Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 21–25 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 18.7% | 17.2–20.4% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.7–22.1% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.8–19.8% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 95 | 88–106 | 85–109 | 84–112 | 82–115 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 98 | 88–108 | 86–111 | 84–114 | 81–117 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 62 | 55–69 | 54–71 | 53–71 | 51–74 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 49 | 43–60 | 41–62 | 39–64 | 36–66 |
| Vox | 0 | 19 | 14–24 | 14–25 | 13–26 | 11–28 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 11 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 | 7–18 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–10 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 4 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–8 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 2 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 0–7 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 88 | 4% | 91% | |
| 89 | 5% | 87% | |
| 90 | 7% | 82% | |
| 91 | 7% | 75% | |
| 92 | 6% | 68% | |
| 93 | 3% | 62% | |
| 94 | 5% | 59% | |
| 95 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 96 | 8% | 50% | |
| 97 | 2% | 42% | |
| 98 | 3% | 40% | |
| 99 | 4% | 37% | |
| 100 | 11% | 33% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 102 | 2% | 21% | |
| 103 | 5% | 19% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 105 | 2% | 13% | |
| 106 | 3% | 11% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 109 | 3% | 7% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 88 | 4% | 93% | |
| 89 | 3% | 89% | |
| 90 | 4% | 86% | |
| 91 | 2% | 82% | |
| 92 | 3% | 80% | |
| 93 | 7% | 78% | |
| 94 | 4% | 70% | |
| 95 | 5% | 66% | |
| 96 | 5% | 61% | |
| 97 | 6% | 57% | |
| 98 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 99 | 5% | 47% | |
| 100 | 2% | 41% | |
| 101 | 13% | 40% | |
| 102 | 3% | 27% | |
| 103 | 3% | 24% | |
| 104 | 3% | 21% | |
| 105 | 3% | 18% | |
| 106 | 3% | 15% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 108 | 3% | 11% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 111 | 2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 92% | |
| 56 | 2% | 89% | |
| 57 | 3% | 86% | |
| 58 | 4% | 83% | |
| 59 | 9% | 78% | |
| 60 | 9% | 70% | |
| 61 | 4% | 61% | |
| 62 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 40% | |
| 64 | 4% | 35% | |
| 65 | 10% | 30% | |
| 66 | 5% | 20% | |
| 67 | 2% | 15% | |
| 68 | 2% | 14% | |
| 69 | 3% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 5% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 3% | 93% | |
| 43 | 4% | 90% | |
| 44 | 5% | 86% | |
| 45 | 11% | 81% | |
| 46 | 12% | 71% | |
| 47 | 3% | 58% | |
| 48 | 3% | 55% | |
| 49 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 50 | 2% | 47% | |
| 51 | 6% | 45% | |
| 52 | 2% | 39% | |
| 53 | 4% | 37% | |
| 54 | 4% | 33% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 28% | |
| 56 | 2% | 27% | |
| 57 | 4% | 25% | |
| 58 | 3% | 21% | |
| 59 | 3% | 18% | |
| 60 | 6% | 16% | |
| 61 | 2% | 9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 14 | 7% | 96% | |
| 15 | 5% | 90% | |
| 16 | 4% | 85% | |
| 17 | 10% | 81% | |
| 18 | 18% | 71% | |
| 19 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 20 | 7% | 47% | |
| 21 | 13% | 40% | |
| 22 | 10% | 27% | |
| 23 | 5% | 17% | |
| 24 | 6% | 12% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 32% | 95% | Last Result |
| 10 | 4% | 63% | |
| 11 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 49% | |
| 13 | 13% | 33% | |
| 14 | 8% | 20% | |
| 15 | 9% | 12% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 3% | 92% | |
| 3 | 12% | 90% | |
| 4 | 26% | 78% | |
| 5 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 6 | 28% | 39% | |
| 7 | 6% | 11% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 36% | 92% | |
| 4 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 48% | Last Result |
| 6 | 32% | 40% | |
| 7 | 6% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 14% | 98% | |
| 2 | 36% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 14% | 48% | |
| 4 | 12% | 33% | |
| 5 | 6% | 21% | |
| 6 | 10% | 15% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 256 | 100% | 247–265 | 245–266 | 243–268 | 237–271 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 208 | 100% | 199–218 | 194–220 | 191–223 | 188–227 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 192 | 99.3% | 184–205 | 182–207 | 180–210 | 174–211 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 178 | 68% | 171–188 | 168–192 | 166–194 | 163–197 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 171 | 17% | 161–178 | 157–181 | 155–183 | 152–186 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 164 | 6% | 156–174 | 153–176 | 150–179 | 147–184 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 163 | 3% | 153–171 | 149–174 | 148–176 | 144–180 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 162 | 2% | 152–169 | 148–172 | 146–175 | 142–179 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 160 | 2% | 152–169 | 149–171 | 147–174 | 143–179 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 158 | 1.5% | 148–169 | 145–171 | 144–174 | 140–179 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 154 | 0.1% | 144–163 | 141–165 | 138–167 | 135–170 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 151 | 0% | 141–160 | 137–162 | 135–164 | 131–168 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 146 | 0% | 135–156 | 132–158 | 132–160 | 127–163 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 117 | 0% | 109–126 | 106–130 | 102–133 | 99–136 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 98 | 0% | 88–108 | 86–111 | 84–114 | 81–117 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 95 | 0% | 88–106 | 85–109 | 84–112 | 82–115 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 234 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 240 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 241 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 243 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 244 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 245 | 4% | 96% | |
| 246 | 2% | 93% | |
| 247 | 2% | 91% | |
| 248 | 9% | 88% | |
| 249 | 4% | 80% | |
| 250 | 3% | 76% | |
| 251 | 5% | 73% | |
| 252 | 4% | 68% | |
| 253 | 5% | 65% | |
| 254 | 2% | 60% | Last Result |
| 255 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 256 | 3% | 52% | |
| 257 | 7% | 49% | |
| 258 | 4% | 42% | |
| 259 | 4% | 38% | |
| 260 | 3% | 34% | |
| 261 | 2% | 31% | |
| 262 | 5% | 29% | |
| 263 | 11% | 24% | |
| 264 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 265 | 3% | 12% | |
| 266 | 4% | 8% | |
| 267 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 268 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 269 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 270 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 271 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 272 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 273 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 194 | 2% | 96% | |
| 195 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 197 | 2% | 93% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 200 | 2% | 89% | |
| 201 | 5% | 87% | |
| 202 | 3% | 82% | |
| 203 | 3% | 79% | |
| 204 | 6% | 75% | |
| 205 | 7% | 70% | |
| 206 | 4% | 63% | Median |
| 207 | 8% | 59% | |
| 208 | 7% | 51% | |
| 209 | 2% | 44% | |
| 210 | 3% | 42% | |
| 211 | 3% | 39% | |
| 212 | 2% | 36% | |
| 213 | 4% | 34% | |
| 214 | 3% | 31% | |
| 215 | 11% | 27% | |
| 216 | 2% | 17% | |
| 217 | 4% | 15% | |
| 218 | 4% | 11% | |
| 219 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 220 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 222 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 223 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 224 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 226 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 231 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 183 | 3% | 95% | |
| 184 | 4% | 92% | |
| 185 | 2% | 88% | |
| 186 | 5% | 86% | |
| 187 | 6% | 81% | |
| 188 | 5% | 75% | |
| 189 | 8% | 70% | |
| 190 | 3% | 62% | |
| 191 | 6% | 59% | |
| 192 | 3% | 52% | |
| 193 | 4% | 49% | Median |
| 194 | 2% | 46% | |
| 195 | 3% | 44% | |
| 196 | 1.3% | 41% | |
| 197 | 2% | 40% | |
| 198 | 3% | 38% | |
| 199 | 4% | 35% | |
| 200 | 2% | 31% | |
| 201 | 10% | 29% | |
| 202 | 2% | 19% | |
| 203 | 5% | 18% | |
| 204 | 2% | 12% | |
| 205 | 2% | 10% | |
| 206 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 207 | 2% | 7% | |
| 208 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 210 | 2% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 167 | 2% | 97% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 170 | 2% | 93% | |
| 171 | 4% | 91% | |
| 172 | 2% | 87% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 174 | 10% | 83% | |
| 175 | 6% | 74% | |
| 176 | 7% | 68% | Majority |
| 177 | 7% | 62% | |
| 178 | 4% | 54% | |
| 179 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 180 | 5% | 47% | |
| 181 | 12% | 42% | |
| 182 | 3% | 31% | |
| 183 | 4% | 28% | |
| 184 | 2% | 24% | |
| 185 | 3% | 22% | |
| 186 | 3% | 19% | |
| 187 | 5% | 16% | |
| 188 | 2% | 11% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 190 | 2% | 8% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 192 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 194 | 2% | 4% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 155 | 2% | 98% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 158 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 159 | 2% | 94% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 161 | 2% | 91% | |
| 162 | 5% | 89% | |
| 163 | 3% | 84% | |
| 164 | 3% | 81% | |
| 165 | 2% | 78% | |
| 166 | 4% | 76% | Median |
| 167 | 3% | 72% | |
| 168 | 12% | 69% | |
| 169 | 5% | 58% | |
| 170 | 3% | 53% | |
| 171 | 4% | 50% | |
| 172 | 7% | 46% | |
| 173 | 7% | 38% | |
| 174 | 6% | 32% | |
| 175 | 10% | 26% | |
| 176 | 1.4% | 17% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 15% | |
| 178 | 4% | 13% | |
| 179 | 2% | 9% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 181 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 182 | 2% | 5% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 150 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 153 | 2% | 95% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 156 | 9% | 91% | |
| 157 | 3% | 83% | |
| 158 | 5% | 80% | |
| 159 | 6% | 75% | |
| 160 | 2% | 69% | |
| 161 | 4% | 68% | |
| 162 | 8% | 64% | |
| 163 | 3% | 56% | |
| 164 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 165 | 4% | 50% | |
| 166 | 8% | 46% | |
| 167 | 3% | 38% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 169 | 12% | 34% | |
| 170 | 4% | 23% | |
| 171 | 3% | 19% | |
| 172 | 4% | 16% | |
| 173 | 2% | 12% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 10% | Last Result |
| 175 | 3% | 10% | |
| 176 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 151 | 2% | 94% | |
| 152 | 2% | 92% | |
| 153 | 2% | 90% | |
| 154 | 5% | 88% | |
| 155 | 3% | 84% | |
| 156 | 2% | 81% | |
| 157 | 2% | 79% | |
| 158 | 7% | 77% | |
| 159 | 2% | 69% | |
| 160 | 11% | 67% | Median |
| 161 | 1.5% | 57% | |
| 162 | 4% | 55% | |
| 163 | 4% | 52% | |
| 164 | 4% | 47% | |
| 165 | 5% | 43% | |
| 166 | 6% | 38% | |
| 167 | 4% | 32% | |
| 168 | 5% | 28% | |
| 169 | 7% | 23% | |
| 170 | 3% | 17% | |
| 171 | 6% | 13% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 175 | 2% | 5% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 3% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 147 | 2% | 97% | |
| 148 | 2% | 95% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 152 | 5% | 91% | |
| 153 | 4% | 86% | |
| 154 | 5% | 82% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 77% | |
| 156 | 8% | 76% | |
| 157 | 2% | 68% | Median |
| 158 | 3% | 66% | |
| 159 | 5% | 63% | |
| 160 | 6% | 58% | |
| 161 | 2% | 52% | |
| 162 | 3% | 50% | |
| 163 | 6% | 47% | |
| 164 | 4% | 40% | |
| 165 | 7% | 36% | |
| 166 | 5% | 30% | |
| 167 | 9% | 25% | Last Result |
| 168 | 3% | 15% | |
| 169 | 4% | 12% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 171 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 172 | 2% | 6% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 176 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 97% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 151 | 2% | 92% | |
| 152 | 7% | 90% | |
| 153 | 4% | 83% | |
| 154 | 4% | 79% | |
| 155 | 4% | 75% | |
| 156 | 6% | 71% | |
| 157 | 4% | 65% | |
| 158 | 4% | 61% | |
| 159 | 8% | 58% | |
| 160 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 161 | 3% | 45% | |
| 162 | 3% | 42% | |
| 163 | 12% | 39% | |
| 164 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 165 | 2% | 25% | |
| 166 | 7% | 23% | |
| 167 | 3% | 17% | |
| 168 | 2% | 14% | |
| 169 | 3% | 12% | Last Result |
| 170 | 3% | 9% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 146 | 3% | 95% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 148 | 2% | 90% | |
| 149 | 4% | 88% | |
| 150 | 4% | 84% | |
| 151 | 2% | 80% | |
| 152 | 6% | 78% | |
| 153 | 3% | 72% | |
| 154 | 3% | 69% | |
| 155 | 8% | 66% | |
| 156 | 4% | 58% | |
| 157 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 158 | 5% | 51% | |
| 159 | 2% | 46% | |
| 160 | 5% | 45% | |
| 161 | 2% | 40% | |
| 162 | 13% | 38% | |
| 163 | 2% | 25% | |
| 164 | 4% | 22% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 166 | 3% | 18% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 168 | 3% | 13% | |
| 169 | 2% | 11% | |
| 170 | 2% | 8% | |
| 171 | 2% | 6% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 1.5% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 141 | 2% | 96% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 144 | 3% | 92% | |
| 145 | 5% | 89% | |
| 146 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 147 | 3% | 82% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 149 | 3% | 78% | |
| 150 | 3% | 75% | Median |
| 151 | 5% | 72% | |
| 152 | 3% | 67% | |
| 153 | 10% | 64% | |
| 154 | 8% | 54% | |
| 155 | 2% | 47% | |
| 156 | 4% | 45% | |
| 157 | 11% | 41% | |
| 158 | 5% | 30% | |
| 159 | 2% | 24% | |
| 160 | 2% | 22% | |
| 161 | 4% | 20% | |
| 162 | 6% | 17% | |
| 163 | 4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 164 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 167 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 135 | 3% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 138 | 2% | 94% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 141 | 2% | 90% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 143 | 5% | 87% | |
| 144 | 2% | 82% | |
| 145 | 4% | 80% | |
| 146 | 3% | 76% | |
| 147 | 4% | 72% | |
| 148 | 3% | 68% | Median |
| 149 | 4% | 65% | |
| 150 | 2% | 61% | |
| 151 | 12% | 60% | |
| 152 | 6% | 47% | |
| 153 | 4% | 41% | |
| 154 | 3% | 37% | |
| 155 | 6% | 34% | |
| 156 | 6% | 28% | |
| 157 | 3% | 22% | |
| 158 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 159 | 4% | 18% | |
| 160 | 6% | 14% | |
| 161 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 163 | 2% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 132 | 4% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 135 | 3% | 93% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 137 | 5% | 89% | |
| 138 | 1.3% | 84% | |
| 139 | 2% | 82% | |
| 140 | 2% | 80% | |
| 141 | 4% | 78% | |
| 142 | 3% | 74% | |
| 143 | 5% | 71% | |
| 144 | 3% | 66% | Median |
| 145 | 10% | 63% | |
| 146 | 5% | 54% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 148 | 5% | 48% | |
| 149 | 4% | 43% | |
| 150 | 8% | 39% | |
| 151 | 2% | 32% | |
| 152 | 6% | 29% | |
| 153 | 3% | 23% | |
| 154 | 5% | 20% | |
| 155 | 3% | 16% | |
| 156 | 6% | 12% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 160 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 161 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 107 | 2% | 95% | |
| 108 | 2% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 91% | |
| 110 | 5% | 85% | |
| 111 | 5% | 80% | |
| 112 | 3% | 75% | |
| 113 | 1.5% | 73% | |
| 114 | 4% | 71% | |
| 115 | 8% | 67% | |
| 116 | 7% | 59% | |
| 117 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 118 | 2% | 50% | |
| 119 | 14% | 48% | |
| 120 | 3% | 33% | |
| 121 | 3% | 31% | |
| 122 | 7% | 28% | |
| 123 | 5% | 21% | |
| 124 | 2% | 16% | |
| 125 | 2% | 13% | |
| 126 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 129 | 3% | 8% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 138 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 88 | 4% | 93% | |
| 89 | 3% | 89% | |
| 90 | 4% | 86% | |
| 91 | 2% | 82% | |
| 92 | 3% | 80% | |
| 93 | 7% | 78% | |
| 94 | 4% | 70% | |
| 95 | 5% | 66% | |
| 96 | 5% | 61% | |
| 97 | 6% | 57% | |
| 98 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 99 | 5% | 47% | |
| 100 | 2% | 41% | |
| 101 | 13% | 40% | |
| 102 | 3% | 27% | |
| 103 | 3% | 24% | |
| 104 | 3% | 21% | |
| 105 | 3% | 18% | |
| 106 | 3% | 15% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 108 | 3% | 11% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 111 | 2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 88 | 4% | 91% | |
| 89 | 5% | 87% | |
| 90 | 7% | 82% | |
| 91 | 7% | 75% | |
| 92 | 6% | 68% | |
| 93 | 3% | 62% | |
| 94 | 5% | 59% | |
| 95 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 96 | 8% | 50% | |
| 97 | 2% | 42% | |
| 98 | 3% | 40% | |
| 99 | 4% | 37% | |
| 100 | 11% | 33% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 102 | 2% | 21% | |
| 103 | 5% | 19% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 105 | 2% | 13% | |
| 106 | 3% | 11% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 109 | 3% | 7% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: NC Report
- Commissioner(s): La Razón
- Fieldwork period: 21–25 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%