Opinion Poll by CIS, 1–13 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 29.9% | 28.9–31.0% | 28.5–31.3% | 28.3–31.6% | 27.8–32.1% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 17.7% | 16.8–18.6% | 16.6–18.9% | 16.4–19.1% | 16.0–19.6% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 15.4% | 14.6–16.3% | 14.3–16.5% | 14.1–16.7% | 13.7–17.2% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 14.9% | 14.1–15.8% | 13.8–16.0% | 13.7–16.2% | 13.3–16.6% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 6.5% | 5.9–7.1% | 5.8–7.3% | 5.7–7.4% | 5.4–7.7% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.8% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.4% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.6% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 135 | 132–140 | 132–143 | 131–145 | 128–148 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 64 | 61–67 | 59–69 | 57–70 | 56–71 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 40 | 40–50 | 40–53 | 40–54 | 38–56 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 65 | 54–65 | 54–65 | 53–65 | 51–68 |
| Vox | 0 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–17 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 20 | 18–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 4–7 | 4–9 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 6% | 95% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 134 | 7% | 88% | |
| 135 | 64% | 82% | Median |
| 136 | 2% | 18% | |
| 137 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 138 | 2% | 15% | |
| 139 | 2% | 13% | |
| 140 | 2% | 11% | |
| 141 | 2% | 9% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 143 | 2% | 5% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 145 | 2% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 61 | 4% | 92% | |
| 62 | 6% | 89% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 64 | 65% | 82% | Median |
| 65 | 3% | 17% | |
| 66 | 3% | 14% | |
| 67 | 3% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 70 | 4% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 62% | 99.0% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 37% | |
| 42 | 2% | 35% | |
| 43 | 3% | 33% | |
| 44 | 2% | 31% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 29% | |
| 46 | 9% | 28% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 48 | 5% | 18% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 50 | 4% | 13% | |
| 51 | 2% | 9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 7% | 95% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 56 | 5% | 87% | |
| 57 | 2% | 82% | |
| 58 | 4% | 80% | |
| 59 | 3% | 76% | |
| 60 | 3% | 74% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 62 | 5% | 71% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 66% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 65 | 62% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 3% | 95% | |
| 10 | 4% | 92% | |
| 11 | 7% | 89% | |
| 12 | 69% | 81% | Median |
| 13 | 2% | 12% | |
| 14 | 8% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 17 | 4% | 95% | |
| 18 | 8% | 91% | |
| 19 | 3% | 83% | |
| 20 | 74% | 80% | Median |
| 21 | 5% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 4% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 6 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 4 | 3% | 96% | |
| 5 | 82% | 93% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 11% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13% | 100% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 3 | 80% | 85% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 5% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 29% | 30% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 254 | 264 | 100% | 256–264 | 253–264 | 251–264 | 249–268 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 239 | 100% | 239–252 | 239–252 | 239–254 | 237–257 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 180 | 209 | 100% | 209–220 | 209–223 | 209–225 | 205–228 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 200 | 100% | 200–212 | 200–215 | 200–218 | 195–221 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 198 | 100% | 198–210 | 198–212 | 198–214 | 193–217 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 199 | 100% | 197–204 | 194–205 | 194–206 | 193–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 186 | 100% | 186–198 | 186–201 | 186–203 | 183–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 200 | 100% | 190–200 | 189–200 | 186–203 | 185–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 181 | 99.9% | 181–194 | 181–196 | 181–198 | 178–203 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 175 | 35% | 175–188 | 175–190 | 175–192 | 172–196 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 135 | 0% | 132–140 | 132–143 | 131–145 | 128–148 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox | 169 | 141 | 0% | 130–141 | 127–141 | 124–141 | 121–145 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 135 | 0% | 125–135 | 121–135 | 119–136 | 116–139 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 129 | 0% | 119–129 | 116–129 | 114–129 | 112–134 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular | 169 | 129 | 0% | 119–129 | 115–129 | 113–129 | 111–133 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 77 | 0% | 66–77 | 65–77 | 63–77 | 61–79 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 65 | 0% | 54–65 | 54–65 | 53–65 | 51–68 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 247 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 249 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 250 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 251 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 252 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 253 | 2% | 96% | |
| 254 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 255 | 2% | 93% | |
| 256 | 8% | 91% | |
| 257 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 258 | 2% | 82% | |
| 259 | 2% | 80% | |
| 260 | 8% | 77% | |
| 261 | 1.2% | 69% | |
| 262 | 1.1% | 68% | |
| 263 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 264 | 64% | 66% | Median |
| 265 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 266 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 267 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 268 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 236 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 238 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 239 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 240 | 5% | 36% | |
| 241 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 242 | 1.5% | 30% | |
| 243 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 244 | 1.2% | 28% | |
| 245 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 246 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 247 | 2% | 25% | |
| 248 | 2% | 23% | |
| 249 | 3% | 21% | |
| 250 | 5% | 18% | |
| 251 | 4% | 14% | |
| 252 | 5% | 10% | |
| 253 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 254 | 2% | 4% | |
| 255 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 256 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 257 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 258 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 209 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 210 | 2% | 35% | |
| 211 | 5% | 33% | |
| 212 | 3% | 27% | |
| 213 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 214 | 0.9% | 23% | |
| 215 | 2% | 22% | |
| 216 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 217 | 3% | 19% | |
| 218 | 4% | 16% | |
| 219 | 2% | 12% | |
| 220 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 221 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 222 | 3% | 8% | |
| 223 | 2% | 5% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 225 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 226 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 228 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 199 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 200 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 201 | 2% | 35% | |
| 202 | 2% | 34% | |
| 203 | 4% | 31% | |
| 204 | 5% | 28% | |
| 205 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 207 | 3% | 20% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 209 | 3% | 16% | |
| 210 | 2% | 13% | |
| 211 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 212 | 2% | 10% | |
| 213 | 3% | 9% | |
| 214 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 215 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 216 | 2% | 5% | |
| 217 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 218 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 219 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 221 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 198 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 199 | 6% | 34% | |
| 200 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 201 | 4% | 28% | |
| 202 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 204 | 2% | 22% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 20% | |
| 206 | 3% | 19% | |
| 207 | 3% | 16% | |
| 208 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 209 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 210 | 3% | 10% | |
| 211 | 2% | 8% | |
| 212 | 2% | 6% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 214 | 2% | 4% | |
| 215 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 217 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 193 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 194 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 195 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 196 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 197 | 3% | 91% | |
| 198 | 3% | 88% | |
| 199 | 65% | 85% | Median |
| 200 | 2% | 20% | |
| 201 | 4% | 19% | |
| 202 | 2% | 15% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 204 | 6% | 12% | |
| 205 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 206 | 4% | 5% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 210 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 186 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 187 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 188 | 1.1% | 34% | |
| 189 | 1.1% | 33% | |
| 190 | 5% | 32% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 192 | 1.2% | 27% | |
| 193 | 5% | 26% | |
| 194 | 2% | 21% | |
| 195 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 196 | 2% | 18% | |
| 197 | 5% | 16% | |
| 198 | 2% | 12% | |
| 199 | 3% | 10% | |
| 200 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 201 | 2% | 6% | |
| 202 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 203 | 2% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 190 | 6% | 95% | |
| 191 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 192 | 4% | 88% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 194 | 6% | 83% | |
| 195 | 3% | 77% | |
| 196 | 2% | 74% | |
| 197 | 1.1% | 72% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 199 | 3% | 71% | |
| 200 | 63% | 68% | Median |
| 201 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 203 | 2% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 181 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 182 | 0.6% | 35% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 34% | |
| 184 | 5% | 33% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 187 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 188 | 4% | 26% | |
| 189 | 2% | 21% | |
| 190 | 2% | 19% | |
| 191 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 192 | 3% | 17% | |
| 193 | 3% | 14% | |
| 194 | 2% | 11% | |
| 195 | 2% | 8% | |
| 196 | 2% | 6% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 198 | 2% | 4% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 203 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 175 | 63% | 98% | Median |
| 176 | 0.9% | 35% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 34% | |
| 178 | 5% | 32% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 180 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 181 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 182 | 4% | 26% | |
| 183 | 2% | 21% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 185 | 2% | 18% | |
| 186 | 4% | 16% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 188 | 3% | 12% | |
| 189 | 2% | 9% | |
| 190 | 2% | 6% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 192 | 2% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 6% | 95% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 134 | 7% | 88% | |
| 135 | 64% | 82% | Median |
| 136 | 2% | 18% | |
| 137 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 138 | 2% | 15% | |
| 139 | 2% | 13% | |
| 140 | 2% | 11% | |
| 141 | 2% | 9% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 143 | 2% | 5% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 145 | 2% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 126 | 2% | 97% | |
| 127 | 3% | 95% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 129 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 130 | 2% | 90% | |
| 131 | 4% | 88% | |
| 132 | 3% | 84% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 81% | |
| 135 | 2% | 79% | |
| 136 | 2% | 78% | |
| 137 | 4% | 76% | |
| 138 | 5% | 72% | |
| 139 | 3% | 68% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 65% | |
| 141 | 62% | 64% | Median |
| 142 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 2% | 94% | |
| 123 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 125 | 2% | 90% | |
| 126 | 2% | 89% | |
| 127 | 6% | 87% | |
| 128 | 2% | 81% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 79% | |
| 130 | 6% | 78% | |
| 131 | 2% | 73% | |
| 132 | 5% | 71% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 66% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 135 | 62% | 65% | Median |
| 136 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 96% | |
| 117 | 2% | 94% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 119 | 2% | 91% | |
| 120 | 2% | 89% | |
| 121 | 3% | 87% | |
| 122 | 3% | 84% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 124 | 1.5% | 80% | |
| 125 | 6% | 78% | |
| 126 | 3% | 72% | |
| 127 | 4% | 69% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 65% | |
| 129 | 62% | 65% | Median |
| 130 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 115 | 2% | 96% | |
| 116 | 2% | 94% | |
| 117 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 119 | 3% | 90% | |
| 120 | 2% | 87% | |
| 121 | 5% | 86% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 81% | |
| 123 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 124 | 7% | 79% | |
| 125 | 3% | 72% | |
| 126 | 4% | 70% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 66% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 129 | 62% | 64% | Median |
| 130 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 6% | 93% | |
| 67 | 6% | 87% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 69 | 2% | 80% | |
| 70 | 3% | 79% | |
| 71 | 2% | 75% | |
| 72 | 2% | 74% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 71% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 76 | 5% | 69% | |
| 77 | 62% | 64% | Median |
| 78 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 7% | 95% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 56 | 5% | 87% | |
| 57 | 2% | 82% | |
| 58 | 4% | 80% | |
| 59 | 3% | 76% | |
| 60 | 3% | 74% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 62 | 5% | 71% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 66% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 65 | 62% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CIS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–13 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 2989
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.73%