Opinion Poll by Sigma Dos for El Mundo, 19–22 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 27.3% | 25.7–29.0% | 25.3–29.5% | 24.9–29.9% | 24.1–30.8% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 19.1% | 17.7–20.6% | 17.3–21.0% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.3–22.2% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 14.4% | 13.2–15.8% | 12.8–16.2% | 12.5–16.5% | 12.0–17.2% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 13.3% | 12.1–14.7% | 11.8–15.1% | 11.5–15.4% | 11.0–16.0% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.4–4.1% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.7% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 117 | 108–125 | 107–128 | 105–131 | 97–136 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 75 | 67–81 | 64–84 | 63–87 | 59–91 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 53 | 46–59 | 45–61 | 43–63 | 38–65 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 40 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 33–49 | 29–54 |
| Vox | 0 | 38 | 32–45 | 30–48 | 28–50 | 26–52 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–18 | 11–18 | 9–20 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–10 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–8 | 1–8 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 95% | |
| 108 | 4% | 93% | |
| 109 | 3% | 89% | |
| 110 | 4% | 86% | |
| 111 | 4% | 82% | |
| 112 | 3% | 78% | |
| 113 | 6% | 75% | |
| 114 | 5% | 69% | |
| 115 | 3% | 63% | |
| 116 | 5% | 60% | |
| 117 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 118 | 4% | 49% | |
| 119 | 11% | 45% | |
| 120 | 5% | 34% | |
| 121 | 3% | 29% | |
| 122 | 5% | 27% | |
| 123 | 5% | 22% | |
| 124 | 5% | 16% | |
| 125 | 3% | 11% | |
| 126 | 2% | 8% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 67 | 4% | 91% | |
| 68 | 2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 3% | 86% | |
| 70 | 4% | 83% | |
| 71 | 4% | 79% | |
| 72 | 10% | 75% | |
| 73 | 6% | 64% | |
| 74 | 6% | 59% | |
| 75 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 41% | |
| 77 | 8% | 32% | |
| 78 | 4% | 24% | |
| 79 | 5% | 21% | |
| 80 | 3% | 16% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 95% | |
| 46 | 3% | 93% | |
| 47 | 5% | 90% | |
| 48 | 4% | 85% | |
| 49 | 5% | 81% | |
| 50 | 11% | 76% | |
| 51 | 6% | 64% | |
| 52 | 4% | 58% | |
| 53 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 54 | 11% | 42% | |
| 55 | 7% | 32% | |
| 56 | 4% | 25% | |
| 57 | 4% | 20% | |
| 58 | 4% | 16% | |
| 59 | 3% | 12% | |
| 60 | 2% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 7% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 3% | 97% | |
| 35 | 4% | 93% | |
| 36 | 12% | 90% | |
| 37 | 10% | 77% | |
| 38 | 8% | 67% | |
| 39 | 9% | 59% | |
| 40 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 41 | 9% | 43% | |
| 42 | 7% | 34% | |
| 43 | 9% | 27% | |
| 44 | 4% | 18% | |
| 45 | 6% | 14% | |
| 46 | 2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 30 | 2% | 95% | |
| 31 | 2% | 94% | |
| 32 | 4% | 92% | |
| 33 | 10% | 88% | |
| 34 | 8% | 78% | |
| 35 | 7% | 70% | |
| 36 | 6% | 63% | |
| 37 | 4% | 58% | |
| 38 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 39 | 9% | 48% | |
| 40 | 7% | 40% | |
| 41 | 7% | 33% | |
| 42 | 5% | 26% | |
| 43 | 3% | 21% | |
| 44 | 5% | 18% | |
| 45 | 4% | 12% | |
| 46 | 2% | 9% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 10% | 95% | |
| 13 | 13% | 85% | |
| 14 | 35% | 73% | Median |
| 15 | 23% | 37% | |
| 16 | 4% | 14% | |
| 17 | 4% | 10% | |
| 18 | 3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 13% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 3% | 87% | |
| 5 | 4% | 84% | Last Result |
| 6 | 54% | 80% | Median |
| 7 | 10% | 26% | |
| 8 | 12% | 16% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 3% | 90% | |
| 3 | 22% | 87% | |
| 4 | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 33% | |
| 6 | 16% | 20% | |
| 7 | 2% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 244 | 100% | 236–251 | 232–253 | 231–255 | 226–259 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 210 | 100% | 201–218 | 198–221 | 195–224 | 189–229 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 192 | 98.6% | 182–200 | 179–203 | 177–205 | 171–209 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 175 | 48% | 167–183 | 165–187 | 163–189 | 158–194 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 170 | 14% | 161–177 | 158–181 | 155–183 | 149–189 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 165 | 5% | 157–173 | 154–175 | 152–177 | 147–183 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 163 | 4% | 155–171 | 152–175 | 149–177 | 144–182 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 157 | 0.5% | 149–165 | 146–168 | 143–171 | 138–176 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 133 | 0% | 124–141 | 121–144 | 119–146 | 115–151 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 127 | 0% | 118–135 | 116–137 | 113–140 | 109–145 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 117 | 0% | 108–125 | 107–128 | 105–131 | 97–136 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 112 | 0% | 104–121 | 102–124 | 99–126 | 94–132 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 75 | 0% | 67–81 | 64–84 | 63–87 | 59–91 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 221 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 223 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 226 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 229 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 230 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 231 | 2% | 98% | |
| 232 | 2% | 96% | |
| 233 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 234 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 235 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 236 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 237 | 2% | 90% | |
| 238 | 4% | 88% | |
| 239 | 5% | 84% | |
| 240 | 5% | 79% | |
| 241 | 6% | 74% | |
| 242 | 5% | 68% | |
| 243 | 4% | 63% | |
| 244 | 12% | 59% | |
| 245 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 246 | 8% | 42% | |
| 247 | 4% | 34% | |
| 248 | 6% | 30% | |
| 249 | 5% | 23% | |
| 250 | 7% | 18% | |
| 251 | 2% | 11% | |
| 252 | 3% | 9% | |
| 253 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 254 | 1.2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 255 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 256 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 257 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 258 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 259 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 260 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 198 | 2% | 96% | |
| 199 | 2% | 94% | |
| 200 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 201 | 4% | 91% | |
| 202 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 203 | 3% | 86% | |
| 204 | 6% | 83% | |
| 205 | 3% | 77% | |
| 206 | 5% | 74% | |
| 207 | 6% | 70% | |
| 208 | 4% | 64% | |
| 209 | 9% | 60% | |
| 210 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 211 | 9% | 45% | |
| 212 | 4% | 36% | |
| 213 | 4% | 31% | |
| 214 | 7% | 27% | |
| 215 | 3% | 21% | |
| 216 | 2% | 18% | |
| 217 | 3% | 15% | |
| 218 | 3% | 12% | |
| 219 | 2% | 9% | |
| 220 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 221 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 222 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 223 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 224 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 225 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 226 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 178 | 2% | 97% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 182 | 2% | 92% | |
| 183 | 2% | 90% | |
| 184 | 2% | 87% | |
| 185 | 4% | 85% | |
| 186 | 5% | 81% | |
| 187 | 5% | 75% | |
| 188 | 2% | 71% | |
| 189 | 5% | 69% | |
| 190 | 4% | 64% | |
| 191 | 8% | 59% | |
| 192 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 193 | 4% | 44% | |
| 194 | 8% | 39% | |
| 195 | 6% | 31% | |
| 196 | 2% | 25% | |
| 197 | 5% | 24% | |
| 198 | 2% | 19% | |
| 199 | 4% | 17% | |
| 200 | 5% | 13% | |
| 201 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 202 | 2% | 7% | |
| 203 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 206 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 166 | 2% | 95% | |
| 167 | 4% | 93% | |
| 168 | 2% | 88% | |
| 169 | 5% | 86% | |
| 170 | 4% | 82% | |
| 171 | 3% | 78% | |
| 172 | 6% | 74% | |
| 173 | 6% | 68% | Last Result |
| 174 | 11% | 62% | |
| 175 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 176 | 8% | 48% | Majority |
| 177 | 7% | 40% | |
| 178 | 6% | 33% | |
| 179 | 4% | 26% | |
| 180 | 3% | 22% | |
| 181 | 5% | 19% | |
| 182 | 3% | 14% | |
| 183 | 2% | 12% | |
| 184 | 3% | 9% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 187 | 2% | 5% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 159 | 2% | 94% | |
| 160 | 2% | 92% | |
| 161 | 2% | 90% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 163 | 5% | 87% | |
| 164 | 2% | 82% | |
| 165 | 3% | 80% | |
| 166 | 8% | 77% | |
| 167 | 6% | 70% | |
| 168 | 3% | 64% | |
| 169 | 7% | 61% | |
| 170 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 171 | 5% | 47% | |
| 172 | 7% | 42% | |
| 173 | 11% | 35% | |
| 174 | 4% | 24% | |
| 175 | 6% | 20% | |
| 176 | 2% | 14% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 12% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 180 | 2% | 8% | |
| 181 | 2% | 6% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 154 | 2% | 96% | |
| 155 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 157 | 3% | 92% | |
| 158 | 2% | 89% | |
| 159 | 3% | 88% | |
| 160 | 5% | 85% | |
| 161 | 5% | 80% | |
| 162 | 6% | 74% | |
| 163 | 6% | 69% | |
| 164 | 9% | 62% | |
| 165 | 4% | 53% | |
| 166 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 167 | 9% | 41% | |
| 168 | 4% | 31% | |
| 169 | 5% | 27% | Last Result |
| 170 | 2% | 22% | |
| 171 | 4% | 20% | |
| 172 | 4% | 16% | |
| 173 | 4% | 12% | |
| 174 | 2% | 8% | |
| 175 | 2% | 6% | |
| 176 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 153 | 2% | 95% | |
| 154 | 2% | 93% | |
| 155 | 4% | 91% | |
| 156 | 3% | 87% | |
| 157 | 3% | 84% | |
| 158 | 5% | 81% | |
| 159 | 7% | 76% | |
| 160 | 4% | 69% | |
| 161 | 9% | 66% | Last Result |
| 162 | 5% | 56% | |
| 163 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 164 | 9% | 47% | |
| 165 | 6% | 38% | |
| 166 | 3% | 32% | |
| 167 | 5% | 28% | |
| 168 | 3% | 23% | |
| 169 | 3% | 20% | |
| 170 | 5% | 17% | |
| 171 | 2% | 12% | |
| 172 | 2% | 10% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 174 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 176 | 1.4% | 4% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 147 | 2% | 95% | |
| 148 | 3% | 93% | |
| 149 | 3% | 91% | |
| 150 | 5% | 88% | |
| 151 | 3% | 82% | |
| 152 | 3% | 79% | |
| 153 | 6% | 76% | |
| 154 | 4% | 70% | |
| 155 | 10% | 65% | |
| 156 | 4% | 56% | Last Result |
| 157 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 158 | 7% | 48% | |
| 159 | 7% | 40% | |
| 160 | 4% | 33% | |
| 161 | 7% | 29% | |
| 162 | 2% | 22% | |
| 163 | 3% | 20% | |
| 164 | 5% | 17% | |
| 165 | 2% | 12% | |
| 166 | 2% | 10% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 168 | 2% | 6% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 170 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 119 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 123 | 2% | 94% | |
| 124 | 2% | 91% | |
| 125 | 3% | 89% | |
| 126 | 3% | 86% | |
| 127 | 2% | 83% | |
| 128 | 4% | 81% | |
| 129 | 6% | 76% | |
| 130 | 4% | 71% | |
| 131 | 8% | 67% | |
| 132 | 5% | 59% | |
| 133 | 9% | 54% | |
| 134 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 135 | 5% | 41% | |
| 136 | 6% | 36% | |
| 137 | 4% | 29% | |
| 138 | 5% | 25% | |
| 139 | 4% | 20% | |
| 140 | 4% | 16% | |
| 141 | 3% | 12% | |
| 142 | 2% | 9% | |
| 143 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 117 | 3% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 91% | |
| 119 | 4% | 89% | |
| 120 | 2% | 85% | |
| 121 | 3% | 84% | |
| 122 | 4% | 81% | |
| 123 | 6% | 77% | |
| 124 | 3% | 70% | |
| 125 | 8% | 67% | |
| 126 | 4% | 59% | |
| 127 | 10% | 56% | |
| 128 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 129 | 5% | 40% | |
| 130 | 6% | 35% | |
| 131 | 3% | 29% | |
| 132 | 6% | 26% | |
| 133 | 5% | 20% | |
| 134 | 3% | 15% | |
| 135 | 3% | 12% | |
| 136 | 3% | 9% | |
| 137 | 2% | 7% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 95% | |
| 108 | 4% | 93% | |
| 109 | 3% | 89% | |
| 110 | 4% | 86% | |
| 111 | 4% | 82% | |
| 112 | 3% | 78% | |
| 113 | 6% | 75% | |
| 114 | 5% | 69% | |
| 115 | 3% | 63% | |
| 116 | 5% | 60% | |
| 117 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 118 | 4% | 49% | |
| 119 | 11% | 45% | |
| 120 | 5% | 34% | |
| 121 | 3% | 29% | |
| 122 | 5% | 27% | |
| 123 | 5% | 22% | |
| 124 | 5% | 16% | |
| 125 | 3% | 11% | |
| 126 | 2% | 8% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 102 | 2% | 96% | |
| 103 | 2% | 94% | |
| 104 | 2% | 92% | |
| 105 | 3% | 90% | |
| 106 | 3% | 87% | |
| 107 | 2% | 83% | |
| 108 | 3% | 81% | |
| 109 | 4% | 78% | |
| 110 | 10% | 74% | |
| 111 | 7% | 64% | |
| 112 | 9% | 57% | |
| 113 | 9% | 48% | Median |
| 114 | 5% | 39% | |
| 115 | 5% | 34% | |
| 116 | 5% | 29% | |
| 117 | 4% | 24% | |
| 118 | 3% | 20% | |
| 119 | 2% | 17% | |
| 120 | 3% | 14% | |
| 121 | 3% | 11% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 123 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 124 | 2% | 5% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 67 | 4% | 91% | |
| 68 | 2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 3% | 86% | |
| 70 | 4% | 83% | |
| 71 | 4% | 79% | |
| 72 | 10% | 75% | |
| 73 | 6% | 64% | |
| 74 | 6% | 59% | |
| 75 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 41% | |
| 77 | 8% | 32% | |
| 78 | 4% | 24% | |
| 79 | 5% | 21% | |
| 80 | 3% | 16% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sigma Dos
- Commissioner(s): El Mundo
- Fieldwork period: 19–22 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1200
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.43%