Opinion Poll by Sigma Dos for El Mundo, 19–22 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.3% 25.7–29.0% 25.3–29.5% 24.9–29.9% 24.1–30.8%
Partido Popular 33.0% 19.1% 17.7–20.6% 17.3–21.0% 16.9–21.4% 16.3–22.2%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 16.0% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8% 14.0–18.2% 13.4–18.9%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 14.4% 13.2–15.8% 12.8–16.2% 12.5–16.5% 12.0–17.2%
Vox 0.2% 13.3% 12.1–14.7% 11.8–15.1% 11.5–15.4% 11.0–16.0%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 117 108–125 107–128 105–131 97–136
Partido Popular 137 75 67–81 64–84 63–87 59–91
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 53 46–59 45–61 43–63 38–65
Unidos Podemos 71 40 35–45 34–46 33–49 29–54
Vox 0 38 32–45 30–48 28–50 26–52
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 14 12–16 11–18 11–18 9–20
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–8 3–8 3–9 2–10
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 4 1–6 1–6 1–8 1–8

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.1% 99.6%  
98 0.1% 99.5%  
99 0.2% 99.3%  
100 0.1% 99.1%  
101 0.3% 99.0%  
102 0.2% 98.7%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.6% 98%  
105 0.7% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 2% 95%  
108 4% 93%  
109 3% 89%  
110 4% 86%  
111 4% 82%  
112 3% 78%  
113 6% 75%  
114 5% 69%  
115 3% 63%  
116 5% 60%  
117 6% 55% Median
118 4% 49%  
119 11% 45%  
120 5% 34%  
121 3% 29%  
122 5% 27%  
123 5% 22%  
124 5% 16%  
125 3% 11%  
126 2% 8%  
127 1.0% 7%  
128 0.9% 6%  
129 1.1% 5%  
130 1.1% 4%  
131 0.7% 3%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.1%  
135 0.2% 0.9%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.2% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.5%  
61 0.7% 99.1%  
62 0.8% 98%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 3% 97%  
65 1.1% 94%  
66 1.2% 92%  
67 4% 91%  
68 2% 87%  
69 3% 86%  
70 4% 83%  
71 4% 79%  
72 10% 75%  
73 6% 64%  
74 6% 59%  
75 11% 52% Median
76 8% 41%  
77 8% 32%  
78 4% 24%  
79 5% 21%  
80 3% 16%  
81 4% 13%  
82 2% 9%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.7% 4%  
86 0.2% 3%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.4%  
90 0.3% 1.0%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.4% 99.8%  
39 0.4% 99.4%  
40 0.5% 99.0%  
41 0.4% 98.5%  
42 0.4% 98%  
43 0.7% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 3% 95%  
46 3% 93%  
47 5% 90%  
48 4% 85%  
49 5% 81%  
50 11% 76%  
51 6% 64%  
52 4% 58%  
53 12% 54% Median
54 11% 42%  
55 7% 32%  
56 4% 25%  
57 4% 20%  
58 4% 16%  
59 3% 12%  
60 2% 9%  
61 3% 7%  
62 1.3% 4%  
63 1.3% 3%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.3% 0.7%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 99.5%  
31 0.5% 99.2%  
32 1.0% 98.7%  
33 1.2% 98%  
34 3% 97%  
35 4% 93%  
36 12% 90%  
37 10% 77%  
38 8% 67%  
39 9% 59%  
40 8% 50% Median
41 9% 43%  
42 7% 34%  
43 9% 27%  
44 4% 18%  
45 6% 14%  
46 2% 7%  
47 1.0% 5%  
48 1.2% 4%  
49 0.7% 3%  
50 0.6% 2%  
51 0.3% 1.2%  
52 0.1% 0.9%  
53 0.2% 0.8%  
54 0.2% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.8%  
27 1.2% 99.4%  
28 2% 98%  
29 1.2% 97%  
30 2% 95%  
31 2% 94%  
32 4% 92%  
33 10% 88%  
34 8% 78%  
35 7% 70%  
36 6% 63%  
37 4% 58%  
38 5% 53% Median
39 9% 48%  
40 7% 40%  
41 7% 33%  
42 5% 26%  
43 3% 21%  
44 5% 18%  
45 4% 12%  
46 2% 9%  
47 0.7% 7%  
48 2% 6%  
49 2% 5%  
50 0.8% 3%  
51 1.0% 2%  
52 0.5% 0.9%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.9% Last Result
10 1.1% 98.7%  
11 3% 98%  
12 10% 95%  
13 13% 85%  
14 35% 73% Median
15 23% 37%  
16 4% 14%  
17 4% 10%  
18 3% 6%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.5% 99.9%  
3 13% 99.5%  
4 3% 87%  
5 4% 84% Last Result
6 54% 80% Median
7 10% 26%  
8 12% 16%  
9 3% 4%  
10 1.3% 1.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 10% 99.9%  
2 3% 90%  
3 22% 87%  
4 32% 65% Median
5 13% 33%  
6 16% 20%  
7 2% 5%  
8 2% 3% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 244 100% 236–251 232–253 231–255 226–259
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 210 100% 201–218 198–221 195–224 189–229
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 192 98.6% 182–200 179–203 177–205 171–209
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 175 48% 167–183 165–187 163–189 158–194
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 170 14% 161–177 158–181 155–183 149–189
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 165 5% 157–173 154–175 152–177 147–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 163 4% 155–171 152–175 149–177 144–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 157 0.5% 149–165 146–168 143–171 138–176
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 133 0% 124–141 121–144 119–146 115–151
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 127 0% 118–135 116–137 113–140 109–145
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 117 0% 108–125 107–128 105–131 97–136
Partido Popular – Vox 137 112 0% 104–121 102–124 99–126 94–132
Partido Popular 137 75 0% 67–81 64–84 63–87 59–91

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0.1% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.8%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.1% 99.7%  
226 0.2% 99.6%  
227 0.2% 99.3%  
228 0.3% 99.1%  
229 0.4% 98.8%  
230 0.5% 98%  
231 2% 98%  
232 2% 96%  
233 0.9% 94%  
234 1.0% 93%  
235 1.2% 92%  
236 1.4% 91%  
237 2% 90%  
238 4% 88%  
239 5% 84%  
240 5% 79%  
241 6% 74%  
242 5% 68%  
243 4% 63%  
244 12% 59%  
245 6% 48% Median
246 8% 42%  
247 4% 34%  
248 6% 30%  
249 5% 23%  
250 7% 18%  
251 2% 11%  
252 3% 9%  
253 1.3% 6%  
254 1.2% 5% Last Result
255 1.1% 4%  
256 1.1% 2%  
257 0.5% 1.3%  
258 0.2% 0.8%  
259 0.2% 0.6%  
260 0.2% 0.3%  
261 0.1% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
189 0.2% 99.7%  
190 0.1% 99.4%  
191 0.3% 99.4%  
192 0.3% 99.1%  
193 0.3% 98.8%  
194 0.4% 98%  
195 0.7% 98%  
196 0.9% 97%  
197 0.7% 96%  
198 2% 96%  
199 2% 94%  
200 1.2% 92%  
201 4% 91%  
202 1.2% 87%  
203 3% 86%  
204 6% 83%  
205 3% 77%  
206 5% 74%  
207 6% 70%  
208 4% 64%  
209 9% 60%  
210 6% 51% Median
211 9% 45%  
212 4% 36%  
213 4% 31%  
214 7% 27%  
215 3% 21%  
216 2% 18%  
217 3% 15%  
218 3% 12%  
219 2% 9%  
220 1.2% 7%  
221 1.3% 6%  
222 0.6% 4%  
223 0.7% 4%  
224 1.0% 3%  
225 0.3% 2%  
226 0.5% 2%  
227 0.3% 1.1%  
228 0.1% 0.8%  
229 0.2% 0.7%  
230 0.2% 0.5%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0.1% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.7%  
171 0.1% 99.5%  
172 0.1% 99.4%  
173 0.2% 99.3%  
174 0.2% 99.1%  
175 0.2% 98.9%  
176 0.6% 98.6% Majority
177 0.6% 98%  
178 2% 97%  
179 0.8% 95%  
180 1.3% 94%  
181 1.1% 93%  
182 2% 92%  
183 2% 90%  
184 2% 87%  
185 4% 85%  
186 5% 81%  
187 5% 75%  
188 2% 71%  
189 5% 69%  
190 4% 64%  
191 8% 59%  
192 7% 51% Median
193 4% 44%  
194 8% 39%  
195 6% 31%  
196 2% 25%  
197 5% 24%  
198 2% 19%  
199 4% 17%  
200 5% 13%  
201 1.0% 8%  
202 2% 7%  
203 1.3% 5%  
204 0.8% 4%  
205 1.2% 3%  
206 0.6% 2%  
207 0.4% 1.2%  
208 0.2% 0.8%  
209 0.2% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.3% 99.5%  
159 0.1% 99.2%  
160 0.4% 99.1%  
161 0.3% 98.7%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 1.0% 98%  
164 1.4% 97%  
165 0.6% 95%  
166 2% 95%  
167 4% 93%  
168 2% 88%  
169 5% 86%  
170 4% 82%  
171 3% 78%  
172 6% 74%  
173 6% 68% Last Result
174 11% 62%  
175 3% 51% Median
176 8% 48% Majority
177 7% 40%  
178 6% 33%  
179 4% 26%  
180 3% 22%  
181 5% 19%  
182 3% 14%  
183 2% 12%  
184 3% 9%  
185 0.6% 7%  
186 0.8% 6%  
187 2% 5%  
188 0.6% 3%  
189 0.7% 3%  
190 0.6% 2%  
191 0.5% 1.5%  
192 0.2% 1.0%  
193 0.2% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.7%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.1% 99.4%  
151 0.4% 99.3%  
152 0.2% 98.9%  
153 0.3% 98.7%  
154 0.7% 98%  
155 0.5% 98%  
156 0.5% 97%  
157 1.2% 97%  
158 1.2% 96%  
159 2% 94%  
160 2% 92%  
161 2% 90%  
162 1.3% 88%  
163 5% 87%  
164 2% 82%  
165 3% 80%  
166 8% 77%  
167 6% 70%  
168 3% 64%  
169 7% 61%  
170 7% 54% Median
171 5% 47%  
172 7% 42%  
173 11% 35%  
174 4% 24%  
175 6% 20%  
176 2% 14% Majority
177 2% 12%  
178 0.9% 10%  
179 1.1% 9%  
180 2% 8%  
181 2% 6%  
182 0.7% 4%  
183 0.6% 3%  
184 0.7% 2%  
185 0.6% 2%  
186 0.2% 1.3%  
187 0.3% 1.1%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0.3% 0.6%  
190 0% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 0.3% 99.3%  
149 0.5% 99.0%  
150 0.6% 98.6%  
151 0.4% 98%  
152 0.9% 98%  
153 0.6% 97%  
154 2% 96%  
155 1.0% 94%  
156 1.2% 93%  
157 3% 92%  
158 2% 89%  
159 3% 88%  
160 5% 85%  
161 5% 80%  
162 6% 74%  
163 6% 69%  
164 9% 62%  
165 4% 53%  
166 9% 50% Median
167 9% 41%  
168 4% 31%  
169 5% 27% Last Result
170 2% 22%  
171 4% 20%  
172 4% 16%  
173 4% 12%  
174 2% 8%  
175 2% 6%  
176 2% 5% Majority
177 0.9% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.3%  
181 0.2% 0.9%  
182 0.2% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0.1% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.3% 99.1%  
148 0.4% 98.9%  
149 1.0% 98%  
150 0.8% 97%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 1.0% 96%  
153 2% 95%  
154 2% 93%  
155 4% 91%  
156 3% 87%  
157 3% 84%  
158 5% 81%  
159 7% 76%  
160 4% 69%  
161 9% 66% Last Result
162 5% 56%  
163 5% 51% Median
164 9% 47%  
165 6% 38%  
166 3% 32%  
167 5% 28%  
168 3% 23%  
169 3% 20%  
170 5% 17%  
171 2% 12%  
172 2% 10%  
173 1.2% 8%  
174 1.5% 6%  
175 0.8% 5%  
176 1.4% 4% Majority
177 0.7% 3%  
178 0.5% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.2%  
181 0.2% 0.8%  
182 0.1% 0.6%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.1% 99.5%  
140 0.2% 99.4%  
141 0.4% 99.2%  
142 0.6% 98.8%  
143 1.0% 98%  
144 0.7% 97%  
145 0.6% 97%  
146 1.0% 96%  
147 2% 95%  
148 3% 93%  
149 3% 91%  
150 5% 88%  
151 3% 82%  
152 3% 79%  
153 6% 76%  
154 4% 70%  
155 10% 65%  
156 4% 56% Last Result
157 4% 52% Median
158 7% 48%  
159 7% 40%  
160 4% 33%  
161 7% 29%  
162 2% 22%  
163 3% 20%  
164 5% 17%  
165 2% 12%  
166 2% 10%  
167 1.2% 8%  
168 2% 6%  
169 0.7% 5%  
170 1.5% 4%  
171 0.6% 3%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.2%  
175 0.3% 0.8%  
176 0.1% 0.5% Majority
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.2% 99.5%  
116 0.2% 99.3%  
117 0.4% 99.1%  
118 0.6% 98.7%  
119 0.8% 98%  
120 1.0% 97%  
121 2% 96%  
122 1.0% 95%  
123 2% 94%  
124 2% 91%  
125 3% 89%  
126 3% 86%  
127 2% 83%  
128 4% 81%  
129 6% 76%  
130 4% 71%  
131 8% 67%  
132 5% 59%  
133 9% 54%  
134 5% 46% Median
135 5% 41%  
136 6% 36%  
137 4% 29%  
138 5% 25%  
139 4% 20%  
140 4% 16%  
141 3% 12%  
142 2% 9%  
143 1.3% 7%  
144 0.9% 6%  
145 2% 5%  
146 0.9% 3%  
147 0.6% 2%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.3% 1.0%  
150 0.2% 0.7%  
151 0.2% 0.6%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.2% 99.6%  
110 0.2% 99.4%  
111 0.4% 99.2%  
112 0.6% 98.8%  
113 0.9% 98%  
114 0.6% 97%  
115 2% 97%  
116 1.0% 95%  
117 3% 94%  
118 2% 91%  
119 4% 89%  
120 2% 85%  
121 3% 84%  
122 4% 81%  
123 6% 77%  
124 3% 70%  
125 8% 67%  
126 4% 59%  
127 10% 56%  
128 6% 46% Median
129 5% 40%  
130 6% 35%  
131 3% 29%  
132 6% 26%  
133 5% 20%  
134 3% 15%  
135 3% 12%  
136 3% 9%  
137 2% 7%  
138 0.7% 5%  
139 1.1% 4%  
140 0.8% 3%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.3% 1.4%  
143 0.4% 1.1%  
144 0.2% 0.7%  
145 0.2% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.1% 99.6%  
98 0.1% 99.5%  
99 0.2% 99.3%  
100 0.1% 99.1%  
101 0.3% 99.0%  
102 0.2% 98.7%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.6% 98%  
105 0.7% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 2% 95%  
108 4% 93%  
109 3% 89%  
110 4% 86%  
111 4% 82%  
112 3% 78%  
113 6% 75%  
114 5% 69%  
115 3% 63%  
116 5% 60%  
117 6% 55% Median
118 4% 49%  
119 11% 45%  
120 5% 34%  
121 3% 29%  
122 5% 27%  
123 5% 22%  
124 5% 16%  
125 3% 11%  
126 2% 8%  
127 1.0% 7%  
128 0.9% 6%  
129 1.1% 5%  
130 1.1% 4%  
131 0.7% 3%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.1%  
135 0.2% 0.9%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.2% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.2% 99.4%  
96 0.3% 99.2%  
97 0.4% 98.9%  
98 0.6% 98%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 0.9% 97%  
101 0.6% 96%  
102 2% 96%  
103 2% 94%  
104 2% 92%  
105 3% 90%  
106 3% 87%  
107 2% 83%  
108 3% 81%  
109 4% 78%  
110 10% 74%  
111 7% 64%  
112 9% 57%  
113 9% 48% Median
114 5% 39%  
115 5% 34%  
116 5% 29%  
117 4% 24%  
118 3% 20%  
119 2% 17%  
120 3% 14%  
121 3% 11%  
122 1.0% 8%  
123 1.5% 7%  
124 2% 5%  
125 0.6% 3%  
126 0.4% 3%  
127 0.8% 2%  
128 0.5% 2%  
129 0.2% 1.2%  
130 0.1% 1.0%  
131 0.2% 0.9%  
132 0.3% 0.7%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.5%  
61 0.7% 99.1%  
62 0.8% 98%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 3% 97%  
65 1.1% 94%  
66 1.2% 92%  
67 4% 91%  
68 2% 87%  
69 3% 86%  
70 4% 83%  
71 4% 79%  
72 10% 75%  
73 6% 64%  
74 6% 59%  
75 11% 52% Median
76 8% 41%  
77 8% 32%  
78 4% 24%  
79 5% 21%  
80 3% 16%  
81 4% 13%  
82 2% 9%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.7% 4%  
86 0.2% 3%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.4%  
90 0.3% 1.0%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations