Opinion Poll by Sigma Dos for El Mundo, 21–27 December 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.5–24.9% 20.1–25.3% 19.3–26.2%
Partido Popular 33.0% 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 18.8% 17.3–20.5% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.4% 15.8–22.2%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
Vox 0.2% 12.9% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.9%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 91 84–102 82–105 80–109 77–113
Partido Popular 137 75 68–85 66–88 64–90 60–95
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 65 57–71 55–74 55–75 53–80
Unidos Podemos 71 49 41–59 39–61 37–64 35–67
Vox 0 38 28–46 27–49 27–50 25–52
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 15 13–19 12–20 12–20 10–22
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–8 3–9 3–9 2–10
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 3 1–6 1–6 1–7 0–8

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.4%  
79 0.7% 99.1%  
80 1.1% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 5% 92%  
85 3% 87% Last Result
86 4% 84%  
87 5% 81%  
88 3% 76%  
89 6% 73%  
90 10% 67%  
91 9% 57% Median
92 6% 48%  
93 3% 42%  
94 6% 39%  
95 4% 34%  
96 6% 30%  
97 4% 24%  
98 3% 20%  
99 1.2% 17%  
100 2% 15%  
101 3% 13%  
102 2% 10%  
103 1.4% 9%  
104 1.0% 7%  
105 2% 6%  
106 1.0% 5%  
107 0.5% 4%  
108 0.4% 3%  
109 1.0% 3%  
110 0.5% 2%  
111 0.4% 1.3%  
112 0.4% 0.9%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.6% 99.2%  
63 0.4% 98.6%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 0.7% 97%  
66 3% 96%  
67 2% 94%  
68 5% 91%  
69 4% 87%  
70 5% 83%  
71 4% 78%  
72 5% 74%  
73 6% 69%  
74 6% 63%  
75 8% 57% Median
76 4% 49%  
77 4% 45%  
78 7% 41%  
79 4% 34%  
80 4% 30%  
81 3% 26%  
82 4% 22%  
83 4% 18%  
84 2% 15%  
85 3% 13%  
86 2% 10%  
87 1.1% 8%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.0% 3%  
91 0.4% 2%  
92 0.6% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.1%  
94 0.2% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.5% 99.5%  
54 1.5% 99.0%  
55 3% 98%  
56 2% 95%  
57 3% 93%  
58 3% 90%  
59 2% 87%  
60 3% 85%  
61 5% 82%  
62 4% 77%  
63 7% 73%  
64 7% 65%  
65 12% 58% Median
66 4% 47%  
67 12% 43%  
68 9% 32%  
69 6% 23%  
70 3% 17%  
71 4% 13%  
72 2% 9%  
73 2% 7%  
74 2% 5%  
75 1.1% 4%  
76 0.6% 2%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.2%  
79 0.2% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.8%  
35 0.6% 99.7%  
36 0.7% 99.1%  
37 1.5% 98%  
38 2% 97%  
39 2% 95%  
40 3% 94%  
41 4% 91%  
42 3% 87%  
43 4% 84%  
44 4% 80%  
45 9% 76%  
46 4% 66%  
47 5% 62%  
48 6% 57%  
49 5% 51% Median
50 4% 47%  
51 4% 43%  
52 4% 39%  
53 7% 35%  
54 5% 28%  
55 5% 23%  
56 3% 19%  
57 3% 15%  
58 2% 13%  
59 3% 11%  
60 2% 8%  
61 1.4% 6%  
62 0.7% 5%  
63 1.2% 4%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 0.6% 2%  
66 0.7% 1.3%  
67 0.2% 0.6%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.2% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.6%  
26 1.1% 99.1%  
27 6% 98%  
28 4% 92%  
29 3% 88%  
30 2% 85%  
31 3% 82%  
32 4% 79%  
33 3% 76%  
34 4% 73%  
35 8% 69%  
36 4% 61%  
37 7% 57%  
38 6% 50% Median
39 5% 44%  
40 2% 39%  
41 4% 37%  
42 6% 33%  
43 3% 27%  
44 5% 24%  
45 3% 18%  
46 5% 15%  
47 2% 10%  
48 2% 8%  
49 2% 6%  
50 2% 4%  
51 1.0% 2%  
52 1.1% 1.4%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100% Last Result
10 0.2% 99.6%  
11 1.1% 99.4%  
12 5% 98%  
13 12% 94%  
14 14% 82%  
15 20% 68% Median
16 9% 48%  
17 8% 39%  
18 15% 30%  
19 9% 16%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.6% 100%  
3 11% 99.4%  
4 2% 88%  
5 5% 86% Last Result
6 34% 81% Median
7 28% 47%  
8 13% 19%  
9 5% 7%  
10 1.3% 1.4%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 22% 99.3%  
2 11% 77%  
3 17% 66% Median
4 26% 50%  
5 7% 24%  
6 14% 17%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.8% 1.0% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.3%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 234 100% 222–246 220–249 217–251 214–255
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 206 100% 197–218 194–220 192–223 187–228
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 179 68% 169–189 166–192 164–193 160–198
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 168 23% 157–181 155–184 153–187 149–191
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 160 3% 151–171 148–174 147–176 142–180
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 157 1.4% 147–168 144–172 142–174 140–179
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 148 0% 138–158 135–160 133–164 129–170
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 148 0% 137–159 135–162 133–164 129–167
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 142 0% 131–153 129–155 127–158 123–162
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 142 0% 131–151 129–154 127–157 123–163
Partido Popular – Vox 137 114 0% 104–124 102–127 100–129 94–133
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 91 0% 84–102 82–105 80–109 77–113
Partido Popular 137 75 0% 68–85 66–88 64–90 60–95

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0.1% 99.9%  
213 0.2% 99.8%  
214 0.5% 99.6%  
215 0.3% 99.1%  
216 0.5% 98.8%  
217 0.8% 98%  
218 1.2% 97%  
219 0.8% 96%  
220 1.3% 95%  
221 2% 94%  
222 3% 92%  
223 5% 89%  
224 2% 84%  
225 4% 82%  
226 4% 78%  
227 3% 74%  
228 2% 72%  
229 3% 69%  
230 5% 66%  
231 2% 61% Median
232 4% 59%  
233 3% 55%  
234 4% 52%  
235 4% 48%  
236 8% 44%  
237 5% 36%  
238 4% 31%  
239 3% 27%  
240 1.4% 23%  
241 2% 22%  
242 3% 20%  
243 1.3% 17%  
244 3% 16%  
245 2% 13%  
246 2% 11%  
247 2% 10%  
248 2% 8%  
249 2% 6%  
250 0.9% 4%  
251 0.8% 3%  
252 0.6% 2%  
253 0.3% 1.4%  
254 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
255 0.2% 0.7%  
256 0.2% 0.5%  
257 0.1% 0.3%  
258 0.1% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.8%  
186 0.1% 99.7%  
187 0.2% 99.6%  
188 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
189 0.4% 99.1%  
190 0.3% 98.7%  
191 0.8% 98%  
192 0.6% 98%  
193 1.3% 97%  
194 0.7% 96%  
195 2% 95%  
196 2% 93%  
197 1.2% 91%  
198 5% 90%  
199 4% 85%  
200 2% 81%  
201 2% 78%  
202 5% 76%  
203 8% 71%  
204 4% 62%  
205 6% 58% Median
206 3% 52%  
207 5% 49%  
208 3% 44%  
209 5% 41%  
210 4% 36%  
211 4% 32%  
212 3% 28%  
213 3% 25%  
214 2% 21%  
215 4% 19%  
216 2% 15%  
217 2% 13%  
218 3% 11%  
219 2% 8%  
220 1.3% 5%  
221 0.6% 4%  
222 0.8% 3%  
223 0.8% 3%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.2% 1.5%  
226 0.3% 1.3%  
227 0.4% 1.0%  
228 0.2% 0.6%  
229 0.1% 0.5%  
230 0.1% 0.3%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0.1% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.2% 99.8%  
160 0.2% 99.6%  
161 0.2% 99.4%  
162 0.8% 99.2%  
163 0.5% 98%  
164 0.9% 98%  
165 2% 97%  
166 2% 95%  
167 1.4% 94%  
168 1.5% 92%  
169 3% 91% Last Result
170 2% 87%  
171 1.5% 85%  
172 3% 84%  
173 3% 80%  
174 4% 77%  
175 4% 73%  
176 5% 68% Majority
177 4% 63%  
178 4% 59% Median
179 8% 55%  
180 5% 47%  
181 5% 42%  
182 5% 37%  
183 4% 32%  
184 3% 27%  
185 3% 25%  
186 4% 21%  
187 3% 17%  
188 3% 14%  
189 2% 11%  
190 2% 10%  
191 3% 8%  
192 2% 5%  
193 0.7% 3%  
194 0.9% 2%  
195 0.3% 1.3%  
196 0.1% 1.0%  
197 0.3% 0.9%  
198 0.1% 0.6%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.4% 99.1%  
152 0.6% 98.8%  
153 0.9% 98%  
154 0.9% 97%  
155 2% 96%  
156 3% 94%  
157 2% 91%  
158 4% 90%  
159 4% 86%  
160 2% 82%  
161 4% 80%  
162 4% 76%  
163 2% 73%  
164 2% 70%  
165 7% 68%  
166 3% 61% Median
167 7% 58%  
168 4% 52%  
169 6% 48%  
170 4% 42%  
171 3% 38%  
172 2% 35%  
173 3% 32%  
174 4% 29%  
175 2% 25%  
176 5% 23% Majority
177 2% 18%  
178 2% 16%  
179 3% 14%  
180 0.9% 11%  
181 2% 10%  
182 0.5% 9%  
183 2% 8%  
184 2% 6%  
185 1.4% 4%  
186 0.5% 3%  
187 1.0% 3%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.5% 1.3%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.7%  
142 0.3% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.3%  
144 0.3% 99.2%  
145 0.4% 98.9%  
146 0.6% 98.6%  
147 1.3% 98%  
148 2% 97%  
149 2% 95%  
150 2% 93%  
151 2% 91%  
152 2% 89%  
153 5% 87%  
154 3% 82%  
155 3% 79%  
156 2% 76%  
157 3% 73%  
158 9% 70% Median
159 4% 61%  
160 8% 57%  
161 3% 49%  
162 5% 46%  
163 4% 40%  
164 6% 37%  
165 5% 31%  
166 3% 26%  
167 3% 23%  
168 3% 20%  
169 2% 17%  
170 3% 15%  
171 3% 12%  
172 1.0% 9%  
173 2% 8% Last Result
174 1.4% 6%  
175 2% 4%  
176 0.7% 3% Majority
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.9% 2%  
179 0.2% 0.9%  
180 0.1% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.7%  
140 0.4% 99.5%  
141 0.9% 99.1%  
142 0.9% 98%  
143 1.4% 97%  
144 1.5% 96%  
145 0.8% 94%  
146 3% 94%  
147 2% 90%  
148 3% 89%  
149 2% 85%  
150 4% 83%  
151 3% 79%  
152 4% 76%  
153 4% 72%  
154 4% 69%  
155 8% 65%  
156 3% 57% Median
157 5% 54%  
158 7% 48%  
159 4% 41%  
160 1.4% 37%  
161 3% 36%  
162 8% 32%  
163 3% 25%  
164 3% 21%  
165 3% 19%  
166 2% 16%  
167 2% 14%  
168 3% 12%  
169 1.0% 9%  
170 1.0% 8%  
171 1.1% 7%  
172 2% 6%  
173 0.7% 4%  
174 1.0% 3%  
175 0.8% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.4% Majority
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.2% 0.8%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.2% 99.8%  
129 0.4% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.2%  
131 0.4% 99.0%  
132 0.8% 98.6%  
133 0.7% 98%  
134 1.3% 97%  
135 0.9% 96%  
136 1.3% 95%  
137 3% 94%  
138 3% 91%  
139 3% 88%  
140 6% 85%  
141 2% 78%  
142 4% 76%  
143 5% 72%  
144 4% 67%  
145 4% 63%  
146 6% 59% Median
147 3% 53%  
148 4% 50%  
149 6% 46%  
150 4% 40%  
151 5% 36%  
152 6% 31%  
153 4% 26%  
154 4% 22%  
155 3% 18%  
156 3% 15%  
157 1.5% 12%  
158 2% 10%  
159 3% 9%  
160 1.2% 6%  
161 0.5% 5%  
162 0.7% 4%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.5% 3%  
165 0.8% 2%  
166 0.2% 1.4%  
167 0.3% 1.2%  
168 0.4% 0.9%  
169 0.1% 0.6%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.2% 99.6%  
130 0.4% 99.4%  
131 0.2% 98.9%  
132 0.5% 98.7%  
133 0.7% 98%  
134 1.5% 97%  
135 2% 96%  
136 2% 94%  
137 3% 92%  
138 2% 89%  
139 2% 87%  
140 2% 85%  
141 2% 83%  
142 3% 80%  
143 6% 78%  
144 3% 71%  
145 4% 68%  
146 5% 64% Median
147 4% 59%  
148 7% 55%  
149 5% 48%  
150 10% 43%  
151 2% 33%  
152 5% 31%  
153 3% 25%  
154 3% 23%  
155 4% 20%  
156 2% 16%  
157 2% 13%  
158 1.3% 12%  
159 1.0% 11%  
160 1.3% 10%  
161 3% 8% Last Result
162 2% 5%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.9% 3%  
165 0.6% 2%  
166 0.4% 1.1%  
167 0.3% 0.8%  
168 0.1% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.2% 99.7%  
123 0.2% 99.6%  
124 0.6% 99.4%  
125 0.4% 98.8%  
126 0.6% 98%  
127 0.6% 98%  
128 1.1% 97%  
129 1.4% 96%  
130 2% 95%  
131 3% 93%  
132 2% 90%  
133 3% 88%  
134 2% 85%  
135 4% 82%  
136 7% 79%  
137 2% 72%  
138 5% 69%  
139 3% 64%  
140 3% 61% Median
141 5% 58%  
142 7% 53%  
143 4% 46%  
144 9% 42%  
145 4% 32%  
146 3% 29%  
147 4% 26%  
148 3% 22%  
149 4% 19%  
150 2% 15%  
151 2% 13%  
152 1.2% 11%  
153 1.1% 10%  
154 1.5% 9%  
155 3% 8%  
156 1.0% 4% Last Result
157 0.6% 3%  
158 1.1% 3%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.1%  
161 0.4% 0.9%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.3% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.6%  
124 0.2% 99.4%  
125 0.4% 99.1%  
126 0.5% 98.8%  
127 1.1% 98%  
128 1.3% 97%  
129 1.1% 96%  
130 2% 95%  
131 3% 93%  
132 3% 90%  
133 4% 87%  
134 6% 83%  
135 3% 77%  
136 3% 75%  
137 6% 72%  
138 4% 66%  
139 4% 62%  
140 5% 58% Median
141 3% 53%  
142 4% 50%  
143 7% 46%  
144 4% 39%  
145 9% 36%  
146 3% 27%  
147 3% 24%  
148 6% 21%  
149 2% 15%  
150 2% 13%  
151 2% 11%  
152 1.3% 9%  
153 1.1% 8%  
154 3% 7%  
155 0.5% 4%  
156 0.9% 4%  
157 0.6% 3%  
158 0.5% 2%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.2%  
161 0.1% 0.9%  
162 0.2% 0.8%  
163 0.2% 0.6%  
164 0.2% 0.4%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.2% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0.2% 99.5%  
96 0.2% 99.3%  
97 0.4% 99.1%  
98 0.3% 98.7%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 1.2% 98%  
101 1.4% 96%  
102 3% 95%  
103 2% 92%  
104 2% 90%  
105 3% 88%  
106 4% 85%  
107 3% 81%  
108 2% 78%  
109 5% 76%  
110 6% 71%  
111 4% 65%  
112 3% 61%  
113 4% 58% Median
114 6% 54%  
115 5% 48%  
116 3% 43%  
117 5% 39%  
118 6% 34%  
119 6% 28%  
120 2% 22%  
121 3% 20%  
122 4% 17%  
123 2% 13%  
124 2% 11%  
125 1.1% 9%  
126 2% 8%  
127 2% 5%  
128 0.4% 3%  
129 0.8% 3%  
130 0.9% 2%  
131 0.2% 1.1%  
132 0.2% 0.9%  
133 0.3% 0.7%  
134 0.1% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.1% Last Result
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.4% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.4%  
79 0.7% 99.1%  
80 1.1% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 5% 92%  
85 3% 87% Last Result
86 4% 84%  
87 5% 81%  
88 3% 76%  
89 6% 73%  
90 10% 67%  
91 9% 57% Median
92 6% 48%  
93 3% 42%  
94 6% 39%  
95 4% 34%  
96 6% 30%  
97 4% 24%  
98 3% 20%  
99 1.2% 17%  
100 2% 15%  
101 3% 13%  
102 2% 10%  
103 1.4% 9%  
104 1.0% 7%  
105 2% 6%  
106 1.0% 5%  
107 0.5% 4%  
108 0.4% 3%  
109 1.0% 3%  
110 0.5% 2%  
111 0.4% 1.3%  
112 0.4% 0.9%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.6% 99.2%  
63 0.4% 98.6%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 0.7% 97%  
66 3% 96%  
67 2% 94%  
68 5% 91%  
69 4% 87%  
70 5% 83%  
71 4% 78%  
72 5% 74%  
73 6% 69%  
74 6% 63%  
75 8% 57% Median
76 4% 49%  
77 4% 45%  
78 7% 41%  
79 4% 34%  
80 4% 30%  
81 3% 26%  
82 4% 22%  
83 4% 18%  
84 2% 15%  
85 3% 13%  
86 2% 10%  
87 1.1% 8%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.0% 3%  
91 0.4% 2%  
92 0.6% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.1%  
94 0.2% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations