Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 1–11 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 26.8% 25.1–28.7% 24.6–29.2% 24.1–29.6% 23.3–30.5%
Partido Popular 33.0% 26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 13.9–20.0%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Vox 0.2% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 101 93–105 93–106 93–112 89–120
Partido Popular 137 115 101–116 101–117 101–120 94–126
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 61 57–67 57–67 56–69 53–73
Unidos Podemos 71 48 47–58 42–58 39–58 36–62
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 9 9–15 9–15 9–15 8–17
Vox 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–3
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 6 3–8 3–8 3–8 1–8
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 3 3–6 3–8 3–8 2–8
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 3 2–3 0–4 0–6 0–7
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–4

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.9%  
89 0.7% 99.6%  
90 0.3% 98.8%  
91 0.2% 98.6%  
92 0.3% 98%  
93 19% 98%  
94 2% 79%  
95 1.4% 76%  
96 0.3% 75%  
97 3% 75%  
98 0.3% 72%  
99 0.3% 72%  
100 0.7% 71%  
101 42% 71% Median
102 14% 29%  
103 0.2% 15%  
104 2% 14%  
105 7% 13%  
106 0.2% 5%  
107 0.9% 5%  
108 0.3% 4%  
109 0.1% 4%  
110 0.2% 4%  
111 0.1% 3%  
112 2% 3%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0.1% 2%  
115 0.2% 2%  
116 0% 1.4%  
117 0.5% 1.4%  
118 0% 0.8%  
119 0.1% 0.8%  
120 0.5% 0.8%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.1% 99.6%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0.2% 99.5%  
95 0.2% 99.4%  
96 0.1% 99.1%  
97 0.3% 99.0%  
98 0.1% 98.8%  
99 0.1% 98.7%  
100 0.5% 98.6%  
101 14% 98%  
102 1.3% 84%  
103 0.6% 83%  
104 0.6% 82%  
105 0.7% 82%  
106 0.2% 81%  
107 0.5% 81%  
108 1.4% 80%  
109 1.0% 79%  
110 0.7% 78%  
111 1.0% 77%  
112 0.1% 76%  
113 9% 76%  
114 2% 67%  
115 42% 65% Median
116 14% 23%  
117 5% 9%  
118 0.3% 3%  
119 0.4% 3%  
120 0.2% 3%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0.3% 2%  
123 0.6% 2%  
124 0.1% 1.5%  
125 0.3% 1.3%  
126 1.0% 1.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.5%  
54 0.6% 99.4%  
55 0.7% 98.8%  
56 0.9% 98%  
57 9% 97%  
58 0.6% 88%  
59 1.3% 88%  
60 8% 86%  
61 43% 79% Median
62 15% 35%  
63 0.2% 21%  
64 0.9% 20%  
65 1.2% 19%  
66 0.7% 18%  
67 14% 18%  
68 0.4% 4%  
69 0.6% 3%  
70 0.2% 2%  
71 0.6% 2%  
72 0.5% 2%  
73 0.7% 1.2%  
74 0% 0.4%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0.4% 99.8%  
37 0.2% 99.4%  
38 0.3% 99.2%  
39 2% 98.9%  
40 0.6% 97%  
41 0.4% 96%  
42 1.0% 96%  
43 1.0% 95%  
44 0.4% 94%  
45 0.6% 93%  
46 0.6% 93%  
47 21% 92%  
48 42% 71% Median
49 0.8% 29%  
50 0.1% 28%  
51 0.6% 28%  
52 2% 27%  
53 5% 26%  
54 0.7% 20%  
55 0.7% 20%  
56 2% 19%  
57 0.3% 17%  
58 14% 16%  
59 1.3% 2%  
60 0% 1.2%  
61 0.6% 1.2%  
62 0.5% 0.6%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0.3% 99.8%  
9 57% 99.5% Last Result, Median
10 2% 43%  
11 7% 41%  
12 6% 35%  
13 2% 28%  
14 2% 26%  
15 22% 24%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.6%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 72% 97% Median
2 25% 26%  
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 2% 99.2%  
3 17% 98%  
4 12% 80%  
5 2% 68%  
6 21% 66% Median
7 0.6% 45%  
8 44% 44% Last Result
9 0.2% 0.4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 1.5% 99.8%  
3 52% 98% Median
4 1.3% 47%  
5 2% 45% Last Result
6 34% 43%  
7 3% 9%  
8 6% 7%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 4% 94%  
2 31% 90% Last Result
3 52% 60% Median
4 5% 7%  
5 0.1% 3%  
6 1.0% 3%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 89% 95% Last Result, Median
2 4% 5%  
3 1.0% 2%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 277 100% 261–280 261–280 261–282 261–286
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 210 100% 206–218 206–219 202–222 195–230
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 216 100% 194–218 194–219 194–222 189–224
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 177 67% 169–179 169–179 166–183 158–188
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 172 29% 169–180 169–180 166–183 161–190
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 177 68% 169–180 169–180 165–183 159–188
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 176 67% 168–178 168–178 164–182 157–187
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 166 2% 161–172 161–172 157–175 151–181
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 161 2% 160–170 157–170 156–173 148–179
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 162 2% 154–164 153–172 153–173 151–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 155 0.3% 154–159 153–162 149–167 144–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 149 0.1% 146–152 145–154 140–158 134–166
Partido Popular – Vox 137 116 0% 102–118 102–118 102–121 95–127
Partido Popular 137 115 0% 101–116 101–117 101–120 94–126
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 101 0% 93–105 93–106 93–112 89–120

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 14% 99.8%  
262 1.1% 86%  
263 0.1% 85%  
264 0.3% 85%  
265 0.5% 85%  
266 0.7% 84%  
267 2% 83%  
268 3% 82%  
269 0.2% 79%  
270 5% 79%  
271 1.5% 74%  
272 0.3% 72%  
273 0.5% 72%  
274 0.6% 71%  
275 8% 71%  
276 0.2% 63%  
277 42% 62% Median
278 0.6% 21%  
279 1.1% 20%  
280 14% 19%  
281 2% 5%  
282 0.6% 3%  
283 0.6% 2%  
284 0.9% 2%  
285 0.4% 1.0%  
286 0.2% 0.6%  
287 0.3% 0.4%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0.1% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0.1% 100%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 1.1% 99.9%  
196 0.3% 98.8%  
197 0.1% 98%  
198 0% 98%  
199 0.1% 98%  
200 0.2% 98%  
201 0.1% 98%  
202 0.8% 98%  
203 0.3% 97%  
204 0.4% 97%  
205 0.7% 96%  
206 7% 96%  
207 0.3% 89%  
208 0.2% 89%  
209 7% 89%  
210 45% 81% Median
211 14% 37%  
212 2% 23%  
213 0.1% 21%  
214 0.9% 21%  
215 0.2% 20%  
216 0.1% 20%  
217 0.2% 20%  
218 15% 20%  
219 2% 5%  
220 0.1% 3%  
221 0.8% 3%  
222 0.1% 3%  
223 0.4% 2%  
224 0.5% 2%  
225 0.1% 2%  
226 0.1% 1.4%  
227 0.2% 1.3%  
228 0.6% 1.2%  
229 0% 0.6%  
230 0.1% 0.6%  
231 0.1% 0.5%  
232 0% 0.3%  
233 0.1% 0.3%  
234 0.1% 0.3%  
235 0.1% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100%  
189 0.5% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.5%  
191 0% 99.4%  
192 0.1% 99.4%  
193 0.3% 99.2%  
194 14% 99.0%  
195 0.1% 85%  
196 0.1% 85%  
197 0.2% 85%  
198 0.6% 85%  
199 0.2% 84%  
200 0% 84%  
201 0.2% 84%  
202 0.1% 84%  
203 0.3% 84%  
204 0.3% 83%  
205 0.3% 83%  
206 1.1% 83%  
207 0.7% 82%  
208 2% 81%  
209 0.3% 79%  
210 6% 79%  
211 0.6% 72%  
212 0.1% 72%  
213 1.4% 71%  
214 0.3% 70%  
215 0.3% 70%  
216 42% 69% Median
217 0.5% 27%  
218 21% 27%  
219 0.9% 5%  
220 1.4% 5%  
221 0.2% 3%  
222 0.7% 3% Last Result
223 1.4% 2%  
224 0.3% 0.8%  
225 0.1% 0.5%  
226 0.1% 0.3%  
227 0.2% 0.3%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.7%  
157 0% 99.6%  
158 0.4% 99.6%  
159 0% 99.2%  
160 0.1% 99.1%  
161 0% 99.1%  
162 0.4% 99.0%  
163 0.6% 98.6%  
164 0.2% 98%  
165 0.2% 98%  
166 0.9% 98%  
167 0.2% 97%  
168 0.2% 97%  
169 14% 96%  
170 2% 83% Last Result
171 8% 81%  
172 2% 73%  
173 0.2% 71%  
174 3% 71%  
175 1.1% 68%  
176 0.7% 67% Majority
177 43% 66% Median
178 5% 24%  
179 15% 18%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.5% 3%  
182 0.5% 3%  
183 1.2% 3%  
184 0.2% 1.3%  
185 0.2% 1.2%  
186 0% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.9%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0% 0.5%  
190 0.2% 0.5%  
191 0.3% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.4% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.6%  
160 0.1% 99.6%  
161 0.2% 99.5%  
162 0.1% 99.3%  
163 0.3% 99.2%  
164 0.1% 99.0%  
165 0.5% 98.8%  
166 0.9% 98%  
167 0.5% 97%  
168 0.4% 97%  
169 15% 97%  
170 0.6% 82% Median
171 5% 81%  
172 42% 76%  
173 1.2% 34%  
174 1.5% 33%  
175 3% 32%  
176 0.3% 29% Majority
177 10% 29%  
178 0% 19%  
179 1.3% 19%  
180 14% 18% Last Result
181 0.2% 3%  
182 0.2% 3%  
183 0.9% 3%  
184 0.3% 2%  
185 0% 2%  
186 0.9% 2%  
187 0.1% 1.0%  
188 0% 1.0%  
189 0.1% 0.9%  
190 0.4% 0.9%  
191 0% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.7%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0% 99.6%  
159 0.4% 99.6%  
160 0.1% 99.1%  
161 0% 99.1%  
162 0.1% 99.0%  
163 0.8% 98.9%  
164 0.1% 98%  
165 0.9% 98%  
166 0.4% 97%  
167 0.2% 97%  
168 0.1% 97%  
169 14% 97% Last Result
170 1.3% 82%  
171 2% 81%  
172 8% 79%  
173 0.8% 72%  
174 0.7% 71%  
175 2% 70%  
176 2% 68% Majority
177 42% 66% Median
178 6% 23%  
179 0.3% 18%  
180 14% 17%  
181 0.4% 3%  
182 0.1% 3%  
183 2% 3%  
184 0.1% 1.4%  
185 0.3% 1.2%  
186 0.3% 1.0%  
187 0.1% 0.7%  
188 0.3% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.8%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.6%  
157 0.4% 99.6%  
158 0.1% 99.2%  
159 0.1% 99.1%  
160 0% 99.0%  
161 0.4% 99.0%  
162 0.6% 98.7%  
163 0.2% 98%  
164 0.7% 98%  
165 0.5% 97%  
166 0.1% 97%  
167 0.2% 97%  
168 14% 96%  
169 2% 83% Last Result
170 9% 81%  
171 0.8% 72%  
172 0.2% 71%  
173 0.9% 71%  
174 2% 70%  
175 0.6% 67%  
176 44% 67% Median, Majority
177 5% 23%  
178 14% 18%  
179 0.5% 4%  
180 0.3% 3%  
181 0.2% 3%  
182 1.4% 3%  
183 0% 1.3%  
184 0.4% 1.2%  
185 0.1% 0.9%  
186 0.2% 0.8%  
187 0.3% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.5%  
152 0.1% 99.5%  
153 0.2% 99.4%  
154 0.2% 99.2%  
155 0.5% 99.1%  
156 0.9% 98.6%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.1% 97%  
159 0% 97%  
160 0.5% 97%  
161 14% 97%  
162 0.9% 82%  
163 5% 82%  
164 0.5% 76% Median
165 3% 76%  
166 43% 73%  
167 1.5% 30%  
168 0.1% 28%  
169 2% 28%  
170 0.2% 27%  
171 9% 27%  
172 15% 18%  
173 0.2% 3% Last Result
174 0% 3%  
175 0.6% 3%  
176 0.1% 2% Majority
177 0.1% 2%  
178 0.1% 2%  
179 0.9% 2%  
180 0.2% 1.1%  
181 0.4% 0.9%  
182 0.1% 0.5%  
183 0% 0.4%  
184 0% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.1% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.6%  
149 0.1% 99.4%  
150 0.1% 99.3%  
151 0.2% 99.2%  
152 0.1% 99.0%  
153 0.1% 98.9%  
154 0% 98.8%  
155 0.4% 98.8%  
156 1.1% 98%  
157 5% 97%  
158 0.8% 92%  
159 0.8% 91%  
160 14% 91%  
161 42% 77% Median
162 0.8% 35%  
163 0.1% 34%  
164 2% 34%  
165 0.2% 32%  
166 3% 32%  
167 2% 29% Last Result
168 16% 27%  
169 0.3% 12%  
170 8% 11%  
171 0.3% 4%  
172 0.1% 3%  
173 0.8% 3%  
174 0.5% 2%  
175 0.3% 2%  
176 0.1% 2% Majority
177 0.1% 1.5%  
178 0% 1.4%  
179 0.9% 1.4%  
180 0% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.9%  
151 0.6% 99.7%  
152 0% 99.0%  
153 6% 99.0%  
154 4% 93%  
155 0% 89%  
156 0.6% 89%  
157 0.8% 89%  
158 0.4% 88%  
159 0.5% 87%  
160 15% 87%  
161 0.2% 72%  
162 50% 71% Median
163 0.6% 22%  
164 14% 21%  
165 0.3% 7%  
166 0.9% 7%  
167 0.2% 6%  
168 0.4% 6%  
169 0.1% 5%  
170 0.2% 5%  
171 0.1% 5%  
172 0.7% 5%  
173 2% 4%  
174 0.2% 2%  
175 0.3% 2%  
176 0.1% 2% Majority
177 0% 2%  
178 0% 2%  
179 0.1% 2%  
180 0% 2%  
181 0.2% 2%  
182 0.7% 1.3%  
183 0.3% 0.6%  
184 0% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0.3% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.2% 99.4%  
146 0.2% 99.2%  
147 0.3% 99.1%  
148 0.5% 98.7%  
149 1.1% 98%  
150 0.6% 97%  
151 0.7% 97%  
152 0.2% 96%  
153 0.6% 96%  
154 5% 95%  
155 43% 90% Median
156 0.4% 47%  
157 15% 47%  
158 8% 32%  
159 15% 24%  
160 2% 8%  
161 1.1% 6%  
162 1.5% 5%  
163 0.1% 4% Last Result
164 0.1% 3%  
165 0.7% 3%  
166 0.2% 3%  
167 0.4% 3%  
168 0.1% 2%  
169 0% 2%  
170 1.0% 2%  
171 0% 0.9%  
172 0% 0.9%  
173 0% 0.9%  
174 0% 0.8%  
175 0.5% 0.8%  
176 0% 0.3% Majority
177 0% 0.3%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0.1% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.3% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.4%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0.1% 99.2%  
138 0.2% 99.1%  
139 1.2% 99.0%  
140 0.3% 98%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.5% 97%  
143 0.9% 97%  
144 0.2% 96%  
145 0.8% 96%  
146 6% 95%  
147 0.1% 89%  
148 0.5% 89%  
149 57% 88% Median
150 3% 32%  
151 15% 29%  
152 8% 14%  
153 0% 5%  
154 2% 5%  
155 0.2% 4%  
156 0.2% 3% Last Result
157 0.3% 3%  
158 0.5% 3%  
159 0.7% 2%  
160 0% 2%  
161 0.2% 2%  
162 0.1% 2%  
163 0.1% 1.4%  
164 0.1% 1.4%  
165 0.1% 1.2%  
166 0.9% 1.2%  
167 0% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.5%  
96 0.2% 99.5%  
97 0.2% 99.2%  
98 0.1% 99.1%  
99 0.1% 99.0%  
100 0.2% 98.9%  
101 0.6% 98.7%  
102 14% 98%  
103 0.6% 84%  
104 1.3% 84%  
105 1.2% 82%  
106 0.1% 81%  
107 0.3% 81%  
108 0.1% 81%  
109 1.5% 81%  
110 0.8% 79%  
111 2% 79%  
112 0.2% 77%  
113 0.1% 76%  
114 2% 76%  
115 10% 75%  
116 42% 65% Median
117 0.6% 23%  
118 19% 22%  
119 0.6% 3%  
120 0.2% 3%  
121 0.2% 3%  
122 0.1% 2%  
123 0.1% 2%  
124 0.8% 2%  
125 0.1% 1.5%  
126 0.1% 1.4%  
127 1.1% 1.3%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.1% 99.6%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0.2% 99.5%  
95 0.2% 99.4%  
96 0.1% 99.1%  
97 0.3% 99.0%  
98 0.1% 98.8%  
99 0.1% 98.7%  
100 0.5% 98.6%  
101 14% 98%  
102 1.3% 84%  
103 0.6% 83%  
104 0.6% 82%  
105 0.7% 82%  
106 0.2% 81%  
107 0.5% 81%  
108 1.4% 80%  
109 1.0% 79%  
110 0.7% 78%  
111 1.0% 77%  
112 0.1% 76%  
113 9% 76%  
114 2% 67%  
115 42% 65% Median
116 14% 23%  
117 5% 9%  
118 0.3% 3%  
119 0.4% 3%  
120 0.2% 3%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0.3% 2%  
123 0.6% 2%  
124 0.1% 1.5%  
125 0.3% 1.3%  
126 1.0% 1.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.9%  
89 0.7% 99.6%  
90 0.3% 98.8%  
91 0.2% 98.6%  
92 0.3% 98%  
93 19% 98%  
94 2% 79%  
95 1.4% 76%  
96 0.3% 75%  
97 3% 75%  
98 0.3% 72%  
99 0.3% 72%  
100 0.7% 71%  
101 42% 71% Median
102 14% 29%  
103 0.2% 15%  
104 2% 14%  
105 7% 13%  
106 0.2% 5%  
107 0.9% 5%  
108 0.3% 4%  
109 0.1% 4%  
110 0.2% 4%  
111 0.1% 3%  
112 2% 3%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0.1% 2%  
115 0.2% 2%  
116 0% 1.4%  
117 0.5% 1.4%  
118 0% 0.8%  
119 0.1% 0.8%  
120 0.5% 0.8%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations