Opinion Poll by CIS, 1–9 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 31.6% | 30.5–32.7% | 30.2–33.0% | 29.9–33.3% | 29.4–33.8% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 21.0% | 20.0–22.0% | 19.8–22.3% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.1–23.0% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 18.2% | 17.3–19.1% | 17.1–19.4% | 16.8–19.6% | 16.4–20.1% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 17.3% | 16.4–18.2% | 16.2–18.5% | 16.0–18.7% | 15.6–19.1% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9–4.8% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.4–5.4% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.3% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2–1.7% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.6% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.2% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 136 | 132–136 | 131–136 | 129–136 | 126–138 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 68 | 67–73 | 67–73 | 67–76 | 65–76 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 67 | 63–70 | 63–71 | 63–72 | 62–76 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 50 | 50–55 | 44–55 | 42–55 | 38–57 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| Vox | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 131 | 4% | 96% | |
| 132 | 5% | 92% | |
| 133 | 31% | 87% | |
| 134 | 2% | 56% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 136 | 53% | 54% | Median |
| 137 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 67 | 8% | 98% | |
| 68 | 61% | 89% | Median |
| 69 | 1.0% | 29% | |
| 70 | 4% | 28% | |
| 71 | 3% | 24% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 73 | 15% | 20% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 76 | 4% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 15% | 98% | |
| 64 | 7% | 83% | |
| 65 | 0% | 76% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 67 | 53% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 69 | 9% | 22% | |
| 70 | 7% | 13% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 50 | 55% | 92% | Median |
| 51 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 52 | 2% | 37% | |
| 53 | 5% | 35% | |
| 54 | 2% | 30% | |
| 55 | 27% | 28% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 26% | 98% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 72% | |
| 17 | 62% | 72% | Median |
| 18 | 9% | 9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 3 | 14% | 85% | |
| 4 | 66% | 71% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 5% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 43% | 43% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 7% | 94% | |
| 5 | 15% | 86% | Last Result |
| 6 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 99.5% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 2% | 23% | |
| 4 | 15% | 21% | |
| 5 | 4% | 5% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 254 | 271 | 100% | 266–271 | 265–277 | 265–278 | 264–281 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 254 | 100% | 251–261 | 250–261 | 248–261 | 244–261 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 215 | 100% | 208–215 | 205–217 | 204–217 | 202–218 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 204 | 100% | 200–206 | 199–207 | 198–209 | 192–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 207 | 100% | 202–207 | 196–209 | 196–209 | 194–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 205 | 100% | 201–207 | 196–207 | 195–207 | 194–211 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 203 | 100% | 196–203 | 196–203 | 196–204 | 194–209 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 194 | 100% | 189–197 | 185–197 | 183–197 | 181–197 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 192 | 100% | 185–193 | 181–194 | 181–194 | 177–195 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 186 | 95% | 181–188 | 175–188 | 175–188 | 173–190 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 141 | 0% | 139–145 | 138–149 | 138–151 | 136–153 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox | 169 | 135 | 0% | 135–141 | 133–145 | 133–146 | 132–148 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 135 | 0% | 135–141 | 132–144 | 132–145 | 131–147 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 169 | 135 | 0% | 135–140 | 132–144 | 132–145 | 131–147 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 136 | 0% | 132–136 | 131–136 | 129–136 | 126–138 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 67 | 0% | 64–71 | 64–72 | 64–73 | 63–77 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 67 | 0% | 63–70 | 63–71 | 63–72 | 62–76 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 263 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 264 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 265 | 7% | 98% | |
| 266 | 2% | 91% | |
| 267 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 268 | 3% | 89% | |
| 269 | 16% | 86% | |
| 270 | 5% | 69% | |
| 271 | 54% | 64% | Median |
| 272 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 273 | 3% | 9% | |
| 274 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 275 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 277 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 278 | 4% | 5% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 280 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 281 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 242 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 243 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 244 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 245 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 247 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 248 | 2% | 98% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 250 | 2% | 97% | |
| 251 | 7% | 95% | |
| 252 | 5% | 88% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 254 | 54% | 83% | Median |
| 255 | 5% | 29% | |
| 256 | 9% | 24% | |
| 257 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 259 | 0% | 15% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 261 | 15% | 15% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 263 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 204 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 206 | 2% | 95% | |
| 207 | 2% | 93% | |
| 208 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 210 | 2% | 90% | |
| 211 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 212 | 9% | 88% | |
| 213 | 15% | 79% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 64% | |
| 215 | 54% | 63% | Median |
| 216 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 217 | 7% | 8% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 199 | 4% | 97% | |
| 200 | 5% | 93% | |
| 201 | 10% | 88% | |
| 202 | 3% | 78% | |
| 203 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 204 | 53% | 74% | Median |
| 205 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 206 | 15% | 20% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 209 | 4% | 5% | |
| 210 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 196 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 198 | 2% | 94% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 202 | 2% | 91% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 204 | 19% | 89% | |
| 205 | 3% | 70% | |
| 206 | 5% | 67% | |
| 207 | 53% | 62% | Median |
| 208 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 209 | 7% | 8% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 195 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 197 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 199 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 200 | 0% | 92% | |
| 201 | 4% | 92% | |
| 202 | 3% | 88% | |
| 203 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 205 | 58% | 84% | Median |
| 206 | 0.1% | 25% | |
| 207 | 25% | 25% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 194 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 196 | 15% | 98% | |
| 197 | 7% | 83% | |
| 198 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 199 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 200 | 2% | 73% | |
| 201 | 3% | 71% | |
| 202 | 4% | 68% | |
| 203 | 60% | 64% | Median |
| 204 | 3% | 4% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 208 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 183 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 185 | 2% | 95% | |
| 186 | 2% | 93% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 190 | 2% | 90% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 193 | 3% | 86% | |
| 194 | 59% | 83% | Median |
| 195 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 196 | 7% | 23% | |
| 197 | 15% | 15% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0.4% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 181 | 4% | 98% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 184 | 2% | 93% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 187 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 188 | 2% | 87% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 190 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 191 | 4% | 84% | |
| 192 | 58% | 80% | Median |
| 193 | 15% | 23% | |
| 194 | 7% | 8% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 175 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 95% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 181 | 3% | 92% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 185 | 4% | 86% | |
| 186 | 53% | 82% | Median |
| 187 | 1.4% | 29% | |
| 188 | 27% | 27% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 2% | 91% | |
| 140 | 2% | 89% | |
| 141 | 72% | 88% | Median |
| 142 | 3% | 15% | |
| 143 | 1.5% | 12% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 145 | 2% | 10% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 151 | 4% | 5% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 133 | 9% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 135 | 54% | 91% | Median |
| 136 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 137 | 18% | 36% | |
| 138 | 6% | 18% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 140 | 2% | 12% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 143 | 2% | 9% | |
| 144 | 2% | 7% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 146 | 4% | 5% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 135 | 54% | 91% | Median |
| 136 | 15% | 37% | |
| 137 | 9% | 22% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 140 | 2% | 12% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 142 | 2% | 9% | |
| 143 | 2% | 7% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 145 | 4% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 135 | 54% | 91% | Median |
| 136 | 18% | 36% | |
| 137 | 6% | 19% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 139 | 0% | 12% | |
| 140 | 2% | 12% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 142 | 2% | 9% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 145 | 4% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 131 | 4% | 96% | |
| 132 | 5% | 92% | |
| 133 | 31% | 87% | |
| 134 | 2% | 56% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 136 | 53% | 54% | Median |
| 137 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 15% | 98% | |
| 65 | 7% | 83% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 67 | 53% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 69 | 2% | 22% | |
| 70 | 8% | 20% | |
| 71 | 6% | 12% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 15% | 98% | |
| 64 | 7% | 83% | |
| 65 | 0% | 76% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 67 | 53% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 69 | 9% | 22% | |
| 70 | 7% | 13% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CIS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–9 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2973
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.25%