Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 26–28 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 24.0% 22.6–25.5% 22.2–25.9% 21.8–26.3% 21.2–27.0%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 23.0% 21.6–24.5% 21.2–24.9% 20.9–25.3% 20.3–26.0%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 20.1% 18.7–21.5% 18.4–21.9% 18.1–22.2% 17.5–22.9%
Partido Popular 33.0% 17.9% 16.6–19.3% 16.3–19.6% 16.0–20.0% 15.4–20.7%
Vox 0.2% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.4%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.2%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.7–2.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.1%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 90 81–93 81–94 81–99 77–102
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 90 90–99 90–108 87–108 79–108
Unidos Podemos 71 66 63–71 61–74 61–74 59–86
Partido Popular 137 74 62–78 61–78 59–78 58–80
Vox 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 12 11–15 9–15 9–17 7–17
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 3–8 3–8 2–8 2–10
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 5–7 4–7 3–7 3–9
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 5 2–6 2–6 2–6 2–7
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–4

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.1% 99.3%  
79 0% 99.3%  
80 0.5% 99.2%  
81 14% 98.7%  
82 0.5% 85%  
83 2% 84%  
84 5% 82%  
85 0.2% 78%  
86 0.6% 77%  
87 0.2% 77%  
88 10% 77%  
89 16% 66%  
90 36% 51% Median
91 0.5% 14%  
92 0.2% 14%  
93 8% 13%  
94 0.3% 5%  
95 0.1% 5%  
96 2% 5%  
97 0.1% 3%  
98 0.1% 3%  
99 2% 3%  
100 0.3% 0.9%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.4% 100%  
79 0.3% 99.5%  
80 0.1% 99.3%  
81 0.3% 99.2%  
82 0.2% 98.9%  
83 0% 98.7%  
84 0.3% 98.6%  
85 0.3% 98% Last Result
86 0.5% 98%  
87 0.3% 98%  
88 0.5% 97%  
89 0.4% 97%  
90 51% 96% Median
91 9% 45%  
92 1.1% 35%  
93 3% 34%  
94 4% 31%  
95 0.1% 28%  
96 9% 27%  
97 0.4% 18%  
98 1.4% 18%  
99 7% 17%  
100 0.8% 10%  
101 0% 9%  
102 0.2% 9%  
103 4% 9%  
104 0% 5%  
105 0% 5%  
106 0.3% 5%  
107 0% 5%  
108 5% 5%  
109 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.6%  
58 0.1% 99.6%  
59 0.1% 99.5%  
60 0.2% 99.4%  
61 7% 99.3%  
62 2% 92%  
63 1.0% 90%  
64 36% 89%  
65 0.1% 53%  
66 10% 53% Median
67 14% 44%  
68 16% 30%  
69 0.3% 14%  
70 2% 14%  
71 4% 12% Last Result
72 0.1% 8%  
73 2% 8%  
74 4% 6%  
75 0.6% 2%  
76 0.1% 2%  
77 0.1% 2%  
78 0.3% 2%  
79 0.1% 1.2%  
80 0.1% 1.1%  
81 0.1% 1.1%  
82 0% 1.0%  
83 0.2% 1.0%  
84 0.3% 0.8%  
85 0% 0.5%  
86 0.5% 0.5%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0% 99.5%  
58 1.4% 99.5%  
59 0.7% 98%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 4% 97%  
62 5% 93%  
63 0.4% 88%  
64 10% 88%  
65 0.2% 77%  
66 0.2% 77%  
67 3% 77%  
68 0.5% 74%  
69 3% 74%  
70 0.2% 70%  
71 15% 70%  
72 0.2% 55%  
73 0.3% 54%  
74 43% 54% Median
75 0.5% 11%  
76 0.3% 11%  
77 0% 10%  
78 9% 10%  
79 0% 0.8%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 79% 99.8% Median
3 20% 21%  
4 1.0% 1.2%  
5 0.1% 0.2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 0.6% 98%  
9 4% 98% Last Result
10 0.4% 94%  
11 5% 94%  
12 58% 89% Median
13 11% 30%  
14 0.8% 19%  
15 16% 18%  
16 0% 3%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 64% 65% Median
2 0.2% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 3% 99.7%  
3 17% 97%  
4 6% 80%  
5 36% 74% Median
6 19% 38%  
7 7% 18%  
8 9% 11% Last Result
9 0.3% 2%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 4% 100%  
4 5% 96%  
5 8% 91% Last Result
6 64% 83% Median
7 18% 19%  
8 0.1% 0.7%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 25% 99.9% Last Result
3 0.5% 75%  
4 24% 74%  
5 6% 50% Median
6 43% 44%  
7 0.5% 1.0%  
8 0.3% 0.5%  
9 0% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 43% 52% Last Result, Median
2 8% 9%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 254 254 100% 248–255 245–261 243–261 235–261
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 188 247 100% 243–258 243–259 243–261 233–264
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 187 99.6% 183–195 183–201 182–202 177–203
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 175 29% 172–186 172–190 170–195 164–195
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 177 52% 171–186 171–193 171–193 164–194
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 117 180 95% 177–187 176–192 174–192 166–196
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 166 12% 166–179 166–183 163–186 158–187
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 158 4% 154–168 154–175 154–177 145–178
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 164 0.1% 155–173 155–174 152–174 147–174
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox 169 162 0.2% 153–166 148–166 145–166 145–172
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 161 0.1% 151–164 147–164 144–165 144–170
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular 169 160 0% 150–164 146–164 142–164 142–169
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 90 0% 90–99 90–108 87–108 79–108
Partido Popular – Vox 137 76 0% 64–80 64–80 62–80 60–84
Partido Popular 137 74 0% 62–78 61–78 59–78 58–80

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0.1% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.5% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.3%  
237 0.1% 99.3%  
238 0.2% 99.2%  
239 0.4% 99.1%  
240 0.1% 98.7%  
241 0.5% 98.6%  
242 0.1% 98%  
243 2% 98%  
244 0.6% 96%  
245 4% 95%  
246 0.2% 92%  
247 0.4% 91%  
248 12% 91%  
249 0.3% 79%  
250 16% 79%  
251 2% 63%  
252 0.1% 61%  
253 0.5% 61%  
254 43% 61% Last Result, Median
255 10% 18%  
256 0.2% 8%  
257 0.4% 8%  
258 0.5% 8%  
259 0.1% 7%  
260 0.3% 7%  
261 7% 7%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0.1% 0.1%  
264 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0.5% 100%  
234 0% 99.5%  
235 0% 99.5%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.7% 99.4%  
238 0.1% 98.7%  
239 0.1% 98.6%  
240 0.2% 98.6%  
241 0.3% 98%  
242 0.1% 98%  
243 9% 98%  
244 36% 89%  
245 0.1% 53%  
246 0.3% 53% Median
247 17% 52%  
248 7% 35%  
249 1.5% 28%  
250 0.1% 26%  
251 8% 26%  
252 5% 18%  
253 0.3% 13%  
254 0.5% 13%  
255 0.1% 12%  
256 0.4% 12%  
257 0.4% 12%  
258 4% 12%  
259 5% 8%  
260 0.5% 3%  
261 0.5% 3%  
262 0% 2%  
263 0.4% 2%  
264 1.4% 2%  
265 0.1% 0.3%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0.2% 0.2%  
268 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.1% 99.7%  
176 0% 99.6% Majority
177 0.6% 99.6%  
178 0% 99.0%  
179 0.8% 99.0%  
180 0.4% 98% Last Result
181 0% 98%  
182 0.2% 98%  
183 36% 97%  
184 7% 61% Median
185 2% 55%  
186 0.4% 52%  
187 25% 52%  
188 0.4% 27%  
189 0.2% 27%  
190 9% 26%  
191 0.5% 17%  
192 2% 17%  
193 3% 15%  
194 1.5% 12%  
195 0.1% 10%  
196 0.1% 10%  
197 0.1% 10%  
198 0.5% 10%  
199 0% 9%  
200 0% 9%  
201 5% 9%  
202 4% 4%  
203 0.6% 0.8%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0.2% 0.2%  
215 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0% 99.8%  
163 0.2% 99.8%  
164 0.7% 99.6%  
165 0.1% 98.9%  
166 0.3% 98.8%  
167 0.3% 98.5% Last Result
168 0.4% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.6% 98%  
171 0.1% 97%  
172 36% 97%  
173 0.2% 61% Median
174 9% 61%  
175 23% 52%  
176 0.5% 29% Majority
177 2% 28%  
178 10% 26%  
179 0.5% 16%  
180 0.3% 16%  
181 0.4% 15%  
182 2% 15%  
183 0.1% 13%  
184 0.2% 13%  
185 0.1% 13%  
186 3% 13%  
187 0.1% 10%  
188 0.4% 10%  
189 0.2% 9%  
190 5% 9%  
191 0% 4%  
192 0% 4%  
193 0% 4%  
194 0.5% 4%  
195 4% 4%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0.2% 0.2%  
203 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0.1% 100%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.3% 99.8%  
165 0.6% 99.5%  
166 0.1% 98.9%  
167 0.2% 98.8%  
168 0.2% 98.6%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.3% 98%  
171 36% 98%  
172 0.1% 62%  
173 2% 62% Last Result, Median
174 0.1% 60%  
175 7% 60%  
176 0.8% 52% Majority
177 9% 51%  
178 0.5% 42%  
179 24% 42%  
180 0.1% 18%  
181 3% 18%  
182 0.2% 15%  
183 3% 14%  
184 0.3% 12%  
185 0.1% 11%  
186 2% 11%  
187 0.2% 10%  
188 0% 9%  
189 0.2% 9%  
190 0.1% 9%  
191 0% 9%  
192 0.1% 9%  
193 8% 9%  
194 0.5% 0.7%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0.2% 0.2%  
206 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.8%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0.6% 99.7%  
167 0% 99.2%  
168 0.1% 99.2%  
169 0.1% 99.1%  
170 0.2% 99.0%  
171 0.3% 98.9%  
172 0.1% 98.6%  
173 0.3% 98%  
174 2% 98%  
175 0.9% 96%  
176 0.1% 95% Majority
177 9% 95%  
178 0.1% 86%  
179 17% 86%  
180 36% 69% Median
181 3% 32%  
182 0.3% 29%  
183 0.3% 29%  
184 12% 29%  
185 0.2% 17%  
186 0.1% 17%  
187 7% 17%  
188 0.1% 10%  
189 0.2% 10%  
190 2% 10%  
191 0.4% 8%  
192 5% 7%  
193 1.4% 2%  
194 0.4% 1.1%  
195 0% 0.7%  
196 0.6% 0.7%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.7% 99.5%  
160 0.3% 98.8%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.1% 98%  
163 0.9% 98% Last Result
164 0.3% 97%  
165 0.4% 97%  
166 51% 97%  
167 0.2% 46% Median
168 2% 45%  
169 15% 43%  
170 0.2% 29%  
171 0.3% 28%  
172 9% 28%  
173 0.1% 19%  
174 4% 19%  
175 2% 15%  
176 2% 12% Majority
177 0.1% 11%  
178 0.3% 10%  
179 0.4% 10%  
180 0.1% 10%  
181 0.1% 10%  
182 0.1% 10%  
183 5% 10%  
184 0% 5%  
185 0% 5%  
186 4% 5%  
187 0.5% 0.8%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0.2% 0.2%  
200 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.5% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.4%  
147 0.6% 99.4%  
148 0.2% 98.8%  
149 0.1% 98.6%  
150 0.2% 98.5%  
151 0.2% 98%  
152 0% 98%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 36% 98%  
155 0.9% 62%  
156 2% 61% Last Result, Median
157 0.3% 59%  
158 23% 59%  
159 0.2% 35%  
160 7% 35%  
161 0.1% 28%  
162 9% 28%  
163 0.8% 19%  
164 5% 18%  
165 1.4% 14%  
166 0.2% 12%  
167 0.7% 12%  
168 1.4% 11%  
169 0.1% 10%  
170 0% 10%  
171 0.2% 10%  
172 0.1% 10%  
173 0.1% 10%  
174 0.4% 9%  
175 5% 9%  
176 0.1% 4% Majority
177 4% 4%  
178 0.5% 0.7%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0.2% 0.2%  
191 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0.1% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0.2% 99.7%  
147 0.3% 99.5%  
148 0.1% 99.2%  
149 0.1% 99.1%  
150 0.3% 99.0%  
151 0.1% 98.7%  
152 2% 98.6%  
153 0.3% 97%  
154 0.1% 96%  
155 8% 96%  
156 1.0% 88%  
157 0.2% 87%  
158 2% 87%  
159 0.3% 85%  
160 4% 84%  
161 16% 80%  
162 0.7% 64%  
163 0.1% 64%  
164 39% 63% Median
165 0.2% 24%  
166 0.2% 24%  
167 2% 24%  
168 0.2% 22%  
169 0% 22%  
170 5% 22%  
171 0.5% 17%  
172 0.5% 17%  
173 7% 16%  
174 9% 9%  
175 0.4% 0.5%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.2% 100%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 4% 99.7%  
146 0.1% 96%  
147 0% 96%  
148 5% 96%  
149 0% 91%  
150 0.1% 91%  
151 0% 91%  
152 0.5% 91%  
153 1.4% 90%  
154 0.2% 89%  
155 2% 88%  
156 0.1% 86%  
157 3% 86%  
158 0.5% 83%  
159 2% 83%  
160 8% 81%  
161 9% 73%  
162 16% 64%  
163 2% 48%  
164 7% 46%  
165 0.2% 39%  
166 36% 39% Median
167 0.1% 2%  
168 0.2% 2%  
169 1.0% 2% Last Result
170 0.1% 1.0%  
171 0.3% 1.0%  
172 0.3% 0.7%  
173 0% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0.2% 100%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 4% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 96%  
146 0.2% 96%  
147 5% 95%  
148 0.1% 91%  
149 0.4% 91%  
150 0.1% 90%  
151 0.1% 90%  
152 1.5% 90%  
153 0.3% 89%  
154 2% 88%  
155 3% 86%  
156 0.2% 83%  
157 8% 83%  
158 2% 75%  
159 1.0% 73%  
160 9% 72%  
161 17% 63%  
162 0.3% 46%  
163 7% 45%  
164 36% 38%  
165 0.2% 3% Median
166 0.4% 2%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.2% 1.3%  
169 0.5% 1.0%  
170 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
171 0.1% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.4%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0.2% 100%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 4% 99.8%  
143 0.5% 96%  
144 0.1% 96%  
145 0.2% 96%  
146 5% 95%  
147 0.1% 91%  
148 0.1% 91%  
149 0.5% 91%  
150 2% 90%  
151 0.1% 89%  
152 2% 88%  
153 0.7% 87%  
154 0.1% 86%  
155 3% 86%  
156 0.3% 83%  
157 9% 82%  
158 0.5% 73%  
159 9% 73%  
160 17% 63%  
161 0.4% 46%  
162 7% 45%  
163 0.1% 38%  
164 36% 38% Median
165 0.1% 2%  
166 1.0% 2%  
167 0.1% 1.1%  
168 0.3% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
170 0.1% 0.5%  
171 0% 0.4%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0% Majority

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.4% 100%  
79 0.3% 99.5%  
80 0.1% 99.3%  
81 0.3% 99.2%  
82 0.2% 98.9%  
83 0% 98.7%  
84 0.3% 98.6%  
85 0.3% 98% Last Result
86 0.5% 98%  
87 0.3% 98%  
88 0.5% 97%  
89 0.4% 97%  
90 51% 96% Median
91 9% 45%  
92 1.1% 35%  
93 3% 34%  
94 4% 31%  
95 0.1% 28%  
96 9% 27%  
97 0.4% 18%  
98 1.4% 18%  
99 7% 17%  
100 0.8% 10%  
101 0% 9%  
102 0.2% 9%  
103 4% 9%  
104 0% 5%  
105 0% 5%  
106 0.3% 5%  
107 0% 5%  
108 5% 5%  
109 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0% 99.6%  
60 1.4% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 98%  
62 1.1% 98%  
63 0.1% 97%  
64 9% 97%  
65 0.1% 88%  
66 0.7% 88%  
67 10% 87%  
68 0.2% 77%  
69 3% 77%  
70 0.4% 74%  
71 0.4% 74%  
72 3% 73%  
73 16% 70%  
74 0.3% 55%  
75 0.2% 54%  
76 43% 54% Median
77 0.5% 12%  
78 0.6% 11%  
79 0.3% 10%  
80 9% 10%  
81 0.5% 1.4%  
82 0.1% 0.9%  
83 0% 0.8%  
84 0.6% 0.8%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0% 99.5%  
58 1.4% 99.5%  
59 0.7% 98%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 4% 97%  
62 5% 93%  
63 0.4% 88%  
64 10% 88%  
65 0.2% 77%  
66 0.2% 77%  
67 3% 77%  
68 0.5% 74%  
69 3% 74%  
70 0.2% 70%  
71 15% 70%  
72 0.2% 55%  
73 0.3% 54%  
74 43% 54% Median
75 0.5% 11%  
76 0.3% 11%  
77 0% 10%  
78 9% 10%  
79 0% 0.8%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations