Opinion Poll by Sondaxe for La Voz de Galicia, 13–21 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 28.2% 26.7–29.7% 26.3–30.2% 26.0–30.5% 25.3–31.3%
Partido Popular 33.0% 19.3% 18.1–20.7% 17.7–21.1% 17.4–21.4% 16.8–22.1%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 14.2% 13.1–15.4% 12.8–15.8% 12.5–16.1% 12.0–16.7%
Vox 0.2% 14.2% 13.1–15.4% 12.8–15.8% 12.5–16.1% 12.0–16.7%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 13.5% 12.5–14.7% 12.1–15.1% 11.9–15.4% 11.4–16.0%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.3%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 114–129 112–132 109–133 105–137
Partido Popular 137 75 70–80 68–82 67–84 64–88
Unidos Podemos 71 38 34–42 33–43 31–45 28–47
Vox 0 44 37–49 35–50 34–54 32–55
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 39 33–45 32–47 31–47 27–52
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 15 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–21
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 7 5–8 4–9 4–9 3–10
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 7 6–8 5–9 4–10 3–10
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 1–5 1–6 1–6 0–7

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.6%  
105 0.2% 99.5%  
106 0.5% 99.4%  
107 0.3% 98.8%  
108 0.2% 98%  
109 0.7% 98%  
110 0.5% 97%  
111 1.5% 97%  
112 3% 96%  
113 1.1% 93%  
114 2% 92%  
115 2% 89%  
116 2% 88%  
117 8% 86%  
118 4% 78%  
119 3% 74%  
120 15% 71%  
121 5% 56%  
122 13% 51% Median
123 6% 38%  
124 4% 32%  
125 2% 28%  
126 2% 26%  
127 6% 24%  
128 4% 18%  
129 5% 14%  
130 2% 9%  
131 0.8% 7%  
132 3% 7%  
133 2% 4%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.8% 2%  
136 0.2% 1.2%  
137 0.7% 0.9%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0.1% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.9% 99.3%  
66 0.6% 98%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 1.3% 94%  
70 3% 93%  
71 4% 90%  
72 6% 85%  
73 10% 80%  
74 15% 70%  
75 16% 55% Median
76 14% 38%  
77 9% 25%  
78 1.2% 16%  
79 3% 15%  
80 3% 12%  
81 3% 9%  
82 2% 6%  
83 0.9% 4%  
84 0.4% 3%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0.4% 2%  
87 0.6% 1.3%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.7%  
29 0.4% 99.5%  
30 0.7% 99.0%  
31 2% 98%  
32 1.3% 96%  
33 3% 95%  
34 4% 93%  
35 13% 88%  
36 8% 75%  
37 12% 68%  
38 18% 56% Median
39 8% 38%  
40 14% 30%  
41 5% 16%  
42 4% 11%  
43 4% 7%  
44 0.7% 3%  
45 0.6% 3%  
46 1.1% 2%  
47 0.6% 0.9%  
48 0.1% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.2% 99.7%  
32 0.2% 99.5%  
33 0.8% 99.3%  
34 2% 98%  
35 3% 97%  
36 2% 94%  
37 6% 92%  
38 7% 86%  
39 3% 79%  
40 5% 76%  
41 2% 71%  
42 3% 69%  
43 10% 66%  
44 15% 56% Median
45 7% 41%  
46 13% 34%  
47 5% 21%  
48 3% 16%  
49 6% 12%  
50 2% 6%  
51 0.5% 4%  
52 0.6% 4%  
53 0.6% 3%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.4% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.7%  
26 0.1% 99.6%  
27 0.1% 99.5%  
28 0.3% 99.4%  
29 0.5% 99.1%  
30 0.8% 98.6%  
31 1.0% 98%  
32 4% 97% Last Result
33 3% 92%  
34 6% 90%  
35 6% 84%  
36 12% 78%  
37 3% 67%  
38 9% 63%  
39 16% 55% Median
40 5% 39%  
41 2% 33%  
42 5% 31%  
43 6% 26%  
44 7% 20%  
45 4% 12%  
46 2% 8%  
47 3% 5%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 0.3% 1.1%  
51 0.2% 0.8%  
52 0.4% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 1.2% 99.5%  
13 6% 98%  
14 21% 92%  
15 36% 71% Median
16 20% 35%  
17 3% 15%  
18 8% 11%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.7% 2%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 99.9%  
4 4% 98%  
5 9% 94%  
6 30% 85%  
7 19% 55% Median
8 30% 37% Last Result
9 6% 7%  
10 0.5% 0.8%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 2% 100%  
4 2% 98%  
5 2% 97% Last Result
6 35% 94%  
7 31% 59% Median
8 22% 29%  
9 3% 7%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 13% 99.3%  
2 16% 86% Last Result
3 19% 70%  
4 33% 51% Median
5 12% 17%  
6 3% 5%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 235 100% 228–243 226–244 225–246 222–250
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 188 198 100% 191–207 189–209 187–210 182–214
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 197 99.9% 189–205 186–208 184–209 181–211
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 192 99.1% 184–199 182–203 179–203 174–207
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 181 85% 174–189 172–193 169–194 165–197
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 178 74% 171–185 168–189 165–191 160–194
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 169 15% 163–177 160–181 157–183 152–186
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 166 9% 159–175 156–178 153–181 149–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 159 0.9% 152–167 150–171 147–174 142–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 160 0.8% 153–168 151–171 149–172 144–177
Partido Popular – Vox – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 157 0.3% 150–165 146–167 146–170 142–175
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 121 0% 113–128 112–131 110–133 105–139
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 0% 114–129 112–132 109–133 105–137
Partido Popular – Vox 137 119 0% 111–126 109–127 108–129 104–134
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 114 0% 107–121 105–124 103–127 99–131
Partido Popular 137 75 0% 70–80 68–82 67–84 64–88

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0.1% 99.9%  
220 0.1% 99.8%  
221 0.1% 99.7%  
222 0.2% 99.6%  
223 0.3% 99.4%  
224 0.3% 99.1%  
225 2% 98.8%  
226 2% 97%  
227 3% 95%  
228 5% 92%  
229 2% 87%  
230 1.3% 84%  
231 2% 83%  
232 7% 81%  
233 6% 74%  
234 16% 68%  
235 2% 52%  
236 10% 50% Median
237 3% 40%  
238 7% 37%  
239 4% 30%  
240 3% 26%  
241 7% 24%  
242 4% 17%  
243 4% 12%  
244 4% 9%  
245 0.7% 5%  
246 2% 4%  
247 0.4% 2%  
248 0.8% 2%  
249 0.5% 1.0%  
250 0.2% 0.5%  
251 0.1% 0.4%  
252 0.1% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1% Last Result
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.7%  
182 0.2% 99.7%  
183 0.3% 99.4%  
184 0.2% 99.1%  
185 0.7% 98.9%  
186 0.7% 98%  
187 1.0% 98%  
188 1.0% 97% Last Result
189 2% 96%  
190 0.7% 94%  
191 4% 93%  
192 0.9% 89%  
193 4% 88%  
194 4% 84%  
195 10% 79%  
196 9% 70%  
197 11% 61%  
198 4% 50%  
199 4% 46% Median
200 3% 42%  
201 7% 40%  
202 11% 33%  
203 3% 22%  
204 3% 19%  
205 3% 16%  
206 2% 13%  
207 4% 11%  
208 2% 7%  
209 2% 5%  
210 1.4% 3%  
211 0.3% 2%  
212 0.5% 1.2%  
213 0.1% 0.7%  
214 0.2% 0.6%  
215 0.2% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0.1% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9% Majority
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.7%  
180 0.1% 99.6%  
181 0.3% 99.6%  
182 0.3% 99.2%  
183 0.3% 99.0%  
184 2% 98.7%  
185 0.5% 97%  
186 2% 97%  
187 2% 95%  
188 2% 93%  
189 3% 91%  
190 4% 88%  
191 2% 85%  
192 2% 83%  
193 3% 81%  
194 5% 78%  
195 14% 73%  
196 8% 59%  
197 9% 51% Median
198 12% 42%  
199 4% 29%  
200 3% 25%  
201 3% 22%  
202 6% 19%  
203 0.9% 13%  
204 2% 12%  
205 3% 10%  
206 0.4% 8%  
207 0.7% 7%  
208 4% 7%  
209 0.3% 3%  
210 2% 2%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.2% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0.1% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.8%  
174 0.2% 99.7%  
175 0.3% 99.5%  
176 0.3% 99.1% Majority
177 0.4% 98.8%  
178 0.3% 98%  
179 0.8% 98%  
180 0.9% 97% Last Result
181 1.1% 96%  
182 0.8% 95%  
183 2% 94%  
184 3% 93%  
185 3% 90%  
186 3% 86%  
187 3% 83%  
188 4% 80%  
189 7% 77%  
190 3% 70%  
191 14% 66%  
192 10% 52%  
193 10% 42% Median
194 7% 32%  
195 3% 26%  
196 4% 23%  
197 1.5% 19%  
198 5% 17%  
199 3% 12%  
200 1.2% 9%  
201 0.7% 8%  
202 2% 7%  
203 3% 5%  
204 0.5% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.8% 1.4%  
207 0.2% 0.6%  
208 0.2% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.1% 99.7%  
165 0.2% 99.6%  
166 0.5% 99.3%  
167 0.2% 98.9%  
168 0.9% 98.6%  
169 0.5% 98%  
170 0.8% 97%  
171 1.0% 96%  
172 1.1% 95%  
173 3% 94% Last Result
174 3% 91%  
175 2% 87%  
176 3% 85% Majority
177 3% 82%  
178 4% 79%  
179 5% 75%  
180 12% 70%  
181 9% 58%  
182 9% 49% Median
183 9% 40%  
184 3% 32%  
185 3% 28%  
186 5% 26%  
187 5% 20%  
188 4% 15%  
189 0.9% 11%  
190 2% 10%  
191 2% 8%  
192 0.9% 6%  
193 1.4% 5%  
194 2% 4%  
195 0.4% 2%  
196 0.8% 1.4%  
197 0.2% 0.7%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0.1% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.3% 99.7%  
161 0.6% 99.4%  
162 0.2% 98.8%  
163 0.1% 98.6%  
164 0.2% 98%  
165 1.0% 98%  
166 1.4% 97%  
167 0.6% 96% Last Result
168 1.2% 95%  
169 0.8% 94%  
170 3% 93%  
171 1.2% 90%  
172 7% 89%  
173 3% 82%  
174 1.1% 79%  
175 4% 78%  
176 14% 74% Majority
177 6% 60%  
178 12% 54%  
179 4% 42% Median
180 6% 38%  
181 7% 32%  
182 3% 25%  
183 3% 23%  
184 6% 19%  
185 3% 13%  
186 1.3% 10%  
187 0.8% 9%  
188 1.2% 8%  
189 2% 7%  
190 2% 5%  
191 2% 3%  
192 0.2% 2%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.7% 1.2%  
195 0.2% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.6%  
153 0.2% 99.4%  
154 0.6% 99.2%  
155 0.4% 98.5%  
156 0.3% 98%  
157 0.9% 98%  
158 1.2% 97%  
159 0.5% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 0.7% 93%  
162 2% 92%  
163 5% 90% Last Result
164 4% 85%  
165 3% 81%  
166 3% 78%  
167 5% 75%  
168 8% 70%  
169 13% 62%  
170 3% 48%  
171 12% 45% Median
172 6% 33%  
173 5% 27%  
174 2% 23%  
175 5% 21%  
176 1.5% 15% Majority
177 4% 14%  
178 2% 10%  
179 1.0% 8%  
180 0.8% 7%  
181 1.4% 6%  
182 2% 5%  
183 2% 3%  
184 0.2% 1.3%  
185 0.2% 1.0%  
186 0.6% 0.9%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0.1% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.7%  
149 0.1% 99.5%  
150 0.3% 99.4%  
151 0.4% 99.1%  
152 0.5% 98.7%  
153 1.0% 98%  
154 0.7% 97%  
155 0.5% 96%  
156 1.4% 96%  
157 0.7% 94%  
158 2% 94%  
159 8% 92%  
160 3% 84%  
161 1.5% 82% Last Result
162 3% 80%  
163 5% 77%  
164 4% 72%  
165 17% 68%  
166 5% 52%  
167 5% 47% Median
168 8% 41%  
169 5% 33%  
170 4% 28%  
171 1.2% 23%  
172 6% 22%  
173 4% 16%  
174 2% 12%  
175 2% 10%  
176 2% 9% Majority
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 5%  
179 0.6% 3%  
180 0.1% 3%  
181 0.4% 3%  
182 2% 2%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.4%  
144 0.3% 99.4%  
145 0.8% 99.0%  
146 0.6% 98%  
147 1.1% 98%  
148 0.7% 96%  
149 0.5% 96%  
150 2% 95%  
151 1.3% 93%  
152 5% 92%  
153 4% 86%  
154 1.3% 82%  
155 3% 81%  
156 3% 78% Last Result
157 10% 75%  
158 14% 65%  
159 4% 51%  
160 7% 47% Median
161 7% 40%  
162 2% 33%  
163 5% 31%  
164 4% 26%  
165 4% 22%  
166 4% 17%  
167 3% 13%  
168 0.8% 10%  
169 2% 9%  
170 2% 7%  
171 0.5% 5%  
172 2% 5%  
173 0.4% 3%  
174 1.5% 3%  
175 0.2% 1.2%  
176 0.6% 0.9% Majority
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.4%  
146 0.4% 99.2%  
147 0.6% 98.8%  
148 0.4% 98%  
149 0.9% 98%  
150 0.3% 97%  
151 4% 97%  
152 2% 92%  
153 5% 91%  
154 1.5% 85%  
155 1.0% 84%  
156 4% 83%  
157 2% 79%  
158 6% 77%  
159 14% 71%  
160 9% 57%  
161 4% 48% Median
162 8% 44%  
163 3% 36%  
164 2% 32%  
165 9% 30%  
166 2% 21%  
167 7% 19%  
168 3% 12%  
169 2% 9%  
170 1.2% 7%  
171 3% 6%  
172 1.4% 3%  
173 0.4% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.1%  
175 0.2% 1.0%  
176 0.1% 0.8% Majority
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.2% 0.3%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.2% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.8% 99.4%  
144 0.4% 98.6%  
145 0.5% 98%  
146 3% 98%  
147 2% 95%  
148 0.7% 93%  
149 1.2% 92%  
150 3% 91%  
151 5% 88%  
152 1.5% 83%  
153 4% 81%  
154 3% 77%  
155 7% 74%  
156 10% 68%  
157 10% 58%  
158 14% 48% Median
159 3% 34%  
160 7% 30%  
161 4% 23%  
162 3% 20%  
163 3% 17%  
164 3% 14%  
165 3% 10%  
166 2% 7%  
167 0.8% 6%  
168 1.1% 5%  
169 0.9% 4% Last Result
170 0.8% 3%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.4% 2%  
173 0.3% 1.2%  
174 0.3% 0.9%  
175 0.2% 0.5%  
176 0.2% 0.3% Majority
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.8%  
105 0.4% 99.6%  
106 0.5% 99.2%  
107 0.2% 98.8%  
108 0.5% 98.5%  
109 0.3% 98%  
110 0.8% 98%  
111 2% 97%  
112 4% 95%  
113 2% 91%  
114 2% 90%  
115 3% 88%  
116 7% 85%  
117 5% 78%  
118 9% 73%  
119 4% 64%  
120 4% 60%  
121 13% 56% Median
122 11% 43%  
123 5% 32%  
124 2% 27%  
125 5% 26%  
126 8% 21%  
127 2% 13%  
128 2% 11%  
129 1.4% 10%  
130 3% 8%  
131 2% 5%  
132 0.7% 4%  
133 0.6% 3%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.2% 2%  
136 0.3% 1.4%  
137 0.3% 1.1%  
138 0.3% 0.8%  
139 0.1% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.2% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.6%  
105 0.2% 99.5%  
106 0.5% 99.4%  
107 0.3% 98.8%  
108 0.2% 98%  
109 0.7% 98%  
110 0.5% 97%  
111 1.5% 97%  
112 3% 96%  
113 1.1% 93%  
114 2% 92%  
115 2% 89%  
116 2% 88%  
117 8% 86%  
118 4% 78%  
119 3% 74%  
120 15% 71%  
121 5% 56%  
122 13% 51% Median
123 6% 38%  
124 4% 32%  
125 2% 28%  
126 2% 26%  
127 6% 24%  
128 4% 18%  
129 5% 14%  
130 2% 9%  
131 0.8% 7%  
132 3% 7%  
133 2% 4%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.8% 2%  
136 0.2% 1.2%  
137 0.7% 0.9%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0.1% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0.1% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.6%  
104 0.2% 99.5%  
105 0.2% 99.3%  
106 0.2% 99.1%  
107 1.1% 98.9%  
108 2% 98%  
109 1.5% 96%  
110 2% 94%  
111 3% 92%  
112 5% 89%  
113 6% 84%  
114 5% 79%  
115 3% 74%  
116 5% 71%  
117 4% 66%  
118 5% 62%  
119 22% 57% Median
120 6% 34%  
121 6% 29%  
122 6% 23%  
123 3% 17%  
124 3% 15%  
125 1.4% 12%  
126 4% 10%  
127 2% 7%  
128 1.1% 4%  
129 0.8% 3%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 0.2% 2%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.4% 1.0%  
134 0.1% 0.6%  
135 0.2% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1% Last Result
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.7%  
99 0.5% 99.6%  
100 0.4% 99.1%  
101 0.2% 98.6%  
102 0.7% 98%  
103 0.4% 98%  
104 0.6% 97%  
105 2% 97%  
106 5% 95%  
107 3% 90%  
108 4% 88%  
109 7% 84%  
110 6% 77%  
111 5% 71%  
112 4% 66%  
113 4% 62%  
114 18% 58% Median
115 4% 40%  
116 7% 36%  
117 3% 29%  
118 8% 26%  
119 4% 18%  
120 4% 14%  
121 1.3% 10%  
122 1.1% 9%  
123 0.8% 8%  
124 3% 7%  
125 1.3% 4%  
126 0.5% 3%  
127 0.7% 3%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.1% 1.2%  
130 0.4% 1.1%  
131 0.2% 0.7%  
132 0.1% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.4%  
134 0.2% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.9% 99.3%  
66 0.6% 98%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 1.3% 94%  
70 3% 93%  
71 4% 90%  
72 6% 85%  
73 10% 80%  
74 15% 70%  
75 16% 55% Median
76 14% 38%  
77 9% 25%  
78 1.2% 16%  
79 3% 15%  
80 3% 12%  
81 3% 9%  
82 2% 6%  
83 0.9% 4%  
84 0.4% 3%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0.4% 2%  
87 0.6% 1.3%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations