Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 9–13 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular 33.0% 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 24.3% 22.6–26.1% 22.1–26.6% 21.7–27.1% 21.0–27.9%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 23.5% 21.8–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.2% 20.2–27.1%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.0–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular 137 111 103–116 98–117 96–120 90–122
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 78 72–80 72–81 71–84 70–102
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 88 85–94 82–95 81–99 78–108
Unidos Podemos 71 47 45–57 40–59 40–60 36–62
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 12 8–14 8–15 8–16 7–17
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 6 2–7 2–8 1–10 1–10
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–6 3–7 3–8 2–8
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 3 1–4 1–5 1–6 1–7
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–3 0–4

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.4%  
92 0.4% 99.4%  
93 1.1% 99.0%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 2% 98%  
97 0.9% 96%  
98 0.7% 95%  
99 0.4% 95%  
100 0.7% 94%  
101 2% 94%  
102 0.6% 91%  
103 5% 91%  
104 2% 86%  
105 8% 84%  
106 4% 76%  
107 0.2% 72%  
108 0.1% 72%  
109 14% 72%  
110 0.2% 58%  
111 31% 58% Median
112 2% 26%  
113 0.2% 24%  
114 9% 24%  
115 0.6% 15%  
116 5% 15%  
117 5% 9%  
118 0.5% 4%  
119 0.3% 3%  
120 2% 3%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0.4% 0.6%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 2% 99.6%  
71 2% 98%  
72 11% 96%  
73 6% 85%  
74 2% 78%  
75 10% 76%  
76 2% 66%  
77 11% 63%  
78 29% 53% Median
79 14% 24%  
80 4% 10%  
81 2% 6%  
82 0.3% 4%  
83 0.4% 4%  
84 1.2% 3%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 0.1% 2%  
87 0.1% 2%  
88 0.2% 2%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 0.2% 2%  
91 0% 1.5%  
92 0% 1.5%  
93 0% 1.4%  
94 0% 1.4%  
95 0% 1.4%  
96 0% 1.4%  
97 0% 1.4%  
98 0.3% 1.4%  
99 0% 1.1%  
100 0% 1.1%  
101 0% 1.1%  
102 0.6% 1.1%  
103 0.4% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.7% 99.5%  
79 0.1% 98.9%  
80 0.3% 98.8%  
81 3% 98%  
82 2% 95%  
83 1.0% 94%  
84 2% 93%  
85 3% 90% Last Result
86 3% 87%  
87 25% 85%  
88 22% 60% Median
89 5% 38%  
90 2% 33%  
91 7% 30%  
92 7% 23%  
93 0.9% 17%  
94 7% 16%  
95 4% 8%  
96 0.2% 5%  
97 1.0% 5%  
98 1.1% 4%  
99 0.2% 3%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.2% 2%  
102 0.6% 2%  
103 0.1% 1.5%  
104 0.7% 1.4%  
105 0.1% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.6%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.5%  
109 0.4% 0.4%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 1.3% 99.6%  
37 0.1% 98%  
38 0.1% 98%  
39 0.3% 98%  
40 5% 98%  
41 1.0% 92%  
42 0.3% 91%  
43 0.7% 91%  
44 0.2% 90%  
45 21% 90%  
46 6% 69%  
47 23% 63% Median
48 3% 40%  
49 6% 37%  
50 10% 31%  
51 2% 21%  
52 0.2% 20%  
53 0.9% 20%  
54 2% 19%  
55 0.4% 17%  
56 2% 16%  
57 9% 15%  
58 0.7% 6%  
59 2% 5%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.2% 0.8%  
62 0.1% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 17% 98%  
9 5% 82% Last Result
10 2% 77%  
11 10% 75%  
12 26% 65% Median
13 29% 39%  
14 6% 11%  
15 1.1% 5%  
16 2% 4%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 4% 100%  
2 9% 96%  
3 13% 88%  
4 7% 74%  
5 17% 67%  
6 23% 50% Median
7 21% 28%  
8 3% 6% Last Result
9 0.1% 3%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 2% 99.9%  
3 9% 98%  
4 0.5% 89%  
5 35% 89% Last Result
6 47% 54% Median
7 3% 7%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 12% 99.7%  
2 19% 87% Last Result
3 21% 68% Median
4 41% 47%  
5 0.9% 5%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.7% 0.8%  
8 0.1% 0.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 51% 78% Last Result, Median
2 24% 27%  
3 2% 3%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 254 276 100% 269–279 267–280 265–286 262–291
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 188 212 100% 208–223 206–227 204–230 201–233
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 222 198 99.9% 193–202 189–207 187–208 182–212
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 194 98.7% 183–198 180–201 177–203 171–207
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 190 95% 179–193 175–196 174–197 169–202
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 189 94% 178–192 174–196 174–196 168–201
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 117 165 5% 160–172 157–175 156–180 153–195
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 160 4% 157–171 154–175 153–176 148–181
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 152 0.1% 147–163 145–167 144–168 140–174
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 149 0.1% 147–161 145–166 141–168 138–172
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 144 0% 140–155 139–159 138–161 131–164
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 140 0% 137–152 135–155 135–158 129–161
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 135 0% 131–146 130–151 129–152 123–157
Partido Popular 137 111 0% 103–116 98–117 96–120 90–122
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 88 0% 85–94 82–95 81–99 78–108

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0.2% 99.8%  
262 0.7% 99.7%  
263 0.4% 98.9%  
264 0.4% 98.6%  
265 1.0% 98%  
266 0.7% 97%  
267 2% 96%  
268 2% 95%  
269 7% 93%  
270 2% 86%  
271 1.3% 84%  
272 1.1% 82%  
273 6% 81%  
274 11% 75%  
275 6% 64%  
276 17% 58%  
277 4% 41% Median
278 21% 37%  
279 10% 16%  
280 0.9% 6%  
281 1.2% 5%  
282 0% 4%  
283 0% 4%  
284 0.1% 4%  
285 0.6% 4%  
286 1.2% 3%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0% 1.5%  
289 0.7% 1.4%  
290 0.1% 0.7%  
291 0.6% 0.6%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0.1% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.3% 99.8%  
201 0.1% 99.5%  
202 0.1% 99.4%  
203 0.1% 99.3%  
204 3% 99.2%  
205 0.2% 96%  
206 2% 96%  
207 3% 94%  
208 1.3% 91%  
209 2% 90%  
210 21% 88%  
211 2% 67%  
212 18% 64%  
213 1.0% 47% Median
214 14% 46%  
215 0.6% 32%  
216 1.1% 31%  
217 7% 30%  
218 0.3% 23%  
219 7% 23%  
220 0.5% 15%  
221 3% 15%  
222 0.3% 12%  
223 2% 12%  
224 1.4% 9%  
225 0.2% 8%  
226 2% 8%  
227 2% 6%  
228 0.3% 4%  
229 0.7% 4%  
230 0.5% 3%  
231 1.0% 2%  
232 0.3% 1.4%  
233 0.8% 1.0%  
234 0.1% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0.1% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9% Majority
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0% 99.8%  
181 0.2% 99.8%  
182 0.3% 99.6%  
183 0.2% 99.3%  
184 0.2% 99.0%  
185 0.5% 98.8%  
186 0.7% 98%  
187 0.7% 98%  
188 1.0% 97%  
189 1.1% 96%  
190 1.4% 95%  
191 1.2% 93%  
192 2% 92%  
193 2% 90%  
194 0.1% 88%  
195 0.2% 88%  
196 0.2% 88%  
197 18% 88%  
198 21% 69%  
199 15% 48% Median
200 12% 33%  
201 9% 21%  
202 2% 12%  
203 0.1% 9%  
204 0.1% 9%  
205 2% 9%  
206 2% 8%  
207 3% 6%  
208 0.3% 3%  
209 0.5% 2%  
210 0.1% 2%  
211 1.1% 2%  
212 0.4% 0.6%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.4% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.5%  
173 0% 99.4%  
174 0.5% 99.3% Last Result
175 0.1% 98.8%  
176 0.4% 98.7% Majority
177 1.1% 98%  
178 0.2% 97%  
179 0.9% 97%  
180 4% 96%  
181 0.3% 92%  
182 0.4% 92%  
183 4% 92%  
184 1.0% 88%  
185 0.1% 87%  
186 0.7% 87%  
187 7% 86%  
188 8% 78%  
189 0.5% 71%  
190 10% 70%  
191 2% 60%  
192 0.9% 58%  
193 1.5% 57%  
194 18% 55%  
195 15% 38% Median
196 4% 23%  
197 2% 19%  
198 10% 17%  
199 0.9% 7%  
200 0.3% 6%  
201 3% 6%  
202 0% 3%  
203 0.4% 3%  
204 0.9% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.2%  
206 0% 0.9%  
207 0.6% 0.8%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.9% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 98.9% Last Result
171 0.1% 98.9%  
172 0% 98.8%  
173 0.7% 98.7%  
174 2% 98%  
175 2% 96%  
176 0.5% 95% Majority
177 0.4% 94%  
178 0.5% 94%  
179 3% 93%  
180 2% 90%  
181 8% 88%  
182 0.5% 79%  
183 9% 79%  
184 0.4% 70%  
185 5% 70%  
186 6% 65%  
187 2% 59%  
188 2% 57%  
189 0.4% 55%  
190 19% 54% Median
191 3% 35%  
192 14% 32%  
193 9% 17%  
194 0.2% 8%  
195 1.1% 8%  
196 4% 7%  
197 1.1% 3%  
198 0% 2%  
199 1.3% 2%  
200 0% 1.0%  
201 0.4% 1.0%  
202 0.2% 0.6%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0.1% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.9% 99.8%  
169 0% 98.9% Last Result
170 0.1% 98.9%  
171 0.3% 98.8%  
172 0.3% 98%  
173 0.6% 98%  
174 3% 98%  
175 0.3% 94%  
176 0.7% 94% Majority
177 0.4% 93%  
178 3% 93%  
179 0.3% 90%  
180 3% 89%  
181 8% 87%  
182 7% 79%  
183 2% 72%  
184 11% 69%  
185 1.2% 59%  
186 0.7% 58%  
187 1.3% 57%  
188 1.3% 56%  
189 21% 54% Median
190 15% 34%  
191 2% 19%  
192 8% 17%  
193 0.9% 9%  
194 0.1% 8%  
195 2% 8%  
196 3% 5%  
197 0.1% 2%  
198 1.2% 2%  
199 0% 0.9%  
200 0% 0.9%  
201 0.5% 0.8%  
202 0% 0.3%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0.1% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.6% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.2%  
155 0.2% 99.2%  
156 2% 99.0%  
157 4% 97%  
158 0.1% 93%  
159 2% 93%  
160 7% 91%  
161 4% 84%  
162 2% 80%  
163 2% 78%  
164 3% 75%  
165 26% 73%  
166 9% 47% Median
167 15% 38%  
168 0.2% 23%  
169 7% 23%  
170 3% 15%  
171 0.8% 12%  
172 5% 11%  
173 1.3% 7%  
174 0.1% 5%  
175 0.6% 5%  
176 0.4% 5% Majority
177 0% 4%  
178 0.1% 4%  
179 1.3% 4%  
180 0.7% 3%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0% 2%  
183 0.1% 2%  
184 0% 2%  
185 0% 1.5%  
186 0.4% 1.4%  
187 0% 1.0%  
188 0% 1.0%  
189 0% 1.0%  
190 0% 1.0%  
191 0.4% 1.0%  
192 0% 0.6%  
193 0% 0.6%  
194 0% 0.6%  
195 0.6% 0.6%  
196 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0.2% 99.7%  
149 0.4% 99.4%  
150 0% 99.0%  
151 1.3% 99.0%  
152 0% 98%  
153 1.1% 98%  
154 4% 97%  
155 1.1% 93%  
156 0.2% 92%  
157 9% 92%  
158 14% 83%  
159 3% 68%  
160 19% 65%  
161 0.4% 46%  
162 2% 45% Median
163 2% 43%  
164 6% 41%  
165 5% 35%  
166 0.4% 30%  
167 9% 30%  
168 0.5% 21%  
169 8% 21%  
170 2% 12%  
171 3% 10%  
172 0.5% 7%  
173 0.4% 6%  
174 0.5% 6%  
175 2% 5%  
176 2% 4% Majority
177 0.7% 2%  
178 0% 1.3%  
179 0.1% 1.2%  
180 0.1% 1.1% Last Result
181 0.9% 1.1%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0.1% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.7%  
140 0.5% 99.5%  
141 0% 99.0%  
142 0.6% 99.0%  
143 0.8% 98%  
144 0.6% 98%  
145 3% 97%  
146 0.1% 94%  
147 8% 94%  
148 0.7% 85%  
149 14% 85%  
150 2% 71%  
151 4% 68%  
152 20% 64%  
153 2% 44% Median
154 0.3% 42%  
155 5% 42%  
156 6% 36%  
157 9% 30%  
158 0.7% 22%  
159 0% 21%  
160 0.7% 21%  
161 0.8% 20%  
162 9% 19%  
163 0.6% 10%  
164 2% 10%  
165 0.6% 7%  
166 0.2% 7%  
167 3% 7%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.5% 2%  
170 0.2% 1.1%  
171 0.2% 1.0%  
172 0% 0.8%  
173 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.4% 0.5%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0.1% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.1% 99.7%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0.4% 99.6%  
139 0.2% 99.2%  
140 0.5% 99.0%  
141 2% 98.5%  
142 0% 96%  
143 0.1% 96%  
144 0.8% 96%  
145 2% 96%  
146 3% 93%  
147 14% 90%  
148 23% 76%  
149 8% 53%  
150 0.5% 45% Median
151 0.7% 45%  
152 11% 44%  
153 0.5% 33%  
154 3% 32%  
155 1.2% 29%  
156 1.1% 28%  
157 0.2% 27%  
158 14% 27%  
159 0.3% 13%  
160 2% 13%  
161 2% 11%  
162 0.4% 9%  
163 1.0% 9%  
164 0.3% 8%  
165 1.4% 8%  
166 3% 6%  
167 0.4% 3% Last Result
168 0.2% 3%  
169 0.7% 2%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.2% 1.3%  
172 0.9% 1.1%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0.1% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.3% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.4%  
133 0.4% 99.3%  
134 0.7% 98.9%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.2% 98%  
138 3% 98%  
139 4% 95%  
140 17% 91%  
141 3% 74%  
142 1.2% 71%  
143 2% 69%  
144 28% 67% Median
145 7% 39%  
146 1.2% 32%  
147 0.3% 31%  
148 0.2% 31%  
149 0.3% 31%  
150 3% 30%  
151 0.2% 27%  
152 14% 27%  
153 1.0% 13%  
154 0.7% 12%  
155 3% 11%  
156 2% 8%  
157 0.3% 6%  
158 0.1% 5%  
159 1.0% 5%  
160 1.4% 4%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.4% 1.5%  
163 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
164 0.4% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.3%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0.1% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.3% 99.7%  
130 0.5% 99.4%  
131 0.1% 98.9%  
132 0.6% 98.8%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 4% 98%  
136 2% 94%  
137 19% 92%  
138 0.7% 73%  
139 2% 72%  
140 28% 70%  
141 0.9% 42% Median
142 4% 41%  
143 7% 38%  
144 0.5% 31%  
145 0.4% 30%  
146 0.5% 30%  
147 0.4% 30%  
148 9% 29%  
149 1.1% 20%  
150 0.1% 19%  
151 9% 19%  
152 1.5% 10%  
153 3% 9%  
154 0.1% 5%  
155 0.9% 5%  
156 0.2% 4%  
157 2% 4%  
158 0.5% 3%  
159 1.3% 2%  
160 0% 0.7%  
161 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
162 0% 0.3%  
163 0.2% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0.1% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0.3% 99.7%  
124 0.5% 99.4%  
125 0.1% 98.9%  
126 0% 98.8%  
127 0.2% 98.7%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 1.3% 98%  
130 6% 97%  
131 2% 91%  
132 17% 89%  
133 2% 73%  
134 14% 71%  
135 16% 57% Median
136 2% 41%  
137 8% 39%  
138 1.0% 32%  
139 0.1% 31%  
140 2% 31%  
141 0.6% 28%  
142 7% 28%  
143 1.0% 21%  
144 0.4% 20%  
145 7% 19%  
146 2% 12%  
147 0.7% 10%  
148 0.4% 9%  
149 0.6% 9%  
150 2% 8%  
151 3% 6%  
152 1.1% 3%  
153 1.2% 2%  
154 0.2% 1.1%  
155 0.3% 1.0%  
156 0% 0.7% Last Result
157 0.1% 0.6%  
158 0.4% 0.5%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.4%  
92 0.4% 99.4%  
93 1.1% 99.0%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 2% 98%  
97 0.9% 96%  
98 0.7% 95%  
99 0.4% 95%  
100 0.7% 94%  
101 2% 94%  
102 0.6% 91%  
103 5% 91%  
104 2% 86%  
105 8% 84%  
106 4% 76%  
107 0.2% 72%  
108 0.1% 72%  
109 14% 72%  
110 0.2% 58%  
111 31% 58% Median
112 2% 26%  
113 0.2% 24%  
114 9% 24%  
115 0.6% 15%  
116 5% 15%  
117 5% 9%  
118 0.5% 4%  
119 0.3% 3%  
120 2% 3%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0.4% 0.6%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.7% 99.5%  
79 0.1% 98.9%  
80 0.3% 98.8%  
81 3% 98%  
82 2% 95%  
83 1.0% 94%  
84 2% 93%  
85 3% 90% Last Result
86 3% 87%  
87 25% 85%  
88 22% 60% Median
89 5% 38%  
90 2% 33%  
91 7% 30%  
92 7% 23%  
93 0.9% 17%  
94 7% 16%  
95 4% 8%  
96 0.2% 5%  
97 1.0% 5%  
98 1.1% 4%  
99 0.2% 3%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.2% 2%  
102 0.6% 2%  
103 0.1% 1.5%  
104 0.7% 1.4%  
105 0.1% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.6%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.5%  
109 0.4% 0.4%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations