Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 26 May–2 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 24.2% | 23.0–25.4% | 22.6–25.8% | 22.4–26.1% | 21.8–26.7% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.8% | 19.7–24.4% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 20.9% | 19.8–22.1% | 19.5–22.4% | 19.2–22.7% | 18.7–23.3% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 18.0% | 16.9–19.1% | 16.7–19.5% | 16.4–19.8% | 15.9–20.3% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–4.0% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.5% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 91 | 87–96 | 82–96 | 81–96 | 79–100 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 88 | 79–89 | 79–93 | 79–93 | 77–99 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 72 | 67–78 | 67–80 | 67–86 | 65–86 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 66 | 63–79 | 63–79 | 63–79 | 56–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Vox | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 1–8 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 81 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 0% | 94% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 87 | 4% | 93% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 89 | 13% | 88% | |
| 90 | 2% | 75% | |
| 91 | 35% | 73% | Median |
| 92 | 0.6% | 38% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 38% | |
| 94 | 17% | 37% | |
| 95 | 6% | 20% | |
| 96 | 12% | 14% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 15% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 84 | 4% | 83% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 78% | Last Result |
| 86 | 5% | 78% | |
| 87 | 16% | 73% | |
| 88 | 36% | 57% | Median |
| 89 | 12% | 21% | |
| 90 | 2% | 9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 93 | 4% | 6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 11% | 98.6% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 71 | 3% | 87% | Last Result |
| 72 | 48% | 83% | Median |
| 73 | 16% | 36% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 75 | 2% | 18% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 77 | 4% | 15% | |
| 78 | 2% | 11% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 3% | |
| 86 | 3% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 15% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 65 | 2% | 81% | |
| 66 | 38% | 79% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 42% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 70 | 2% | 39% | |
| 71 | 2% | 37% | |
| 72 | 6% | 35% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 29% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 29% | |
| 75 | 16% | 28% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 79 | 10% | 11% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 20% | 98% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 11 | 3% | 77% | |
| 12 | 58% | 73% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 15% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 19% | 100% | |
| 2 | 80% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 56% | 94% | Median |
| 5 | 19% | 38% | |
| 6 | 17% | 19% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 8% | 98% | |
| 5 | 13% | 90% | |
| 6 | 70% | 77% | Median |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 21% | 81% | |
| 5 | 17% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 39% | 44% | |
| 7 | 4% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 52% | 90% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 37% | 37% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 251 | 100% | 243–257 | 243–259 | 243–260 | 241–264 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 254 | 246 | 100% | 244–255 | 241–255 | 237–255 | 237–255 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 180 | 188 | 100% | 178–193 | 178–194 | 178–195 | 178–199 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 178 | 66% | 169–183 | 169–185 | 169–188 | 168–189 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 117 | 179 | 74% | 173–185 | 171–185 | 169–186 | 166–193 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 176 | 66% | 169–183 | 169–185 | 169–185 | 168–188 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 163 | 172 | 13% | 162–176 | 162–179 | 162–180 | 162–184 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 166 | 1.4% | 156–171 | 156–173 | 156–175 | 156–178 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 163 | 0.1% | 158–173 | 157–173 | 156–173 | 151–173 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox | 169 | 160 | 0% | 156–170 | 154–170 | 154–170 | 150–170 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 159 | 0% | 154–170 | 154–170 | 153–170 | 148–170 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 160 | 0.2% | 152–167 | 152–170 | 152–170 | 152–174 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 169 | 158 | 0% | 154–169 | 153–169 | 153–169 | 148–169 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 154 | 0% | 152–166 | 150–166 | 149–166 | 147–167 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 88 | 0% | 79–89 | 79–93 | 79–93 | 77–99 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 68 | 0% | 65–81 | 65–81 | 65–81 | 58–81 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 66 | 0% | 63–79 | 63–79 | 63–79 | 56–79 |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 241 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 242 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 243 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 244 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 246 | 16% | 88% | |
| 247 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 248 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 249 | 2% | 70% | |
| 250 | 2% | 68% | |
| 251 | 38% | 66% | Median |
| 252 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 253 | 4% | 28% | |
| 254 | 1.0% | 25% | |
| 255 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 256 | 2% | 22% | |
| 257 | 15% | 21% | |
| 258 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 259 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 260 | 4% | 5% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 263 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 264 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 271 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 232 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 234 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 235 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 236 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 237 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 240 | 0% | 96% | |
| 241 | 3% | 96% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 243 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 244 | 5% | 92% | |
| 245 | 35% | 88% | Median |
| 246 | 5% | 53% | |
| 247 | 0.6% | 48% | |
| 248 | 28% | 47% | |
| 249 | 5% | 19% | |
| 250 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 251 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 252 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 253 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 254 | 1.0% | 12% | Last Result |
| 255 | 11% | 11% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 257 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 15% | 89% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 74% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 182 | 0% | 73% | |
| 183 | 2% | 73% | |
| 184 | 4% | 72% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 67% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 67% | |
| 187 | 1.5% | 66% | Median |
| 188 | 51% | 64% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 191 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 193 | 3% | 10% | |
| 194 | 3% | 7% | |
| 195 | 3% | 4% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 169 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 170 | 15% | 89% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 172 | 2% | 73% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 174 | 4% | 71% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 66% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 65% | |
| 178 | 36% | 65% | Median |
| 179 | 12% | 29% | |
| 180 | 4% | 18% | |
| 181 | 2% | 14% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 183 | 4% | 11% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 185 | 2% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 188 | 3% | 4% | |
| 189 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 169 | 2% | 98% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 171 | 3% | 96% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 173 | 15% | 92% | |
| 174 | 3% | 77% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 176 | 11% | 74% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 63% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 61% | |
| 179 | 37% | 59% | Median |
| 180 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 181 | 4% | 22% | |
| 182 | 4% | 18% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 184 | 0% | 14% | |
| 185 | 11% | 14% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 193 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 26% | 99.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 171 | 0% | 74% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 173 | 4% | 73% | Last Result |
| 174 | 2% | 69% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 66% | |
| 176 | 36% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 177 | 0.9% | 30% | |
| 178 | 16% | 29% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 180 | 2% | 12% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 184 | 3% | 9% | |
| 185 | 5% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 12% | 85% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 167 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 169 | 3% | 70% | |
| 170 | 0.8% | 68% | |
| 171 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 172 | 35% | 53% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 175 | 4% | 17% | |
| 176 | 4% | 13% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 179 | 4% | 8% | |
| 180 | 3% | 4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 11% | 84% | |
| 158 | 0% | 73% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 73% | |
| 161 | 2% | 73% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 165 | 3% | 68% | Median |
| 166 | 47% | 66% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 169 | 4% | 17% | |
| 170 | 3% | 14% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 173 | 4% | 8% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 175 | 3% | 4% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 156 | 3% | 98% | |
| 157 | 2% | 95% | |
| 158 | 3% | 93% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 162 | 6% | 88% | Median |
| 163 | 35% | 82% | |
| 164 | 12% | 48% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 167 | 2% | 34% | |
| 168 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 169 | 3% | 31% | |
| 170 | 2% | 28% | |
| 171 | 10% | 26% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 173 | 15% | 16% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 154 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 155 | 3% | 95% | |
| 156 | 2% | 92% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 159 | 35% | 88% | Median |
| 160 | 4% | 53% | |
| 161 | 13% | 49% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 164 | 3% | 33% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 30% | |
| 166 | 3% | 30% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 27% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 26% | Last Result |
| 170 | 25% | 26% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 153 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 154 | 6% | 96% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 157 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 88% | Median |
| 159 | 39% | 88% | |
| 160 | 14% | 48% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 34% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 34% | |
| 163 | 3% | 33% | |
| 164 | 2% | 30% | |
| 165 | 2% | 28% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 27% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 169 | 11% | 26% | |
| 170 | 15% | 15% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 154 | 11% | 83% | |
| 155 | 0% | 73% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 73% | Last Result |
| 157 | 1.5% | 72% | |
| 158 | 4% | 70% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 66% | |
| 160 | 36% | 65% | Median |
| 161 | 11% | 30% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 165 | 5% | 17% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 167 | 4% | 12% | |
| 168 | 0% | 8% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 170 | 6% | 8% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 153 | 6% | 98% | |
| 154 | 2% | 92% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 157 | 35% | 88% | Median |
| 158 | 4% | 53% | |
| 159 | 13% | 49% | |
| 160 | 2% | 36% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 34% | |
| 162 | 3% | 33% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 164 | 3% | 30% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 27% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 26% | |
| 168 | 11% | 26% | |
| 169 | 15% | 15% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 149 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 150 | 4% | 95% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 152 | 13% | 91% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 154 | 53% | 78% | Median |
| 155 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 24% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 158 | 2% | 22% | |
| 159 | 2% | 21% | |
| 160 | 2% | 19% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 165 | 3% | 14% | |
| 166 | 10% | 11% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 15% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 84 | 4% | 83% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 78% | Last Result |
| 86 | 5% | 78% | |
| 87 | 16% | 73% | |
| 88 | 36% | 57% | Median |
| 89 | 12% | 21% | |
| 90 | 2% | 9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 93 | 4% | 6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 65 | 15% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 82% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 81% | |
| 68 | 38% | 80% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 42% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 71 | 0% | 39% | |
| 72 | 2% | 39% | |
| 73 | 5% | 37% | |
| 74 | 2% | 32% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 29% | |
| 76 | 16% | 29% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 81 | 10% | 11% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 15% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 65 | 2% | 81% | |
| 66 | 38% | 79% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 42% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 70 | 2% | 39% | |
| 71 | 2% | 37% | |
| 72 | 6% | 35% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 29% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 29% | |
| 75 | 16% | 28% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 79 | 10% | 11% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 26 May–2 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2043
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 2.10%