Opinion Poll by Celeste-Tel for eldiario.es, 4–8 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 25.8% 24.2–27.6% 23.7–28.1% 23.3–28.5% 22.5–29.3%
Partido Popular 33.0% 24.3% 22.7–26.0% 22.2–26.5% 21.8–26.9% 21.1–27.7%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 21.1% 19.6–22.7% 19.1–23.2% 18.8–23.6% 18.1–24.4%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 17.4% 16.0–18.9% 15.6–19.3% 15.2–19.7% 14.6–20.5%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega 0.2% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 97 92–110 91–114 91–116 89–122
Partido Popular 137 95 92–100 87–109 82–109 80–118
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 74 66–79 63–79 63–81 63–85
Unidos Podemos 71 56 46–61 42–61 40–61 38–70
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 12 11–14 9–16 9–18 8–18
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 6 3–6 2–8 2–8 2–10
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 5 3–6 2–7 2–7 2–7
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 3–6 2–7 2–7 1–9
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–3
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 2% 99.7%  
90 0% 98%  
91 4% 98%  
92 25% 93%  
93 2% 69%  
94 5% 67%  
95 0.7% 61%  
96 2% 61%  
97 34% 59% Median
98 0.2% 25%  
99 1.0% 24%  
100 0.4% 23%  
101 0.1% 23%  
102 3% 23%  
103 0.6% 20%  
104 0.4% 20%  
105 0.2% 19%  
106 0.4% 19%  
107 0% 19%  
108 0% 19%  
109 7% 19%  
110 2% 11%  
111 2% 10%  
112 0.1% 8%  
113 1.5% 8%  
114 3% 6%  
115 0.1% 3%  
116 1.3% 3%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0.5% 2%  
119 0.5% 1.1%  
120 0% 0.6%  
121 0% 0.6%  
122 0.5% 0.6%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.4% 100%  
79 0% 99.6%  
80 2% 99.5%  
81 0.2% 98%  
82 0.5% 98%  
83 0% 97%  
84 0.2% 97%  
85 0.2% 97%  
86 0.5% 97%  
87 2% 96%  
88 0.6% 95%  
89 0.3% 94%  
90 1.3% 94%  
91 0.8% 92%  
92 25% 92%  
93 3% 66%  
94 6% 64%  
95 34% 58% Median
96 6% 24%  
97 2% 18%  
98 0% 16%  
99 5% 16%  
100 2% 11%  
101 0.1% 9%  
102 3% 9%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0.1% 6%  
106 0.2% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0.3% 6%  
109 4% 5%  
110 0% 1.2%  
111 0% 1.1%  
112 0% 1.1%  
113 0% 1.1%  
114 0.3% 1.1%  
115 0.1% 0.8%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0.6% 0.7%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.1% 99.6%  
63 5% 99.5%  
64 0.1% 95%  
65 4% 95%  
66 2% 91%  
67 0.2% 89%  
68 0.2% 88%  
69 1.2% 88%  
70 3% 87%  
71 8% 84%  
72 5% 76%  
73 3% 71%  
74 37% 68% Median
75 0.5% 32%  
76 2% 31%  
77 1.1% 29%  
78 0.1% 28%  
79 25% 28%  
80 0.1% 3%  
81 0.3% 3%  
82 0.2% 2%  
83 0.2% 2%  
84 0% 2%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.8%  
37 0.1% 99.7%  
38 0.4% 99.6%  
39 0% 99.2%  
40 2% 99.2%  
41 0.6% 97%  
42 3% 97%  
43 0.9% 93%  
44 1.2% 93%  
45 0.2% 91%  
46 2% 91%  
47 0% 90%  
48 0.1% 90%  
49 0.7% 90%  
50 6% 89%  
51 0.6% 83%  
52 0.6% 83%  
53 0.5% 82%  
54 12% 81%  
55 0.4% 69%  
56 25% 69% Median
57 2% 44%  
58 1.1% 42%  
59 2% 41%  
60 0.4% 39%  
61 36% 38%  
62 0.5% 2%  
63 0.8% 2%  
64 0.1% 0.9%  
65 0% 0.8%  
66 0.1% 0.8%  
67 0% 0.7%  
68 0% 0.7%  
69 0% 0.7%  
70 0.5% 0.7%  
71 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 0.4% 99.5%  
9 7% 99.1% Last Result
10 0.6% 92%  
11 34% 92%  
12 9% 57% Median
13 32% 48%  
14 8% 16%  
15 2% 8%  
16 0.6% 6%  
17 0.3% 5%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 8% 99.8%  
3 2% 91%  
4 6% 89%  
5 29% 83%  
6 47% 54% Median
7 0.3% 7%  
8 5% 7% Last Result
9 0.2% 1.5%  
10 1.1% 1.3%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 5% 99.9%  
3 42% 95%  
4 0.8% 53%  
5 10% 52% Last Result, Median
6 33% 42%  
7 9% 9%  
8 0.1% 0.4%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 2% 99.8%  
2 8% 98% Last Result
3 36% 90%  
4 17% 54% Median
5 7% 37%  
6 25% 30%  
7 4% 5%  
8 0.1% 1.4%  
9 1.3% 1.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 52% 57% Last Result, Median
2 3% 5%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 10%  
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 266 100% 263–276 263–279 260–281 255–286
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 229 100% 220–232 208–234 208–238 206–244
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 192 100% 184–205 184–208 184–208 181–213
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 181 92% 177–187 173–190 168–193 161–199
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 171 22% 163–182 158–187 154–187 154–196
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 173 11% 166–179 166–183 158–183 152–191
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 172 12% 166–176 162–182 160–182 148–186
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 169 6% 163–173 159–177 157–180 150–188
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 169 6% 162–172 158–176 155–179 149–187
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 164 3% 156–168 155–175 152–177 146–179
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 158 0.4% 148–161 145–168 142–168 137–171
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 97 0% 92–110 91–114 91–116 89–122
Partido Popular 137 95 0% 92–100 87–109 82–109 80–118

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0.1% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.8% Last Result
255 0.6% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.2%  
257 0.5% 99.1%  
258 0.2% 98.7%  
259 0% 98%  
260 2% 98%  
261 0.3% 96%  
262 0.2% 96%  
263 31% 96%  
264 0.6% 65%  
265 6% 64%  
266 35% 58% Median
267 0.2% 23%  
268 1.4% 22%  
269 1.3% 21%  
270 0.9% 20%  
271 0.1% 19%  
272 0.3% 19%  
273 4% 19%  
274 0.1% 15%  
275 0.1% 15%  
276 6% 14%  
277 2% 8%  
278 0.2% 6%  
279 2% 6%  
280 0% 4%  
281 2% 4%  
282 0.1% 2%  
283 0.9% 2%  
284 0% 0.8%  
285 0% 0.7%  
286 0.3% 0.7%  
287 0% 0.4%  
288 0.4% 0.4%  
289 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0.1% 99.9%  
206 0.6% 99.9%  
207 0% 99.2%  
208 4% 99.2%  
209 0% 95%  
210 0.2% 95%  
211 0.2% 95%  
212 0% 95%  
213 0.4% 95%  
214 0% 94%  
215 0.1% 94%  
216 0.1% 94%  
217 0% 94%  
218 0.1% 94%  
219 0.1% 94%  
220 6% 94%  
221 0% 87%  
222 3% 87%  
223 0.1% 85%  
224 2% 85%  
225 0.1% 83%  
226 0.3% 83%  
227 27% 82% Median
228 4% 55%  
229 2% 51%  
230 6% 49%  
231 0.7% 43%  
232 34% 43%  
233 3% 8%  
234 0.2% 5%  
235 0.5% 5%  
236 0.4% 4%  
237 0.1% 4%  
238 2% 4%  
239 0.7% 2%  
240 0% 2%  
241 0.1% 2%  
242 0% 1.4%  
243 0% 1.4%  
244 0.9% 1.4%  
245 0.4% 0.4%  
246 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0.2% 100% Majority
177 0% 99.8%  
178 0% 99.7%  
179 0% 99.7%  
180 0.2% 99.7%  
181 0% 99.5%  
182 0.1% 99.5%  
183 0% 99.4%  
184 24% 99.4%  
185 0% 75%  
186 0.4% 75%  
187 0.1% 75%  
188 0.1% 74%  
189 2% 74%  
190 1.0% 72%  
191 2% 71%  
192 35% 69% Median
193 7% 34%  
194 0.1% 27%  
195 0.9% 27%  
196 2% 26%  
197 0.5% 24%  
198 0.7% 24%  
199 0.1% 23%  
200 5% 23%  
201 1.4% 18%  
202 0.2% 17%  
203 2% 17%  
204 1.3% 14%  
205 6% 13%  
206 2% 7%  
207 0.1% 5%  
208 3% 5%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0% 2%  
211 0% 2%  
212 0.9% 2%  
213 0.4% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.7% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.2%  
163 0.1% 99.2%  
164 0% 99.0%  
165 0% 99.0%  
166 0.1% 99.0%  
167 0% 98.9%  
168 2% 98.9%  
169 0.1% 97%  
170 0.2% 96%  
171 0% 96%  
172 0% 96%  
173 2% 96%  
174 0.2% 94%  
175 2% 94%  
176 0.4% 92% Majority
177 4% 91%  
178 24% 87%  
179 6% 63%  
180 0.5% 57% Last Result, Median
181 35% 56%  
182 6% 22%  
183 2% 15%  
184 2% 13%  
185 0.1% 11%  
186 0.5% 10%  
187 0.3% 10%  
188 0.2% 10%  
189 1.2% 10%  
190 3% 8%  
191 0.2% 5%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 2% 4%  
194 0.6% 2%  
195 1.3% 2%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0% 0.5%  
198 0% 0.5%  
199 0% 0.5%  
200 0% 0.5%  
201 0% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.4%  
205 0.4% 0.4%  
206 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 4% 99.9%  
155 0% 96%  
156 0% 96%  
157 0.1% 96%  
158 0.5% 95%  
159 0.2% 95%  
160 0.1% 95%  
161 0.1% 95%  
162 0% 95%  
163 5% 95%  
164 0% 90%  
165 0.7% 90%  
166 5% 89%  
167 2% 84%  
168 0.1% 82%  
169 0.3% 82%  
170 0.4% 82%  
171 58% 82% Median
172 0.1% 23%  
173 0.5% 23%  
174 0.1% 23%  
175 0.4% 23%  
176 1.0% 22% Majority
177 0% 21%  
178 0% 21%  
179 3% 21%  
180 6% 18%  
181 0.6% 12%  
182 3% 12%  
183 0.6% 9%  
184 0% 8%  
185 1.0% 8%  
186 2% 7%  
187 4% 5%  
188 0.2% 2%  
189 0% 2%  
190 0.6% 1.5%  
191 0.1% 0.9%  
192 0% 0.8%  
193 0% 0.8%  
194 0% 0.8%  
195 0% 0.8%  
196 0.3% 0.8%  
197 0.4% 0.4%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0.1% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.7% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.1%  
154 0% 99.0%  
155 0% 99.0%  
156 0% 99.0%  
157 0% 99.0%  
158 2% 99.0%  
159 0.2% 97%  
160 0% 97%  
161 0.7% 97%  
162 0% 96%  
163 0.1% 96%  
164 0.1% 96%  
165 0.1% 96%  
166 30% 96%  
167 0.5% 66%  
168 2% 65%  
169 0.2% 63%  
170 2% 63%  
171 6% 61% Median
172 0.2% 55%  
173 6% 55% Last Result
174 3% 48%  
175 35% 46%  
176 0.5% 11% Majority
177 0.2% 11%  
178 0% 10%  
179 0.8% 10%  
180 0.6% 10%  
181 0.6% 9%  
182 0.5% 8%  
183 6% 8%  
184 1.2% 2%  
185 0% 0.6%  
186 0% 0.6%  
187 0% 0.5%  
188 0% 0.5%  
189 0% 0.5%  
190 0% 0.5%  
191 0% 0.5%  
192 0% 0.5%  
193 0% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.5%  
195 0% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.4%  
197 0.4% 0.4%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.7% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.2%  
150 0.1% 99.2%  
151 0% 99.1%  
152 0% 99.0%  
153 0.2% 99.0%  
154 0% 98.8%  
155 0% 98.8%  
156 0.1% 98.8%  
157 0% 98.7%  
158 0% 98.6%  
159 0.1% 98.6%  
160 2% 98.5%  
161 0.2% 96%  
162 4% 96%  
163 0% 92%  
164 0.1% 92%  
165 0% 92%  
166 2% 92%  
167 25% 89% Last Result
168 6% 65%  
169 0.3% 58% Median
170 0.4% 58%  
171 2% 58%  
172 35% 55%  
173 0.3% 21%  
174 2% 20%  
175 6% 19%  
176 3% 12% Majority
177 0.6% 10%  
178 0.4% 9%  
179 1.1% 9%  
180 2% 8%  
181 0.4% 6%  
182 3% 6%  
183 0% 2%  
184 1.3% 2%  
185 0.5% 1.1%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0% 0.5%  
188 0% 0.5%  
189 0% 0.5%  
190 0.4% 0.4%  
191 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.4% 100%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0% 99.6%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0% 99.5%  
150 0% 99.5%  
151 0% 99.5%  
152 0% 99.5%  
153 0.1% 99.5%  
154 0% 99.4%  
155 1.3% 99.4%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 2% 98%  
158 0.3% 95%  
159 0.3% 95%  
160 3% 95%  
161 1.1% 91%  
162 0.2% 90%  
163 0.2% 90%  
164 0.5% 90%  
165 2% 89%  
166 2% 87%  
167 1.4% 85%  
168 6% 83%  
169 34% 78%  
170 0.5% 44% Last Result, Median
171 6% 43%  
172 24% 37%  
173 6% 13%  
174 0% 6%  
175 0.4% 6%  
176 0.1% 6% Majority
177 2% 6%  
178 0% 4%  
179 0.1% 4%  
180 2% 4%  
181 0.1% 2%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0% 1.0%  
184 0% 1.0%  
185 0.1% 1.0%  
186 0% 0.9%  
187 0% 0.9%  
188 0.7% 0.8%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0.4% 100%  
145 0% 99.6%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0% 99.6%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0% 99.5%  
150 0% 99.5%  
151 0% 99.5%  
152 0.1% 99.5%  
153 1.3% 99.4%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 1.1% 98%  
156 1.0% 97%  
157 0.7% 96%  
158 0.4% 95%  
159 4% 95%  
160 1.0% 91%  
161 0.1% 90%  
162 0.6% 90%  
163 0.1% 90%  
164 2% 90%  
165 0.8% 87%  
166 3% 86%  
167 6% 83%  
168 0% 78%  
169 34% 78% Last Result, Median
170 4% 43%  
171 29% 40%  
172 4% 10%  
173 0% 6%  
174 0.4% 6%  
175 0% 6%  
176 2% 6% Majority
177 0% 4%  
178 0.1% 4%  
179 2% 4%  
180 0% 2%  
181 0.5% 2%  
182 0% 1.0%  
183 0% 1.0%  
184 0.1% 1.0%  
185 0% 0.9%  
186 0% 0.9%  
187 0.7% 0.8%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.7% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.1%  
148 0.2% 99.1%  
149 0.1% 98.9%  
150 0.5% 98.8%  
151 0% 98%  
152 2% 98%  
153 0.1% 96%  
154 0% 96%  
155 2% 96%  
156 9% 94%  
157 2% 86%  
158 0% 83%  
159 0.1% 83%  
160 26% 83%  
161 0.1% 57%  
162 1.0% 57% Median
163 0.9% 56% Last Result
164 34% 55%  
165 1.2% 20%  
166 0.4% 19%  
167 2% 19%  
168 7% 16%  
169 0.6% 10%  
170 0.1% 9%  
171 1.3% 9%  
172 0.1% 8%  
173 0.2% 8%  
174 1.3% 8%  
175 4% 6%  
176 0.1% 3% Majority
177 0.5% 3%  
178 1.0% 2%  
179 0.6% 1.1%  
180 0% 0.5%  
181 0% 0.5%  
182 0% 0.5%  
183 0% 0.5%  
184 0% 0.5%  
185 0% 0.4%  
186 0% 0.4%  
187 0.4% 0.4%  
188 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0.1% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0.8% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.0%  
139 0.2% 99.0%  
140 0% 98.8%  
141 0% 98.8%  
142 2% 98.8%  
143 0.6% 97%  
144 0.1% 96%  
145 4% 96%  
146 0.1% 92%  
147 0% 92%  
148 31% 92%  
149 0% 61%  
150 2% 61%  
151 2% 59%  
152 0.1% 57%  
153 2% 57% Median
154 0.7% 55%  
155 1.1% 55%  
156 0.2% 53% Last Result
157 2% 53%  
158 34% 51%  
159 6% 17%  
160 0.4% 11%  
161 0.6% 10%  
162 3% 10%  
163 0.2% 7%  
164 0.1% 7%  
165 1.0% 7%  
166 0.2% 6%  
167 0% 5%  
168 4% 5%  
169 0.6% 1.2%  
170 0% 0.6%  
171 0.1% 0.5%  
172 0% 0.5%  
173 0% 0.4%  
174 0% 0.4%  
175 0% 0.4%  
176 0% 0.4% Majority
177 0% 0.4%  
178 0% 0.4%  
179 0.4% 0.4%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 2% 99.7%  
90 0% 98%  
91 4% 98%  
92 25% 93%  
93 2% 69%  
94 5% 67%  
95 0.7% 61%  
96 2% 61%  
97 34% 59% Median
98 0.2% 25%  
99 1.0% 24%  
100 0.4% 23%  
101 0.1% 23%  
102 3% 23%  
103 0.6% 20%  
104 0.4% 20%  
105 0.2% 19%  
106 0.4% 19%  
107 0% 19%  
108 0% 19%  
109 7% 19%  
110 2% 11%  
111 2% 10%  
112 0.1% 8%  
113 1.5% 8%  
114 3% 6%  
115 0.1% 3%  
116 1.3% 3%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0.5% 2%  
119 0.5% 1.1%  
120 0% 0.6%  
121 0% 0.6%  
122 0.5% 0.6%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.4% 100%  
79 0% 99.6%  
80 2% 99.5%  
81 0.2% 98%  
82 0.5% 98%  
83 0% 97%  
84 0.2% 97%  
85 0.2% 97%  
86 0.5% 97%  
87 2% 96%  
88 0.6% 95%  
89 0.3% 94%  
90 1.3% 94%  
91 0.8% 92%  
92 25% 92%  
93 3% 66%  
94 6% 64%  
95 34% 58% Median
96 6% 24%  
97 2% 18%  
98 0% 16%  
99 5% 16%  
100 2% 11%  
101 0.1% 9%  
102 3% 9%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0.1% 6%  
106 0.2% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0.3% 6%  
109 4% 5%  
110 0% 1.2%  
111 0% 1.1%  
112 0% 1.1%  
113 0% 1.1%  
114 0.3% 1.1%  
115 0.1% 0.8%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0.6% 0.7%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations