Opinion Poll by GAD3 for ABC, 14–24 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 26.5% | 25.2–27.9% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.5–28.6% | 23.9–29.3% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.3% | 21.4–24.7% | 21.1–25.0% | 20.5–25.7% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 17.1% | 16.0–18.3% | 15.7–18.6% | 15.4–18.9% | 14.9–19.5% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.4–12.9% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.8–13.7% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 9.8% | 8.9–10.7% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.5–11.2% | 8.1–11.7% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.1% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 114 | 107–120 | 104–120 | 103–122 | 100–126 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 95 | 90–104 | 87–107 | 86–110 | 84–111 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 60 | 53–64 | 50–66 | 50–66 | 49–68 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 31 | 25–34 | 25–36 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| Vox | 0 | 22 | 20–27 | 18–28 | 18–28 | 17–29 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 11 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 | 4–11 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 | 3–9 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–6 | 0–6 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 104 | 2% | 97% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 106 | 2% | 94% | |
| 107 | 6% | 92% | |
| 108 | 12% | 86% | |
| 109 | 6% | 74% | |
| 110 | 6% | 68% | |
| 111 | 4% | 62% | |
| 112 | 2% | 58% | |
| 113 | 5% | 56% | |
| 114 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 115 | 7% | 48% | |
| 116 | 4% | 41% | |
| 117 | 3% | 38% | |
| 118 | 2% | 35% | |
| 119 | 2% | 33% | |
| 120 | 27% | 31% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 90 | 24% | 91% | |
| 91 | 3% | 67% | |
| 92 | 2% | 65% | |
| 93 | 6% | 63% | |
| 94 | 4% | 57% | |
| 95 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 96 | 2% | 48% | |
| 97 | 4% | 46% | |
| 98 | 8% | 42% | |
| 99 | 5% | 33% | |
| 100 | 5% | 29% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 102 | 6% | 23% | |
| 103 | 4% | 17% | |
| 104 | 4% | 13% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 8% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 52 | 2% | 94% | |
| 53 | 3% | 92% | |
| 54 | 4% | 90% | |
| 55 | 4% | 86% | |
| 56 | 6% | 82% | |
| 57 | 2% | 76% | |
| 58 | 7% | 74% | |
| 59 | 8% | 67% | |
| 60 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 16% | 38% | |
| 62 | 4% | 21% | |
| 63 | 4% | 17% | |
| 64 | 3% | 13% | |
| 65 | 4% | 9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98% | |
| 25 | 7% | 95% | |
| 26 | 9% | 88% | |
| 27 | 6% | 79% | |
| 28 | 3% | 72% | |
| 29 | 6% | 69% | |
| 30 | 9% | 63% | |
| 31 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 32 | 7% | 48% | |
| 33 | 7% | 41% | |
| 34 | 24% | 33% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 36 | 6% | 8% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 4% | 98% | |
| 19 | 3% | 94% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 21 | 33% | 90% | |
| 22 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 23 | 13% | 42% | |
| 24 | 7% | 28% | |
| 25 | 5% | 22% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 27 | 7% | 16% | |
| 28 | 8% | 9% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 95% | |
| 11 | 38% | 85% | Median |
| 12 | 8% | 48% | |
| 13 | 10% | 40% | |
| 14 | 19% | 29% | |
| 15 | 10% | 11% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 15% | 95% | |
| 6 | 36% | 80% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 44% | |
| 8 | 28% | 35% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 7% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 96% | |
| 5 | 5% | 94% | Last Result |
| 6 | 39% | 89% | Median |
| 7 | 30% | 50% | |
| 8 | 17% | 20% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 41% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 26% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 12% | 32% | |
| 4 | 17% | 20% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 39% | 46% | Last Result |
| 2 | 7% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 270 | 100% | 263–273 | 262–275 | 261–276 | 257–279 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 210 | 100% | 202–216 | 201–218 | 201–219 | 198–223 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 203 | 100% | 193–214 | 191–214 | 188–218 | 186–218 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 178 | 63% | 171–185 | 169–187 | 167–188 | 164–193 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 173 | 37% | 165–180 | 161–184 | 157–185 | 157–188 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 171 | 34% | 164–179 | 162–181 | 161–183 | 157–185 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 163 | 2% | 154–171 | 153–171 | 152–174 | 147–177 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 161 | 0.6% | 156–170 | 152–173 | 150–173 | 147–176 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 157 | 0.1% | 150–166 | 149–167 | 146–170 | 142–172 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 155 | 0% | 150–163 | 146–166 | 144–168 | 140–170 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 155 | 0% | 150–163 | 146–165 | 144–167 | 140–169 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 152 | 0% | 144–162 | 143–162 | 141–162 | 137–166 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 149 | 0% | 142–161 | 140–161 | 139–161 | 133–164 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 143 | 0% | 135–154 | 134–154 | 132–155 | 127–158 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 119 | 0% | 111–128 | 109–131 | 109–134 | 105–134 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 114 | 0% | 107–120 | 104–120 | 103–122 | 100–126 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 95 | 0% | 90–104 | 87–107 | 86–110 | 84–111 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 256 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 257 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 258 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 259 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 260 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 261 | 2% | 98% | |
| 262 | 5% | 96% | |
| 263 | 9% | 91% | |
| 264 | 2% | 82% | |
| 265 | 2% | 80% | |
| 266 | 4% | 78% | |
| 267 | 4% | 74% | |
| 268 | 10% | 69% | |
| 269 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 270 | 22% | 55% | |
| 271 | 9% | 32% | |
| 272 | 10% | 24% | |
| 273 | 4% | 14% | |
| 274 | 4% | 10% | |
| 275 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 276 | 3% | 5% | |
| 277 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 278 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 279 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 280 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 281 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 193 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 200 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 201 | 4% | 98% | |
| 202 | 7% | 94% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 204 | 2% | 87% | |
| 205 | 4% | 85% | |
| 206 | 2% | 81% | |
| 207 | 12% | 78% | |
| 208 | 4% | 67% | |
| 209 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 210 | 24% | 56% | |
| 211 | 3% | 32% | |
| 212 | 5% | 28% | |
| 213 | 3% | 23% | |
| 214 | 4% | 20% | |
| 215 | 5% | 16% | |
| 216 | 2% | 11% | |
| 217 | 2% | 10% | |
| 218 | 5% | 8% | |
| 219 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 220 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 223 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 187 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 188 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 191 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 192 | 4% | 94% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 194 | 3% | 89% | |
| 195 | 3% | 86% | |
| 196 | 3% | 83% | |
| 197 | 2% | 79% | |
| 198 | 7% | 78% | |
| 199 | 2% | 71% | |
| 200 | 3% | 69% | |
| 201 | 9% | 65% | |
| 202 | 6% | 57% | |
| 203 | 4% | 51% | |
| 204 | 8% | 46% | |
| 205 | 4% | 39% | Median |
| 206 | 2% | 35% | |
| 207 | 1.3% | 33% | |
| 208 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 209 | 4% | 31% | |
| 210 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 26% | |
| 212 | 0.3% | 25% | |
| 213 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 214 | 20% | 24% | |
| 215 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 218 | 3% | 3% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 167 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 169 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 170 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 171 | 22% | 93% | |
| 172 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 174 | 4% | 69% | |
| 175 | 2% | 65% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 63% | Majority |
| 177 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 178 | 4% | 54% | |
| 179 | 4% | 49% | |
| 180 | 4% | 45% | |
| 181 | 11% | 41% | |
| 182 | 8% | 30% | |
| 183 | 7% | 22% | |
| 184 | 3% | 15% | |
| 185 | 3% | 12% | |
| 186 | 2% | 9% | |
| 187 | 4% | 7% | |
| 188 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 163 | 3% | 94% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 165 | 2% | 90% | |
| 166 | 8% | 89% | |
| 167 | 3% | 81% | |
| 168 | 8% | 78% | |
| 169 | 8% | 71% | |
| 170 | 3% | 62% | |
| 171 | 5% | 59% | |
| 172 | 1.5% | 54% | |
| 173 | 3% | 52% | |
| 174 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 175 | 5% | 42% | |
| 176 | 3% | 37% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 178 | 3% | 33% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 30% | |
| 180 | 22% | 29% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 184 | 2% | 6% | |
| 185 | 3% | 4% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 162 | 3% | 97% | |
| 163 | 4% | 94% | |
| 164 | 2% | 90% | |
| 165 | 2% | 88% | |
| 166 | 5% | 86% | |
| 167 | 8% | 81% | |
| 168 | 12% | 73% | |
| 169 | 3% | 60% | |
| 170 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 171 | 1.4% | 51% | |
| 172 | 7% | 49% | |
| 173 | 5% | 42% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 175 | 2% | 36% | |
| 176 | 4% | 34% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 178 | 2% | 29% | |
| 179 | 20% | 26% | |
| 180 | 0.8% | 6% | Last Result |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 183 | 2% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 152 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 153 | 3% | 96% | |
| 154 | 4% | 93% | |
| 155 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 156 | 3% | 88% | |
| 157 | 6% | 84% | |
| 158 | 7% | 79% | |
| 159 | 8% | 72% | |
| 160 | 7% | 64% | |
| 161 | 5% | 57% | |
| 162 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 163 | 7% | 50% | |
| 164 | 4% | 43% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 39% | |
| 166 | 4% | 39% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 168 | 1.1% | 33% | |
| 169 | 6% | 32% | |
| 170 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 171 | 21% | 26% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 176 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 150 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 156 | 3% | 93% | |
| 157 | 25% | 90% | |
| 158 | 3% | 65% | |
| 159 | 4% | 62% | |
| 160 | 5% | 57% | |
| 161 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 162 | 3% | 45% | |
| 163 | 3% | 41% | |
| 164 | 6% | 38% | |
| 165 | 3% | 31% | |
| 166 | 6% | 28% | |
| 167 | 4% | 22% | |
| 168 | 4% | 18% | |
| 169 | 3% | 14% | |
| 170 | 5% | 11% | |
| 171 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 173 | 3% | 5% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 175 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 146 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 149 | 2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 3% | 93% | |
| 151 | 5% | 90% | |
| 152 | 4% | 85% | |
| 153 | 7% | 81% | |
| 154 | 6% | 74% | |
| 155 | 5% | 68% | |
| 156 | 12% | 64% | |
| 157 | 5% | 52% | |
| 158 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 159 | 1.1% | 43% | |
| 160 | 1.4% | 42% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 41% | |
| 162 | 4% | 40% | |
| 163 | 2% | 36% | |
| 164 | 2% | 35% | |
| 165 | 7% | 33% | |
| 166 | 20% | 26% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 169 | 2% | 4% | |
| 170 | 2% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 146 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 149 | 2% | 94% | |
| 150 | 21% | 92% | |
| 151 | 2% | 70% | |
| 152 | 4% | 68% | |
| 153 | 4% | 64% | |
| 154 | 7% | 61% | |
| 155 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 156 | 9% | 50% | |
| 157 | 6% | 41% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 34% | |
| 160 | 8% | 32% | |
| 161 | 7% | 25% | |
| 162 | 4% | 18% | |
| 163 | 5% | 14% | |
| 164 | 2% | 9% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 166 | 2% | 6% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 168 | 2% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 2% | 98% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 148 | 3% | 94% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 150 | 22% | 91% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 152 | 6% | 68% | |
| 153 | 3% | 61% | |
| 154 | 7% | 58% | |
| 155 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 156 | 9% | 46% | |
| 157 | 3% | 37% | |
| 158 | 3% | 34% | |
| 159 | 5% | 31% | |
| 160 | 7% | 27% | |
| 161 | 5% | 20% | |
| 162 | 2% | 14% | |
| 163 | 5% | 12% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 165 | 2% | 6% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 167 | 2% | 3% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 143 | 2% | 97% | |
| 144 | 6% | 95% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 146 | 6% | 87% | |
| 147 | 4% | 81% | |
| 148 | 10% | 77% | |
| 149 | 5% | 67% | |
| 150 | 4% | 61% | |
| 151 | 6% | 58% | |
| 152 | 3% | 52% | |
| 153 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 154 | 1.3% | 41% | |
| 155 | 4% | 40% | |
| 156 | 4% | 36% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 32% | |
| 158 | 2% | 32% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 160 | 4% | 29% | |
| 161 | 2% | 25% | |
| 162 | 21% | 24% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 2% | 97% | |
| 141 | 3% | 95% | |
| 142 | 3% | 92% | |
| 143 | 4% | 88% | |
| 144 | 5% | 85% | |
| 145 | 9% | 80% | |
| 146 | 5% | 71% | |
| 147 | 5% | 66% | |
| 148 | 7% | 60% | |
| 149 | 3% | 53% | |
| 150 | 3% | 50% | |
| 151 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 152 | 2% | 40% | |
| 153 | 2% | 37% | |
| 154 | 2% | 36% | |
| 155 | 3% | 33% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 158 | 5% | 29% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 161 | 21% | 23% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 134 | 3% | 96% | |
| 135 | 5% | 93% | |
| 136 | 2% | 88% | |
| 137 | 7% | 86% | |
| 138 | 5% | 79% | |
| 139 | 4% | 74% | |
| 140 | 9% | 71% | |
| 141 | 4% | 61% | |
| 142 | 5% | 57% | |
| 143 | 4% | 52% | |
| 144 | 5% | 48% | |
| 145 | 3% | 43% | Median |
| 146 | 1.3% | 40% | |
| 147 | 4% | 39% | |
| 148 | 3% | 35% | |
| 149 | 2% | 32% | |
| 150 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 29% | |
| 152 | 2% | 28% | |
| 153 | 3% | 26% | |
| 154 | 20% | 23% | |
| 155 | 2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 109 | 4% | 98% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 111 | 20% | 93% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 113 | 4% | 73% | |
| 114 | 3% | 69% | |
| 115 | 6% | 66% | |
| 116 | 1.5% | 60% | |
| 117 | 2% | 58% | Median |
| 118 | 2% | 57% | |
| 119 | 5% | 54% | |
| 120 | 7% | 49% | |
| 121 | 12% | 42% | |
| 122 | 5% | 30% | |
| 123 | 3% | 26% | |
| 124 | 3% | 22% | |
| 125 | 4% | 19% | |
| 126 | 2% | 16% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 128 | 2% | 12% | |
| 129 | 4% | 10% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 131 | 2% | 5% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 134 | 2% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 104 | 2% | 97% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 106 | 2% | 94% | |
| 107 | 6% | 92% | |
| 108 | 12% | 86% | |
| 109 | 6% | 74% | |
| 110 | 6% | 68% | |
| 111 | 4% | 62% | |
| 112 | 2% | 58% | |
| 113 | 5% | 56% | |
| 114 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 115 | 7% | 48% | |
| 116 | 4% | 41% | |
| 117 | 3% | 38% | |
| 118 | 2% | 35% | |
| 119 | 2% | 33% | |
| 120 | 27% | 31% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 90 | 24% | 91% | |
| 91 | 3% | 67% | |
| 92 | 2% | 65% | |
| 93 | 6% | 63% | |
| 94 | 4% | 57% | |
| 95 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 96 | 2% | 48% | |
| 97 | 4% | 46% | |
| 98 | 8% | 42% | |
| 99 | 5% | 33% | |
| 100 | 5% | 29% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 102 | 6% | 23% | |
| 103 | 4% | 17% | |
| 104 | 4% | 13% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 8% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GAD3
- Commissioner(s): ABC
- Fieldwork period: 14–24 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.44%