Opinion Poll by IMOP for El Confidencial, 23–28 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 28.6% 26.8–30.5% 26.3–31.0% 25.9–31.4% 25.0–32.3%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 20.6% 19.0–22.3% 18.6–22.8% 18.2–23.2% 17.5–24.0%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.7–21.9% 17.4–22.3% 16.7–23.1%
Partido Popular 33.0% 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.6–21.7% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.0%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 107 98–118 96–120 94–121 89–122
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 78 70–85 69–88 66–89 63–90
Unidos Podemos 71 64 57–73 53–74 49–76 45–80
Partido Popular 137 76 66–79 66–80 62–80 58–83
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 9 7–12 6–12 6–13 5–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 6 4–8 4–10 4–10 3–12
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–7 3–8 3–9 2–10
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 2 1–5 0–6 0–6 0–7

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.5% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.4%  
91 0.2% 99.4%  
92 0.1% 99.2%  
93 0.2% 99.0%  
94 1.3% 98.8%  
95 1.4% 97%  
96 4% 96%  
97 0.7% 92%  
98 2% 91%  
99 3% 89%  
100 15% 86%  
101 1.2% 72%  
102 4% 71%  
103 5% 67%  
104 4% 62%  
105 0.3% 58%  
106 3% 57%  
107 10% 55% Median
108 0.1% 45%  
109 0.2% 45%  
110 0.5% 45%  
111 2% 44%  
112 2% 42%  
113 2% 40%  
114 1.3% 38%  
115 8% 36%  
116 9% 29%  
117 6% 19%  
118 4% 14%  
119 3% 9%  
120 1.3% 6%  
121 3% 5%  
122 1.0% 1.4%  
123 0.1% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.8% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.1%  
65 1.2% 99.0%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 0% 97%  
68 0.2% 97%  
69 3% 97%  
70 5% 94%  
71 1.0% 89%  
72 0.9% 88%  
73 2% 87%  
74 6% 85%  
75 4% 80%  
76 4% 76%  
77 2% 72%  
78 23% 71% Median
79 18% 48%  
80 2% 30%  
81 9% 29%  
82 5% 20%  
83 2% 15%  
84 0.4% 12%  
85 2% 12% Last Result
86 2% 10%  
87 3% 8%  
88 2% 5%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.5%  
47 0% 99.2%  
48 1.2% 99.2%  
49 2% 98%  
50 0% 96%  
51 0.3% 96%  
52 0.1% 96%  
53 0.7% 96%  
54 2% 95%  
55 1.0% 92%  
56 1.2% 91%  
57 2% 90%  
58 1.3% 88%  
59 0.7% 87%  
60 3% 86%  
61 4% 83%  
62 6% 80%  
63 17% 74%  
64 9% 57% Median
65 10% 49%  
66 2% 39%  
67 2% 36%  
68 0.4% 35%  
69 4% 34%  
70 3% 31%  
71 5% 28% Last Result
72 3% 23%  
73 13% 20%  
74 2% 6%  
75 1.1% 4%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.3% 1.1%  
78 0.1% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.6%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 0.1% 99.1%  
60 0.1% 99.0%  
61 0.2% 98.9%  
62 1.2% 98.7%  
63 0.2% 97%  
64 0.4% 97%  
65 1.0% 97%  
66 7% 96%  
67 2% 89%  
68 10% 87%  
69 0.7% 78%  
70 4% 77%  
71 3% 73%  
72 6% 71%  
73 5% 65%  
74 6% 60%  
75 3% 55%  
76 30% 52% Median
77 3% 21%  
78 8% 18%  
79 4% 11%  
80 5% 7%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.0% 99.9%  
6 9% 98.9%  
7 24% 90%  
8 13% 66%  
9 14% 53% Last Result, Median
10 13% 39%  
11 12% 26%  
12 11% 14%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.9% 1.1%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 48% 49%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.9%  
3 2% 99.7%  
4 9% 98%  
5 13% 88%  
6 28% 75% Median
7 17% 47%  
8 21% 30% Last Result
9 1.3% 9%  
10 5% 7%  
11 1.3% 2%  
12 0.7% 0.9%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 2% 99.9%  
3 28% 98%  
4 2% 70%  
5 8% 68% Last Result
6 32% 60% Median
7 20% 29%  
8 5% 8%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.8% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 9% 95%  
2 47% 85% Last Result, Median
3 13% 38%  
4 12% 25%  
5 6% 13%  
6 6% 7%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 254 261 100% 253–267 252–272 249–276 245–279
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 188 251 100% 245–260 241–262 239–262 239–269
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 117 186 98% 177–197 177–198 176–202 172–207
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular 169 182 82% 173–193 169–194 168–198 163–200
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 167 9% 155–175 154–180 151–181 149–186
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 159 1.2% 147–168 145–172 140–173 140–178
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 155 0.9% 143–164 142–167 137–169 136–177
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 153 0.1% 146–159 139–160 138–167 133–169
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 152 0% 141–161 138–164 134–166 132–170
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 143 0% 133–153 130–157 125–158 124–163
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 78 0% 70–85 69–88 66–89 63–90
Partido Popular 137 76 0% 66–79 66–80 62–80 58–83

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0.1% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.3% 99.7%  
246 0% 99.4%  
247 0.2% 99.4%  
248 0.7% 99.2%  
249 1.2% 98.6%  
250 0.2% 97%  
251 1.1% 97%  
252 3% 96%  
253 6% 93%  
254 16% 87% Last Result
255 4% 71%  
256 5% 67%  
257 4% 62%  
258 3% 59%  
259 3% 56%  
260 0.4% 54%  
261 10% 53% Median
262 10% 43%  
263 13% 34%  
264 4% 20%  
265 0.8% 16%  
266 3% 15%  
267 3% 12%  
268 1.4% 10%  
269 2% 8%  
270 0.1% 6%  
271 0.4% 6%  
272 2% 6%  
273 0.4% 4%  
274 0.1% 4%  
275 0.7% 4%  
276 2% 3%  
277 0% 1.2%  
278 0% 1.2%  
279 1.1% 1.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.7%  
237 0% 99.7%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 4% 99.6%  
240 0.4% 96%  
241 1.4% 95%  
242 0.8% 94%  
243 2% 93%  
244 0.7% 91%  
245 2% 90%  
246 5% 89%  
247 4% 84%  
248 13% 80%  
249 2% 67% Median
250 9% 65%  
251 15% 56%  
252 9% 41%  
253 2% 32%  
254 3% 30%  
255 2% 27%  
256 0.4% 25%  
257 3% 24%  
258 10% 21%  
259 0.8% 11%  
260 0.7% 11%  
261 0.8% 10%  
262 7% 9%  
263 1.1% 2%  
264 0.2% 1.2%  
265 0% 1.0%  
266 0.1% 1.0%  
267 0.1% 0.8%  
268 0% 0.7%  
269 0.3% 0.7%  
270 0.4% 0.5%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.7%  
172 0.3% 99.6%  
173 0.6% 99.3%  
174 0.5% 98.7%  
175 0.2% 98%  
176 1.4% 98% Majority
177 7% 97%  
178 16% 89%  
179 1.3% 73%  
180 2% 72%  
181 4% 70%  
182 2% 66%  
183 0.3% 64%  
184 3% 64%  
185 9% 61% Median
186 3% 52%  
187 11% 49%  
188 4% 38%  
189 2% 34%  
190 4% 32%  
191 2% 28%  
192 1.0% 26%  
193 0.4% 25%  
194 7% 25%  
195 3% 18%  
196 0.4% 15%  
197 9% 14%  
198 2% 5%  
199 0% 3%  
200 0.3% 3%  
201 0.1% 3%  
202 1.1% 3%  
203 0% 2%  
204 0.1% 2%  
205 0.1% 2%  
206 0.5% 2%  
207 1.1% 1.3%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.2% 99.8%  
163 0.1% 99.5%  
164 0.4% 99.5%  
165 0.8% 99.1%  
166 0.2% 98%  
167 0.2% 98%  
168 2% 98%  
169 2% 96% Last Result
170 0.6% 94%  
171 1.0% 93%  
172 0.3% 92%  
173 3% 92%  
174 4% 89%  
175 3% 85%  
176 13% 82% Majority
177 2% 69%  
178 2% 67%  
179 5% 64%  
180 2% 59%  
181 3% 57%  
182 10% 54%  
183 15% 44% Median
184 0.3% 29%  
185 4% 29%  
186 1.2% 25%  
187 1.3% 24%  
188 7% 23%  
189 0.1% 16%  
190 1.3% 16%  
191 0.9% 15%  
192 2% 14%  
193 7% 12%  
194 0.7% 5%  
195 0.1% 5%  
196 0.3% 5%  
197 2% 4%  
198 0.2% 3%  
199 0% 2%  
200 2% 2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 2% 99.7%  
150 0% 98%  
151 0.2% 98%  
152 2% 97%  
153 0.3% 96%  
154 0.6% 95%  
155 5% 95%  
156 3% 90%  
157 2% 87%  
158 1.2% 85%  
159 0.2% 84%  
160 4% 84%  
161 4% 80%  
162 1.2% 76%  
163 1.5% 75%  
164 3% 74%  
165 0.1% 71% Median
166 18% 71%  
167 8% 52%  
168 3% 44%  
169 6% 42%  
170 1.3% 36%  
171 1.4% 35%  
172 15% 33%  
173 1.3% 18%  
174 5% 17%  
175 3% 12%  
176 0.8% 9% Majority
177 0.9% 8%  
178 1.0% 7%  
179 0.1% 6%  
180 2% 6% Last Result
181 2% 4%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.1% 2%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.4% 0.9%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 2% 99.8%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.6% 97%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.1% 96%  
145 3% 96%  
146 0.6% 94%  
147 6% 93%  
148 0.8% 87%  
149 2% 87%  
150 3% 85%  
151 3% 82%  
152 0.9% 79%  
153 2% 78%  
154 0.5% 76%  
155 0.8% 76%  
156 4% 75%  
157 17% 71% Median
158 1.2% 54%  
159 3% 53%  
160 8% 50%  
161 7% 42%  
162 3% 35%  
163 4% 32%  
164 2% 28%  
165 0.6% 26%  
166 2% 26%  
167 13% 24%  
168 2% 10%  
169 0.2% 8%  
170 0.7% 8%  
171 1.1% 7%  
172 2% 6%  
173 2% 4% Last Result
174 0.2% 2%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.2% Majority
177 0% 1.0%  
178 0.7% 1.0%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 2% 99.8%  
137 0.4% 98%  
138 0% 97%  
139 0.5% 97%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.8% 97%  
142 6% 96%  
143 3% 90%  
144 0.7% 87%  
145 2% 87%  
146 0.1% 85%  
147 1.3% 85%  
148 0.3% 84%  
149 2% 83%  
150 10% 82%  
151 1.2% 72%  
152 11% 71%  
153 1.4% 60% Median
154 5% 59%  
155 12% 54%  
156 0.7% 42%  
157 0.8% 41%  
158 7% 40%  
159 1.0% 33%  
160 6% 32%  
161 0.7% 26%  
162 0.9% 25%  
163 12% 24%  
164 3% 12%  
165 2% 9%  
166 0.5% 7%  
167 2% 7% Last Result
168 2% 4%  
169 0.3% 3%  
170 0.8% 2%  
171 0.1% 2%  
172 0% 2%  
173 0.2% 1.5%  
174 0.3% 1.3%  
175 0% 1.0%  
176 0.1% 0.9% Majority
177 0.7% 0.8%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.2% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.2% 99.6%  
134 0.8% 99.4%  
135 0% 98.5%  
136 0% 98.5%  
137 0.9% 98%  
138 0.1% 98%  
139 3% 97%  
140 0.5% 94%  
141 0.4% 94%  
142 0.1% 93%  
143 0.9% 93%  
144 1.4% 92%  
145 0.5% 91%  
146 7% 90%  
147 14% 84%  
148 1.0% 69%  
149 0.7% 68%  
150 7% 68%  
151 4% 61%  
152 3% 57%  
153 7% 54%  
154 24% 47% Median
155 2% 23%  
156 3% 21%  
157 2% 18%  
158 1.0% 16%  
159 6% 15%  
160 5% 10%  
161 0.1% 5%  
162 0.5% 5%  
163 0.7% 4%  
164 0.3% 4%  
165 0.2% 3%  
166 0.5% 3%  
167 0.8% 3%  
168 1.1% 2%  
169 0.4% 0.6%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0.4% 99.8%  
133 0.1% 99.3%  
134 2% 99.2%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0.5% 97%  
137 1.2% 97%  
138 1.0% 95%  
139 0.8% 94%  
140 0.2% 94%  
141 5% 93%  
142 1.0% 88%  
143 4% 87%  
144 4% 84%  
145 0.1% 80%  
146 4% 80%  
147 4% 76%  
148 1.0% 72%  
149 0.9% 71%  
150 10% 70% Median
151 0.3% 59%  
152 11% 59%  
153 11% 48%  
154 6% 37%  
155 1.2% 31%  
156 13% 30%  
157 0.1% 16%  
158 3% 16%  
159 2% 14%  
160 1.4% 12%  
161 0.9% 10%  
162 2% 9%  
163 1.1% 7% Last Result
164 1.5% 6%  
165 0.3% 5%  
166 3% 5%  
167 0.1% 2%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.1% 1.2%  
170 0.7% 1.1%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.2% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.3% 99.6%  
125 2% 99.3%  
126 0.8% 97%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.2% 96%  
129 0.1% 96%  
130 3% 96%  
131 0.3% 93%  
132 0.3% 93%  
133 6% 93%  
134 4% 86%  
135 0.3% 82%  
136 4% 82%  
137 0.3% 78%  
138 1.5% 78%  
139 3% 76%  
140 2% 74%  
141 13% 72%  
142 0.1% 59% Median
143 12% 59%  
144 0.7% 47%  
145 8% 46%  
146 7% 38%  
147 0.9% 31%  
148 2% 30%  
149 1.3% 28%  
150 2% 27%  
151 13% 25%  
152 0.2% 12%  
153 3% 12%  
154 2% 9%  
155 1.1% 7%  
156 0.3% 6% Last Result
157 1.3% 6%  
158 3% 5%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.1% 1.2%  
161 0.1% 1.1%  
162 0.2% 1.0%  
163 0.3% 0.8%  
164 0.4% 0.5%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.8% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.1%  
65 1.2% 99.0%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 0% 97%  
68 0.2% 97%  
69 3% 97%  
70 5% 94%  
71 1.0% 89%  
72 0.9% 88%  
73 2% 87%  
74 6% 85%  
75 4% 80%  
76 4% 76%  
77 2% 72%  
78 23% 71% Median
79 18% 48%  
80 2% 30%  
81 9% 29%  
82 5% 20%  
83 2% 15%  
84 0.4% 12%  
85 2% 12% Last Result
86 2% 10%  
87 3% 8%  
88 2% 5%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 0.1% 99.1%  
60 0.1% 99.0%  
61 0.2% 98.9%  
62 1.2% 98.7%  
63 0.2% 97%  
64 0.4% 97%  
65 1.0% 97%  
66 7% 96%  
67 2% 89%  
68 10% 87%  
69 0.7% 78%  
70 4% 77%  
71 3% 73%  
72 6% 71%  
73 5% 65%  
74 6% 60%  
75 3% 55%  
76 30% 52% Median
77 3% 21%  
78 8% 18%  
79 4% 11%  
80 5% 7%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations