Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 6–7 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 25.2% | 23.3–27.2% | 22.8–27.7% | 22.4–28.2% | 21.5–29.2% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 22.5% | 20.7–24.4% | 20.2–24.9% | 19.8–25.4% | 18.9–26.3% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 20.4% | 18.7–22.3% | 18.3–22.8% | 17.9–23.3% | 17.1–24.2% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 17.1% | 15.6–18.9% | 15.1–19.4% | 14.7–19.8% | 14.0–20.7% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 2.0–4.3% | 1.7–4.8% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.3% | 1.1–3.8% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.3% | 1.1–3.8% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.7% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.7% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% | 0.5–2.5% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 101 | 94–109 | 91–115 | 88–115 | 84–123 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 82 | 71–91 | 71–91 | 69–98 | 67–99 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 72 | 66–81 | 66–83 | 60–83 | 52–95 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 67 | 51–70 | 51–73 | 51–75 | 50–78 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 12 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 8–16 | 6–18 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Vox | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–4 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–10 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 1–9 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 5 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–9 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 94 | 4% | 93% | |
| 95 | 19% | 89% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 98 | 3% | 69% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 100 | 2% | 66% | |
| 101 | 38% | 64% | Median |
| 102 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 25% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 108 | 1.5% | 21% | |
| 109 | 10% | 20% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 114 | 0% | 7% | |
| 115 | 5% | 7% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 71 | 7% | 97% | |
| 72 | 5% | 89% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 74 | 2% | 84% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 76 | 4% | 82% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 78 | 2% | 77% | |
| 79 | 10% | 76% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 81 | 2% | 66% | |
| 82 | 31% | 64% | Median |
| 83 | 0.9% | 33% | |
| 84 | 2% | 32% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 30% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 87 | 3% | 30% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 27% | |
| 89 | 4% | 27% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 22% | |
| 91 | 19% | 22% | |
| 92 | 0% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 31% | 96% | |
| 67 | 6% | 65% | |
| 68 | 2% | 59% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 58% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 71 | 2% | 56% | Last Result |
| 72 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 2% | 32% | |
| 74 | 2% | 31% | |
| 75 | 2% | 29% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 77 | 2% | 27% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 79 | 0% | 24% | |
| 80 | 6% | 24% | |
| 81 | 9% | 18% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 83 | 7% | 9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 11% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 89% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 55 | 0% | 88% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 58 | 6% | 86% | |
| 59 | 18% | 81% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 62% | |
| 63 | 4% | 61% | |
| 64 | 5% | 58% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 52% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 67 | 39% | 50% | Median |
| 68 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0% | 8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | |
| 9 | 6% | 90% | Last Result |
| 10 | 33% | 84% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 12 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 37% | |
| 14 | 9% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 2 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 8% | 98% | |
| 2 | 88% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 3% | 97% | |
| 3 | 9% | 95% | |
| 4 | 36% | 85% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 49% | |
| 6 | 40% | 47% | |
| 7 | 5% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 10% | 98% | |
| 4 | 11% | 88% | |
| 5 | 20% | 76% | Last Result |
| 6 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 40% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 9 | 35% | 35% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 3 | 10% | 94% | |
| 4 | 3% | 84% | |
| 5 | 42% | 81% | Median |
| 6 | 34% | 39% | |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 46% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 36% | 49% | |
| 3 | 9% | 13% | |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 255 | 100% | 249–269 | 246–269 | 241–269 | 235–271 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 254 | 247 | 100% | 239–251 | 239–252 | 238–257 | 231–265 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 197 | 99.9% | 195–213 | 191–215 | 189–215 | 182–219 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 186 | 98% | 182–202 | 181–207 | 178–207 | 173–207 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 184 | 98% | 183–205 | 180–206 | 177–206 | 173–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 181 | 93% | 178–198 | 175–199 | 172–199 | 164–204 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 183 | 86% | 172–188 | 172–190 | 168–194 | 160–201 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 176 | 72% | 172–194 | 168–194 | 166–194 | 160–200 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 167 | 32% | 167–189 | 164–190 | 160–190 | 154–195 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 168 | 10% | 154–177 | 152–179 | 152–180 | 150–187 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 155 | 0.2% | 137–158 | 134–162 | 134–166 | 133–166 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 150 | 0.1% | 134–153 | 133–156 | 133–161 | 129–165 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox | 169 | 151 | 0.1% | 133–152 | 132–158 | 132–161 | 129–165 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 169 | 149 | 0% | 131–150 | 130–156 | 130–161 | 127–163 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 101 | 0% | 94–109 | 91–115 | 88–115 | 84–123 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 69 | 0% | 53–71 | 53–74 | 53–78 | 51–80 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 67 | 0% | 51–70 | 51–73 | 51–75 | 50–78 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 234 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 235 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 236 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 238 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 239 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 240 | 0% | 98% | |
| 241 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 243 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 244 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 246 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 247 | 2% | 94% | |
| 248 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 249 | 32% | 92% | |
| 250 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 251 | 0% | 59% | |
| 252 | 1.3% | 59% | |
| 253 | 0.7% | 57% | |
| 254 | 5% | 57% | |
| 255 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 256 | 0.9% | 44% | |
| 257 | 0% | 43% | |
| 258 | 18% | 43% | |
| 259 | 4% | 25% | |
| 260 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 261 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 262 | 2% | 21% | |
| 263 | 6% | 19% | |
| 264 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 265 | 2% | 13% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 267 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 268 | 0% | 10% | |
| 269 | 9% | 10% | |
| 270 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 271 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 272 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 277 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 231 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 233 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 234 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 236 | 0% | 98% | |
| 237 | 0% | 98% | |
| 238 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 239 | 16% | 97% | |
| 240 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 241 | 5% | 80% | |
| 242 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 244 | 2% | 75% | |
| 245 | 20% | 74% | |
| 246 | 0.9% | 54% | |
| 247 | 3% | 53% | |
| 248 | 5% | 50% | |
| 249 | 2% | 44% | |
| 250 | 32% | 42% | Median |
| 251 | 6% | 11% | |
| 252 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 253 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 5% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 256 | 2% | 4% | |
| 257 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 258 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 261 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 263 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 265 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 266 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 183 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 187 | 0% | 98% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 189 | 2% | 98% | |
| 190 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 191 | 2% | 95% | |
| 192 | 2% | 93% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 195 | 20% | 91% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 197 | 32% | 71% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 199 | 1.3% | 39% | |
| 200 | 5% | 38% | Median |
| 201 | 2% | 33% | |
| 202 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 30% | |
| 206 | 3% | 30% | |
| 207 | 7% | 27% | |
| 208 | 2% | 20% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 210 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 211 | 6% | 18% | |
| 212 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 214 | 0% | 10% | |
| 215 | 9% | 10% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 217 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 181 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 182 | 31% | 94% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 63% | |
| 184 | 3% | 63% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 186 | 18% | 60% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 41% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 189 | 2% | 40% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 38% | Median |
| 191 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 193 | 5% | 37% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 32% | |
| 195 | 9% | 32% | |
| 196 | 4% | 23% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 198 | 2% | 19% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 200 | 0% | 16% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 202 | 6% | 16% | |
| 203 | 0% | 9% | |
| 204 | 0% | 9% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 9% | |
| 207 | 9% | 9% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 179 | 2% | 97% | |
| 180 | 2% | 95% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 183 | 32% | 92% | |
| 184 | 18% | 60% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 42% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 42% | |
| 187 | 2% | 41% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 40% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 39% | Median |
| 190 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 191 | 6% | 38% | |
| 192 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 29% | |
| 196 | 2% | 29% | |
| 197 | 1.4% | 27% | |
| 198 | 7% | 26% | |
| 199 | 5% | 18% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 203 | 2% | 12% | |
| 204 | 0% | 10% | |
| 205 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 206 | 9% | 10% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 170 | 0% | 98% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 172 | 2% | 98% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 175 | 3% | 96% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 93% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 178 | 21% | 93% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 181 | 32% | 71% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 39% | |
| 183 | 5% | 38% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 33% | Median |
| 185 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 32% | |
| 187 | 3% | 32% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 29% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 29% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 27% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 27% | |
| 193 | 8% | 27% | |
| 194 | 5% | 19% | |
| 195 | 3% | 14% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 198 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 199 | 9% | 10% | |
| 200 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 166 | 0% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 172 | 7% | 97% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 174 | 2% | 90% | |
| 175 | 2% | 88% | |
| 176 | 0.4% | 86% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 178 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 179 | 3% | 84% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 183 | 35% | 80% | Median |
| 184 | 0.3% | 44% | |
| 185 | 3% | 44% | |
| 186 | 20% | 41% | |
| 187 | 6% | 22% | |
| 188 | 9% | 16% | |
| 189 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 190 | 2% | 6% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 194 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 195 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0% | 98% | |
| 166 | 2% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 168 | 2% | 96% | |
| 169 | 0% | 95% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 172 | 20% | 93% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 73% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 176 | 32% | 72% | Majority |
| 177 | 6% | 40% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 179 | 1.2% | 33% | Median |
| 180 | 0.3% | 32% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 31% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 30% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 29% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 187 | 2% | 28% | |
| 188 | 5% | 26% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 190 | 7% | 21% | |
| 191 | 0% | 14% | |
| 192 | 2% | 14% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 194 | 9% | 11% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 160 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 97% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 165 | 2% | 95% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 167 | 49% | 93% | |
| 168 | 0.9% | 43% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 42% | |
| 170 | 2% | 42% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 40% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 39% | Median |
| 174 | 4% | 38% | |
| 175 | 2% | 33% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 32% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 31% | |
| 178 | 2% | 31% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 29% | |
| 180 | 2% | 29% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 27% | |
| 182 | 5% | 27% | |
| 183 | 2% | 22% | |
| 184 | 7% | 20% | |
| 185 | 0% | 12% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 188 | 0% | 11% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 190 | 9% | 10% | |
| 191 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 152 | 5% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 154 | 18% | 92% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 74% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 160 | 9% | 71% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 60% | |
| 163 | 2% | 60% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 57% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 56% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 168 | 38% | 55% | Median |
| 169 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 170 | 2% | 17% | |
| 171 | 2% | 15% | |
| 172 | 2% | 14% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 10% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 10% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 179 | 5% | 8% | |
| 180 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 9% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0% | 91% | |
| 136 | 0% | 91% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 142 | 7% | 88% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 144 | 7% | 80% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 146 | 2% | 73% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 148 | 2% | 70% | |
| 149 | 1.4% | 68% | |
| 150 | 5% | 67% | |
| 151 | 2% | 62% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 60% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 155 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 156 | 0.2% | 40% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 40% | |
| 158 | 32% | 40% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 162 | 3% | 7% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 164 | 2% | 4% | |
| 165 | 0% | 3% | |
| 166 | 2% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 175 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 131 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 133 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 137 | 5% | 88% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 140 | 8% | 81% | |
| 141 | 3% | 73% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 146 | 0% | 69% | |
| 147 | 2% | 69% | |
| 148 | 6% | 67% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 150 | 32% | 61% | Median |
| 151 | 0.3% | 29% | |
| 152 | 18% | 29% | |
| 153 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 137 | 2% | 89% | |
| 138 | 5% | 87% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 140 | 9% | 81% | |
| 141 | 3% | 73% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 144 | 0% | 69% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 69% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 68% | |
| 148 | 2% | 68% | |
| 149 | 6% | 66% | |
| 150 | 2% | 60% | |
| 151 | 31% | 59% | Median |
| 152 | 19% | 28% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 8% | |
| 158 | 3% | 6% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0% | 3% | |
| 161 | 2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 164 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 136 | 6% | 88% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 138 | 8% | 81% | |
| 139 | 3% | 73% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 142 | 0% | 69% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 67% | |
| 147 | 6% | 66% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 60% | |
| 149 | 32% | 60% | Median |
| 150 | 19% | 28% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 156 | 2% | 6% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 158 | 0% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 94 | 4% | 93% | |
| 95 | 19% | 89% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 98 | 3% | 69% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 100 | 2% | 66% | |
| 101 | 38% | 64% | Median |
| 102 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 25% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 108 | 1.5% | 21% | |
| 109 | 10% | 20% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 114 | 0% | 7% | |
| 115 | 5% | 7% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 59 | 2% | 87% | |
| 60 | 4% | 85% | |
| 61 | 19% | 81% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 63 | 2% | 62% | |
| 64 | 2% | 60% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 58% | |
| 66 | 6% | 58% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 52% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 69 | 39% | 50% | Median |
| 70 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 11% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 89% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 55 | 0% | 88% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 58 | 6% | 86% | |
| 59 | 18% | 81% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 62% | |
| 63 | 4% | 61% | |
| 64 | 5% | 58% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 52% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 67 | 39% | 50% | Median |
| 68 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0% | 8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 6–7 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 846
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 3.38%