Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 17–26 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 28.5% | 27.1–30.0% | 26.8–30.4% | 26.4–30.7% | 25.8–31.4% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 20.3% | 19.1–21.6% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.4–22.3% | 17.9–22.9% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 19.3% | 18.1–20.6% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.5–21.2% | 16.9–21.9% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 16.8% | 15.7–18.0% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.1–18.7% | 14.6–19.3% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 115 | 112–115 | 110–117 | 105–119 | 98–122 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 82 | 81–85 | 76–86 | 74–88 | 66–90 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 61 | 59–66 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–77 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 58 | 58–61 | 57–63 | 57–67 | 52–71 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| Vox | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–8 | 2–8 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–9 | 3–10 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 5 | 1–5 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–4 |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0% | 98% | |
| 105 | 2% | 98% | |
| 106 | 0% | 96% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 110 | 3% | 95% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 11% | 92% | |
| 113 | 11% | 80% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 115 | 60% | 69% | Median |
| 116 | 3% | 9% | |
| 117 | 3% | 7% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 2% | 96% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 81 | 4% | 92% | |
| 82 | 70% | 88% | Median |
| 83 | 2% | 18% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 85 | 10% | 17% | Last Result |
| 86 | 2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 59 | 12% | 95% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 61 | 60% | 81% | Median |
| 62 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 63 | 2% | 21% | |
| 64 | 2% | 19% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 66 | 9% | 17% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 58% | 95% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 37% | |
| 60 | 12% | 33% | |
| 61 | 13% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 10% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 12 | 3% | 89% | |
| 13 | 5% | 86% | |
| 14 | 65% | 82% | Median |
| 15 | 17% | 17% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 80% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 3% | 95% | |
| 5 | 19% | 92% | |
| 6 | 68% | 73% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 5% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 5 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 6 | 3% | 92% | |
| 7 | 84% | 89% | Median |
| 8 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 89% | Last Result |
| 3 | 3% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 5 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 78% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 8% | 20% | |
| 3 | 11% | 12% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 258 | 100% | 253–264 | 253–264 | 252–264 | 246–268 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 254 | 255 | 100% | 252–258 | 250–261 | 249–262 | 241–263 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 117 | 197 | 99.9% | 191–198 | 188–203 | 186–204 | 179–209 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 174 | 22% | 174–176 | 171–178 | 169–182 | 165–185 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox | 169 | 174 | 10% | 174–176 | 171–178 | 169–181 | 163–185 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 169 | 173 | 9% | 173–175 | 169–177 | 167–180 | 163–184 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 175 | 7% | 173–175 | 170–177 | 167–179 | 164–185 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 163 | 0.1% | 161–166 | 160–167 | 156–171 | 153–174 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 162 | 0.2% | 161–164 | 157–165 | 154–169 | 152–173 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 155 | 0% | 153–159 | 152–159 | 151–161 | 145–166 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 143 | 0% | 141–151 | 141–151 | 140–152 | 134–157 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 140 | 0% | 140–145 | 140–146 | 133–149 | 125–153 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 82 | 0% | 81–85 | 76–86 | 74–88 | 66–90 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 59–65 | 58–68 | 53–73 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 58 | 0% | 58–61 | 57–63 | 57–67 | 52–71 |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 245 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 247 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 248 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 249 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 250 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 251 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 252 | 3% | 98% | |
| 253 | 12% | 96% | |
| 254 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 255 | 3% | 84% | |
| 256 | 3% | 81% | |
| 257 | 2% | 79% | |
| 258 | 58% | 76% | Median |
| 259 | 2% | 18% | |
| 260 | 4% | 16% | |
| 261 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 262 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 263 | 0% | 11% | |
| 264 | 8% | 11% | |
| 265 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 266 | 0% | 2% | |
| 267 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 268 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 243 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 244 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 246 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 247 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 248 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 249 | 3% | 98% | |
| 250 | 2% | 95% | |
| 251 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 252 | 2% | 91% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 254 | 0.3% | 89% | Last Result |
| 255 | 70% | 89% | Median |
| 256 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 257 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 258 | 10% | 17% | |
| 259 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 260 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 261 | 2% | 7% | |
| 262 | 2% | 4% | |
| 263 | 2% | 2% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 189 | 3% | 95% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 191 | 4% | 92% | |
| 192 | 0% | 88% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 194 | 12% | 88% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 196 | 1.4% | 76% | |
| 197 | 58% | 74% | Median |
| 198 | 9% | 16% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 201 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 203 | 2% | 6% | |
| 204 | 2% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 167 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 168 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 169 | 2% | 98% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 171 | 2% | 96% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 174 | 68% | 92% | Median |
| 175 | 2% | 24% | |
| 176 | 13% | 22% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 9% | |
| 178 | 3% | 6% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 185 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 166 | 0% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 170 | 2% | 97% | |
| 171 | 2% | 96% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 173 | 2% | 93% | |
| 174 | 70% | 92% | Median |
| 175 | 11% | 21% | |
| 176 | 0.9% | 10% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 178 | 5% | 8% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 185 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 166 | 0% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 97% | |
| 169 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 94% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 172 | 3% | 93% | |
| 173 | 79% | 91% | Median |
| 174 | 2% | 12% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 176 | 4% | 9% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 6% | |
| 178 | 0% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 170 | 3% | 97% | |
| 171 | 2% | 94% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 173 | 14% | 91% | |
| 174 | 10% | 77% | |
| 175 | 60% | 67% | Median |
| 176 | 0.2% | 7% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 7% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 179 | 2% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 158 | 2% | 97% | |
| 159 | 0% | 95% | |
| 160 | 4% | 95% | |
| 161 | 12% | 91% | |
| 162 | 1.5% | 79% | |
| 163 | 59% | 78% | Median |
| 164 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 166 | 12% | 17% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 171 | 2% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 154 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 157 | 2% | 96% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 160 | 2% | 94% | |
| 161 | 22% | 92% | |
| 162 | 59% | 70% | Median |
| 163 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 164 | 3% | 11% | |
| 165 | 4% | 9% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 4% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 148 | 0% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 151 | 3% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 153 | 14% | 95% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 155 | 62% | 80% | Median |
| 156 | 3% | 18% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 158 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 159 | 11% | 14% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 2% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 137 | 0% | 98% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 139 | 0% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 98% | |
| 141 | 13% | 95% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 143 | 59% | 81% | Median |
| 144 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 145 | 4% | 21% | |
| 146 | 2% | 17% | |
| 147 | 2% | 16% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 151 | 10% | 13% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 133 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 97% | |
| 135 | 0% | 97% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 137 | 0% | 97% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 140 | 61% | 96% | Median |
| 141 | 2% | 35% | |
| 142 | 4% | 33% | |
| 143 | 11% | 29% | |
| 144 | 2% | 18% | |
| 145 | 9% | 16% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 153 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 2% | 96% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 81 | 4% | 92% | |
| 82 | 70% | 88% | Median |
| 83 | 2% | 18% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 85 | 10% | 17% | Last Result |
| 86 | 2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 59 | 61% | 97% | Median |
| 60 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 61 | 6% | 36% | |
| 62 | 21% | 30% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 65 | 4% | 8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 58% | 95% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 37% | |
| 60 | 12% | 33% | |
| 61 | 13% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 17–26 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1700
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.10%