Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 20–26 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 23.1% | 21.5–24.9% | 21.1–25.4% | 20.7–25.8% | 19.9–26.7% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.8–25.5% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 21.9% | 20.3–23.6% | 19.9–24.1% | 19.5–24.5% | 18.7–25.4% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.3–21.0% | 15.6–21.8% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.3% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular | 137 | 101 | 92–101 | 92–101 | 92–103 | 78–109 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 87 | 83–87 | 83–87 | 79–87 | 77–94 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 73 | 71–88 | 71–88 | 71–88 | 66–94 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 59 | 51–62 | 51–62 | 51–66 | 45–67 |
| Vox | 0 | 3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 11 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 4–7 | 2–7 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 1 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 89% | |
| 94 | 0% | 89% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 96 | 0% | 89% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 98 | 17% | 88% | |
| 99 | 0% | 72% | |
| 100 | 3% | 72% | |
| 101 | 65% | 68% | Median |
| 102 | 0% | 4% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 82 | 0% | 96% | |
| 83 | 17% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0% | 79% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 79% | Last Result |
| 86 | 2% | 79% | |
| 87 | 75% | 77% | Median |
| 88 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 17% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 73 | 68% | 82% | Median |
| 74 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 75 | 2% | 15% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 77 | 0% | 12% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 80 | 0% | 11% | |
| 81 | 0% | 11% | |
| 82 | 0% | 11% | |
| 83 | 0% | 11% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 86 | 0% | 11% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 88 | 10% | 11% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 10% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 2% | 89% | |
| 53 | 0% | 87% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 58 | 0% | 86% | |
| 59 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 60 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 61 | 0% | 20% | |
| 62 | 17% | 20% | |
| 63 | 0% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 66 | 3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 67% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 5 | 2% | 19% | |
| 6 | 17% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 82% | 99.8% | Median |
| 12 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 13 | 14% | 17% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 6 | 19% | 86% | |
| 7 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 2% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | Last Result |
| 6 | 76% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 20% | 20% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 35% | Last Result |
| 3 | 17% | 31% | |
| 4 | 2% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 6 | 11% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 30% | 98% | Last Result |
| 2 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 19% | |
| 2 | 19% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 261 | 100% | 252–267 | 252–267 | 252–267 | 249–277 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 219 | 100% | 216–226 | 216–226 | 213–226 | 213–238 |
| Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 222 | 188 | 99.0% | 179–188 | 179–188 | 179–189 | 161–199 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 180 | 98.6% | 176–186 | 176–186 | 176–186 | 169–189 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 177 | 79% | 175–182 | 175–182 | 175–183 | 169–190 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 176 | 79% | 170–181 | 170–181 | 170–181 | 167–188 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 174 | 14% | 169–180 | 169–180 | 169–180 | 166–187 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 160 | 0.2% | 154–175 | 154–175 | 152–175 | 152–175 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 171 | 1.3% | 167–172 | 167–172 | 165–173 | 159–180 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 164 | 0% | 155–164 | 155–164 | 155–164 | 155–172 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 158 | 0% | 157–159 | 157–159 | 155–162 | 150–169 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 153 | 0% | 150–155 | 150–155 | 146–155 | 139–161 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 152 | 0% | 144–152 | 144–152 | 142–152 | 137–156 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 146 | 0% | 138–146 | 138–146 | 138–146 | 135–153 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 104 | 0% | 94–104 | 94–104 | 94–108 | 83–112 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 101 | 0% | 92–101 | 92–101 | 92–103 | 78–109 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 87 | 0% | 83–87 | 83–87 | 79–87 | 77–94 |
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 244 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 247 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 248 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 249 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 252 | 19% | 99.1% | |
| 253 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 80% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0% | 80% | |
| 256 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 257 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 258 | 0% | 79% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 260 | 0% | 79% | |
| 261 | 65% | 79% | Median |
| 262 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 263 | 0% | 14% | |
| 264 | 3% | 14% | |
| 265 | 0% | 11% | |
| 266 | 0% | 11% | |
| 267 | 10% | 11% | |
| 268 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 270 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 277 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 213 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 215 | 0% | 96% | |
| 216 | 17% | 96% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 218 | 3% | 80% | |
| 219 | 65% | 77% | Median |
| 220 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 221 | 0% | 11% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 224 | 0% | 11% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 226 | 10% | 11% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 238 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Partido Socialista Obrero Español

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 179 | 13% | 98.7% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 181 | 17% | 86% | |
| 182 | 0% | 69% | |
| 183 | 0% | 69% | |
| 184 | 0% | 69% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 186 | 0% | 69% | |
| 187 | 0% | 69% | |
| 188 | 65% | 69% | Median |
| 189 | 2% | 4% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 194 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 195 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 196 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 197 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 173 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 174 | 0% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 175 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 176 | 17% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 82% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 180 | 67% | 81% | Median |
| 181 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 182 | 2% | 14% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 185 | 0% | 12% | |
| 186 | 10% | 12% | |
| 187 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 188 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 173 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 174 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 175 | 19% | 98.6% | |
| 176 | 0.5% | 79% | Majority |
| 177 | 65% | 79% | Median |
| 178 | 0% | 14% | |
| 179 | 0% | 14% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 181 | 0% | 14% | |
| 182 | 10% | 14% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 186 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 187 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 189 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 190 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 170 | 17% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 82% | |
| 172 | 0% | 82% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 174 | 0% | 82% | |
| 175 | 3% | 82% | |
| 176 | 65% | 79% | Median, Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 14% | |
| 178 | 2% | 14% | |
| 179 | 0% | 12% | |
| 180 | 0% | 12% | |
| 181 | 10% | 12% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 184 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 186 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 188 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 169 | 17% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 82% | |
| 171 | 0% | 82% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 173 | 3% | 82% | |
| 174 | 65% | 79% | Median |
| 175 | 0% | 14% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 14% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 178 | 2% | 14% | |
| 179 | 0% | 12% | |
| 180 | 10% | 12% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 183 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 97% | |
| 154 | 17% | 97% | |
| 155 | 0% | 80% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 160 | 65% | 79% | Median |
| 161 | 2% | 14% | |
| 162 | 0% | 12% | |
| 163 | 0% | 12% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 165 | 0% | 12% | |
| 166 | 0% | 12% | |
| 167 | 0% | 12% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 169 | 0% | 11% | |
| 170 | 0% | 11% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 173 | 0% | 10% | |
| 174 | 0% | 10% | |
| 175 | 10% | 10% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 162 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 164 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 165 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 167 | 10% | 96% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 171 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 172 | 17% | 21% | |
| 173 | 3% | 4% | |
| 174 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 180 | 0.6% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 155 | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 157 | 2% | 88% | |
| 158 | 0% | 86% | |
| 159 | 0% | 86% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 161 | 0% | 86% | |
| 162 | 17% | 86% | |
| 163 | 0% | 69% | |
| 164 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 165 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 167 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 168 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 152 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 153 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 154 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 155 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 156 | 0% | 97% | |
| 157 | 10% | 97% | |
| 158 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 159 | 17% | 21% | |
| 160 | 0% | 4% | |
| 161 | 0% | 4% | |
| 162 | 3% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 164 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 145 | 0% | 98% | |
| 146 | 2% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0% | 96% | |
| 148 | 0% | 96% | |
| 149 | 0% | 96% | |
| 150 | 10% | 96% | |
| 151 | 0% | 86% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 153 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 154 | 3% | 21% | |
| 155 | 17% | 18% | |
| 156 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 139 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 140 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0% | 96% | |
| 144 | 10% | 96% | |
| 145 | 0% | 86% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 147 | 0% | 86% | |
| 148 | 0% | 86% | |
| 149 | 0% | 86% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 151 | 0% | 85% | |
| 152 | 84% | 85% | Median |
| 153 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 138 | 12% | 98.7% | |
| 139 | 0% | 86% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 142 | 0% | 86% | |
| 143 | 0% | 86% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 145 | 19% | 85% | |
| 146 | 65% | 66% | Median |
| 147 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 94 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 96 | 0% | 89% | |
| 97 | 0% | 89% | |
| 98 | 0% | 89% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 102 | 3% | 88% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 86% | |
| 104 | 82% | 85% | Median |
| 105 | 0% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 108 | 2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 89% | |
| 94 | 0% | 89% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 96 | 0% | 89% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 98 | 17% | 88% | |
| 99 | 0% | 72% | |
| 100 | 3% | 72% | |
| 101 | 65% | 68% | Median |
| 102 | 0% | 4% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 82 | 0% | 96% | |
| 83 | 17% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0% | 79% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 79% | Last Result |
| 86 | 2% | 79% | |
| 87 | 75% | 77% | Median |
| 88 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 20–26 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1037
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.33%