Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 20–26 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular 33.0% 23.1% 21.5–24.9% 21.1–25.4% 20.7–25.8% 19.9–26.7%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.8–25.5%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 21.9% 20.3–23.6% 19.9–24.1% 19.5–24.5% 18.7–25.4%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.3–21.0% 15.6–21.8%
Vox 0.2% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.8%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega 0.2% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular 137 101 92–101 92–101 92–103 78–109
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 87 83–87 83–87 79–87 77–94
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 73 71–88 71–88 71–88 66–94
Unidos Podemos 71 59 51–62 51–62 51–66 45–67
Vox 0 3 2–6 2–6 2–6 2–6
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 11 11–13 11–13 11–15 11–15
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 7 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–7 6–7 4–7 2–7
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0 0 0 0
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 1 1–6 1–6 1–6 1–6
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.5% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.5%  
80 0% 99.5%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0% 99.4%  
83 0% 99.4%  
84 0% 99.3%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0% 99.2%  
89 0% 99.2%  
90 0.1% 99.2%  
91 0% 99.1%  
92 10% 99.1%  
93 0% 89%  
94 0% 89%  
95 0.1% 89%  
96 0% 89%  
97 0.3% 89%  
98 17% 88%  
99 0% 72%  
100 3% 72%  
101 65% 68% Median
102 0% 4%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.3% 2%  
105 0.2% 1.3%  
106 0% 1.0%  
107 0% 1.0%  
108 0% 1.0%  
109 0.9% 1.0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.6%  
78 0% 99.1%  
79 3% 99.1%  
80 0.1% 96%  
81 0.1% 96%  
82 0% 96%  
83 17% 96%  
84 0% 79%  
85 0.2% 79% Last Result
86 2% 79%  
87 75% 77% Median
88 0.2% 2%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.5%  
96 0% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.4%  
98 0.4% 0.4%  
99 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.7% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.3%  
68 0% 99.2%  
69 0% 99.2%  
70 0% 99.2%  
71 17% 99.2%  
72 0.1% 82%  
73 68% 82% Median
74 0.1% 15%  
75 2% 15%  
76 0.3% 13%  
77 0% 12%  
78 1.0% 12%  
79 0.1% 11%  
80 0% 11%  
81 0% 11%  
82 0% 11%  
83 0% 11%  
84 0.1% 11%  
85 0.2% 11%  
86 0% 11%  
87 0.1% 11%  
88 10% 11%  
89 0% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.6%  
91 0% 0.6%  
92 0% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.6%  
94 0.5% 0.6%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 1.0% 100%  
46 0% 99.0%  
47 0% 99.0%  
48 0% 99.0%  
49 0% 99.0%  
50 0% 99.0%  
51 10% 99.0%  
52 2% 89%  
53 0% 87%  
54 0.1% 87%  
55 0.7% 87%  
56 0.2% 86%  
57 0.1% 86%  
58 0% 86%  
59 65% 86% Median
60 0.3% 21%  
61 0% 20%  
62 17% 20%  
63 0% 4%  
64 0.2% 4%  
65 0.1% 3%  
66 3% 3%  
67 0.5% 0.7%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 13% 100%  
3 67% 87% Median
4 0.7% 19%  
5 2% 19%  
6 17% 17%  
7 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100% Last Result
10 0% 99.8%  
11 82% 99.8% Median
12 0.7% 18%  
13 14% 17%  
14 0.3% 3%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0% 0.3%  
17 0% 0.3%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 13% 100%  
5 0.5% 87%  
6 19% 86%  
7 66% 67% Median
8 1.1% 1.4% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.4%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.0% 100%  
3 1.3% 99.0%  
4 2% 98%  
5 0% 96% Last Result
6 76% 96% Median
7 20% 20%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 65% 100% Median
2 4% 35% Last Result
3 17% 31%  
4 2% 14%  
5 0.6% 11%  
6 11% 11%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 30% 98% Last Result
2 68% 68% Median
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 19%  
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 261 100% 252–267 252–267 252–267 249–277
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 219 100% 216–226 216–226 213–226 213–238
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español 222 188 99.0% 179–188 179–188 179–189 161–199
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 180 98.6% 176–186 176–186 176–186 169–189
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 177 79% 175–182 175–182 175–183 169–190
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 176 79% 170–181 170–181 170–181 167–188
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 174 14% 169–180 169–180 169–180 166–187
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 160 0.2% 154–175 154–175 152–175 152–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 171 1.3% 167–172 167–172 165–173 159–180
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 164 0% 155–164 155–164 155–164 155–172
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 158 0% 157–159 157–159 155–162 150–169
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 153 0% 150–155 150–155 146–155 139–161
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 152 0% 144–152 144–152 142–152 137–156
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 146 0% 138–146 138–146 138–146 135–153
Partido Popular – Vox 137 104 0% 94–104 94–104 94–108 83–112
Partido Popular 137 101 0% 92–101 92–101 92–103 78–109
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 87 0% 83–87 83–87 79–87 77–94

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0.1% 100%  
245 0.1% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0.5% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.2%  
251 0% 99.2%  
252 19% 99.1%  
253 0.2% 80%  
254 0.1% 80% Last Result
255 0% 80%  
256 0.2% 80%  
257 0.2% 79%  
258 0% 79%  
259 0.1% 79%  
260 0% 79%  
261 65% 79% Median
262 0.1% 14%  
263 0% 14%  
264 3% 14%  
265 0% 11%  
266 0% 11%  
267 10% 11%  
268 0% 1.1%  
269 0.1% 1.1%  
270 0% 1.0%  
271 0% 1.0%  
272 0% 1.0%  
273 0% 1.0%  
274 0% 1.0%  
275 0% 1.0%  
276 0% 1.0%  
277 0.9% 1.0%  
278 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0.1% 100%  
213 3% 99.9%  
214 0.3% 97%  
215 0% 96%  
216 17% 96%  
217 0.2% 80%  
218 3% 80%  
219 65% 77% Median
220 0.1% 11%  
221 0% 11%  
222 0.1% 11%  
223 0.1% 11%  
224 0% 11%  
225 0.1% 11%  
226 10% 11%  
227 0% 0.8%  
228 0.1% 0.8%  
229 0% 0.7%  
230 0% 0.7%  
231 0% 0.7%  
232 0% 0.7%  
233 0.1% 0.7%  
234 0% 0.5%  
235 0% 0.5%  
236 0% 0.5%  
237 0% 0.5%  
238 0.5% 0.5%  
239 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.5% 100%  
156 0% 99.5%  
157 0% 99.5%  
158 0% 99.5%  
159 0% 99.5%  
160 0% 99.5%  
161 0% 99.5%  
162 0% 99.5%  
163 0% 99.5%  
164 0% 99.5%  
165 0% 99.5%  
166 0% 99.5%  
167 0% 99.4%  
168 0% 99.4%  
169 0% 99.4%  
170 0.1% 99.4%  
171 0% 99.3%  
172 0.1% 99.3%  
173 0% 99.1%  
174 0% 99.1%  
175 0.1% 99.1%  
176 0.2% 99.0% Majority
177 0% 98.8%  
178 0.1% 98.8%  
179 13% 98.7%  
180 0.1% 86%  
181 17% 86%  
182 0% 69%  
183 0% 69%  
184 0% 69%  
185 0.3% 69%  
186 0% 69%  
187 0% 69%  
188 65% 69% Median
189 2% 4%  
190 0.1% 2%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0% 1.4%  
193 0% 1.4%  
194 0% 1.4%  
195 0% 1.4%  
196 0% 1.4%  
197 0% 1.4%  
198 0.4% 1.4%  
199 0.9% 1.0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0.1% 100%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.8%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0.6% 99.7%  
170 0.1% 99.1%  
171 0.2% 99.0%  
172 0% 98.8%  
173 0% 98.7%  
174 0% 98.7% Last Result
175 0.1% 98.7%  
176 17% 98.6% Majority
177 0% 82%  
178 0.5% 82%  
179 0.1% 82%  
180 67% 81% Median
181 0.1% 14%  
182 2% 14%  
183 0.1% 12%  
184 0.2% 12%  
185 0% 12%  
186 10% 12%  
187 0% 1.4%  
188 0% 1.3%  
189 0.9% 1.3%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.3%  
193 0% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.2% 0.2%  
197 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0.1% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.8%  
166 0% 99.8%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0% 99.7%  
169 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
170 0% 99.0%  
171 0.2% 99.0%  
172 0.1% 98.7%  
173 0% 98.6%  
174 0% 98.6%  
175 19% 98.6%  
176 0.5% 79% Majority
177 65% 79% Median
178 0% 14%  
179 0% 14%  
180 0.2% 14%  
181 0% 14%  
182 10% 14%  
183 2% 4%  
184 0% 1.4%  
185 0% 1.4%  
186 0% 1.4%  
187 0% 1.3%  
188 0.1% 1.3%  
189 0% 1.2%  
190 1.1% 1.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.2% 0.2%  
193 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.8%  
164 0% 99.8%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0% 99.7%  
167 0.7% 99.7%  
168 0.1% 99.0%  
169 0.3% 98.9%  
170 17% 98.7% Last Result
171 0% 82%  
172 0% 82%  
173 0.5% 82%  
174 0% 82%  
175 3% 82%  
176 65% 79% Median, Majority
177 0% 14%  
178 2% 14%  
179 0% 12%  
180 0% 12%  
181 10% 12%  
182 0.2% 2%  
183 0% 1.4%  
184 0% 1.4%  
185 0.1% 1.3%  
186 0% 1.2%  
187 0% 1.2%  
188 0.9% 1.2%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.2% 0.2%  
191 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0% 99.7%  
163 0% 99.7%  
164 0% 99.7%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0.7% 99.7%  
167 0% 98.9%  
168 0.2% 98.9%  
169 17% 98.7% Last Result
170 0% 82%  
171 0% 82%  
172 0.5% 82%  
173 3% 82%  
174 65% 79% Median
175 0% 14%  
176 0.1% 14% Majority
177 0.1% 14%  
178 2% 14%  
179 0% 12%  
180 10% 12%  
181 0.2% 2%  
182 0% 1.4%  
183 0% 1.4%  
184 0.1% 1.4%  
185 0% 1.2%  
186 0% 1.2%  
187 0.9% 1.2%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.2% 0.2%  
190 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 3% 99.9%  
153 0% 97%  
154 17% 97%  
155 0% 80%  
156 0.1% 80%  
157 0.4% 80%  
158 0.1% 80%  
159 0.6% 80%  
160 65% 79% Median
161 2% 14%  
162 0% 12%  
163 0% 12%  
164 0.4% 12%  
165 0% 12%  
166 0% 12%  
167 0% 12%  
168 1.0% 12%  
169 0% 11%  
170 0% 11%  
171 0.5% 11%  
172 0.1% 10%  
173 0% 10%  
174 0% 10%  
175 10% 10%  
176 0% 0.2% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.2% 100%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 1.0% 99.8%  
160 0% 98.8%  
161 0.1% 98.8%  
162 0% 98.7%  
163 0.1% 98.7%  
164 0% 98.6%  
165 2% 98.6%  
166 0.2% 97%  
167 10% 96%  
168 0.1% 86%  
169 0.1% 86%  
170 0.1% 86%  
171 65% 86% Median
172 17% 21%  
173 3% 4%  
174 0% 1.4%  
175 0% 1.4%  
176 0.2% 1.3% Majority
177 0.1% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 1.0%  
179 0.1% 1.0%  
180 0.6% 0.9% Last Result
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.2% 100%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0% 99.7%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0% 99.6%  
155 11% 99.6%  
156 0.1% 88%  
157 2% 88%  
158 0% 86%  
159 0% 86%  
160 0.3% 86%  
161 0% 86%  
162 17% 86%  
163 0% 69%  
164 68% 69% Median
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.1% 1.3%  
167 0% 1.2%  
168 0% 1.2%  
169 0.2% 1.2%  
170 0% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.9%  
172 0.5% 0.7%  
173 0% 0.2% Last Result
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0% Majority

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0.2% 100%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 1.0% 99.7%  
151 0% 98.7%  
152 0% 98.7%  
153 0% 98.7%  
154 0% 98.7%  
155 2% 98.6%  
156 0% 97%  
157 10% 97%  
158 65% 86% Median
159 17% 21%  
160 0% 4%  
161 0% 4%  
162 3% 4%  
163 0.3% 1.3%  
164 0% 1.0%  
165 0% 1.0%  
166 0.1% 1.0%  
167 0% 0.9% Last Result
168 0% 0.9%  
169 0.4% 0.8%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0% 0.3%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0% Majority

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0.2% 100%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 1.0% 99.8%  
140 0% 98.8%  
141 0% 98.8%  
142 0% 98.8%  
143 0% 98.8%  
144 0.3% 98.8%  
145 0% 98%  
146 2% 98%  
147 0% 96%  
148 0% 96%  
149 0% 96%  
150 10% 96%  
151 0% 86%  
152 0.6% 86%  
153 65% 86% Median
154 3% 21%  
155 17% 18%  
156 0% 1.1%  
157 0.1% 1.1%  
158 0% 1.0%  
159 0% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.9%  
161 0.4% 0.7%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.2% Last Result
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.2% 100%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 1.0% 99.8%  
138 0% 98.8%  
139 0% 98.8%  
140 0% 98.8%  
141 0.3% 98.8%  
142 2% 98%  
143 0% 96%  
144 10% 96%  
145 0% 86%  
146 0.1% 86%  
147 0% 86%  
148 0% 86%  
149 0% 86%  
150 0.7% 86%  
151 0% 85%  
152 84% 85% Median
153 0.1% 1.1%  
154 0.2% 1.0%  
155 0% 0.8%  
156 0.5% 0.8%  
157 0% 0.3%  
158 0% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
162 0% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0.2% 100%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0.9% 99.7%  
136 0.1% 98.8%  
137 0% 98.7%  
138 12% 98.7%  
139 0% 86%  
140 0.1% 86%  
141 0.1% 86%  
142 0% 86%  
143 0% 86%  
144 0.5% 86%  
145 19% 85%  
146 65% 66% Median
147 0.3% 1.3%  
148 0% 1.0%  
149 0.1% 1.0%  
150 0% 0.9%  
151 0.2% 0.9%  
152 0% 0.7%  
153 0.4% 0.7%  
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.5% 100%  
83 0% 99.5%  
84 0.1% 99.5%  
85 0% 99.4%  
86 0% 99.4%  
87 0% 99.4%  
88 0% 99.4%  
89 0% 99.3%  
90 0% 99.3%  
91 0.1% 99.3%  
92 0% 99.2%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 10% 99.2%  
95 0.1% 89%  
96 0% 89%  
97 0% 89%  
98 0% 89%  
99 0.1% 89%  
100 0.3% 89%  
101 0.1% 88%  
102 3% 88%  
103 0.8% 86%  
104 82% 85% Median
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 3%  
107 0.5% 3%  
108 2% 3%  
109 0% 1.0%  
110 0% 1.0%  
111 0% 1.0%  
112 0.9% 1.0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.5% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.5%  
80 0% 99.5%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0% 99.4%  
83 0% 99.4%  
84 0% 99.3%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0% 99.2%  
89 0% 99.2%  
90 0.1% 99.2%  
91 0% 99.1%  
92 10% 99.1%  
93 0% 89%  
94 0% 89%  
95 0.1% 89%  
96 0% 89%  
97 0.3% 89%  
98 17% 88%  
99 0% 72%  
100 3% 72%  
101 65% 68% Median
102 0% 4%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.3% 2%  
105 0.2% 1.3%  
106 0% 1.0%  
107 0% 1.0%  
108 0% 1.0%  
109 0.9% 1.0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.6%  
78 0% 99.1%  
79 3% 99.1%  
80 0.1% 96%  
81 0.1% 96%  
82 0% 96%  
83 17% 96%  
84 0% 79%  
85 0.2% 79% Last Result
86 2% 79%  
87 75% 77% Median
88 0.2% 2%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.5%  
96 0% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.4%  
98 0.4% 0.4%  
99 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations