Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–3 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 26.7% 25.9–27.5% 25.7–27.7% 25.5–27.9% 25.1–28.3%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.5% 19.8–21.2% 19.6–21.4% 19.4–21.6% 19.1–22.0%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 16.2% 15.5–16.9% 15.4–17.1% 15.2–17.2% 14.9–17.6%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.3% 12.7–13.9% 12.5–14.1% 12.4–14.3% 12.1–14.6%
Vox 0.2% 12.1% 11.5–12.7% 11.4–12.9% 11.2–13.0% 11.0–13.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.3% 3.0–3.7% 2.9–3.7% 2.9–3.8% 2.7–4.0%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 0.8% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.1% 0.6–1.1% 0.5–1.2%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.1% 0.6–1.1% 0.5–1.2%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 115 109–119 109–122 108–123 106–123
Partido Popular 137 83 79–87 78–88 77–90 75–96
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 53 51–54 50–56 50–58 49–61
Unidos Podemos 71 37 36–38 34–39 34–39 32–41
Vox 0 33 29–34 29–35 28–36 27–38
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 15 14–15 14–15 13–15 12–17
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 4–7
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–7 6–8 6–8 5–8
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0 0 0 0
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0.5% 99.9%  
107 0.6% 99.4%  
108 3% 98.8%  
109 11% 96%  
110 0.7% 85%  
111 6% 85%  
112 1.0% 79%  
113 11% 78%  
114 6% 67%  
115 15% 60% Median
116 11% 45%  
117 4% 34%  
118 20% 30%  
119 0.6% 10%  
120 2% 10%  
121 0.5% 8%  
122 4% 8%  
123 3% 4%  
124 0.3% 0.4%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.9% 99.8%  
76 0.8% 98.9%  
77 0.7% 98%  
78 6% 97%  
79 5% 91%  
80 3% 87%  
81 6% 84%  
82 17% 78%  
83 14% 61% Median
84 28% 46%  
85 2% 19%  
86 1.1% 17%  
87 10% 16%  
88 1.1% 6%  
89 0.5% 4%  
90 2% 4%  
91 0.1% 2%  
92 0.2% 2%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.1% 1.5%  
95 0% 1.4%  
96 1.4% 1.4%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0.2% 100%  
49 1.5% 99.8%  
50 8% 98%  
51 0.7% 90%  
52 0.4% 89%  
53 45% 89% Median
54 34% 44%  
55 4% 10%  
56 2% 6%  
57 1.0% 4%  
58 0.6% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 0.6% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.0%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.3% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.7%  
32 0.2% 99.6%  
33 2% 99.4%  
34 3% 98%  
35 4% 95%  
36 26% 91%  
37 33% 64% Median
38 24% 31%  
39 5% 7%  
40 0.6% 2%  
41 1.3% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.9% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.0%  
29 25% 97%  
30 6% 72%  
31 10% 67%  
32 6% 57%  
33 34% 51% Median
34 11% 17%  
35 2% 6%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.2% 1.3%  
38 1.0% 1.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 1.3% 100%  
13 2% 98.7%  
14 47% 97%  
15 48% 50% Median
16 1.0% 2%  
17 0.9% 1.0%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 36% 99.7%  
5 17% 64% Median
6 44% 47%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.1% 99.9%  
5 1.5% 99.8% Last Result
6 68% 98% Median
7 21% 30%  
8 9% 9%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 21% 99.7% Last Result
3 39% 79% Median
4 35% 40%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 65% 65% Last Result, Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 251 100% 248–256 246–256 244–257 244–258
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 206 100% 198–209 198–209 198–210 194–214
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 197 100% 195–202 192–202 191–204 190–207
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 182 94% 176–184 175–187 174–187 171–189
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 172 9% 165–174 165–178 164–178 162–179
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 170 5% 163–173 163–175 162–177 160–177
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 168 3% 165–173 162–174 162–176 160–178
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 168 0.9% 162–172 162–173 161–173 159–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 162 0% 156–165 156–167 154–168 151–169
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 159 0% 152–161 152–164 151–165 148–165
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 153 0% 145–155 145–158 144–159 142–159
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 144 0% 138–147 135–149 134–151 134–155
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 138 0% 132–141 130–143 129–146 128–150
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 137 0% 131–140 129–142 128–145 127–149
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 115 0% 109–119 109–122 108–123 106–123
Partido Popular – Vox 137 114 0% 112–120 112–120 110–122 107–125
Partido Popular 137 83 0% 79–87 78–88 77–90 75–96

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 3% 99.9%  
245 1.3% 97%  
246 1.4% 96%  
247 1.2% 95%  
248 10% 93%  
249 16% 83%  
250 15% 67%  
251 10% 52% Median
252 3% 42%  
253 10% 39%  
254 1.3% 29% Last Result
255 2% 27%  
256 22% 25%  
257 3% 4%  
258 0.8% 1.1%  
259 0.1% 0.3%  
260 0.2% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0.5% 99.9%  
195 2% 99.5%  
196 0.1% 98%  
197 0.1% 98%  
198 8% 98%  
199 2% 89%  
200 1.3% 87%  
201 6% 86%  
202 0.7% 80%  
203 4% 79%  
204 6% 75%  
205 8% 69% Median
206 22% 61%  
207 6% 39%  
208 7% 33%  
209 23% 26%  
210 1.4% 3%  
211 0.4% 1.5%  
212 0.3% 1.1%  
213 0.2% 0.8%  
214 0.3% 0.5%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0.1% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
187 0% 100%  
188 0.2% 99.9%  
189 0.2% 99.8%  
190 0.3% 99.6%  
191 3% 99.3%  
192 1.5% 96%  
193 3% 95%  
194 1.2% 92%  
195 11% 91%  
196 15% 80%  
197 16% 65%  
198 5% 49% Median
199 9% 44%  
200 1.3% 35%  
201 10% 34%  
202 20% 24%  
203 0.5% 4%  
204 2% 3%  
205 0.2% 1.4%  
206 0.3% 1.2%  
207 0.6% 0.9%  
208 0.2% 0.3%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 1.5% 100%  
172 0.4% 98%  
173 0.5% 98%  
174 2% 98%  
175 1.4% 96%  
176 10% 94% Majority
177 0.9% 85%  
178 7% 84%  
179 3% 77%  
180 2% 74% Last Result
181 15% 72% Median
182 22% 57%  
183 25% 35%  
184 0.9% 11%  
185 0.4% 10%  
186 1.2% 9%  
187 7% 8%  
188 0.6% 1.3%  
189 0.4% 0.6%  
190 0.2% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0.1% 100%  
162 2% 99.9%  
163 0.5% 98%  
164 0.8% 98%  
165 11% 97%  
166 0.5% 86%  
167 1.0% 85%  
168 7% 84%  
169 2% 77%  
170 2% 75%  
171 10% 74%  
172 20% 64% Median
173 13% 44% Last Result
174 21% 31%  
175 1.2% 10%  
176 0.5% 9% Majority
177 0.4% 8%  
178 7% 8%  
179 0.5% 0.6%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 2% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 98%  
162 2% 98%  
163 9% 96%  
164 2% 87%  
165 6% 85%  
166 0.7% 79%  
167 5% 78% Last Result
168 4% 73%  
169 12% 69%  
170 9% 57% Median
171 16% 48%  
172 1.2% 31%  
173 21% 30%  
174 0.6% 10%  
175 4% 9%  
176 0.9% 5% Majority
177 3% 4%  
178 0.2% 0.5%  
179 0.2% 0.3%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0.1% 100%  
160 0.4% 99.9%  
161 0.6% 99.4%  
162 7% 98.8%  
163 0.9% 92%  
164 0.5% 91%  
165 0.7% 90%  
166 5% 90%  
167 30% 85%  
168 27% 55%  
169 2% 28% Last Result, Median
170 3% 26%  
171 7% 23%  
172 1.0% 16%  
173 9% 15%  
174 2% 6%  
175 2% 4%  
176 0.6% 3% Majority
177 0.4% 2%  
178 1.5% 2%  
179 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0.3% 100%  
159 0.5% 99.7%  
160 0.3% 99.2%  
161 2% 98.9%  
162 10% 97%  
163 1.4% 87%  
164 5% 85%  
165 0.7% 80%  
166 8% 79%  
167 6% 71%  
168 17% 65% Median
169 2% 48%  
170 10% 46%  
171 3% 36%  
172 26% 33%  
173 4% 6%  
174 1.0% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.3%  
176 0.4% 0.9% Majority
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 2% 100%  
152 0.1% 98%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 1.4% 98%  
155 0.5% 96%  
156 10% 96%  
157 1.2% 86%  
158 6% 85%  
159 3% 79%  
160 9% 76%  
161 8% 67% Median
162 14% 59%  
163 14% 45% Last Result
164 20% 31%  
165 1.5% 11%  
166 0.7% 9%  
167 5% 9%  
168 3% 4%  
169 0.3% 0.7%  
170 0.3% 0.5%  
171 0.2% 0.2%  
172 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.3% 100%  
148 2% 99.7%  
149 0.2% 98%  
150 0.3% 98%  
151 2% 98%  
152 9% 96%  
153 2% 87%  
154 2% 85%  
155 6% 84%  
156 1.1% 77%  
157 7% 76%  
158 13% 70% Median
159 20% 56%  
160 6% 36%  
161 21% 30% Last Result
162 0.9% 10%  
163 0.8% 9%  
164 4% 8%  
165 3% 4%  
166 0.3% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0.3% 99.9%  
142 2% 99.6%  
143 0.3% 98%  
144 0.4% 98%  
145 10% 97%  
146 2% 88%  
147 0.8% 85%  
148 6% 85%  
149 1.0% 78%  
150 6% 77%  
151 7% 72%  
152 14% 64% Median
153 16% 50%  
154 4% 34%  
155 20% 30%  
156 1.0% 9% Last Result
157 0.7% 8%  
158 4% 8%  
159 3% 3%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0.1% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.9%  
134 3% 99.6%  
135 5% 96%  
136 0.4% 92%  
137 0.9% 91%  
138 3% 90%  
139 0.7% 87%  
140 5% 87%  
141 16% 82%  
142 3% 66% Median
143 9% 63%  
144 32% 53%  
145 3% 22%  
146 3% 19%  
147 10% 16%  
148 0.3% 6%  
149 0.8% 5%  
150 1.0% 5%  
151 1.2% 4%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 1.5% 1.5%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0.2% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.4% 99.7%  
129 3% 99.3%  
130 4% 96%  
131 1.1% 92%  
132 3% 91%  
133 0.9% 88%  
134 2% 87%  
135 16% 85%  
136 3% 69%  
137 9% 66% Median
138 34% 57%  
139 4% 23%  
140 3% 19%  
141 9% 16%  
142 1.2% 7%  
143 1.3% 6%  
144 0.9% 5%  
145 0.5% 4%  
146 1.2% 3%  
147 0.7% 2%  
148 0% 2%  
149 0% 2%  
150 1.5% 1.5%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0.1% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.4% 99.8%  
128 3% 99.4%  
129 5% 96%  
130 0.7% 92%  
131 3% 91%  
132 0.6% 88%  
133 2% 87%  
134 5% 86%  
135 15% 81%  
136 9% 66% Median
137 14% 57%  
138 22% 42%  
139 4% 20%  
140 9% 17%  
141 1.0% 7%  
142 1.4% 6%  
143 0.9% 5%  
144 0.6% 4%  
145 1.2% 3%  
146 0.7% 2%  
147 0% 2%  
148 0% 2%  
149 1.5% 1.5%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0.5% 99.9%  
107 0.6% 99.4%  
108 3% 98.8%  
109 11% 96%  
110 0.7% 85%  
111 6% 85%  
112 1.0% 79%  
113 11% 78%  
114 6% 67%  
115 15% 60% Median
116 11% 45%  
117 4% 34%  
118 20% 30%  
119 0.6% 10%  
120 2% 10%  
121 0.5% 8%  
122 4% 8%  
123 3% 4%  
124 0.3% 0.4%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0.1% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.9% 99.4%  
109 0.7% 98.5%  
110 1.4% 98%  
111 1.0% 96%  
112 11% 95%  
113 23% 84%  
114 17% 62%  
115 20% 45%  
116 2% 25% Median
117 2% 23%  
118 6% 21%  
119 0.9% 15%  
120 10% 14%  
121 2% 5%  
122 0.3% 3%  
123 0.1% 2%  
124 0.6% 2%  
125 2% 2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.9% 99.8%  
76 0.8% 98.9%  
77 0.7% 98%  
78 6% 97%  
79 5% 91%  
80 3% 87%  
81 6% 84%  
82 17% 78%  
83 14% 61% Median
84 28% 46%  
85 2% 19%  
86 1.1% 17%  
87 10% 16%  
88 1.1% 6%  
89 0.5% 4%  
90 2% 4%  
91 0.1% 2%  
92 0.2% 2%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.1% 1.5%  
95 0% 1.4%  
96 1.4% 1.4%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations