Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | PP | PSOE | UP | Cs | ERC | PDeCAT | EAJ/PNV | PACMA | EH Bildu | CC | Vox | BNG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 June 2016 | General Election | 33.0% 137 |
22.6% 85 |
21.2% 71 |
13.1% 32 |
2.7% 9 |
2.0% 8 |
1.2% 5 |
1.2% 0 |
0.8% 2 |
0.3% 1 |
0.2% 0 |
0.2% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 16–25% 62–107 |
26–32% 108–143 |
11–16% 26–48 |
12–17% 33–58 |
2–4% 9–17 |
1–2% 3–9 |
1–2% 3–10 |
1–3% 0–1 |
0–2% 1–7 |
0–1% 0–3 |
8–15% 13–45 |
N/A N/A |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
17–20% 65–77 |
27–32% 117–137 |
13–16% 36–48 |
14–17% 44–54 |
3–4% 12–16 |
1–2% 3–8 |
1–2% 3–8 |
1% 0 |
1% 1–6 |
0–1% 0–1 |
11–14% 29–39 |
N/A N/A |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19–21% 76–84 |
27–28% 118–127 |
13–14% 36–41 |
14–15% 42–50 |
2–3% 12–14 |
1–2% 4–6 |
1–2% 6–8 |
2% 1 |
1% 2–5 |
0% 0–1 |
12–13% 32–38 |
N/A N/A |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
18–22% 67–88 |
27–32% 118–142 |
13–17% 36–50 |
13–17% 34–59 |
2–4% 9–17 |
1–2% 1–8 |
1–2% 3–9 |
1–3% 0–1 |
0–1% 1–6 |
0–1% 0–2 |
9–12% 17–29 |
N/A N/A |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
21–26% 83–115 |
26–32% 108–138 |
13–17% 34–50 |
13–17% 36–59 |
2–4% 9–15 |
1–2% 4–9 |
1–2% 3–8 |
1–2% 0–1 |
0–2% 1–7 |
0–1% 0–2 |
6–10% 10–22 |
N/A N/A |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
21–27% 83–115 |
25–31% 101–133 |
12–17% 31–49 |
13–17% 33–58 |
2–4% 9–16 |
1–2% 2–9 |
1–2% 3–9 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 1–7 |
0–1% 0–3 |
7–11% 13–28 |
N/A N/A |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
18–23% 69–95 |
26–31% 107–134 |
11–15% 26–42 |
13–17% 38–59 |
2–5% 11–20 |
1–2% 3–8 |
1–2% 3–10 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
11–15% 26–46 |
N/A N/A |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
19–21% 72–81 |
31–32% 134–142 |
12–13% 30–37 |
13–15% 38–46 |
3–4% 14–15 |
1% 4–5 |
1% 6 |
2% 0–1 |
1% 2–5 |
0% 0–1 |
11–12% 28–32 |
N/A N/A |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
16–21% 60–84 |
28–34% 125–148 |
12–16% 30–46 |
12–16% 32–54 |
2–4% 9–16 |
1–2% 3–10 |
1–3% 6–12 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0–6 |
0–1% 0–4 |
9–13% 18–36 |
N/A N/A |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
19–24% 70–105 |
26–31% 105–140 |
12–16% 26–48 |
13–17% 32–59 |
2–4% 7–15 |
1–2% 1–8 |
1–2% 3–10 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 1–7 |
0–1% 0–4 |
10–15% 25–44 |
N/A N/A |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
16–20% 64–76 |
27–31% 117–137 |
13–16% 34–46 |
13–16% 37–51 |
3–4% 11–16 |
1–3% 6–9 |
1–2% 3–7 |
2–4% 1–2 |
1–2% 2–7 |
0–1% 0–3 |
11–14% 28–45 |
N/A N/A |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
19–21% 72–85 |
29–31% 126–138 |
12–14% 32–37 |
14–16% 44–52 |
3–4% 14–17 |
1–2% 3–6 |
1–2% 6–8 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
10–11% 22–27 |
N/A N/A |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
18–23% 68–96 |
26–32% 111–140 |
12–16% 29–47 |
13–18% 39–62 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
9–12% 18–33 |
N/A N/A |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
18–21% 71–84 |
28–30% 121–136 |
13–15% 36–44 |
13–15% 39–51 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
10–12% 26–33 |
N/A N/A |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 20–25% 78–106 |
25–30% 104–133 |
10–14% 23–38 |
11–15% 24–47 |
2–4% 10–18 |
1–2% 3–10 |
1–2% 3–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
12–16% 31–53 |
N/A N/A |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 15–19% 53–75 |
28–33% 124–151 |
12–17% 34–55 |
13–18% 42–62 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
8–12% 17–32 |
N/A N/A |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
19–23% 73–98 |
28–32% 119–143 |
10–14% 24–37 |
13–16% 37–55 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
9–12% 21–33 |
N/A N/A |
| 26 June 2016 | General Election | 33.0% 137 |
22.6% 85 |
21.2% 71 |
13.1% 32 |
2.7% 9 |
2.0% 8 |
1.2% 5 |
1.2% 0 |
0.8% 2 |
0.3% 1 |
0.2% 0 |
0.2% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Congress of Deputies (95% confidence interval)
- PP: Partido Popular
- PSOE: Partido Socialista Obrero Español
- UP: Unidos Podemos
- Cs: Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
- ERC: Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
- PDeCAT: Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
- EAJ/PNV: Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
- PACMA: Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
- EH Bildu: Euskal Herria Bildu
- CC: Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
- Vox: Vox
- BNG: Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 20.1% | 17.5–23.3% | 16.8–24.2% | 16.2–24.9% | 15.1–26.1% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 29.3% | 27.2–31.4% | 26.7–31.9% | 26.3–32.3% | 25.3–33.4% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 13.7% | 12.2–15.4% | 11.7–15.8% | 11.3–16.3% | 10.6–17.0% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.4–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.5–17.0% | 11.7–17.9% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.7–4.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.6–3.0% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9–2.8% | 0.8–3.0% | 0.7–3.2% | 0.6–3.6% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.8% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 11.2% | 8.9–13.4% | 8.2–14.0% | 7.6–14.6% | 6.8–15.7% |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 96% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 10% | 90% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 15% | 80% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 28% | 65% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 13% | 38% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 9% | 24% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 7% | 15% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 9% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 19% | 85% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 29.5–30.5% | 21% | 43% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 14% | 23% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 13% | 96% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 83% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 30% | 56% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 18% | 26% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 11% | 97% | Last Result |
| 13.5–14.5% | 35% | 86% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 31% | 52% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 15% | 20% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 63% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 23% | 23% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 67% | 99.9% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 32% | 33% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 78% | 99.9% | Last Result, Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 20% | 22% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 32% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 1.5–2.5% | 54% | 68% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 13% | 14% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 5% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 93% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 85% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 15% | 15% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 10% | 93% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 20% | 83% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 19% | 41% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 14% | 22% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular | 137 | 80 | 68–99 | 65–104 | 62–107 | 56–115 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 128 | 113–139 | 111–140 | 108–143 | 104–148 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 37 | 31–44 | 29–46 | 26–48 | 24–54 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 47 | 39–53 | 36–56 | 33–58 | 27–62 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 11–15 | 9–16 | 9–17 | 7–19 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 4–8 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 1–10 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 4–8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–11 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 4 | 2–6 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 0–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| Vox | 0 | 28 | 19–39 | 16–42 | 13–45 | 11–49 |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 68 | 6% | 92% | |
| 69 | 2% | 85% | |
| 70 | 2% | 83% | |
| 71 | 3% | 81% | |
| 72 | 2% | 77% | |
| 73 | 2% | 75% | |
| 74 | 2% | 73% | |
| 75 | 2% | 71% | |
| 76 | 4% | 69% | |
| 77 | 4% | 65% | |
| 78 | 5% | 61% | |
| 79 | 4% | 56% | |
| 80 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 45% | |
| 82 | 6% | 42% | |
| 83 | 4% | 35% | |
| 84 | 3% | 31% | |
| 85 | 3% | 28% | |
| 86 | 2% | 25% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 88 | 2% | 21% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 15% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 104 | 3% | 7% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 112 | 4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 2% | 90% | |
| 114 | 2% | 88% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 116 | 1.5% | 85% | |
| 117 | 2% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 82% | |
| 119 | 2% | 80% | |
| 120 | 2% | 78% | |
| 121 | 5% | 76% | |
| 122 | 4% | 71% | |
| 123 | 3% | 67% | |
| 124 | 3% | 64% | |
| 125 | 2% | 61% | |
| 126 | 3% | 58% | |
| 127 | 3% | 56% | |
| 128 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 48% | |
| 130 | 3% | 42% | |
| 131 | 4% | 39% | |
| 132 | 4% | 35% | |
| 133 | 2% | 31% | |
| 134 | 4% | 29% | |
| 135 | 4% | 25% | |
| 136 | 3% | 22% | |
| 137 | 6% | 18% | |
| 138 | 2% | 12% | |
| 139 | 4% | 10% | |
| 140 | 2% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 29 | 2% | 95% | |
| 30 | 2% | 94% | |
| 31 | 2% | 91% | |
| 32 | 3% | 89% | |
| 33 | 6% | 86% | |
| 34 | 5% | 80% | |
| 35 | 6% | 75% | |
| 36 | 11% | 69% | |
| 37 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 38 | 7% | 40% | |
| 39 | 5% | 33% | |
| 40 | 4% | 28% | |
| 41 | 5% | 24% | |
| 42 | 5% | 19% | |
| 43 | 3% | 13% | |
| 44 | 2% | 10% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 38 | 2% | 93% | |
| 39 | 3% | 91% | |
| 40 | 5% | 88% | |
| 41 | 3% | 83% | |
| 42 | 3% | 80% | |
| 43 | 4% | 77% | |
| 44 | 4% | 73% | |
| 45 | 7% | 69% | |
| 46 | 5% | 62% | |
| 47 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 48 | 7% | 50% | |
| 49 | 7% | 43% | |
| 50 | 14% | 36% | |
| 51 | 4% | 21% | |
| 52 | 5% | 17% | |
| 53 | 3% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 7% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 93% | |
| 11 | 12% | 90% | |
| 12 | 9% | 78% | |
| 13 | 14% | 70% | |
| 14 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 27% | 37% | |
| 16 | 6% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 6% | 98% | |
| 4 | 24% | 92% | |
| 5 | 26% | 68% | Median |
| 6 | 17% | 42% | |
| 7 | 5% | 25% | |
| 8 | 16% | 19% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 6% | 92% | |
| 5 | 4% | 86% | Last Result |
| 6 | 53% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 10% | 28% | |
| 8 | 10% | 18% | |
| 9 | 2% | 8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 6% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 19% | 91% | Last Result |
| 3 | 20% | 72% | |
| 4 | 29% | 52% | Median |
| 5 | 12% | 23% | |
| 6 | 8% | 11% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | |
| 1 | 54% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 13% | 16% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 3% | 96% | |
| 17 | 2% | 93% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 21 | 2% | 88% | |
| 22 | 2% | 86% | |
| 23 | 6% | 84% | |
| 24 | 5% | 78% | |
| 25 | 4% | 73% | |
| 26 | 5% | 69% | |
| 27 | 6% | 64% | |
| 28 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 29 | 7% | 49% | |
| 30 | 4% | 42% | |
| 31 | 5% | 38% | |
| 32 | 3% | 34% | |
| 33 | 5% | 31% | |
| 34 | 4% | 26% | |
| 35 | 2% | 22% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 20% | |
| 37 | 5% | 18% | |
| 38 | 2% | 14% | |
| 39 | 2% | 11% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 255 | 100% | 244–265 | 240–268 | 238–271 | 234–275 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 188 | 211 | 99.4% | 197–224 | 189–231 | 182–236 | 174–243 |
| Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 222 | 208 | 100% | 197–218 | 193–221 | 191–224 | 186–230 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 193 | 95% | 179–205 | 175–208 | 171–212 | 166–219 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 184 | 77% | 170–196 | 166–199 | 162–203 | 157–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 181 | 67% | 167–193 | 163–195 | 160–199 | 153–205 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 175 | 48% | 160–186 | 153–190 | 149–194 | 143–200 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 174 | 41% | 160–187 | 156–190 | 153–193 | 145–201 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 171 | 32% | 157–184 | 153–187 | 150–191 | 142–198 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 165 | 12% | 151–177 | 147–181 | 143–185 | 136–192 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 155 | 4% | 144–170 | 140–174 | 137–177 | 130–183 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 132 | 0% | 121–150 | 118–158 | 115–162 | 110–167 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 126 | 0% | 116–145 | 113–155 | 110–157 | 105–162 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 125 | 0% | 115–144 | 112–154 | 109–156 | 104–161 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 128 | 0% | 113–139 | 111–140 | 108–143 | 104–148 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 109 | 0% | 96–125 | 90–131 | 86–137 | 79–145 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 80 | 0% | 68–99 | 65–104 | 62–107 | 56–115 |
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 230 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 231 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 235 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 236 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 237 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 238 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 239 | 2% | 97% | |
| 240 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 241 | 2% | 95% | |
| 242 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 243 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 244 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 245 | 2% | 89% | |
| 246 | 2% | 87% | |
| 247 | 7% | 85% | |
| 248 | 3% | 78% | |
| 249 | 3% | 75% | |
| 250 | 3% | 72% | |
| 251 | 4% | 69% | |
| 252 | 5% | 65% | |
| 253 | 4% | 60% | |
| 254 | 4% | 55% | Last Result |
| 255 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 256 | 5% | 46% | |
| 257 | 6% | 41% | |
| 258 | 5% | 35% | |
| 259 | 4% | 30% | |
| 260 | 4% | 26% | |
| 261 | 4% | 22% | |
| 262 | 3% | 18% | |
| 263 | 2% | 15% | |
| 264 | 2% | 13% | |
| 265 | 2% | 11% | |
| 266 | 3% | 10% | |
| 267 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 268 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 269 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 270 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 271 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 272 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 273 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 274 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 275 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 276 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 277 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 96% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 194 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 197 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 198 | 2% | 90% | |
| 199 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 200 | 2% | 87% | |
| 201 | 2% | 85% | |
| 202 | 3% | 83% | |
| 203 | 2% | 80% | |
| 204 | 4% | 78% | |
| 205 | 3% | 74% | |
| 206 | 4% | 71% | |
| 207 | 2% | 67% | |
| 208 | 3% | 65% | |
| 209 | 3% | 63% | |
| 210 | 7% | 59% | |
| 211 | 3% | 52% | |
| 212 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 213 | 3% | 46% | |
| 214 | 4% | 42% | |
| 215 | 4% | 39% | |
| 216 | 8% | 35% | |
| 217 | 3% | 27% | |
| 218 | 3% | 25% | |
| 219 | 4% | 22% | |
| 220 | 3% | 18% | |
| 221 | 2% | 15% | |
| 222 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 223 | 2% | 12% | |
| 224 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 225 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 226 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 227 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 228 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 229 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 230 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 231 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 232 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 233 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 234 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 235 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 239 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 240 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 241 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 242 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 192 | 2% | 97% | |
| 193 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 194 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 195 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 196 | 2% | 93% | |
| 197 | 5% | 91% | |
| 198 | 2% | 85% | |
| 199 | 3% | 84% | |
| 200 | 2% | 81% | |
| 201 | 3% | 79% | |
| 202 | 4% | 76% | |
| 203 | 4% | 72% | |
| 204 | 5% | 68% | |
| 205 | 3% | 63% | |
| 206 | 3% | 60% | |
| 207 | 5% | 56% | |
| 208 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 209 | 4% | 48% | |
| 210 | 4% | 44% | |
| 211 | 4% | 39% | |
| 212 | 4% | 35% | |
| 213 | 4% | 31% | |
| 214 | 3% | 27% | |
| 215 | 3% | 24% | |
| 216 | 6% | 21% | |
| 217 | 5% | 16% | |
| 218 | 2% | 10% | |
| 219 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 220 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 221 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 222 | 0.7% | 4% | Last Result |
| 223 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 224 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 225 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 226 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 176 | 1.1% | 95% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 179 | 4% | 91% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 87% | Last Result |
| 181 | 2% | 86% | |
| 182 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 183 | 2% | 82% | |
| 184 | 2% | 80% | |
| 185 | 3% | 78% | |
| 186 | 4% | 75% | |
| 187 | 3% | 72% | |
| 188 | 4% | 69% | |
| 189 | 3% | 65% | |
| 190 | 3% | 62% | |
| 191 | 4% | 59% | |
| 192 | 3% | 55% | |
| 193 | 3% | 52% | |
| 194 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 195 | 8% | 47% | |
| 196 | 3% | 39% | |
| 197 | 3% | 36% | |
| 198 | 2% | 33% | |
| 199 | 5% | 31% | |
| 200 | 4% | 25% | |
| 201 | 3% | 22% | |
| 202 | 2% | 19% | |
| 203 | 3% | 17% | |
| 204 | 2% | 14% | |
| 205 | 2% | 12% | |
| 206 | 2% | 10% | |
| 207 | 2% | 7% | |
| 208 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 209 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 210 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 212 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 213 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 168 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 169 | 2% | 92% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 171 | 5% | 89% | |
| 172 | 2% | 85% | |
| 173 | 2% | 83% | Last Result |
| 174 | 2% | 82% | |
| 175 | 3% | 80% | |
| 176 | 3% | 77% | Majority |
| 177 | 4% | 74% | |
| 178 | 3% | 70% | |
| 179 | 4% | 67% | |
| 180 | 3% | 63% | |
| 181 | 2% | 61% | |
| 182 | 3% | 58% | |
| 183 | 4% | 55% | |
| 184 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 185 | 4% | 48% | |
| 186 | 7% | 45% | |
| 187 | 3% | 38% | |
| 188 | 3% | 35% | |
| 189 | 5% | 32% | |
| 190 | 3% | 27% | |
| 191 | 3% | 23% | |
| 192 | 3% | 20% | |
| 193 | 3% | 17% | |
| 194 | 3% | 14% | |
| 195 | 2% | 12% | |
| 196 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 197 | 2% | 9% | |
| 198 | 2% | 7% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 200 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 204 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 164 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 167 | 1.3% | 91% | Last Result |
| 168 | 3% | 90% | |
| 169 | 4% | 87% | |
| 170 | 2% | 83% | |
| 171 | 2% | 81% | |
| 172 | 2% | 79% | |
| 173 | 3% | 77% | |
| 174 | 2% | 74% | |
| 175 | 4% | 72% | |
| 176 | 3% | 67% | Majority |
| 177 | 4% | 64% | |
| 178 | 3% | 61% | |
| 179 | 3% | 58% | |
| 180 | 2% | 55% | |
| 181 | 4% | 53% | |
| 182 | 4% | 49% | |
| 183 | 3% | 45% | Median |
| 184 | 6% | 42% | |
| 185 | 3% | 35% | |
| 186 | 3% | 32% | |
| 187 | 3% | 29% | |
| 188 | 3% | 26% | |
| 189 | 7% | 23% | |
| 190 | 2% | 16% | |
| 191 | 2% | 14% | |
| 192 | 2% | 12% | |
| 193 | 2% | 10% | |
| 194 | 2% | 8% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 199 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 151 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 162 | 3% | 89% | |
| 163 | 3% | 86% | |
| 164 | 1.5% | 83% | |
| 165 | 3% | 81% | |
| 166 | 2% | 79% | |
| 167 | 3% | 77% | |
| 168 | 3% | 74% | |
| 169 | 3% | 71% | |
| 170 | 2% | 68% | |
| 171 | 3% | 65% | |
| 172 | 3% | 62% | |
| 173 | 5% | 59% | |
| 174 | 3% | 54% | |
| 175 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 176 | 3% | 48% | Majority |
| 177 | 6% | 45% | |
| 178 | 5% | 39% | |
| 179 | 7% | 34% | |
| 180 | 3% | 27% | |
| 181 | 4% | 24% | |
| 182 | 3% | 20% | |
| 183 | 4% | 17% | |
| 184 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 185 | 2% | 12% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 187 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 188 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 190 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 156 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 159 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 161 | 2% | 90% | |
| 162 | 4% | 88% | |
| 163 | 1.5% | 84% | Last Result |
| 164 | 2% | 82% | |
| 165 | 2% | 81% | |
| 166 | 3% | 79% | |
| 167 | 4% | 76% | |
| 168 | 4% | 72% | |
| 169 | 3% | 68% | |
| 170 | 3% | 65% | |
| 171 | 3% | 62% | |
| 172 | 3% | 59% | |
| 173 | 3% | 57% | |
| 174 | 3% | 53% | |
| 175 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 176 | 3% | 41% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 38% | |
| 178 | 3% | 36% | |
| 179 | 3% | 33% | |
| 180 | 5% | 30% | |
| 181 | 3% | 25% | |
| 182 | 3% | 22% | |
| 183 | 3% | 19% | |
| 184 | 2% | 16% | |
| 185 | 2% | 15% | |
| 186 | 2% | 12% | |
| 187 | 2% | 11% | |
| 188 | 2% | 8% | |
| 189 | 2% | 7% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 155 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 156 | 2% | 93% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 158 | 4% | 90% | |
| 159 | 2% | 86% | |
| 160 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 161 | 3% | 82% | Last Result |
| 162 | 2% | 79% | |
| 163 | 3% | 77% | |
| 164 | 2% | 74% | |
| 165 | 5% | 72% | |
| 166 | 2% | 67% | |
| 167 | 3% | 65% | |
| 168 | 3% | 61% | |
| 169 | 3% | 58% | |
| 170 | 2% | 56% | |
| 171 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 172 | 7% | 49% | |
| 173 | 4% | 42% | |
| 174 | 3% | 38% | |
| 175 | 3% | 35% | |
| 176 | 5% | 32% | Majority |
| 177 | 4% | 27% | |
| 178 | 2% | 23% | |
| 179 | 3% | 21% | |
| 180 | 4% | 18% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 183 | 2% | 12% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 185 | 2% | 9% | |
| 186 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 187 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 150 | 2% | 92% | |
| 151 | 2% | 91% | |
| 152 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 153 | 2% | 88% | |
| 154 | 4% | 86% | |
| 155 | 2% | 82% | |
| 156 | 3% | 79% | Last Result |
| 157 | 2% | 77% | |
| 158 | 4% | 75% | |
| 159 | 4% | 71% | |
| 160 | 2% | 66% | |
| 161 | 3% | 64% | |
| 162 | 3% | 61% | |
| 163 | 2% | 58% | |
| 164 | 3% | 56% | |
| 165 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 166 | 7% | 49% | |
| 167 | 4% | 42% | |
| 168 | 2% | 38% | |
| 169 | 3% | 35% | |
| 170 | 6% | 32% | |
| 171 | 4% | 26% | |
| 172 | 2% | 23% | |
| 173 | 4% | 21% | |
| 174 | 2% | 17% | |
| 175 | 3% | 14% | |
| 176 | 2% | 12% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 180 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 143 | 2% | 92% | |
| 144 | 2% | 90% | |
| 145 | 2% | 88% | |
| 146 | 3% | 86% | |
| 147 | 3% | 83% | |
| 148 | 3% | 80% | |
| 149 | 5% | 77% | |
| 150 | 3% | 72% | |
| 151 | 3% | 69% | |
| 152 | 4% | 66% | |
| 153 | 3% | 63% | |
| 154 | 3% | 60% | |
| 155 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 156 | 3% | 50% | |
| 157 | 3% | 47% | |
| 158 | 3% | 44% | |
| 159 | 4% | 41% | |
| 160 | 3% | 37% | |
| 161 | 3% | 34% | |
| 162 | 3% | 31% | |
| 163 | 4% | 28% | |
| 164 | 2% | 24% | |
| 165 | 2% | 22% | |
| 166 | 2% | 19% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 168 | 2% | 16% | |
| 169 | 1.0% | 14% | Last Result |
| 170 | 4% | 13% | |
| 171 | 2% | 9% | |
| 172 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 176 | 0.8% | 4% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 119 | 3% | 95% | |
| 120 | 2% | 92% | |
| 121 | 3% | 90% | |
| 122 | 2% | 88% | |
| 123 | 3% | 86% | |
| 124 | 7% | 83% | |
| 125 | 3% | 76% | |
| 126 | 5% | 73% | |
| 127 | 3% | 68% | |
| 128 | 3% | 64% | |
| 129 | 3% | 61% | |
| 130 | 4% | 58% | |
| 131 | 5% | 55% | |
| 132 | 3% | 50% | |
| 133 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 134 | 3% | 43% | |
| 135 | 3% | 39% | |
| 136 | 3% | 36% | |
| 137 | 2% | 33% | |
| 138 | 3% | 31% | |
| 139 | 2% | 29% | |
| 140 | 3% | 27% | |
| 141 | 2% | 23% | |
| 142 | 2% | 22% | |
| 143 | 2% | 20% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 145 | 2% | 17% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 147 | 2% | 14% | |
| 148 | 2% | 13% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 158 | 3% | 6% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 165 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 114 | 2% | 95% | |
| 115 | 3% | 93% | |
| 116 | 3% | 90% | |
| 117 | 2% | 88% | |
| 118 | 7% | 86% | |
| 119 | 3% | 78% | |
| 120 | 4% | 75% | |
| 121 | 5% | 71% | |
| 122 | 2% | 66% | |
| 123 | 3% | 63% | |
| 124 | 3% | 61% | |
| 125 | 5% | 58% | |
| 126 | 3% | 52% | |
| 127 | 3% | 49% | |
| 128 | 4% | 45% | Median |
| 129 | 4% | 42% | |
| 130 | 3% | 38% | |
| 131 | 2% | 35% | |
| 132 | 2% | 33% | |
| 133 | 3% | 31% | |
| 134 | 2% | 28% | |
| 135 | 3% | 26% | |
| 136 | 2% | 23% | |
| 137 | 2% | 21% | |
| 138 | 2% | 20% | |
| 139 | 2% | 18% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 142 | 2% | 14% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 3% | 6% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 113 | 3% | 95% | |
| 114 | 2% | 92% | |
| 115 | 2% | 90% | |
| 116 | 2% | 88% | |
| 117 | 4% | 86% | |
| 118 | 7% | 82% | |
| 119 | 4% | 75% | |
| 120 | 5% | 71% | |
| 121 | 2% | 66% | |
| 122 | 2% | 63% | |
| 123 | 3% | 61% | |
| 124 | 4% | 58% | |
| 125 | 4% | 53% | |
| 126 | 3% | 49% | |
| 127 | 4% | 46% | Median |
| 128 | 4% | 42% | |
| 129 | 3% | 38% | |
| 130 | 3% | 35% | |
| 131 | 2% | 33% | |
| 132 | 3% | 31% | |
| 133 | 2% | 28% | |
| 134 | 3% | 26% | |
| 135 | 2% | 23% | |
| 136 | 2% | 21% | |
| 137 | 2% | 19% | |
| 138 | 2% | 18% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 142 | 2% | 13% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 3% | 6% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 112 | 4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 2% | 90% | |
| 114 | 2% | 88% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 116 | 1.5% | 85% | |
| 117 | 2% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 82% | |
| 119 | 2% | 80% | |
| 120 | 2% | 78% | |
| 121 | 5% | 76% | |
| 122 | 4% | 71% | |
| 123 | 3% | 67% | |
| 124 | 3% | 64% | |
| 125 | 2% | 61% | |
| 126 | 3% | 58% | |
| 127 | 3% | 56% | |
| 128 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 48% | |
| 130 | 3% | 42% | |
| 131 | 4% | 39% | |
| 132 | 4% | 35% | |
| 133 | 2% | 31% | |
| 134 | 4% | 29% | |
| 135 | 4% | 25% | |
| 136 | 3% | 22% | |
| 137 | 6% | 18% | |
| 138 | 2% | 12% | |
| 139 | 4% | 10% | |
| 140 | 2% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 98 | 3% | 89% | |
| 99 | 2% | 86% | |
| 100 | 2% | 84% | |
| 101 | 2% | 83% | |
| 102 | 2% | 81% | |
| 103 | 3% | 79% | |
| 104 | 4% | 76% | |
| 105 | 9% | 72% | |
| 106 | 4% | 63% | |
| 107 | 6% | 60% | |
| 108 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 109 | 7% | 51% | |
| 110 | 3% | 45% | |
| 111 | 3% | 42% | |
| 112 | 4% | 39% | |
| 113 | 3% | 35% | |
| 114 | 3% | 32% | |
| 115 | 2% | 29% | |
| 116 | 3% | 27% | |
| 117 | 2% | 24% | |
| 118 | 2% | 22% | |
| 119 | 2% | 20% | |
| 120 | 4% | 19% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 125 | 2% | 11% | |
| 126 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 138 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 68 | 6% | 92% | |
| 69 | 2% | 85% | |
| 70 | 2% | 83% | |
| 71 | 3% | 81% | |
| 72 | 2% | 77% | |
| 73 | 2% | 75% | |
| 74 | 2% | 73% | |
| 75 | 2% | 71% | |
| 76 | 4% | 69% | |
| 77 | 4% | 65% | |
| 78 | 5% | 61% | |
| 79 | 4% | 56% | |
| 80 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 45% | |
| 82 | 6% | 42% | |
| 83 | 4% | 35% | |
| 84 | 3% | 31% | |
| 85 | 3% | 28% | |
| 86 | 2% | 25% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 88 | 2% | 21% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 15% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 104 | 3% | 7% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 16
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 16,777,216
- Error estimate: 4.44%