Opinion Poll by CIS, 1–11 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 30.5% | 29.4–31.6% | 29.1–31.9% | 28.9–32.2% | 28.3–32.7% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 20.8% | 19.9–21.8% | 19.6–22.1% | 19.4–22.3% | 18.9–22.8% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 19.6% | 18.7–20.6% | 18.4–20.9% | 18.2–21.1% | 17.8–21.6% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 16.1% | 15.2–17.0% | 15.0–17.2% | 14.8–17.5% | 14.4–17.9% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7–4.6% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6–2.3% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.6% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.3% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.2–1.7% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.5% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 132 | 120–132 | 120–132 | 120–134 | 120–135 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 76 | 72–82 | 72–88 | 72–89 | 72–90 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 68 | 66–68 | 64–69 | 62–69 | 60–71 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 47 | 42–50 | 38–51 | 38–51 | 37–51 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–18 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Vox | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 5 | 4–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 14% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 8% | 85% | |
| 122 | 0% | 78% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 78% | |
| 124 | 2% | 77% | |
| 125 | 9% | 75% | |
| 126 | 2% | 65% | |
| 127 | 4% | 63% | |
| 128 | 3% | 60% | |
| 129 | 3% | 57% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 132 | 49% | 53% | Median |
| 133 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 134 | 3% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 29% | 87% | |
| 74 | 2% | 58% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 76 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 77 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 79 | 10% | 47% | |
| 80 | 14% | 37% | |
| 81 | 7% | 23% | |
| 82 | 8% | 16% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 90 | 2% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0% | 96% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 66 | 28% | 95% | |
| 67 | 9% | 67% | |
| 68 | 51% | 58% | Median |
| 69 | 5% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 4% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 42 | 12% | 90% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 44 | 10% | 77% | |
| 45 | 2% | 67% | |
| 46 | 13% | 64% | |
| 47 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 48 | 0.4% | 37% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 36% | |
| 50 | 28% | 36% | |
| 51 | 7% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 11% | 93% | |
| 15 | 57% | 82% | Median |
| 16 | 23% | 25% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 19% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 65% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 16% | |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.1% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 85% | 86% | Median |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 4 | 35% | 92% | |
| 5 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 6 | 30% | 41% | |
| 7 | 11% | 12% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10% | 100% | |
| 3 | 35% | 90% | |
| 4 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 5 | 17% | 41% | Last Result |
| 6 | 24% | 24% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 40% | 40% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 271 | 100% | 268–277 | 267–279 | 267–282 | 267–282 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 242 | 100% | 233–248 | 232–248 | 230–248 | 229–249 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 205 | 100% | 200–210 | 200–213 | 200–214 | 200–215 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 180 | 204 | 100% | 198–210 | 197–210 | 194–210 | 193–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 198 | 100% | 188–200 | 188–200 | 186–203 | 183–204 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 196 | 100% | 188–203 | 188–203 | 186–203 | 183–203 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 196 | 100% | 186–201 | 186–201 | 185–201 | 182–201 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 163 | 182 | 95% | 177–189 | 176–189 | 173–189 | 172–189 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 176 | 60% | 172–185 | 170–185 | 169–185 | 165–185 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 174 | 46% | 167–182 | 165–182 | 165–182 | 162–182 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 146 | 0% | 142–156 | 142–156 | 142–160 | 142–160 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 145 | 0% | 140–151 | 140–153 | 140–156 | 140–157 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 145 | 0% | 139–151 | 139–152 | 139–156 | 139–157 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 144 | 0% | 139–150 | 139–152 | 139–156 | 139–157 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 132 | 0% | 120–132 | 120–132 | 120–134 | 120–135 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 77 | 0% | 73–83 | 73–88 | 73–90 | 73–91 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 76 | 0% | 72–82 | 72–88 | 72–89 | 72–90 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 266 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 267 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 268 | 14% | 93% | |
| 269 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 270 | 0.4% | 78% | |
| 271 | 29% | 78% | |
| 272 | 15% | 49% | |
| 273 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 274 | 0.2% | 34% | |
| 275 | 10% | 34% | |
| 276 | 11% | 24% | Median |
| 277 | 5% | 13% | |
| 278 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 279 | 4% | 8% | |
| 280 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 281 | 0% | 3% | |
| 282 | 2% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 284 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 230 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 231 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 232 | 2% | 97% | |
| 233 | 5% | 95% | |
| 234 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 235 | 14% | 89% | |
| 236 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 237 | 7% | 74% | |
| 238 | 4% | 67% | |
| 239 | 7% | 62% | |
| 240 | 4% | 55% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 242 | 6% | 51% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 45% | |
| 244 | 0.9% | 45% | |
| 245 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 246 | 13% | 44% | |
| 247 | 0.1% | 31% | Median |
| 248 | 30% | 30% | |
| 249 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 197 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 200 | 21% | 99.7% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 202 | 0% | 79% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 204 | 13% | 78% | |
| 205 | 28% | 65% | |
| 206 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 207 | 10% | 36% | |
| 208 | 12% | 26% | Median |
| 209 | 3% | 14% | |
| 210 | 3% | 10% | |
| 211 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 212 | 2% | 7% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 214 | 4% | 5% | |
| 215 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 222 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 194 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 195 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 197 | 3% | 95% | |
| 198 | 7% | 93% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 200 | 21% | 85% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 64% | |
| 202 | 3% | 64% | |
| 203 | 9% | 61% | |
| 204 | 6% | 53% | |
| 205 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 206 | 3% | 45% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 43% | |
| 208 | 1.0% | 42% | |
| 209 | 13% | 41% | Median |
| 210 | 28% | 28% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 188 | 21% | 96% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 74% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 74% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 193 | 8% | 73% | |
| 194 | 2% | 65% | |
| 195 | 4% | 63% | |
| 196 | 4% | 59% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 198 | 31% | 56% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 25% | |
| 200 | 20% | 24% | Median |
| 201 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 203 | 2% | 3% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 188 | 18% | 95% | |
| 189 | 3% | 78% | |
| 190 | 7% | 75% | |
| 191 | 6% | 68% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 62% | |
| 193 | 9% | 62% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 53% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 196 | 7% | 52% | |
| 197 | 3% | 46% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 43% | |
| 199 | 13% | 42% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 29% | Median |
| 201 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 203 | 28% | 28% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 185 | 2% | 98% | |
| 186 | 8% | 96% | |
| 187 | 4% | 88% | |
| 188 | 16% | 84% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 190 | 3% | 68% | |
| 191 | 1.1% | 65% | |
| 192 | 10% | 64% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 54% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 54% | |
| 195 | 2% | 54% | |
| 196 | 7% | 52% | |
| 197 | 3% | 45% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 42% | |
| 199 | 13% | 41% | Median |
| 200 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 201 | 28% | 28% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 174 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 176 | 3% | 95% | Majority |
| 177 | 11% | 92% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 179 | 15% | 81% | |
| 180 | 4% | 67% | |
| 181 | 3% | 62% | |
| 182 | 13% | 60% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 184 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 45% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 45% | |
| 188 | 15% | 44% | Median |
| 189 | 28% | 29% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 169 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 170 | 5% | 97% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 172 | 2% | 91% | |
| 173 | 18% | 89% | |
| 174 | 3% | 70% | |
| 175 | 8% | 67% | |
| 176 | 13% | 60% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 47% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 46% | |
| 179 | 0.9% | 46% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 45% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 45% | |
| 182 | 3% | 45% | |
| 183 | 13% | 42% | Median |
| 184 | 0.1% | 29% | |
| 185 | 28% | 29% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 6% | 98% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 167 | 15% | 92% | |
| 168 | 3% | 77% | |
| 169 | 7% | 75% | |
| 170 | 4% | 68% | |
| 171 | 3% | 63% | |
| 172 | 8% | 60% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 174 | 6% | 52% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 46% | |
| 176 | 0.9% | 46% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 178 | 13% | 44% | |
| 179 | 2% | 31% | Median |
| 180 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 181 | 0% | 28% | |
| 182 | 28% | 28% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 145 | 13% | 71% | |
| 146 | 9% | 58% | |
| 147 | 1.5% | 49% | |
| 148 | 2% | 48% | Median |
| 149 | 0.4% | 46% | |
| 150 | 7% | 46% | |
| 151 | 3% | 39% | |
| 152 | 4% | 36% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 32% | |
| 154 | 17% | 31% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 156 | 9% | 13% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 158 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 28% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 14% | 72% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 58% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 57% | |
| 144 | 3% | 57% | |
| 145 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 146 | 9% | 47% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 148 | 3% | 39% | |
| 149 | 14% | 36% | |
| 150 | 7% | 22% | |
| 151 | 8% | 15% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 153 | 3% | 7% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 156 | 2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 13% | 72% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 59% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 58% | |
| 143 | 3% | 57% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 55% | Median |
| 145 | 7% | 54% | |
| 146 | 2% | 47% | |
| 147 | 10% | 46% | |
| 148 | 0% | 36% | |
| 149 | 18% | 36% | |
| 150 | 3% | 18% | |
| 151 | 8% | 15% | |
| 152 | 3% | 7% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 156 | 2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 28% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 14% | 72% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 58% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 57% | |
| 143 | 3% | 57% | |
| 144 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 145 | 3% | 48% | |
| 146 | 7% | 46% | |
| 147 | 3% | 39% | |
| 148 | 14% | 36% | |
| 149 | 4% | 22% | |
| 150 | 11% | 18% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 152 | 4% | 7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 14% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 8% | 85% | |
| 122 | 0% | 78% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 78% | |
| 124 | 2% | 77% | |
| 125 | 9% | 75% | |
| 126 | 2% | 65% | |
| 127 | 4% | 63% | |
| 128 | 3% | 60% | |
| 129 | 3% | 57% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 132 | 49% | 53% | Median |
| 133 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 134 | 3% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 29% | 86% | |
| 75 | 2% | 58% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 77 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 49% | |
| 79 | 7% | 47% | |
| 80 | 3% | 40% | |
| 81 | 17% | 37% | |
| 82 | 4% | 20% | |
| 83 | 8% | 16% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 29% | 87% | |
| 74 | 2% | 58% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 76 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 77 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 79 | 10% | 47% | |
| 80 | 14% | 37% | |
| 81 | 7% | 23% | |
| 82 | 8% | 16% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 90 | 2% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CIS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–11 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2972
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 0.75%