Partido Socialista Obrero Español
Voting Intentions
Last result: 22.6% (General Election of 26 June 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 29.3% | 27.2–31.4% | 26.7–31.9% | 26.3–32.3% | 25.3–33.4% |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29.5% | 28.1–30.9% | 27.8–31.3% | 27.4–31.7% | 26.8–32.3% |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.5% | 26.9–28.1% | 26.8–28.2% | 26.7–28.4% | 26.4–28.6% |
| 13–20 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30.0% | 28.6–31.4% | 28.3–31.8% | 27.9–32.2% | 27.3–32.8% |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
29.8% | 28.2–31.4% | 27.8–31.8% | 27.4–32.2% | 26.7–33.0% |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
28.9% | 27.2–30.7% | 26.7–31.2% | 26.3–31.7% | 25.5–32.5% |
| 22 February–19 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.6% | 27.0–28.2% | 26.9–28.3% | 26.7–28.5% | 26.5–28.7% |
| 12–19 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30.5% | 29.1–31.9% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.4–32.7% | 27.8–33.4% |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
28.1% | 26.3–30.0% | 25.8–30.5% | 25.4–31.0% | 24.6–31.9% |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
28.1% | 26.5–29.8% | 26.0–30.3% | 25.6–30.7% | 24.8–31.5% |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
31.5% | 30.9–32.1% | 30.7–32.3% | 30.6–32.4% | 30.3–32.7% |
| 22 February–18 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.6% | 27.0–28.2% | 26.9–28.3% | 26.7–28.5% | 26.5–28.7% |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
30.9% | 29.1–32.8% | 28.5–33.4% | 28.1–33.8% | 27.3–34.8% |
| 11–18 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
31.0% | 29.6–32.4% | 29.2–32.8% | 28.9–33.2% | 28.2–33.9% |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
28.4% | 26.6–30.4% | 26.1–30.9% | 25.6–31.4% | 24.8–32.3% |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
28.8% | 27.5–30.1% | 27.2–30.5% | 26.9–30.8% | 26.2–31.5% |
| 22 February–17 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.7% | 27.1–28.3% | 27.0–28.4% | 26.8–28.6% | 26.6–28.9% |
| 10–17 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30.8% | 29.4–32.2% | 29.0–32.6% | 28.7–33.0% | 28.0–33.6% |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
30.3% | 29.6–31.0% | 29.5–31.2% | 29.3–31.3% | 29.0–31.6% |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
29.0% | 27.2–30.8% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.8% | 25.4–32.7% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
28.1% | 26.4–29.9% | 25.9–30.4% | 25.5–30.8% | 24.7–31.7% |
| 22 February–16 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28.2% | 27.6–28.8% | 27.5–28.9% | 27.3–29.1% | 27.1–29.4% |
| 9–16 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30.5% | 29.1–31.9% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.4–32.7% | 27.8–33.4% |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
29.1% | 28.3–30.0% | 28.0–30.2% | 27.8–30.4% | 27.4–30.8% |
| 10–16 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
30.4% | 28.9–32.0% | 28.4–32.5% | 28.1–32.9% | 27.3–33.7% |
| 22 February–15 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28.2% | 27.6–28.8% | 27.5–28.9% | 27.3–29.1% | 27.1–29.4% |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 27.8% | 26.2–29.5% | 25.8–30.0% | 25.4–30.5% | 24.6–31.3% |
| 8–15 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30.2% | 28.9–31.6% | 28.5–32.0% | 28.1–32.4% | 27.5–33.1% |
| 9–15 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
31.3% | 30.0–32.7% | 29.6–33.0% | 29.3–33.4% | 28.7–34.0% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
28.9% | 27.1–30.9% | 26.5–31.4% | 26.1–31.9% | 25.2–32.9% |
| 22 February–14 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28.1% | 27.5–28.7% | 27.4–28.9% | 27.2–29.0% | 26.9–29.3% |
| 30 March–14 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
27.5% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.4% | 24.0–31.3% |
| 7–13 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
31.0% | 29.4–32.6% | 29.0–33.1% | 28.6–33.5% | 27.9–34.2% |
| 5–12 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29.9% | 28.5–31.3% | 28.1–31.7% | 27.8–32.1% | 27.2–32.7% |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
27.1% | 25.5–28.8% | 25.0–29.3% | 24.6–29.7% | 23.9–30.5% |
| 9–11 April 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
31.1% | 29.1–33.3% | 28.5–33.9% | 28.0–34.4% | 27.1–35.5% |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
27.9% | 26.1–29.9% | 25.6–30.5% | 25.1–30.9% | 24.3–31.9% |
| 4–10 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
27.3% | 25.6–29.1% | 25.1–29.6% | 24.7–30.0% | 23.9–30.8% |
| 3–9 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
31.0% | 29.4–32.6% | 29.0–33.1% | 28.6–33.5% | 27.9–34.2% |
| 8–9 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
30.9% | 29.6–32.3% | 29.2–32.6% | 28.9–33.0% | 28.3–33.6% |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.4% | 26.8–28.0% | 26.6–28.2% | 26.5–28.3% | 26.2–28.6% |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
26.9% | 25.1–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.4–30.7% |
| 31 March–6 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
31.5% | 30.0–33.1% | 29.6–33.6% | 29.2–34.0% | 28.4–34.8% |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 30.5% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.2–32.8% | 27.7–33.3% | 26.9–34.2% |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
29.8% | 28.3–31.4% | 27.9–31.8% | 27.5–32.2% | 26.8–32.9% |
| 26 March–4 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
31.1% | 30.2–32.1% | 29.9–32.3% | 29.7–32.6% | 29.2–33.0% |
| 26 March–3 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
27.2% | 25.5–29.0% | 25.0–29.5% | 24.6–29.9% | 23.8–30.8% |
| 27 March–2 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
30.0% | 28.5–31.6% | 28.0–32.0% | 27.6–32.4% | 26.9–33.2% |
| 22 February–31 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.7% | 27.1–28.3% | 26.9–28.5% | 26.8–28.6% | 26.5–28.9% |
| 28–30 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
26.7% | 23.6–30.1% | 22.7–31.1% | 22.0–32.0% | 20.6–33.7% |
| 24–30 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
30.0% | 28.5–31.6% | 28.1–32.1% | 27.7–32.5% | 27.0–33.2% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29.0% | 27.6–30.5% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.8–31.3% | 26.2–32.0% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
25.9% | 24.3–27.6% | 23.9–28.1% | 23.5–28.5% | 22.8–29.3% |
| 24–27 March 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
27.7% | 26.0–29.4% | 25.6–29.9% | 25.2–30.3% | 24.4–31.1% |
| 21–27 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
27.0% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.9–29.3% | 24.4–29.7% | 23.7–30.6% |
| 20–26 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
31.0% | 29.4–32.6% | 29.0–33.1% | 28.6–33.5% | 27.9–34.3% |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
28.7% | 27.6–29.8% | 27.3–30.1% | 27.0–30.4% | 26.5–31.0% |
| 22 February–24 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28.6% | 28.0–29.2% | 27.8–29.4% | 27.6–29.6% | 27.3–29.9% |
| 17–23 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
30.5% | 29.0–32.1% | 28.5–32.6% | 28.2–33.0% | 27.4–33.8% |
| 18–22 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
26.9% | 25.1–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.4–30.7% |
| 1–22 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
30.9% | 30.2–31.6% | 30.0–31.8% | 29.9–32.0% | 29.5–32.3% |
| 15–20 March 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
26.9% | 25.1–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.4–30.7% |
| 14–19 March 2019 | 40dB El País |
27.1% | 25.7–28.7% | 25.3–29.1% | 24.9–29.4% | 24.3–30.2% |
| 1–18 March 2019 | CIS | 30.2% | 29.7–30.7% | 29.6–30.8% | 29.5–30.9% | 29.3–31.1% |
| 22 February–17 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.3% | 26.6–28.0% | 26.4–28.2% | 26.3–28.3% | 26.0–28.7% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 4–13 March 2019 | Simple Lógica | 31.2% | 29.5–33.1% | 29.0–33.6% | 28.5–34.0% | 27.7–34.9% |
| 8–11 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
25.4% | 23.7–27.1% | 23.3–27.6% | 22.9–28.0% | 22.1–28.9% |
| 22 February–10 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26.9% | 26.2–27.6% | 26.0–27.8% | 25.8–28.0% | 25.5–28.3% |
| 5–8 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
27.6% | 26.2–29.1% | 25.8–29.5% | 25.5–29.9% | 24.8–30.6% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
25.2% | 23.6–26.8% | 23.2–27.3% | 22.8–27.7% | 22.1–28.5% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
30.6% | 28.8–32.5% | 28.3–33.1% | 27.8–33.5% | 27.0–34.5% |
| 22 February–3 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26.7% | 25.9–27.5% | 25.7–27.7% | 25.5–27.9% | 25.1–28.3% |
| 19–22 February 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
27.3% | 25.7–29.0% | 25.3–29.5% | 24.9–29.9% | 24.1–30.8% |
| 18–22 February 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
28.9% | 26.9–31.0% | 26.3–31.6% | 25.8–32.1% | 24.9–33.2% |
| 13–21 February 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
28.2% | 26.7–29.7% | 26.3–30.2% | 26.0–30.5% | 25.3–31.3% |
| 18–21 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
24.3% | 22.8–26.0% | 22.4–26.4% | 22.0–26.9% | 21.3–27.6% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
24.1% | 22.4–25.9% | 21.9–26.4% | 21.6–26.9% | 20.8–27.7% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 12–15 February 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
28.2% | 26.5–29.9% | 26.1–30.4% | 25.7–30.8% | 24.9–31.6% |
| 11–13 February 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
27.6% | 26.4–28.9% | 26.0–29.3% | 25.7–29.6% | 25.1–30.3% |
| 1–8 February 2019 | Simple Lógica | 25.4% | 23.7–27.2% | 23.2–27.7% | 22.8–28.1% | 22.0–29.0% |
| 4–8 February 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
23.7% | 22.1–25.4% | 21.7–25.9% | 21.3–26.3% | 20.6–27.2% |
| 28 January–1 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
23.9% | 22.4–25.6% | 21.9–26.0% | 21.6–26.4% | 20.9–27.2% |
| 26–30 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
23.1% | 22.1–24.1% | 21.8–24.4% | 21.6–24.7% | 21.1–25.2% |
| 21–25 January 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| 14–24 January 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
26.5% | 25.2–27.9% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.5–28.6% | 23.9–29.3% |
| 14–18 January 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
23.2% | 21.7–24.8% | 21.2–25.2% | 20.9–25.7% | 20.1–26.4% |
| 9–15 January 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
23.7% | 22.6–24.9% | 22.3–25.2% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.5–26.0% |
| 6–13 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.3% | 19.9–22.8% | 19.6–23.2% | 19.2–23.5% | 18.6–24.2% |
| 1–13 January 2019 | CIS | 29.9% | 28.9–31.0% | 28.5–31.3% | 28.3–31.6% | 27.8–32.1% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Simple Lógica | 25.1% | 23.5–26.9% | 23.0–27.4% | 22.6–27.9% | 21.8–28.7% |
| 2–8 January 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
24.1% | 22.5–25.8% | 22.0–26.3% | 21.6–26.7% | 20.9–27.6% |
| 22 December 2018–5 January 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
22.4% | 21.3–23.6% | 21.0–23.9% | 20.7–24.2% | 20.2–24.8% |
| 21–27 December 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| 17–21 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
23.5% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.6–25.6% | 21.2–26.0% | 20.5–26.8% |
| 16 December 2018 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
24.1% | 22.4–25.9% | 21.9–26.4% | 21.6–26.9% | 20.8–27.7% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
22.6% | 20.8–24.4% | 20.3–25.0% | 19.9–25.4% | 19.1–26.3% |
| 3–14 December 2018 | Simple Lógica | 23.2% | 21.7–24.8% | 21.2–25.3% | 20.9–25.7% | 20.2–26.4% |
| 5–14 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.2–27.6% | 21.4–28.5% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.0–26.5% | 21.6–26.9% | 20.9–27.8% |
| 10–13 December 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.1% | 23.2–28.5% | 22.4–29.4% |
| 10–12 December 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
22.2% | 21.0–23.5% | 20.7–23.8% | 20.4–24.2% | 19.8–24.8% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
25.2% | 23.5–26.9% | 23.1–27.4% | 22.7–27.8% | 21.9–28.7% |
| 3–7 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
23.2% | 21.7–24.8% | 21.2–25.2% | 20.9–25.7% | 20.1–26.4% |
| 5 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
25.0% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.7–27.5% | 22.3–27.9% | 21.4–28.9% |
| 3–4 December 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.3% | 18.0–20.6% | 17.7–21.0% | 17.4–21.3% | 16.8–22.0% |
| 2–14 November 2018 | Simple Lógica | 24.1% | 22.5–25.9% | 22.0–26.4% | 21.6–26.9% | 20.8–27.7% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
25.4% | 23.9–27.1% | 23.4–27.6% | 23.0–28.0% | 22.3–28.8% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
26.9% | 25.2–28.7% | 24.8–29.2% | 24.4–29.6% | 23.6–30.5% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
26.6% | 24.7–28.7% | 24.1–29.3% | 23.7–29.8% | 22.8–30.8% |
| 22–30 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
25.2% | 23.5–27.2% | 23.0–27.7% | 22.5–28.2% | 21.7–29.1% |
| 20–26 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 22–26 October 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
25.7% | 24.1–27.3% | 23.7–27.8% | 23.3–28.2% | 22.5–29.0% |
| 16–18 October 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
25.2% | 23.8–26.6% | 23.4–27.0% | 23.1–27.4% | 22.5–28.1% |
| 1–11 October 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
26.8% | 25.1–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.1–29.6% | 23.3–30.5% |
| 1–9 October 2018 | CIS | 31.6% | 30.5–32.7% | 30.2–33.0% | 29.9–33.3% | 29.4–33.8% |
| 30 September–5 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.4% | 20.8–24.1% | 20.3–24.6% | 19.9–25.0% | 19.2–25.9% |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Simple Lógica | 25.2% | 23.5–27.0% | 23.1–27.5% | 22.7–27.9% | 21.9–28.8% |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
27.7% | 26.0–29.5% | 25.6–30.0% | 25.1–30.5% | 24.4–31.3% |
| 2 October 2018 | Simple Lógica eldebate.es |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
24.6% | 23.0–26.2% | 22.6–26.7% | 22.2–27.1% | 21.5–27.9% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
27.7% | 26.0–29.5% | 25.5–30.0% | 25.1–30.4% | 24.3–31.3% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
26.5% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 6–11 September 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.8% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| 1–11 September 2018 | CIS | 30.5% | 29.4–31.6% | 29.1–31.9% | 28.9–32.2% | 28.3–32.7% |
| 7–9 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24.9% | 23.2–26.6% | 22.7–27.1% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.6–28.4% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Simple Lógica | 24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.2–27.5% | 21.4–28.4% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
28.2% | 26.5–30.0% | 26.0–30.5% | 25.6–30.9% | 24.8–31.8% |
| 27–31 August 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
27.8% | 26.0–29.7% | 25.5–30.2% | 25.1–30.7% | 24.3–31.6% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
25.8% | 24.2–27.5% | 23.8–28.0% | 23.4–28.4% | 22.7–29.2% |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
28.0% | 26.3–29.8% | 25.8–30.3% | 25.4–30.7% | 24.6–31.6% |
| 27 July–3 August 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24.7% | 23.1–26.5% | 22.6–26.9% | 22.3–27.4% | 21.5–28.2% |
| 1–3 August 2018 | Simple Lógica | 25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.2% | 22.1–29.1% |
| 23–27 July 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 23–27 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
26.0% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.6–28.6% | 22.8–29.4% |
| 24–26 July 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
27.9% | 25.9–30.0% | 25.3–30.5% | 24.9–31.1% | 23.9–32.1% |
| 16–25 July 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
26.6% | 25.4–27.8% | 25.1–28.2% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.2–29.1% |
| 22–25 July 2018 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
25.3% | 23.6–27.0% | 23.2–27.5% | 22.8–28.0% | 22.0–28.8% |
| 17–22 July 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26.1% | 25.0–27.2% | 24.8–27.5% | 24.5–27.7% | 24.0–28.3% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
26.5% | 24.9–28.2% | 24.5–28.7% | 24.1–29.1% | 23.3–29.9% |
| 9–12 July 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
26.3% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.1–28.7% | 23.7–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| 1–10 July 2018 | CIS | 29.9% | 28.7–31.1% | 28.4–31.4% | 28.1–31.7% | 27.6–32.3% |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Simple Lógica | 27.2% | 25.5–29.0% | 25.0–29.5% | 24.6–30.0% | 23.8–30.9% |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
27.1% | 25.4–28.9% | 25.0–29.4% | 24.5–29.8% | 23.8–30.7% |
| 25–30 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
26.3% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.1–28.7% | 23.7–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| 19–22 June 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| 18–22 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
26.7% | 25.1–28.3% | 24.6–28.8% | 24.2–29.2% | 23.5–30.1% |
| 11–13 June 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
28.6% | 26.6–30.7% | 26.1–31.3% | 25.6–31.9% | 24.7–32.9% |
| 11–12 June 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
27.1% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.9–29.4% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.6–30.8% |
| 1–9 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.9% | 23.4–26.6% | 22.9–27.0% | 22.5–27.5% | 21.8–28.3% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Simple Lógica | 26.7% | 25.0–28.5% | 24.5–29.0% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.3–30.4% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
25.1% | 23.5–26.7% | 23.1–27.2% | 22.7–27.6% | 22.0–28.4% |
| 7–8 June 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
28.8% | 26.8–30.9% | 26.2–31.5% | 25.7–32.0% | 24.8–33.0% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
25.8% | 24.2–27.6% | 23.7–28.1% | 23.3–28.5% | 22.5–29.3% |
| 6–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
25.2% | 23.3–27.2% | 22.8–27.7% | 22.4–28.2% | 21.5–29.2% |
| 26 May–2 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.8% | 19.7–24.4% |
| 28–29 May 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.6% | 21.1–24.2% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.3–25.0% | 19.6–25.8% |
| 26–28 May 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
23.0% | 21.6–24.5% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.3–26.0% |
| 23–28 May 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.0% |
| 17–26 May 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.3% | 19.1–21.6% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.4–22.3% | 17.9–22.9% |
| 16–25 May 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
23.6% | 21.9–25.4% | 21.5–25.9% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.3–27.2% |
| 3–10 May 2018 | Simple Lógica | 20.1% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.1–22.2% | 17.8–22.6% | 17.1–23.4% |
| 7–9 May 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
19.0% | 17.8–20.3% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.7–21.6% |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel PSOE |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.5–28.6% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–24.0% |
| 9–13 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| 9–13 April 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.3% | 20.8–23.9% | 20.4–24.4% | 20.1–24.8% | 19.4–25.6% |
| 1–10 April 2018 | CIS | 22.0% | 21.0–23.1% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% |
| 2–9 April 2018 | Simple Lógica | 20.2% | 18.7–21.9% | 18.3–22.4% | 17.9–22.8% | 17.2–23.6% |
| 2–6 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
24.1% | 22.5–25.8% | 22.0–26.3% | 21.6–26.7% | 20.9–27.6% |
| 4–5 April 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
19.1% | 17.7–20.6% | 17.4–21.0% | 17.0–21.4% | 16.4–22.1% |
| 19–29 March 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.4–22.8% |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| 13–16 March 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
20.4% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.6% | 18.0–23.0% | 17.3–23.8% |
| 12–16 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.6% | 21.1–24.2% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.3–25.0% | 19.6–25.8% |
| 12–14 March 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.8% | 18.9–25.7% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Simple Lógica | 21.0% | 19.5–22.7% | 19.0–23.1% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.0–24.4% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
24.3% | 22.7–26.0% | 22.2–26.5% | 21.8–26.9% | 21.1–27.7% |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
19.4% | 18.0–21.0% | 17.6–21.4% | 17.2–21.8% | 16.6–22.5% |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
23.1% | 21.6–24.7% | 21.1–25.2% | 20.8–25.6% | 20.1–26.4% |
| 22–27 February 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
21.5% | 20.1–22.9% | 19.7–23.4% | 19.4–23.7% | 18.8–24.4% |
| 12–16 February 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.8% | 21.3–24.4% | 20.9–24.9% | 20.5–25.3% | 19.8–26.1% |
| 7–14 February 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 5–9 February 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
25.5% | 23.9–27.3% | 23.4–27.8% | 23.0–28.2% | 22.3–29.1% |
| 5–8 February 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
20.1% | 18.8–21.6% | 18.4–22.0% | 18.1–22.4% | 17.4–23.1% |
| 1–7 February 2018 | Simple Lógica | 21.4% | 19.9–23.1% | 19.4–23.6% | 19.0–24.0% | 18.3–24.8% |
| 31 January–7 February 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
23.7% | 22.0–25.4% | 21.5–26.0% | 21.1–26.4% | 20.3–27.3% |
| 22–26 January 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.3% |
| 2–14 January 2018 | CIS | 23.1% | 22.0–24.2% | 21.7–24.5% | 21.5–24.8% | 21.0–25.3% |
| 9–11 January 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
21.6% | 20.2–23.1% | 19.8–23.5% | 19.5–23.9% | 18.8–24.7% |
| 8–11 January 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
24.2% | 22.4–26.3% | 21.9–26.8% | 21.4–27.3% | 20.5–28.3% |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Simple Lógica | 23.4% | 21.8–25.1% | 21.3–25.6% | 20.9–26.0% | 20.2–26.8% |
| 2–5 January 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
25.1% | 23.5–26.8% | 23.0–27.3% | 22.6–27.7% | 21.9–28.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 19% | 85% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 29.5–30.5% | 21% | 43% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 14% | 23% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 85 seats (General Election of 26 June 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 128 | 113–139 | 111–140 | 108–143 | 104–148 |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
129 | 127–134 | 120–136 | 117–137 | 116–141 |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
122 | 118–126 | 118–127 | 118–127 | 117–128 |
| 13–20 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
130 | 124–137 | 122–138 | 121–140 | 117–141 |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
130 | 121–137 | 119–139 | 118–142 | 115–146 |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
112 | 112–127 | 110–132 | 108–138 | 105–139 |
| 22 February–19 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
123 | 120–125 | 120–125 | 119–125 | 118–128 |
| 12–19 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
132 | 126–139 | 120–140 | 119–140 | 115–145 |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
114 | 106–128 | 104–132 | 101–133 | 98–136 |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
121 | 112–130 | 109–132 | 107–134 | 103–139 |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
137 | 137–139 | 135–141 | 134–142 | 133–143 |
| 22 February–18 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
122 | 118–126 | 117–126 | 117–127 | 117–128 |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
136 | 132–144 | 129–147 | 125–148 | 120–154 |
| 11–18 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
137 | 134–138 | 133–144 | 130–144 | 124–145 |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
120 | 108–137 | 107–140 | 105–140 | 100–142 |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
127 | 121–134 | 119–135 | 117–137 | 115–139 |
| 22 February–17 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
123 | 117–125 | 117–126 | 117–126 | 116–127 |
| 10–17 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
130 | 127–140 | 122–141 | 122–144 | 119–146 |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
132 | 128–136 | 127–137 | 126–138 | 125–139 |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
126 | 116–136 | 113–138 | 111–140 | 107–144 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
117 | 109–128 | 106–133 | 105–135 | 100–137 |
| 22 February–16 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
123 | 122–125 | 121–126 | 120–127 | 118–128 |
| 9–16 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
135 | 126–140 | 124–140 | 120–143 | 118–146 |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
130 | 124–135 | 123–136 | 121–136 | 119–138 |
| 10–16 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
131 | 124–140 | 121–145 | 121–146 | 117–149 |
| 22 February–15 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
126 | 122–129 | 120–129 | 119–129 | 118–130 |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 119 | 109–129 | 107–131 | 104–133 | 100–137 |
| 8–15 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
132 | 122–137 | 121–139 | 119–140 | 115–144 |
| 9–15 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
137 | 131–143 | 129–145 | 128–147 | 124–150 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
122 | 113–135 | 112–138 | 110–139 | 103–142 |
| 22 February–14 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
127 | 121–128 | 121–129 | 120–130 | 118–132 |
| 30 March–14 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
111 | 106–124 | 103–126 | 100–128 | 95–133 |
| 7–13 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
136 | 130–145 | 125–147 | 122–148 | 119–149 |
| 5–12 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
128 | 123–136 | 122–137 | 121–139 | 117–143 |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
114 | 106–123 | 104–126 | 102–128 | 97–133 |
| 9–11 April 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
130 | 123–143 | 116–150 | 116–152 | 111–156 |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
119 | 110–128 | 108–131 | 104–135 | 100–137 |
| 4–10 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
113 | 103–124 | 101–126 | 100–128 | 93–132 |
| 3–9 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
136 | 125–143 | 123–144 | 122–145 | 117–148 |
| 8–9 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
135 | 129–142 | 127–144 | 125–146 | 122–149 |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
122 | 121–124 | 120–126 | 118–126 | 115–128 |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
111 | 102–121 | 101–125 | 95–127 | 93–129 |
| 31 March–6 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
136 | 128–143 | 127–146 | 123–147 | 119–149 |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 139 | 131–146 | 127–149 | 124–151 | 118–156 |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
131 | 123–139 | 121–141 | 119–143 | 114–147 |
| 26 March–4 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
136 | 131–142 | 130–144 | 129–145 | 127–147 |
| 26 March–3 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
110 | 107–125 | 104–125 | 103–128 | 97–133 |
| 27 March–2 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
130 | 119–138 | 118–140 | 117–142 | 112–145 |
| 22 February–31 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
122 | 120–123 | 120–125 | 118–125 | 115–128 |
| 28–30 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
110 | 95–129 | 90–134 | 87–137 | 81–144 |
| 24–30 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
127 | 121–136 | 119–139 | 115–140 | 112–144 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
127 | 119–134 | 117–136 | 116–139 | 113–141 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
111 | 101–117 | 98–120 | 96–122 | 93–128 |
| 24–27 March 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
116 | 109–122 | 106–125 | 104–129 | 99–134 |
| 21–27 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
110 | 103–121 | 101–124 | 97–129 | 95–130 |
| 20–26 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
136 | 129–144 | 125–147 | 124–147 | 117–150 |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
124 | 117–133 | 115–135 | 115–136 | 113–138 |
| 22 February–24 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
126 | 122–129 | 121–131 | 120–132 | 119–135 |
| 17–23 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
135 | 128–143 | 125–145 | 123–146 | 119–149 |
| 18–22 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
112 | 104–121 | 101–123 | 98–125 | 94–130 |
| 1–22 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
136 | 131–139 | 131–140 | 131–142 | 129–142 |
| 15–20 March 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
120 | 110–127 | 105–130 | 103–131 | 98–135 |
| 14–19 March 2019 | 40dB El País |
118 | 113–126 | 111–130 | 109–132 | 105–136 |
| 1–18 March 2019 | CIS | 136 | 135–137 | 135–138 | 134–138 | 133–139 |
| 22 February–17 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
119 | 114–123 | 111–124 | 108–124 | 108–126 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
107 | 97–115 | 94–117 | 90–119 | 88–124 |
| 4–13 March 2019 | Simple Lógica | 143 | 134–151 | 131–153 | 128–155 | 122–159 |
| 8–11 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
106 | 96–113 | 93–115 | 91–117 | 88–121 |
| 22 February–10 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
117 | 113–121 | 112–121 | 110–123 | 108–126 |
| 5–8 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
120 | 114–126 | 112–129 | 109–132 | 105–135 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
106 | 96–113 | 94–115 | 93–117 | 90–120 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
132 | 123–142 | 119–143 | 116–145 | 113–152 |
| 22 February–3 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
115 | 109–119 | 109–122 | 108–123 | 106–123 |
| 19–22 February 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
117 | 108–125 | 107–128 | 105–131 | 97–136 |
| 18–22 February 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
122 | 109–131 | 106–136 | 104–137 | 100–142 |
| 13–21 February 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
122 | 114–129 | 112–132 | 109–133 | 105–137 |
| 18–21 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
101 | 93–110 | 91–112 | 89–113 | 85–116 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
106 | 94–114 | 91–117 | 89–117 | 84–123 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
94 | 87–105 | 85–107 | 84–110 | 82–114 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
120 | 109–130 | 106–132 | 104–135 | 99–139 |
| 12–15 February 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
119 | 111–126 | 108–127 | 106–131 | 102–136 |
| 11–13 February 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
118 | 111–125 | 109–127 | 107–129 | 105–133 |
| 1–8 February 2019 | Simple Lógica | 113 | 104–122 | 101–125 | 98–128 | 93–134 |
| 4–8 February 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
98 | 87–103 | 87–106 | 84–108 | 82–111 |
| 28 January–1 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
98 | 91–107 | 88–110 | 87–111 | 83–115 |
| 26–30 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
96 | 90–102 | 88–104 | 87–106 | 85–109 |
| 21–25 January 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
95 | 88–106 | 85–109 | 84–112 | 82–115 |
| 14–24 January 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
114 | 107–120 | 104–120 | 103–122 | 100–126 |
| 14–18 January 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
94 | 86–103 | 84–105 | 83–107 | 79–111 |
| 9–15 January 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
96 | 91–103 | 90–107 | 88–109 | 85–112 |
| 6–13 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
86 | 79–92 | 78–95 | 77–97 | 74–102 |
| 1–13 January 2019 | CIS | 135 | 132–140 | 132–143 | 131–145 | 128–148 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Simple Lógica | 112 | 102–118 | 98–122 | 96–125 | 91–130 |
| 2–8 January 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
93 | 89–102 | 88–105 | 86–108 | 83–113 |
| 22 December 2018–5 January 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
90 | 87–95 | 85–98 | 82–101 | 80–107 |
| 21–27 December 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
91 | 84–102 | 82–105 | 80–109 | 77–113 |
| 17–21 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
96 | 87–105 | 85–107 | 84–108 | 81–115 |
| 16 December 2018 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
99 | 90–108 | 88–112 | 86–114 | 83–117 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
95 | 84–98 | 82–100 | 81–101 | 76–116 |
| 3–14 December 2018 | Simple Lógica | 96 | 88–105 | 86–109 | 84–111 | 81–115 |
| 5–14 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
91 | 91–105 | 88–110 | 88–111 | 85–113 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
102 | 91–116 | 91–116 | 88–116 | 86–116 |
| 10–13 December 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
109 | 103–116 | 99–117 | 95–121 | 91–126 |
| 10–12 December 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
90 | 84–96 | 82–97 | 80–98 | 79–103 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
93 | 93–97 | 93–101 | 93–101 | 86–108 |
| 3–7 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
92 | 85–101 | 84–104 | 83–106 | 80–110 |
| 5 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
109 | 93–109 | 93–110 | 91–114 | 86–116 |
| 3–4 December 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
81 | 77–89 | 75–89 | 72–89 | 65–90 |
| 2–14 November 2018 | Simple Lógica | 99 | 90–109 | 89–113 | 88–116 | 85–120 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
103 | 92–113 | 92–116 | 92–119 | 87–121 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
98 | 91–108 | 89–111 | 88–113 | 86–118 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
98 | 89–115 | 89–115 | 89–116 | 88–118 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
115 | 103–115 | 100–115 | 94–117 | 92–127 |
| 22–30 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
106 | 92–115 | 91–117 | 90–120 | 86–126 |
| 20–26 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
87 | 83–87 | 83–87 | 79–87 | 77–94 |
| 22–26 October 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
99 | 92–110 | 90–112 | 89–115 | 87–119 |
| 16–18 October 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
100 | 94–109 | 93–112 | 92–115 | 89–118 |
| 1–11 October 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
101 | 93–105 | 93–106 | 93–112 | 89–120 |
| 1–9 October 2018 | CIS | 136 | 132–136 | 131–136 | 129–136 | 126–138 |
| 30 September–5 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
86 | 80–98 | 77–98 | 77–98 | 74–98 |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Simple Lógica | 101 | 89–111 | 88–113 | 87–114 | 86–116 |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
114 | 93–118 | 93–119 | 93–119 | 91–123 |
| 2 October 2018 | Simple Lógica eldebate.es |
103 | 93–113 | 91–117 | 90–118 | 88–122 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
94 | 88–102 | 87–105 | 86–108 | 84–112 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
116 | 107–124 | 104–126 | 102–127 | 96–131 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
105 | 96–116 | 94–119 | 92–122 | 89–125 |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
95 | 90–102 | 88–105 | 87–109 | 85–113 |
| 6–11 September 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
111 | 105–121 | 105–121 | 102–121 | 90–124 |
| 1–11 September 2018 | CIS | 132 | 120–132 | 120–132 | 120–134 | 120–135 |
| 7–9 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
94 | 86–105 | 86–107 | 86–111 | 84–118 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Simple Lógica | 100 | 92–112 | 90–115 | 89–117 | 86–121 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
103 | 96–112 | 93–116 | 92–121 | 90–125 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
115 | 95–127 | 95–127 | 94–128 | 94–128 |
| 27–31 August 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
110 | 94–120 | 94–120 | 94–120 | 93–125 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
104 | 96–112 | 96–112 | 93–112 | 89–120 |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
111 | 98–117 | 95–117 | 95–120 | 94–123 |
| 27 July–3 August 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
102 | 89–103 | 88–106 | 86–108 | 85–113 |
| 1–3 August 2018 | Simple Lógica | 101 | 91–110 | 89–113 | 88–115 | 85–121 |
| 23–27 July 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
107 | 97–113 | 95–119 | 94–120 | 92–125 |
| 23–27 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
98 | 94–108 | 91–111 | 90–114 | 87–119 |
| 24–26 July 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
113 | 102–115 | 99–119 | 93–126 | 89–132 |
| 16–25 July 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
108 | 100–115 | 98–117 | 97–118 | 94–121 |
| 22–25 July 2018 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
97 | 88–105 | 87–105 | 84–107 | 83–112 |
| 17–22 July 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
103 | 98–108 | 98–110 | 96–118 | 95–119 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
101 | 95–112 | 93–116 | 91–118 | 89–122 |
| 9–12 July 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
106 | 95–114 | 93–117 | 90–118 | 88–124 |
| 1–10 July 2018 | CIS | 127 | 122–133 | 118–134 | 118–138 | 117–138 |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Simple Lógica | 109 | 97–119 | 95–122 | 94–125 | 91–129 |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
116 | 102–118 | 95–118 | 91–119 | 88–123 |
| 25–30 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
106 | 93–120 | 91–124 | 90–124 | 87–125 |
| 19–22 June 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
97 | 92–102 | 88–110 | 87–116 | 80–116 |
| 18–22 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
103 | 95–115 | 95–118 | 93–120 | 90–123 |
| 11–13 June 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
116 | 104–128 | 101–130 | 99–132 | 95–136 |
| 11–12 June 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
111 | 100–119 | 97–123 | 95–124 | 92–127 |
| 1–9 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
102 | 92–109 | 90–111 | 87–113 | 86–114 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Simple Lógica | 106 | 96–115 | 94–118 | 92–120 | 89–125 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
97 | 91–108 | 89–111 | 88–113 | 86–118 |
| 7–8 June 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
120 | 106–126 | 101–127 | 98–127 | 95–129 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
97 | 92–110 | 91–114 | 91–116 | 89–122 |
| 6–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
101 | 94–109 | 91–115 | 88–115 | 84–123 |
| 26 May–2 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
88 | 79–89 | 79–93 | 79–93 | 77–99 |
| 28–29 May 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
87 | 80–92 | 78–95 | 76–97 | 72–100 |
| 26–28 May 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
90 | 90–99 | 90–108 | 87–108 | 79–108 |
| 23–28 May 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
78 | 70–85 | 69–88 | 66–89 | 63–90 |
| 17–26 May 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
82 | 81–85 | 76–86 | 74–88 | 66–90 |
| 16–25 May 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
89 | 85–100 | 83–102 | 81–102 | 79–108 |
| 3–10 May 2018 | Simple Lógica | 77 | 71–84 | 68–86 | 65–88 | 60–90 |
| 7–9 May 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
74 | 66–78 | 64–79 | 63–81 | 60–85 |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel PSOE |
93 | 88–104 | 88–107 | 87–108 | 83–113 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
78 | 72–86 | 69–88 | 66–89 | 62–92 |
| 9–13 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
88 | 85–94 | 82–95 | 81–99 | 78–108 |
| 9–13 April 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
86 | 79–92 | 77–94 | 76–96 | 72–100 |
| 1–10 April 2018 | CIS | 85 | 81–89 | 81–89 | 81–90 | 77–93 |
| 2–9 April 2018 | Simple Lógica | 79 | 72–88 | 70–89 | 68–90 | 63–92 |
| 2–6 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
93 | 86–95 | 86–98 | 86–99 | 79–101 |
| 4–5 April 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
74 | 67–80 | 64–82 | 62–84 | 59–87 |
| 19–29 March 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
79 | 72–89 | 67–89 | 66–89 | 59–89 |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
76 | 66–83 | 65–85 | 61–87 | 59–90 |
| 13–16 March 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
83 | 75–88 | 72–90 | 70–92 | 65–97 |
| 12–16 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
86 | 82–92 | 79–95 | 77–98 | 74–101 |
| 12–14 March 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
88 | 78–93 | 76–93 | 75–94 | 68–97 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Simple Lógica | 83 | 76–89 | 74–90 | 71–92 | 66–96 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
90 | 84–99 | 84–102 | 84–102 | 77–110 |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
75 | 67–81 | 65–84 | 61–86 | 59–88 |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
90 | 87–96 | 85–99 | 84–103 | 80–111 |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
88 | 84–94 | 81–97 | 78–100 | 76–104 |
| 22–27 February 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
83 | 76–87 | 76–89 | 75–89 | 72–92 |
| 12–16 February 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
87 | 83–94 | 80–96 | 78–99 | 76–103 |
| 7–14 February 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
86 | 79–92 | 77–95 | 76–97 | 72–102 |
| 5–9 February 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
96 | 85–106 | 85–111 | 85–111 | 85–111 |
| 5–8 February 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
78 | 72–85 | 70–87 | 68–88 | 63–90 |
| 1–7 February 2018 | Simple Lógica | 82 | 75–88 | 73–89 | 71–92 | 66–97 |
| 31 January–7 February 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
90 | 83–101 | 80–104 | 80–104 | 77–107 |
| 22–26 January 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
88 | 84–95 | 82–98 | 79–100 | 76–105 |
| 2–14 January 2018 | CIS | 87 | 86–92 | 83–93 | 81–93 | 79–94 |
| 9–11 January 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
85 | 79–91 | 78–94 | 76–96 | 73–99 |
| 8–11 January 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
89 | 84–98 | 83–98 | 79–101 | 75–107 |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Simple Lógica | 92 | 87–99 | 85–102 | 83–105 | 79–111 |
| 2–5 January 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
95 | 92–97 | 86–97 | 82–102 | 82–105 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 112 | 4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 2% | 90% | |
| 114 | 2% | 88% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 116 | 1.5% | 85% | |
| 117 | 2% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 82% | |
| 119 | 2% | 80% | |
| 120 | 2% | 78% | |
| 121 | 5% | 76% | |
| 122 | 4% | 71% | |
| 123 | 3% | 67% | |
| 124 | 3% | 64% | |
| 125 | 2% | 61% | |
| 126 | 3% | 58% | |
| 127 | 3% | 56% | |
| 128 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 48% | |
| 130 | 3% | 42% | |
| 131 | 4% | 39% | |
| 132 | 4% | 35% | |
| 133 | 2% | 31% | |
| 134 | 4% | 29% | |
| 135 | 4% | 25% | |
| 136 | 3% | 22% | |
| 137 | 6% | 18% | |
| 138 | 2% | 12% | |
| 139 | 4% | 10% | |
| 140 | 2% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |