Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 5 December 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 25.0% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.7–27.5% | 22.3–27.9% | 21.4–28.9% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 20.3% | 18.7–22.1% | 18.2–22.6% | 17.8–23.1% | 17.1–24.0% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 18.8% | 17.2–20.5% | 16.7–21.0% | 16.4–21.5% | 15.6–22.3% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 16.0% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.1–18.1% | 13.7–18.5% | 13.1–19.4% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.5% | 9.4–12.9% | 9.1–13.2% | 8.6–13.9% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.5% | 1.9–4.9% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.4% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.8–3.0% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 109 | 93–109 | 93–110 | 91–114 | 86–116 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 78 | 73–89 | 72–90 | 71–98 | 67–98 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 67 | 61–69 | 59–69 | 53–72 | 49–72 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 46 | 43–47 | 39–59 | 35–63 | 35–63 |
| Vox | 0 | 26 | 24–27 | 22–30 | 20–34 | 18–43 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 12 | 12–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 3 | 3–7 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 1–11 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 7 | 6–8 | 4–8 | 3–8 | 3–10 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 1 | 1–5 | 1–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 93 | 6% | 95% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 96 | 3% | 87% | |
| 97 | 2% | 84% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 99 | 0% | 82% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 101 | 2% | 81% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 104 | 0% | 80% | |
| 105 | 2% | 79% | |
| 106 | 3% | 78% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 108 | 7% | 75% | |
| 109 | 62% | 67% | Median |
| 110 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 114 | 3% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 7% | 94% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 76 | 2% | 86% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 78 | 61% | 83% | Median |
| 79 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 82 | 2% | 20% | |
| 83 | 3% | 17% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 86 | 2% | 13% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 90 | 5% | 9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 60 | 3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 3% | 92% | |
| 62 | 4% | 89% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 65 | 9% | 84% | |
| 66 | 2% | 75% | |
| 67 | 63% | 73% | Median |
| 68 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 69 | 7% | 10% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 43 | 7% | 92% | |
| 44 | 5% | 84% | |
| 45 | 2% | 79% | |
| 46 | 63% | 77% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 14% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 22 | 5% | 96% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 24 | 2% | 90% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 26 | 63% | 87% | Median |
| 27 | 17% | 25% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 7% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 12 | 70% | 93% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 23% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 15 | 11% | 17% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 62% | 99.1% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 37% | |
| 5 | 3% | 31% | |
| 6 | 17% | 28% | |
| 7 | 2% | 11% | |
| 8 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 6% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 2% | 96% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 94% | Last Result |
| 6 | 7% | 93% | |
| 7 | 72% | 85% | Median |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 71% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 3 | 5% | 20% | |
| 4 | 5% | 15% | |
| 5 | 8% | 10% | |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 82% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 6% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 254 | 100% | 241–254 | 236–254 | 230–259 | 227–263 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 222 | 100% | 206–222 | 203–222 | 201–224 | 194–229 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 187 | 93% | 177–187 | 173–194 | 171–197 | 163–203 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 178 | 82% | 169–184 | 164–185 | 164–191 | 161–199 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 171 | 15% | 165–180 | 162–186 | 157–186 | 149–188 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 170 | 7% | 159–172 | 155–178 | 155–182 | 150–190 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 168 | 3% | 156–171 | 150–172 | 150–180 | 148–190 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 176 | 66% | 160–176 | 156–176 | 151–177 | 146–179 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 163 | 1.0% | 150–163 | 146–165 | 146–171 | 139–182 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 162 | 0.9% | 147–162 | 145–163 | 145–168 | 135–178 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 152 | 0% | 145–162 | 143–167 | 137–167 | 127–168 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 155 | 0.1% | 141–155 | 137–157 | 137–162 | 129–173 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 146 | 0% | 139–156 | 138–159 | 131–159 | 124–162 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 145 | 0% | 138–154 | 137–159 | 130–159 | 122–161 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 104 | 0% | 100–117 | 98–120 | 97–120 | 91–124 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 109 | 0% | 93–109 | 93–110 | 91–114 | 86–116 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 78 | 0% | 73–89 | 72–90 | 71–98 | 67–98 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 220 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 221 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 222 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 224 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 225 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 226 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 227 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 229 | 0% | 98% | |
| 230 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 231 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 232 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 236 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 237 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 238 | 2% | 94% | |
| 239 | 2% | 93% | |
| 240 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 241 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 242 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 243 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 244 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 246 | 9% | 88% | |
| 247 | 1.5% | 80% | |
| 248 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 249 | 2% | 78% | |
| 250 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 251 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 252 | 6% | 75% | |
| 253 | 2% | 69% | |
| 254 | 64% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 255 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 256 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 257 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 259 | 2% | 3% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 261 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 199 | 0% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 202 | 2% | 97% | |
| 203 | 2% | 96% | |
| 204 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 206 | 5% | 93% | |
| 207 | 3% | 88% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 209 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 210 | 2% | 84% | |
| 211 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 212 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 215 | 3% | 81% | |
| 216 | 9% | 77% | |
| 217 | 0.5% | 68% | |
| 218 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 219 | 0.3% | 67% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 221 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 222 | 62% | 66% | Median |
| 223 | 2% | 4% | |
| 224 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 226 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 228 | 0% | 2% | |
| 229 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 172 | 0% | 97% | |
| 173 | 3% | 97% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 93% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 93% | |
| 178 | 2% | 90% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 181 | 8% | 86% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 183 | 6% | 78% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 72% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 187 | 62% | 71% | Median |
| 188 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 192 | 2% | 8% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 194 | 2% | 6% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 197 | 2% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 164 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 167 | 3% | 93% | |
| 168 | 0% | 90% | |
| 169 | 2% | 90% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 172 | 2% | 87% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 174 | 2% | 85% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 176 | 2% | 82% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.7% | 81% | |
| 178 | 61% | 80% | Median |
| 179 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 18% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 182 | 3% | 18% | |
| 183 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 184 | 7% | 14% | |
| 185 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 187 | 0% | 5% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 193 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 158 | 0% | 97% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 165 | 7% | 93% | |
| 166 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 167 | 3% | 85% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 82% | Last Result |
| 170 | 2% | 81% | |
| 171 | 61% | 79% | Median |
| 172 | 2% | 18% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 15% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 15% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 180 | 2% | 12% | |
| 181 | 3% | 10% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 186 | 5% | 6% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 155 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 158 | 2% | 92% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 162 | 3% | 90% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 166 | 2% | 85% | |
| 167 | 2% | 83% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 80% | |
| 170 | 61% | 80% | Median |
| 171 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 172 | 8% | 17% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 10% | Last Result |
| 174 | 3% | 10% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 7% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 178 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0% | 2% | |
| 185 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 150 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 154 | 2% | 93% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 156 | 2% | 90% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 162 | 2% | 85% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 167 | 2% | 82% | Last Result |
| 168 | 62% | 79% | Median |
| 169 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 170 | 3% | 17% | |
| 171 | 8% | 14% | |
| 172 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 174 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 175 | 0% | 3% | |
| 176 | 0.4% | 3% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 181 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0% | 98% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 156 | 2% | 95% | |
| 157 | 2% | 93% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 161 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 162 | 7% | 88% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 167 | 2% | 79% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 77% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 173 | 7% | 75% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 67% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 67% | |
| 176 | 63% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 146 | 5% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 150 | 5% | 91% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 157 | 2% | 84% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 81% | |
| 161 | 4% | 80% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 163 | 70% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 164 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 166 | 0% | 5% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 169 | 2% | 5% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 145 | 5% | 98% | |
| 146 | 0% | 92% | |
| 147 | 3% | 92% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 149 | 3% | 88% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 153 | 2% | 84% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 158 | 7% | 80% | |
| 159 | 2% | 73% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 161 | 3% | 70% | Last Result |
| 162 | 61% | 67% | Median |
| 163 | 2% | 6% | |
| 164 | 0% | 4% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 166 | 0% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 143 | 2% | 96% | |
| 144 | 2% | 94% | |
| 145 | 7% | 92% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 151 | 2% | 81% | |
| 152 | 63% | 79% | Median |
| 153 | 3% | 16% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 155 | 2% | 13% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 161 | 0% | 10% | |
| 162 | 2% | 10% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 164 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 167 | 5% | 6% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 137 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 138 | 2% | 93% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 141 | 2% | 91% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 143 | 3% | 89% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 84% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 150 | 2% | 83% | |
| 151 | 9% | 80% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 153 | 3% | 71% | |
| 154 | 2% | 69% | |
| 155 | 61% | 67% | Median |
| 156 | 0.3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 157 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 2% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 173 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 97% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 137 | 0% | 96% | |
| 138 | 3% | 96% | |
| 139 | 8% | 93% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 146 | 63% | 82% | Median |
| 147 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 148 | 2% | 18% | |
| 149 | 2% | 16% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 152 | 2% | 13% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 155 | 0% | 11% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 159 | 7% | 8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 137 | 3% | 96% | |
| 138 | 8% | 93% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 144 | 2% | 82% | |
| 145 | 63% | 80% | Median |
| 146 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 147 | 2% | 16% | |
| 148 | 2% | 14% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 158 | 2% | 8% | |
| 159 | 5% | 6% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0% | 98% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 98 | 3% | 97% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 100 | 7% | 94% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 104 | 62% | 85% | Median |
| 105 | 3% | 23% | |
| 106 | 2% | 20% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 117 | 5% | 11% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 120 | 4% | 5% | |
| 121 | 0% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 93 | 6% | 95% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 96 | 3% | 87% | |
| 97 | 2% | 84% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 99 | 0% | 82% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 101 | 2% | 81% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 104 | 0% | 80% | |
| 105 | 2% | 79% | |
| 106 | 3% | 78% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 108 | 7% | 75% | |
| 109 | 62% | 67% | Median |
| 110 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 114 | 3% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 7% | 94% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 76 | 2% | 86% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 78 | 61% | 83% | Median |
| 79 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 82 | 2% | 20% | |
| 83 | 3% | 17% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 86 | 2% | 13% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 90 | 5% | 9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 5 December 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 900
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 2.55%