Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 19–22 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 16.9% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.0–19.0% | 14.7–19.4% | 14.0–20.1% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 93 | 86–102 | 85–103 | 83–106 | 83–115 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 97 | 92–102 | 88–110 | 87–116 | 80–116 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 78 | 69–83 | 68–85 | 68–85 | 59–90 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 52 | 41–63 | 38–63 | 38–71 | 35–71 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 11 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| Vox | 0 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 3–6 | 1–7 | 1–10 | 1–10 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–11 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 3 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 2 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 5% | 94% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 89 | 3% | 87% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 92 | 5% | 84% | |
| 93 | 30% | 79% | Median |
| 94 | 4% | 48% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 44% | |
| 96 | 23% | 44% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 98 | 2% | 20% | |
| 99 | 4% | 18% | |
| 100 | 2% | 14% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 102 | 2% | 11% | |
| 103 | 6% | 9% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 92 | 5% | 93% | |
| 93 | 5% | 87% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 95 | 2% | 82% | |
| 96 | 19% | 80% | |
| 97 | 46% | 61% | Median |
| 98 | 2% | 16% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 100 | 2% | 13% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 109 | 2% | 8% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 111 | 0% | 5% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 113 | 0% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 116 | 4% | 4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 14% | 94% | |
| 70 | 4% | 80% | |
| 71 | 4% | 76% | |
| 72 | 2% | 72% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 76 | 16% | 69% | |
| 77 | 3% | 53% | |
| 78 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 79 | 2% | 45% | |
| 80 | 1.5% | 44% | |
| 81 | 6% | 42% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 36% | |
| 83 | 30% | 36% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 85 | 4% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 40 | 2% | 92% | |
| 41 | 6% | 90% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 47 | 10% | 82% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 50 | 3% | 71% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 52 | 32% | 69% | Median |
| 53 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 36% | |
| 55 | 2% | 36% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 34% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 59 | 3% | 32% | |
| 60 | 2% | 29% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 62 | 6% | 26% | |
| 63 | 16% | 21% | |
| 64 | 0% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 4% | |
| 71 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 14% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 12% | 85% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 74% | |
| 11 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 12 | 12% | 37% | |
| 13 | 11% | 25% | |
| 14 | 6% | 14% | |
| 15 | 7% | 8% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 49% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 36% | 51% | Median |
| 3 | 14% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 50% | 50% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 3 | 15% | 95% | |
| 4 | 27% | 79% | |
| 5 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 6 | 42% | 48% | |
| 7 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 37% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 5 | 6% | 61% | Last Result |
| 6 | 22% | 55% | Median |
| 7 | 22% | 33% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 9 | 6% | 10% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 97% | |
| 2 | 23% | 87% | Last Result |
| 3 | 35% | 64% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 30% | |
| 5 | 13% | 23% | |
| 6 | 2% | 10% | |
| 7 | 8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 67% | Last Result |
| 2 | 35% | 57% | Median |
| 3 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 4 | 20% | 21% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 254 | 270 | 100% | 258–277 | 256–280 | 254–282 | 254–282 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 242 | 100% | 237–256 | 237–257 | 232–257 | 228–263 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 117 | 191 | 99.3% | 183–199 | 182–207 | 176–208 | 173–214 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox | 169 | 175 | 45% | 163–184 | 161–186 | 161–189 | 155–196 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 176 | 56% | 164–184 | 162–186 | 162–187 | 156–196 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 177 | 51% | 164–181 | 162–184 | 162–187 | 153–190 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 172 | 39% | 165–185 | 162–187 | 161–187 | 152–192 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 169 | 172 | 45% | 162–183 | 160–184 | 160–187 | 154–194 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 166 | 10% | 155–175 | 150–178 | 150–178 | 140–183 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 163 | 2% | 153–174 | 153–174 | 149–174 | 141–181 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 155 | 0.6% | 146–168 | 145–170 | 144–171 | 134–176 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 149 | 0.1% | 135–160 | 134–163 | 134–163 | 122–168 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 97 | 0% | 92–102 | 88–110 | 87–116 | 80–116 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 79 | 0% | 71–84 | 69–86 | 69–87 | 60–91 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 78 | 0% | 69–83 | 68–85 | 68–85 | 59–90 |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 251 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 253 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 254 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 256 | 4% | 97% | |
| 257 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 258 | 4% | 93% | |
| 259 | 3% | 89% | |
| 260 | 2% | 86% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 262 | 13% | 84% | |
| 263 | 3% | 70% | |
| 264 | 1.1% | 67% | |
| 265 | 0.9% | 66% | |
| 266 | 0.6% | 65% | |
| 267 | 0.6% | 65% | |
| 268 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 269 | 1.4% | 53% | |
| 270 | 4% | 52% | |
| 271 | 0.2% | 48% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 48% | |
| 273 | 30% | 48% | |
| 274 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 275 | 0% | 17% | |
| 276 | 6% | 17% | |
| 277 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 278 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 280 | 5% | 8% | |
| 281 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 282 | 2% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 284 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 285 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 225 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 227 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 229 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 230 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 232 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 235 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 237 | 8% | 96% | |
| 238 | 3% | 88% | |
| 239 | 10% | 85% | |
| 240 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 241 | 2% | 74% | |
| 242 | 32% | 72% | Median |
| 243 | 3% | 40% | |
| 244 | 4% | 37% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 246 | 3% | 33% | |
| 247 | 2% | 30% | |
| 248 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 249 | 4% | 28% | |
| 250 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 251 | 3% | 23% | |
| 252 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 253 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 254 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 255 | 0.1% | 19% | |
| 256 | 13% | 19% | |
| 257 | 4% | 5% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 260 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 261 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 263 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 265 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 176 | 2% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 97% | |
| 178 | 0% | 97% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 182 | 4% | 97% | |
| 183 | 4% | 93% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 186 | 4% | 88% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 190 | 30% | 81% | Median |
| 191 | 3% | 51% | |
| 192 | 16% | 47% | |
| 193 | 13% | 32% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 196 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 197 | 2% | 16% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 199 | 7% | 14% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 205 | 0% | 5% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 208 | 4% | 5% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 161 | 4% | 98% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 163 | 9% | 94% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 84% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 166 | 4% | 84% | |
| 167 | 13% | 79% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 66% | |
| 169 | 3% | 65% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0.7% | 62% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 62% | |
| 172 | 1.3% | 62% | |
| 173 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 174 | 1.1% | 57% | |
| 175 | 11% | 56% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 45% | Majority |
| 177 | 30% | 45% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 184 | 3% | 12% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 186 | 6% | 9% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 189 | 2% | 3% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 161 | 0% | 98% | |
| 162 | 5% | 98% | |
| 163 | 2% | 93% | |
| 164 | 3% | 91% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 166 | 9% | 89% | |
| 167 | 13% | 80% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 65% | Last Result |
| 171 | 5% | 65% | |
| 172 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 59% | Median |
| 174 | 2% | 58% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 56% | |
| 176 | 41% | 56% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 180 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 184 | 3% | 12% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 186 | 6% | 9% | |
| 187 | 2% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0% | 98% | |
| 162 | 4% | 98% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 164 | 4% | 93% | |
| 165 | 2% | 89% | |
| 166 | 14% | 87% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 73% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 171 | 2% | 70% | |
| 172 | 13% | 69% | |
| 173 | 3% | 56% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 175 | 2% | 53% | Median |
| 176 | 0.1% | 51% | Majority |
| 177 | 6% | 51% | |
| 178 | 3% | 45% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 180 | 32% | 42% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 182 | 2% | 10% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 184 | 4% | 8% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 186 | 0% | 3% | |
| 187 | 2% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 161 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 162 | 6% | 97% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 165 | 3% | 90% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 87% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 171 | 11% | 85% | |
| 172 | 30% | 74% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 44% | |
| 174 | 2% | 44% | Median |
| 175 | 3% | 42% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 39% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 38% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 35% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 180 | 14% | 34% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 182 | 6% | 20% | |
| 183 | 3% | 14% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 185 | 5% | 11% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 187 | 5% | 6% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 190 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 160 | 4% | 98% | |
| 161 | 2% | 94% | |
| 162 | 8% | 92% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 164 | 4% | 84% | |
| 165 | 13% | 79% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 66% | |
| 167 | 3% | 66% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 62% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 62% | Last Result |
| 170 | 4% | 61% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 57% | Median |
| 172 | 12% | 57% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 46% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 45% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 45% | |
| 176 | 30% | 45% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 183 | 3% | 12% | |
| 184 | 6% | 9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 187 | 2% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 149 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 150 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 151 | 2% | 93% | |
| 152 | 0% | 91% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 155 | 3% | 90% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 158 | 0% | 86% | |
| 159 | 10% | 86% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 163 | 2% | 75% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 73% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 72% | Median |
| 166 | 30% | 72% | |
| 167 | 4% | 42% | |
| 168 | 3% | 38% | |
| 169 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 34% | |
| 172 | 13% | 33% | |
| 173 | 5% | 20% | Last Result |
| 174 | 2% | 15% | |
| 175 | 4% | 13% | |
| 176 | 4% | 10% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 178 | 4% | 6% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 180 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 181 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 149 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 153 | 6% | 96% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 157 | 2% | 89% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 159 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 161 | 11% | 85% | |
| 162 | 4% | 74% | |
| 163 | 31% | 70% | Median |
| 164 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 165 | 2% | 39% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 167 | 3% | 36% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.3% | 33% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 170 | 13% | 32% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 172 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 173 | 7% | 17% | |
| 174 | 8% | 11% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 144 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 96% | |
| 146 | 6% | 94% | |
| 147 | 0% | 88% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 155 | 41% | 85% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 44% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 158 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 159 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 160 | 3% | 40% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 162 | 2% | 36% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 34% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.6% | 34% | |
| 165 | 0% | 33% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 167 | 6% | 33% | |
| 168 | 20% | 27% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 170 | 5% | 7% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 172 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 130 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 131 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 134 | 8% | 98.5% | |
| 135 | 2% | 91% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 143 | 10% | 86% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 75% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 148 | 2% | 73% | |
| 149 | 33% | 72% | Median |
| 150 | 0.3% | 39% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 152 | 3% | 39% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 36% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 35% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 33% | Last Result |
| 157 | 4% | 33% | |
| 158 | 5% | 30% | |
| 159 | 2% | 24% | |
| 160 | 16% | 22% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 163 | 4% | 5% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 92 | 5% | 93% | |
| 93 | 5% | 87% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 95 | 2% | 82% | |
| 96 | 19% | 80% | |
| 97 | 46% | 61% | Median |
| 98 | 2% | 16% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 100 | 2% | 13% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 109 | 2% | 8% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 111 | 0% | 5% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 113 | 0% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 116 | 4% | 4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 71 | 13% | 93% | |
| 72 | 4% | 80% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 74 | 3% | 75% | |
| 75 | 2% | 71% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 77 | 6% | 69% | |
| 78 | 3% | 63% | |
| 79 | 10% | 60% | |
| 80 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 81 | 3% | 45% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 43% | |
| 83 | 6% | 42% | |
| 84 | 30% | 36% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 14% | 94% | |
| 70 | 4% | 80% | |
| 71 | 4% | 76% | |
| 72 | 2% | 72% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 76 | 16% | 69% | |
| 77 | 3% | 53% | |
| 78 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 79 | 2% | 45% | |
| 80 | 1.5% | 44% | |
| 81 | 6% | 42% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 36% | |
| 83 | 30% | 36% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 85 | 4% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 19–22 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.40%