22 February–16 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
38 | 36–38 | 36–38 | 35–39 | 35–39 |
| 9–16 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
36 | 31–41 | 29–42 | 29–44 | 27–46 |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
40 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 36–44 | 36–46 |
| 10–16 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
39 | 35–43 | 35–45 | 33–48 | 30–53 |
| 22 February–15 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 36–37 | 35–38 | 35–38 | 34–40 |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 30 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 23–38 | 23–41 |
| 8–15 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
39 | 35–44 | 33–45 | 32–45 | 28–48 |
| 9–15 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
32 | 27–36 | 25–37 | 25–38 | 24–40 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
33 | 27–40 | 26–41 | 25–41 | 23–45 |
| 22 February–14 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 36–37 | 35–37 | 35–38 | 33–40 |
| 30 March–14 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
39 | 33–42 | 29–43 | 28–45 | 26–51 |
| 7–13 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
39 | 35–44 | 34–47 | 32–50 | 31–51 |
| 5–12 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
36 | 35–40 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 29–44 |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
35 | 30–40 | 27–41 | 26–43 | 25–45 |
| 9–11 April 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
29 | 24–35 | 23–37 | 22–38 | 21–40 |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
38 | 34–42 | 32–45 | 31–47 | 25–51 |
| 4–10 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
37 | 35–45 | 35–49 | 33–53 | 31–55 |
| 3–9 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
36 | 34–40 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 30–47 |
| 8–9 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
31 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–37 | 24–38 |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 36–38 | 36–38 | 36–38 | 35–40 |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
38 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 31–46 | 27–50 |
| 31 March–6 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
35 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 29–43 | 28–45 |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 42 | 36–50 | 35–53 | 34–55 | 31–58 |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 24–37 | 23–39 |
| 26 March–4 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
29 | 25–33 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–36 |
| 26 March–3 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
36 | 33–41 | 33–43 | 30–46 | 28–49 |
| 27 March–2 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
39 | 36–44 | 35–48 | 33–49 | 31–53 |
| 22 February–31 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 36 | 35–37 | 35–38 | 34–39 |
| 28–30 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
30 | 22–40 | 21–44 | 19–46 | 15–56 |
| 24–30 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
38 | 35–41 | 34–43 | 32–45 | 30–49 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
36 | 30–38 | 30–39 | 27–41 | 25–44 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
35 | 29–40 | 27–42 | 26–43 | 25–46 |
| 24–27 March 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
40 | 35–45 | 35–47 | 34–49 | 31–54 |
| 21–27 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
39 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 29–45 | 26–48 |
| 20–26 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
33 | 28–37 | 27–38 | 25–39 | 23–42 |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
37 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 32–46 |
| 22 February–24 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 33–36 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 32–39 |
| 17–23 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
33 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 25–39 | 23–41 |
| 18–22 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
38 | 31–41 | 29–43 | 27–45 | 25–48 |
| 1–22 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 25–36 |
| 15–20 March 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
37 | 32–41 | 30–43 | 28–44 | 25–48 |
| 14–19 March 2019 | 40dB El País |
34 | 29–38 | 27–38 | 26–40 | 24–43 |
| 1–18 March 2019 | CIS | 37 | 36–38 | 35–38 | 35–39 | 35–39 |
| 22 February–17 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 31–38 | 31–39 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
40 | 35–47 | 34–51 | 32–53 | 30–57 |
| 4–13 March 2019 | Simple Lógica | 34 | 29–39 | 28–40 | 26–42 | 24–46 |
| 8–11 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
39 | 34–45 | 32–47 | 31–50 | 28–55 |
| 22 February–10 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
36 | 34–38 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–40 |
| 5–8 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
38 | 36–42 | 34–44 | 33–48 | 32–51 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
35 | 29–41 | 28–42 | 27–44 | 25–46 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
28 | 24–36 | 23–36 | 22–39 | 22–42 |
| 22 February–3 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 36–38 | 34–39 | 34–39 | 32–41 |
| 19–22 February 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
40 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 33–49 | 29–54 |
| 18–22 February 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
28 | 22–35 | 22–36 | 22–38 | 20–40 |
| 13–21 February 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
38 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 | 28–47 |
| 18–21 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
37 | 32–44 | 31–45 | 29–48 | 27–53 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
45 | 38–58 | 37–60 | 36–62 | 34–65 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
46 | 40–57 | 38–58 | 36–60 | 34–65 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
37 | 33–43 | 30–44 | 28–46 | 26–51 |
| 12–15 February 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
31 | 27–36 | 26–39 | 24–39 | 23–42 |
| 11–13 February 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
37 | 35–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 29–45 |
| 1–8 February 2019 | Simple Lógica | 39 | 35–47 | 34–49 | 32–53 | 29–60 |
| 4–8 February 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
50 | 39–58 | 38–58 | 36–58 | 34–62 |
| 28 January–1 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
36 | 31–42 | 28–44 | 27–45 | 26–50 |
| 26–30 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
43 | 38–49 | 37–51 | 36–53 | 35–56 |
| 21–25 January 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
49 | 43–60 | 41–62 | 39–64 | 36–66 |
| 14–24 January 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
31 | 25–34 | 25–36 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| 14–18 January 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
39 | 33–47 | 32–50 | 31–52 | 28–56 |
| 9–15 January 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
58 | 50–62 | 47–63 | 46–65 | 44–66 |
| 6–13 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
52 | 46–61 | 43–63 | 42–65 | 38–67 |
| 1–13 January 2019 | CIS | 40 | 40–50 | 40–53 | 40–54 | 38–56 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Simple Lógica | 40 | 35–47 | 34–50 | 32–54 | 29–60 |
| 2–8 January 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
49 | 42–58 | 39–58 | 38–60 | 34–66 |
| 22 December 2018–5 January 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
56 | 51–63 | 50–65 | 48–66 | 45–68 |
| 21–27 December 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
49 | 41–59 | 39–61 | 37–64 | 35–67 |
| 17–21 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
43 | 35–52 | 34–55 | 33–58 | 32–62 |
| 16 December 2018 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
52 | 44–62 | 42–64 | 41–66 | 37–70 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
62 | 52–66 | 46–68 | 44–72 | 42–77 |
| 3–14 December 2018 | Simple Lógica | 62 | 49–69 | 46–71 | 45–73 | 44–76 |
| 5–14 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
54 | 45–61 | 42–62 | 39–65 | 39–70 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
40 | 36–46 | 33–46 | 33–50 | 29–58 |
| 10–13 December 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
43 | 38–50 | 37–56 | 36–60 | 34–64 |
| 10–12 December 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
63 | 56–67 | 54–68 | 53–69 | 48–71 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
59 | 48–61 | 44–61 | 40–61 | 33–61 |
| 3–7 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
41 | 34–51 | 33–53 | 32–55 | 30–59 |
| 5 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
46 | 43–47 | 39–59 | 35–63 | 35–63 |
| 3–4 December 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
59 | 48–68 | 48–68 | 48–68 | 48–72 |
| 2–14 November 2018 | Simple Lógica | 63 | 52–71 | 50–72 | 49–73 | 44–77 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
46 | 41–61 | 40–62 | 40–63 | 38–66 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
51 | 42–60 | 40–61 | 39–63 | 37–67 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
49 | 39–53 | 39–57 | 39–60 | 39–64 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
41 | 41–54 | 41–58 | 38–62 | 36–65 |
| 22–30 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
48 | 40–60 | 38–63 | 37–66 | 34–68 |
| 20–26 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
59 | 51–62 | 51–62 | 51–66 | 45–67 |
| 22–26 October 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
54 | 44–60 | 42–62 | 40–64 | 38–68 |
| 16–18 October 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
58 | 51–64 | 49–66 | 47–67 | 42–70 |
| 1–11 October 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
48 | 47–58 | 42–58 | 39–58 | 36–62 |
| 1–9 October 2018 | CIS | 50 | 50–55 | 44–55 | 42–55 | 38–57 |
| 30 September–5 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
62 | 50–68 | 50–68 | 50–72 | 47–72 |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Simple Lógica | 55 | 46–62 | 43–65 | 40–67 | 39–69 |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
45 | 45–59 | 45–62 | 40–62 | 36–64 |
| 2 October 2018 | Simple Lógica eldebate.es |
50 | 41–60 | 40–63 | 37–63 | 35–66 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
57 | 48–62 | 45–64 | 43–66 | 40–71 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
41 | 36–49 | 34–51 | 33–54 | 31–59 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
46 | 39–57 | 38–59 | 36–61 | 33–65 |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
60 | 53–66 | 50–68 | 47–70 | 43–73 |
| 6–11 September 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
44 | 38–48 | 37–52 | 36–56 | 32–63 |
| 1–11 September 2018 | CIS | 47 | 42–50 | 38–51 | 38–51 | 37–51 |
| 7–9 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
55 | 46–64 | 42–66 | 40–67 | 36–71 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Simple Lógica | 53 | 42–63 | 41–64 | 39–66 | 36–70 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
47 | 37–55 | 36–60 | 36–62 | 33–62 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
44 | 42–53 | 41–61 | 40–62 | 36–63 |
| 27–31 August 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
43 | 37–53 | 36–53 | 35–54 | 33–60 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
47 | 40–54 | 40–54 | 40–57 | 35–63 |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
48 | 41–53 | 39–59 | 39–59 | 38–63 |
| 27 July–3 August 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
67 | 56–68 | 54–70 | 52–72 | 44–73 |
| 1–3 August 2018 | Simple Lógica | 41 | 35–52 | 34–54 | 33–56 | 31–60 |
| 23–27 July 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
40 | 38–41 | 36–46 | 35–49 | 34–61 |
| 23–27 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
59 | 50–64 | 48–67 | 46–68 | 41–71 |
| 24–26 July 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
41 | 35–47 | 34–57 | 33–58 | 29–58 |
| 16–25 July 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
47 | 41–54 | 40–56 | 39–57 | 36–60 |
| 22–25 July 2018 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
47 | 44–56 | 40–60 | 37–61 | 35–61 |
| 17–22 July 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
61 | 55–66 | 54–66 | 54–67 | 53–68 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
57 | 48–64 | 46–67 | 43–67 | 40–70 |
| 9–12 July 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
45 | 39–56 | 37–60 | 36–63 | 34–66 |
| 1–10 July 2018 | CIS | 43 | 40–52 | 39–52 | 35–53 | 35–53 |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Simple Lógica | 51 | 43–63 | 41–65 | 39–67 | 38–70 |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
54 | 44–57 | 41–59 | 41–67 | 39–70 |
| 25–30 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
46 | 38–57 | 37–59 | 36–62 | 34–64 |
| 19–22 June 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
52 | 41–63 | 38–63 | 38–71 | 35–71 |
| 18–22 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
56 | 47–64 | 45–67 | 43–67 | 40–70 |
| 11–13 June 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
48 | 39–58 | 38–63 | 37–65 | 34–68 |
| 11–12 June 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
39 | 34–46 | 33–49 | 32–52 | 29–57 |
| 1–9 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
45 | 39–58 | 39–60 | 37–62 | 36–66 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Simple Lógica | 46 | 39–58 | 39–60 | 38–63 | 34–66 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
56 | 45–61 | 43–63 | 41–66 | 39–69 |
| 7–8 June 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
31 | 25–39 | 25–39 | 24–41 | 23–47 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
56 | 46–61 | 42–61 | 40–61 | 38–70 |
| 6–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
72 | 66–81 | 66–83 | 60–83 | 52–95 |
| 26 May–2 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
72 | 67–78 | 67–80 | 67–86 | 65–86 |
| 28–29 May 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
52 | 42–60 | 40–62 | 39–65 | 39–68 |
| 26–28 May 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
66 | 63–71 | 61–74 | 61–74 | 59–86 |
| 23–28 May 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
64 | 57–73 | 53–74 | 49–76 | 45–80 |
| 17–26 May 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
61 | 59–66 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–77 |
| 16–25 May 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
40 | 37–53 | 36–56 | 34–58 | 33–60 |
| 3–10 May 2018 | Simple Lógica | 53 | 43–61 | 41–63 | 40–65 | 39–69 |
| 7–9 May 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
66 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 58–75 | 55–77 |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel PSOE |
52 | 44–65 | 43–67 | 40–68 | 38–68 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
58 | 48–66 | 45–68 | 42–69 | 39–74 |
| 9–13 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
47 | 45–57 | 40–59 | 40–60 | 36–62 |
| 9–13 April 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
51 | 41–58 | 39–60 | 39–62 | 38–66 |
| 1–10 April 2018 | CIS | 65 | 59–69 | 59–71 | 59–73 | 57–73 |
| 2–9 April 2018 | Simple Lógica | 57 | 47–64 | 44–66 | 43–68 | 40–71 |
| 2–6 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
42 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 37–54 | 37–61 |
| 4–5 April 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
61 | 53–67 | 50–70 | 47–71 | 43–74 |
| 19–29 March 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
47 | 40–58 | 39–58 | 36–66 | 33–66 |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
59 | 49–68 | 48–69 | 45–71 | 40–76 |
| 13–16 March 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
48 | 39–58 | 38–59 | 37–61 | 35–66 |
| 12–16 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
48 | 39–57 | 39–60 | 38–61 | 36–65 |
| 12–14 March 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
43 | 39–51 | 39–55 | 37–58 | 36–67 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Simple Lógica | 54 | 44–62 | 42–63 | 40–66 | 39–70 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
40 | 36–49 | 33–53 | 33–54 | 33–61 |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
53 | 42–61 | 41–63 | 40–65 | 39–69 |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
40 | 38–48 | 37–52 | 36–56 | 34–59 |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
49 | 39–56 | 39–58 | 39–59 | 37–61 |
| 22–27 February 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
52 | 41–58 | 39–59 | 39–60 | 38–65 |
| 12–16 February 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
48 | 39–57 | 39–58 | 38–59 | 35–62 |
| 7–14 February 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
55 | 43–61 | 41–63 | 39–65 | 37–70 |
| 5–9 February 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
44 | 41–57 | 39–57 | 39–57 | 35–58 |
| 5–8 February 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
51 | 41–60 | 40–61 | 39–63 | 38–67 |
| 1–7 February 2018 | Simple Lógica | 50 | 40–59 | 39–61 | 39–63 | 37–67 |
| 31 January–7 February 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
37 | 31–46 | 31–53 | 30–53 | 28–54 |
| 22–26 January 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
47 | 39–56 | 38–58 | 37–59 | 35–61 |
| 2–14 January 2018 | CIS | 59 | 56–62 | 54–64 | 52–65 | 48–68 |
| 9–11 January 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
39 | 36–48 | 35–51 | 34–53 | 32–56 |
| 8–11 January 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
35 | 31–44 | 29–44 | 27–46 | 24–51 |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Simple Lógica | 59 | 49–66 | 45–68 | 43–71 | 40–73 |
| 2–5 January 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
56 | 50–56 | 44–60 | 39–60 | 38–60 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Unidos Podemos.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 29 | 2% | 95% | |
| 30 | 2% | 94% | |
| 31 | 2% | 91% | |
| 32 | 3% | 89% | |
| 33 | 6% | 86% | |
| 34 | 5% | 80% | |
| 35 | 6% | 75% | |
| 36 | 11% | 69% | |
| 37 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 38 | 7% | 40% | |
| 39 | 5% | 33% | |
| 40 | 4% | 28% | |
| 41 | 5% | 24% | |
| 42 | 5% | 19% | |
| 43 | 3% | 13% | |
| 44 | 2% | 10% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |